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Aldershot Town v Yeovil Town — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 15 September 2026 · ENG-National League · 2627

ENG-National League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Aldershot Town win
56.7%
Draw
19.5%
Yeovil Town win
23.9%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.70–0.97 1-0 14% 50% 48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town to win 39.5% 36.5% 43.7% 0.83× 2.74
Yeovil Town to win 36.4% 36.4% 33.6% 1.08× 2.75
Draw 24.1% 24.4% 22.8% 1.07× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town & both teams score 20.0% 17.9% 22.0% 0.81× 5.58
Aldershot Town & not both score 19.5% 17.9% 21.9% 0.82× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 18.8% 17.9% 18.2% 0.98× 5.58
Yeovil Town & both teams score 18.6% 17.9% 17.3% 1.04× 5.58
Yeovil Town & not both score 17.9% 17.9% 16.5% 1.09× 5.58
Draw & not both score 5.3% 8.4% 4.8% 1.76× 11.96
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town & over 1.5 30.6% 30.9% 34.4% 0.90× 3.24
Yeovil Town & over 1.5 28.0% 26.0% 27.7% 0.94× 3.84
Aldershot Town & under 3.5 26.5% 26.0% 28.1% 0.93× 3.84
Aldershot Town & over 2.5 24.5% 21.6% 29.0% 0.75× 4.62
Yeovil Town & under 3.5 24.8% 21.6% 24.2% 0.89× 4.62
Yeovil Town & over 2.5 22.4% 21.6% 21.6% 1.00× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 18.8% 18.0% 18.2% 0.99× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 16.6% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 16.6% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.56
Aldershot Town & under 2.5 15.0% 12.9% 14.9% 0.86× 7.77
Yeovil Town & under 2.5 14.0% 12.9% 12.2% 1.05× 7.77
Aldershot Town & over 3.5 12.9% 12.9% 15.8% 0.81× 7.78
Yeovil Town & over 3.5 11.6% 12.9% 9.5% 1.35× 7.78
Aldershot Town & under 1.5 8.8% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 7.5% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 7.5% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.69
Yeovil Town & under 1.5 8.5% 7.9% 6.0% 1.31× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 5.3% 7.9% 4.8% 1.66× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town (1UP) 56.6% 57.9% 1.73
Yeovil Town (1UP) 53.9% 52.9% 1.89
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town (2UP) 39.5% 37.1% 2.69
Yeovil Town (2UP) 36.4% 36.9% 2.71
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 34.1% 34.5% 2.90
Yeovil Town to win 2nd half 33.0% 34.5% 2.90
Aldershot Town to win 2nd half 32.8% 34.5% 2.90
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town (+2.5) 92.9% 92.1% 89.7% 1.03× 1.09
Yeovil Town (+1.5) 81.4% 82.4% 79.4% 1.04× 1.21
Aldershot Town (+0.5) 63.6% 62.9% 66.4% 0.95× 1.59
Yeovil Town (+0.5) 60.5% 62.9% 56.3% 1.12× 1.59
Aldershot Town (-0.5) 39.5% 37.1% 43.7% 0.85× 2.69
Yeovil Town (-0.5) 36.4% 37.1% 33.6% 1.10× 2.69
Aldershot Town (-1.5) 18.6% 17.6% 20.6% 0.85× 5.68
Aldershot Town (-2.5) 7.1% 7.9% 10.3% 0.77× 12.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town to concede 76.8% 79.0% 78.9% 1.00× 1.27
Yeovil Town clean sheet 23.2% 21.0% 21.1% 1.00× 4.76
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town to concede in 1st half 46.7% 50.8% 1.97
Yeovil Town clean sheet in 1st half 53.3% 49.2% 2.03
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town under 3.5 goals 94.7% 92.4% 96.4% 0.96× 1.08
Yeovil Town under 2.5 goals 83.5% 81.5% 84.5% 0.96× 1.23
Yeovil Town over 0.5 goals 75.2% 76.2% 73.5% 1.04× 1.31
Yeovil Town under 1.5 goals 59.4% 59.6% 59.4% 1.00× 1.68
Yeovil Town over 1.5 goals 40.6% 40.4% 40.6% 0.99× 2.48
Yeovil Town under 0.5 goals 24.8% 23.8% 26.5% 0.90× 4.20
Yeovil Town over 2.5 goals 16.5% 18.5% 15.5% 1.19× 5.40
Yeovil Town over 3.5 goals 5.3% 7.6% 3.6% 2.10× 13.09
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town under 1.5 in 1st half 89.2% 89.6% 1.12
Yeovil Town under 0.5 in 1st half 57.3% 62.9% 1.59
Yeovil Town over 0.5 in 1st half 42.7% 37.1% 2.70
Yeovil Town over 1.5 in 1st half 10.8% 10.4% 9.66
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town (away no bet) 62.1% 62.1% 65.7% 0.95× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 37.9% 37.9% 34.3% 1.11× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town even goals 53.1% 52.7% 54.4% 0.97× 1.90
Yeovil Town odd goals 46.9% 47.3% 45.6% 1.04× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 83.5% 83.2% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.5% 16.8% 5.96
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.2% 68.3% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 33.8% 31.7% 3.16
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 57.8% 55.4% 1.80
Aldershot Town to score 2+ in a row 33.7% 28.6% 3.50
Yeovil Town to score 2+ in a row 31.4% 28.5% 3.51
Either team to score 3+ in a row 20.6% 19.3% 5.19
Aldershot Town to score 3+ in a row 11.1% 12.0% 8.36
Yeovil Town to score 3+ in a row 9.8% 5.6% 17.74
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.3% 11.5% 11.6% 0.99× 8.73
0-1 8.5% 7.4% 6.0% 1.23× 13.46
1-0 8.8% 7.4% 9.5% 0.78× 13.46
2-1 8.6% 7.4% 9.7% 0.77× 13.46
1-2 8.2% 7.4% 8.4% 0.88× 13.46
0-0 5.3% 7.4% 4.8% 1.56× 13.46
0-2 5.6% 7.4% 6.3% 1.17× 13.46
2-0 6.1% 7.4% 5.5% 1.34× 13.46
2-2 6.0% 7.4% 5.1% 1.46× 13.46
0-3 2.6% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 58.58
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.5% 3.59× 58.59
1-3 3.8% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.57
1-4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.59
2-3 2.8% 1.7% 3.0% 0.57× 58.58
2-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.6% 2.69× 58.59
3-0 3.0% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.58
3-1 4.2% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.57
3-2 2.9% 1.7% 4.1% 0.41× 58.58
3-3 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.58
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.6% 2.69× 58.59
4-0 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.59
4-1 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 0.98× 58.58
4-2 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.08× 58.59
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.59× 58.59
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.5% 3.59× 58.59
Any other score 3.1% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 58.57
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town leading at HT (DNB) 53.9% 55.9% 1.79
Yeovil Town leading at HT (DNB) 46.1% 44.1% 2.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town or Yeovil Town (12) 75.9% 75.6% 77.2% 0.98× 1.32
Aldershot Town or draw (1X) 63.6% 63.6% 66.4% 0.96× 1.57
Yeovil Town or draw (X2) 60.5% 63.5% 56.3% 1.13× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town or draw at HT 73.3% 74.7% 1.34
Yeovil Town or draw at HT 68.8% 66.1% 1.51
Aldershot Town or Yeovil Town at HT 57.9% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town or draw (1UP) 63.6% 71.4% 1.40
Yeovil Town or draw (1UP) 60.5% 71.2% 1.41
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town or draw in 2nd half 67.2% 65.5% 1.53
Aldershot Town or draw in 2nd half 67.0% 65.5% 1.53
Aldershot Town or Yeovil Town in 2nd half 65.9% 65.5% 1.53
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.3% 61.5% 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.7% 38.5% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town (DNB) 52.0% 50.9% 56.6% 0.90× 1.96
Yeovil Town (DNB) 48.0% 49.1% 43.4% 1.13× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town to score first 48.5% 45.6% 2.19
Yeovil Town to score first 46.2% 45.5% 2.20
No goal scored 5.3% 7.3% 13.67
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.3% 54.8% 57.2% 0.96× 1.83
Not both teams to score 42.7% 45.2% 42.8% 1.06× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 46.0% 44.2% 45.8% 0.97× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 34.3% 34.4% 31.5% 1.09× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 11.3% 12.3% 11.6% 1.07× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.3% 8.4% 11.4% 0.73× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 82.6% 83.2% 82.7% 1.01× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 17.4% 16.8% 17.3% 0.97× 5.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.1% 67.7% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.9% 32.3% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 54.6% 56.3% 1.78
Both score 2nd half only 25.5% 26.0% 3.85
Both score 1st half only 13.5% 10.5% 9.52
Both score in both halves 6.4% 6.7% 14.98
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.1% 82.8% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 19.9% 17.2% 5.80
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.2% 57.2% 1.75
A half without a goal 43.8% 42.8% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.3% 47.4% 48.3% 0.98× 2.11
4-6 goals 29.4% 26.4% 29.5% 0.90× 3.78
0-1 goals 22.6% 22.8% 20.0% 1.14× 4.38
7+ goals 2.7% 1.8% 2.5% 0.72× 55.16
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town to score exactly 1 34.6% 33.9% 33.1% 1.02× 2.95
Yeovil Town to score exactly 0 24.8% 22.4% 26.5% 0.85× 4.47
Yeovil Town to score exactly 2 24.1% 22.4% 25.2% 0.89× 4.47
Yeovil Town to score 3+ 16.5% 19.5% 15.5% 1.26× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town to score exactly 1 33.9% 32.7% 33.8% 0.97× 3.06
Aldershot Town to score exactly 2 24.8% 23.3% 23.6% 0.99× 4.30
Aldershot Town to score exactly 0 23.2% 23.3% 21.1% 1.10× 4.30
Aldershot Town to score 3+ 18.2% 18.9% 21.9% 0.86× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.1% 43.2% 2.32
Aldershot Town leading at HT 31.2% 33.9% 2.95
Yeovil Town leading at HT 26.7% 25.3% 3.95
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town -1: 2 60.5% 62.4% 1.60
Aldershot Town -1: X 20.9% 23.6% 4.24
Aldershot Town -1: 1 18.6% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town (0:1) 60.5% 61.3% 56.3% 1.09× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 20.9% 24.3% 23.3% 1.04× 4.12
Aldershot Town (0:1) 18.6% 17.8% 20.6% 0.86× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town (0:2) 81.4% 82.7% 79.4% 1.04× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.5% 11.0% 10.5% 1.05× 9.09
Aldershot Town (0:2) 7.1% 7.7% 10.3% 0.75× 12.98
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town (0:3) 92.9% 92.6% 89.7% 1.03× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.9% 2.4% 5.5% 0.43× 41.92
Aldershot Town (0:3) 2.2% 2.4% 4.9% 0.48× 42.04
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town (0:4) 97.8% 98.1% 95.1% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 3.6% 0.33× 83.28
Aldershot Town (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 0.84× 83.41
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town (1:0) 63.6% 65.2% 66.4% 0.98× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 19.9% 17.0% 17.6% 0.97× 5.87
Yeovil Town (1:0) 16.5% 17.0% 16.2% 1.05× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town (2:0) 83.5% 84.6% 83.8% 1.01× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.5% 10.4% 10.1% 1.02× 9.63
Yeovil Town (2:0) 6.0% 6.5% 6.2% 1.04× 15.50
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.0% 48.2% 2.07
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 23.5% 24.2% 4.13
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town to concede 75.2% 75.8% 73.5% 1.03× 1.32
Aldershot Town clean sheet 24.8% 24.2% 26.5% 0.91× 4.13
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town clean sheet in 1st half 57.3% 62.9% 1.59
Aldershot Town to concede in 1st half 42.7% 37.1% 2.70
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town under 3.5 goals 93.9% 92.2% 91.1% 1.01× 1.08
Aldershot Town under 2.5 goals 81.8% 82.1% 78.1% 1.05× 1.22
Aldershot Town over 0.5 goals 76.8% 77.7% 78.9% 0.98× 1.29
Aldershot Town under 1.5 goals 57.1% 58.8% 54.7% 1.08× 1.70
Aldershot Town over 1.5 goals 42.9% 41.2% 45.3% 0.91× 2.43
Aldershot Town under 0.5 goals 23.2% 22.3% 21.1% 1.06× 4.48
Aldershot Town over 2.5 goals 18.2% 17.9% 21.9% 0.82× 5.60
Aldershot Town over 3.5 goals 6.1% 7.8% 8.9% 0.87× 12.90
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town under 1.5 in 1st half 86.9% 89.9% 1.11
Aldershot Town over 0.5 in 1st half 46.7% 50.9% 1.96
Aldershot Town under 0.5 in 1st half 53.3% 49.1% 2.04
Aldershot Town over 1.5 in 1st half 13.1% 10.1% 9.92
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town (home no bet) 60.2% 60.1% 59.6% 1.01× 1.66
Draw (home no bet) 39.8% 39.9% 40.4% 0.99× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town even goals 52.7% 50.6% 50.6% 1.00× 1.97
Aldershot Town odd goals 47.3% 49.4% 49.4% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.5% 32.4% 3.09
HT 1-0 19.3% 18.9% 5.29
HT 0-1 17.1% 18.9% 5.30
HT 1-1 10.6% 11.0% 9.06
HT 2-0 6.0% 7.1% 14.12
HT 0-2 4.7% 2.2% 44.56
Any other HT score 4.5% 2.2% 44.59
HT 2-1 3.4% 2.2% 44.67
HT 1-2 3.0% 2.2% 44.70
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.2% 44.87
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town at HT / Aldershot Town at FT 23.1% 22.2% 4.51
Yeovil Town at HT / Yeovil Town at FT 19.6% 16.8% 5.94
Draw at HT / Yeovil Town at FT 14.1% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Aldershot Town at FT 14.1% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 13.9% 12.7% 7.89
Aldershot Town at HT / Draw at FT 5.5% 6.0% 16.63
Yeovil Town at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.4% 29.09
Aldershot Town at HT / Yeovil Town at FT 2.7% 3.4% 29.18
Yeovil Town at HT / Aldershot Town at FT 2.3% 3.4% 29.19
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town to score last 48.5% 47.0% 2.13
Yeovil Town to score last 46.2% 46.8% 2.14
No goal scored 5.3% 7.3% 13.67
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.7% 92.8% 1.08
Aldershot Town to lead by 1 at any time 56.6% 55.0% 1.82
Yeovil Town to lead by 1 at any time 53.9% 50.6% 1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 47.9% 44.0% 2.27
Aldershot Town to lead by 2 at any time 25.2% 25.1% 3.98
Yeovil Town to lead by 2 at any time 22.9% 19.6% 5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 17.0% 14.9% 6.70
Aldershot Town to lead by 3 at any time 9.1% 6.6% 15.24
Yeovil Town to lead by 3 at any time 7.9% 6.5% 15.30
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.7% 87.4% 88.1% 0.99× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.6% 78.6% 77.7% 1.01× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.7% 72.4% 77.7% 0.93× 1.38
2-5 goals 70.4% 72.4% 72.9% 0.99× 1.38
1-3 goals 62.6% 63.5% 63.6% 1.00× 1.58
2-4 goals 61.3% 63.5% 62.4% 1.02× 1.58
3-6 goals 51.7% 53.1% 54.7% 0.97× 1.88
3-5 goals 47.4% 48.7% 49.9% 0.97× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.3% 48.7% 48.3% 1.01× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.3% 43.6% 38.4% 1.14× 2.29
3-4 goals 38.3% 39.2% 39.5% 0.99× 2.55
4-6 goals 29.4% 30.2% 29.5% 1.02× 3.31
4-5 goals 25.0% 30.2% 24.7% 1.22× 3.31
5-6 goals 13.4% 14.9% 15.4% 0.97× 6.73
7+ goals 2.7% 2.5% 2.5% 1.00× 39.46
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town never behind 40.7% 48.1% 2.08
Yeovil Town never behind 38.1% 44.9% 2.23
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.3% 50.8% 47.5% 1.07× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.7% 49.2% 52.5% 0.94× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.5% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.5% 48.4% 2.06
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.5% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.5% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.7% 92.3% 95.2% 0.97× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 93.0% 92.3% 92.7% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 83.9% 82.4% 82.3% 1.00× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 77.4% 77.4% 80.0% 0.97× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.0% 66.3% 68.1% 0.97× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 54.4% 52.4% 57.1% 0.92× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 45.6% 47.6% 42.9% 1.11× 2.10
Over 3.5 goals 32.1% 33.7% 31.9% 1.06× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 22.6% 22.6% 20.0% 1.13× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 16.1% 17.6% 17.8% 0.99× 5.67
Over 5.5 goals 7.0% 7.7% 7.3% 1.06× 12.95
Under 0.5 goals 5.3% 7.7% 4.8% 1.62× 12.96
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.2% 97.3% 97.3% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.3% 92.5% 91.9% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 80.8% 81.1% 79.3% 1.02× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.6% 72.6% 74.1% 0.98× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 58.7% 55.5% 57.4% 0.97× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 41.3% 44.5% 42.6% 1.04× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.4% 27.4% 25.9% 1.06× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 19.2% 18.9% 20.7% 0.91× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.7% 7.5% 8.1% 0.93× 13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 1.03× 36.36
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.2% 89.3% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.5% 69.1% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.8% 69.0% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.2% 31.0% 3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.5% 30.9% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.8% 10.7% 9.37
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.3% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 76.5% 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 50.4% 53.0% 1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 49.6% 47.0% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 23.5% 20.1% 4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 18.7% 17.1% 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town not to score in both halves 75.8% 78.3% 1.28
Aldershot Town not to score in both halves 73.6% 74.3% 1.35
Aldershot Town to score in both halves 26.4% 25.7% 3.90
Yeovil Town to score in both halves 24.2% 21.7% 4.61
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.3% 58.2% 57.2% 1.02× 1.72
Only Aldershot Town scores 19.5% 16.1% 21.9% 0.74× 6.20
Only Yeovil Town scores 17.9% 16.1% 16.5% 0.98× 6.20
Neither team scores 5.3% 7.2% 4.8% 1.51× 13.96
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 23.0% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 25.4% 0.89× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 17.3% 17.5% 15.4% 1.14× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 15.9% 17.4% 14.3% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 9.1% 7.6% 10.6% 0.72× 13.13
6 or more goals 7.0% 7.6% 7.3% 1.04× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 5.3% 7.6% 4.8% 1.60× 13.14
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 49.6% 44.9% 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.7% 33.8% 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 18.7% 16.9% 5.90
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town not to win both halves 91.2% 93.9% 1.07
Aldershot Town not to win both halves 89.8% 88.2% 1.13
Aldershot Town to win both halves 10.2% 11.8% 8.44
Yeovil Town to win both halves 8.8% 6.1% 16.48
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aldershot Town to win either half 53.9% 54.8% 1.83
Yeovil Town to win either half 51.0% 54.7% 1.83
Yeovil Town to win neither half 49.0% 45.3% 2.21
Aldershot Town to win neither half 46.1% 45.2% 2.21
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Yeovil Town not to win to nil 82.1% 83.0% 83.5% 0.99× 1.21
Aldershot Town not to win to nil 80.5% 83.0% 78.1% 1.06× 1.21
Aldershot Town to win to nil 19.5% 17.0% 21.9% 0.78× 5.87
Yeovil Town to win to nil 17.9% 17.0% 16.5% 1.03× 5.87
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.1% 24.1% 22.8% 1.06× 4.14
Aldershot Town by 1 20.9% 24.1% 23.3% 1.04× 4.14
Yeovil Town by 1 19.9% 17.0% 17.6% 0.96× 5.90
Aldershot Town by 2 11.5% 11.8% 10.5% 1.13× 8.46
Yeovil Town by 2 10.5% 11.8% 10.1% 1.16× 8.47
Aldershot Town by 3+ 7.1% 7.2% 10.3% 0.70× 13.81
Yeovil Town by 3+ 6.0% 7.2% 6.2% 1.17× 13.81
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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