Almere City v Jong Ajax — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 4 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627
NED-Eerste Divisie
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Almere City win
68.3%
Draw
15.8%
Jong Ajax win
15.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.71–1.27 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 2.83–1.14 | 2-1 9% | 76% | 64% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City to win | 72.6% | 78.2% | 42.6% | 1.84× | 1.28 |
| Draw | 14.5% | 11.3% | 26.3% | 0.43× | 8.82 |
| Jong Ajax to win | 12.9% | 11.2% | 31.2% | 0.36× | 8.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City (1UP) | 83.6% | 86.0% | 58.7% | 1.46× | 1.16 |
| Jong Ajax (1UP) | 33.9% | 31.7% | 49.3% | 0.64× | 3.16 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City (2UP) | 72.6% | 79.5% | 44.5% | 1.79× | 1.26 |
| Jong Ajax (2UP) | 12.9% | 13.1% | 33.4% | 0.39× | 7.61 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City (+0.5) | 87.1% | 90.8% | 68.8% | 1.32× | 1.10 |
| Almere City (-0.5) | 72.6% | 75.8% | 42.6% | 1.78× | 1.32 |
| Jong Ajax (+2.5) | 67.6% | 71.4% | 90.3% | 0.79× | 1.40 |
| Almere City (-1.5) | 52.2% | 52.7% | 21.9% | 2.41× | 1.90 |
| Jong Ajax (+1.5) | 47.8% | 47.3% | 78.1% | 0.61× | 2.11 |
| Almere City (-2.5) | 32.4% | 28.6% | 9.7% | 2.94× | 3.49 |
| Jong Ajax (+0.5) | 27.4% | 24.2% | 57.4% | 0.42× | 4.13 |
| Jong Ajax (-0.5) | 12.9% | 9.2% | 31.2% | 0.30× | 10.84 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City (away no bet) | 83.3% | 83.9% | 61.8% | 1.36× | 1.19 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 16.7% | 16.1% | 38.2% | 0.42× | 6.23 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 66.8% | 72.0% | 83.1% | 0.87× | 1.39 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 33.2% | 28.0% | 16.9% | 1.66× | 3.57 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 83.2% | 76.9% | 64.8% | 1.19× | 1.30 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 16.8% | 23.1% | 35.2% | 0.66× | 4.33 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 77.9% | 75.4% | 57.4% | 1.31× | 1.33 |
| Almere City to score 2+ in a row | 69.3% | 61.6% | 36.2% | 1.70× | 1.62 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 43.5% | 37.2% | 22.4% | 1.66× | 2.69 |
| Almere City to score 3+ in a row | 40.2% | 37.0% | 13.9% | 2.66× | 2.70 |
| Jong Ajax to score 2+ in a row | 19.1% | 16.1% | 27.9% | 0.58× | 6.21 |
| Jong Ajax to score 3+ in a row | 4.0% | 2.5% | 8.9% | 0.28× | 39.72 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 16.0% | 17.8% | 3.8% | 4.69× | 5.63 |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 0.88× | 13.45 |
| 3-1 | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.59× | 13.45 |
| 2-0 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 1.14× | 13.45 |
| 3-0 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.90× | 13.45 |
| 1-0 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 0.84× | 13.46 |
| 1-1 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 0.65× | 13.46 |
| 4-1 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 4.14× | 13.46 |
| 4-0 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 4.25× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.30× | 58.55 |
| 3-2 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.59× | 58.56 |
| 1-2 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.24× | 58.60 |
| 0-1 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.24× | 58.63 |
| 4-2 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.69× | 58.60 |
| 0-0 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 58.65 |
| 0-2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.67 |
| 1-3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.60× | 58.66 |
| 2-3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.77× | 58.65 |
| 3-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.41× | 58.65 |
| 4-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.01× | 58.67 |
| 0-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.67× | 58.69 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.57× | 58.70 |
| 1-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.65× | 58.69 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.30× | 58.69 |
| 3-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.46× | 58.69 |
| 4-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.66× | 58.69 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City leading at HT (DNB) | 79.9% | 77.9% | 56.8% | 1.37× | 1.28 |
| Jong Ajax leading at HT (DNB) | 20.1% | 22.1% | 43.2% | 0.51× | 4.52 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City or draw (1X) | 87.1% | 88.8% | 68.8% | 1.29× | 1.13 |
| Almere City or Jong Ajax (12) | 85.5% | 88.7% | 73.7% | 1.20× | 1.13 |
| Jong Ajax or draw (X2) | 27.4% | 21.8% | 57.4% | 0.38× | 4.59 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City or draw (1UP) | 87.1% | 91.9% | 74.6% | 1.23× | 1.09 |
| Jong Ajax or draw (1UP) | 33.9% | 39.9% | 64.5% | 0.62× | 2.51 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City (DNB) | 84.9% | 84.0% | 57.7% | 1.46× | 1.19 |
| Jong Ajax (DNB) | 15.1% | 16.0% | 42.3% | 0.38× | 6.26 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City to score first | 70.1% | 73.2% | 50.2% | 1.46× | 1.37 |
| Jong Ajax to score first | 28.3% | 27.2% | 42.0% | 0.65× | 3.68 |
| No goal scored | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.88 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 63.7% | 58.5% | 54.0% | 1.08× | 1.71 |
| Not both teams to score | 36.3% | 41.5% | 46.0% | 0.90× | 2.41 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 75.6% | 81.5% | 84.5% | 0.96× | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 24.4% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 1.19× | 5.41 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 60.5% | 66.2% | 70.9% | 0.93× | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 39.5% | 33.8% | 29.1% | 1.16× | 2.96 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 74.3% | 80.1% | 82.0% | 0.98× | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 25.7% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 1.11× | 5.02 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 45.4% | 46.3% | 29.1% | 1.59× | 2.16 |
| 2-3 goals | 34.4% | 31.3% | 45.0% | 0.70× | 3.20 |
| 7+ goals | 10.6% | 13.1% | 2.4% | 5.45× | 7.61 |
| 0-1 goals | 9.7% | 4.8% | 23.6% | 0.20× | 21.04 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax to score exactly 1 | 36.5% | 35.7% | 34.3% | 1.04× | 2.80 |
| Jong Ajax to score exactly 0 | 32.0% | 33.9% | 29.6% | 1.15× | 2.95 |
| Jong Ajax to score exactly 2 | 20.8% | 22.0% | 22.3% | 0.99× | 4.55 |
| Jong Ajax to score 3+ | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 0.75× | 9.60 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City to score 3+ | 53.6% | 49.0% | 20.8% | 2.35× | 2.04 |
| Almere City to score exactly 2 | 23.7% | 24.2% | 23.6% | 1.03× | 4.13 |
| Almere City to score exactly 1 | 16.8% | 18.4% | 31.4% | 0.59× | 5.44 |
| Almere City to score exactly 0 | 5.9% | 7.3% | 24.2% | 0.30× | 13.71 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City leading at HT | 55.4% | 58.7% | 33.2% | 1.77× | 1.70 |
| Draw at HT | 30.7% | 32.9% | 41.5% | 0.79× | 3.04 |
| Jong Ajax leading at HT | 14.0% | 11.2% | 25.3% | 0.44× | 8.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City -1: 1 | 52.2% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Almere City -1: 2 | 27.4% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Almere City -1: X | 20.4% | 23.8% | — | — | 4.20 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City (0:1) | 52.2% | 54.1% | 21.9% | 2.47× | 1.85 |
| Jong Ajax (0:1) | 27.4% | 23.9% | 57.4% | 0.42× | 4.19 |
| Draw (0:1) | 20.4% | 23.4% | 20.7% | 1.13× | 4.28 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax (0:2) | 47.8% | 52.9% | 78.1% | 0.68× | 1.89 |
| Almere City (0:2) | 32.4% | 25.8% | 9.7% | 2.64× | 3.88 |
| Draw (0:2) | 19.8% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 1.44× | 5.70 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax (0:3) | 67.6% | 70.9% | 90.3% | 0.79× | 1.41 |
| Almere City (0:3) | 17.2% | 16.7% | 3.7% | 4.46× | 5.99 |
| Draw (0:3) | 15.1% | 16.4% | 6.0% | 2.72× | 6.11 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax (0:4) | 82.8% | 84.0% | 96.3% | 0.87× | 1.19 |
| Draw (0:4) | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.02× | 18.94 |
| Almere City (0:4) | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 4.48× | 19.28 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City (1:0) | 87.1% | 88.5% | 68.8% | 1.29× | 1.13 |
| Draw (1:0) | 8.4% | 6.6% | 16.7% | 0.39× | 15.19 |
| Jong Ajax (1:0) | 4.5% | 3.6% | 14.5% | 0.25× | 27.52 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City (2:0) | 95.5% | 96.5% | 85.5% | 1.13× | 1.04 |
| Draw (2:0) | 3.2% | 2.3% | 8.7% | 0.26× | 44.33 |
| Jong Ajax (2:0) | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 0.38× | 45.10 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 52.2% | 50.3% | 47.5% | 1.06× | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.3% | 26.7% | 25.7% | 1.04× | 3.75 |
| Halves equal | 19.5% | 19.7% | 26.7% | 0.74× | 5.08 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 52.9% | 51.0% | 45.7% | 1.11× | 1.96 |
| Jong Ajax (home no bet) | 47.1% | 49.0% | 54.3% | 0.90× | 2.04 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1-0 | 22.9% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 1.17× | 4.19 |
| HT 0-0 | 18.7% | 18.8% | 30.7% | 0.61× | 5.31 |
| HT 2-0 | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 1.55× | 9.18 |
| Any other HT score | 13.4% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 2.34× | 9.19 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 1.08× | 9.22 |
| HT 0-1 | 8.6% | 6.9% | 16.1% | 0.43× | 14.41 |
| HT 2-1 | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.20× | 14.45 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.82× | 45.92 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 0.46× | 45.95 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.52× | 45.99 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City at HT / Almere City at FT | 50.1% | 52.5% | 25.3% | 2.07× | 1.90 |
| Draw at HT / Almere City at FT | 18.5% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 1.18× | 5.87 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 7.1% | 6.0% | 15.8% | 0.38× | 16.55 |
| Jong Ajax at HT / Jong Ajax at FT | 6.5% | 6.0% | 17.0% | 0.36× | 16.56 |
| Draw at HT / Jong Ajax at FT | 5.0% | 3.3% | 11.4% | 0.29× | 30.01 |
| Almere City at HT / Draw at FT | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 0.66× | 30.06 |
| Jong Ajax at HT / Almere City at FT | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.16× | 30.06 |
| Jong Ajax at HT / Draw at FT | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 0.61× | 30.08 |
| Almere City at HT / Jong Ajax at FT | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.16× | 30.17 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City to score last | 70.0% | 70.7% | 50.3% | 1.40× | 1.41 |
| Jong Ajax to score last | 28.4% | 26.3% | 41.9% | 0.63× | 3.80 |
| No goal scored | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.88 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 98.4% | 94.9% | 92.2% | 1.03× | 1.05 |
| Almere City to lead by 1 at any time | 83.6% | 81.4% | 58.7% | 1.39× | 1.23 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 69.3% | 68.1% | 47.3% | 1.44× | 1.47 |
| Almere City to lead by 2 at any time | 60.2% | 60.1% | 27.8% | 2.17× | 1.66 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 39.5% | 33.6% | 19.0% | 1.76× | 2.98 |
| Almere City to lead by 3 at any time | 37.1% | 33.5% | 11.9% | 2.82× | 2.99 |
| Jong Ajax to lead by 1 at any time | 33.9% | 28.4% | 49.3% | 0.58× | 3.52 |
| Jong Ajax to lead by 2 at any time | 9.8% | 6.3% | 19.9% | 0.32× | 15.81 |
| Jong Ajax to lead by 3 at any time | 2.4% | 1.5% | 7.2% | 0.21× | 66.18 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 goals | 79.7% | 77.2% | 74.0% | 1.04× | 1.30 |
| 1-5 goals | 77.6% | 77.1% | 85.7% | 0.90× | 1.30 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.4% | 68.2% | 69.9% | 0.98× | 1.47 |
| 3-6 goals | 65.1% | 68.1% | 50.9% | 1.34× | 1.47 |
| 1-4 goals | 62.0% | 62.5% | 76.8% | 0.81× | 1.60 |
| 3-5 goals | 54.8% | 50.8% | 46.8% | 1.09× | 1.97 |
| 2-4 goals | 53.9% | 50.8% | 61.0% | 0.83× | 1.97 |
| 4-6 goals | 45.4% | 46.3% | 29.1% | 1.59× | 2.16 |
| 1-3 goals | 42.5% | 42.8% | 60.8% | 0.70× | 2.34 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.3% | 38.1% | 37.8% | 1.01× | 2.62 |
| 4-5 goals | 35.1% | 38.1% | 25.0% | 1.53× | 2.63 |
| 2-3 goals | 34.4% | 33.2% | 45.0% | 0.74× | 3.02 |
| 5-6 goals | 25.8% | 26.1% | 13.1% | 2.00× | 3.83 |
| 1-2 goals | 22.7% | 19.8% | 39.0% | 0.51× | 5.04 |
| 7+ goals | 10.6% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 4.44× | 9.34 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City never behind | 64.5% | 69.3% | 50.7% | 1.37× | 1.44 |
| Jong Ajax never behind | 14.8% | 15.1% | 41.3% | 0.37× | 6.61 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.6% | 50.7% | 48.5% | 1.05× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 49.4% | 49.3% | 51.6% | 0.96× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 51.7% | 51.8% | 54.6% | 0.95× | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 48.3% | 48.2% | 45.4% | 1.06× | 2.08 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.3% | 52.8% | 52.1% | 1.01× | 1.89 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.7% | 47.2% | 47.9% | 0.98× | 2.12 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 98.4% | 96.0% | 92.2% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.3% | 92.5% | 76.4% | 1.21× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 79.2% | 79.4% | 93.5% | 0.85× | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.7% | 79.3% | 53.3% | 1.49× | 1.26 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 63.6% | 61.4% | 84.5% | 0.73× | 1.63 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.9% | 59.5% | 31.5% | 1.89× | 1.68 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44.1% | 40.5% | 68.5% | 0.59× | 2.47 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 36.4% | 38.6% | 15.5% | 2.49× | 2.59 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24.3% | 20.7% | 46.7% | 0.44× | 4.83 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 20.8% | 20.6% | 6.5% | 3.15× | 4.85 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9.7% | 7.5% | 23.6% | 0.32× | 13.37 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 1.6% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 0.52× | 24.89 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 88.6% | 90.3% | 69.3% | 1.30× | 1.11 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 88.2% | 90.2% | 97.5% | 0.93× | 1.11 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 75.3% | 77.0% | 92.8% | 0.83× | 1.30 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 69.7% | 68.4% | 40.2% | 1.70× | 1.46 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 54.8% | 51.8% | 81.6% | 0.63× | 1.93 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 45.2% | 48.2% | 18.4% | 2.62× | 2.07 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 30.3% | 31.6% | 59.8% | 0.53× | 3.16 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 24.7% | 23.0% | 7.2% | 3.19× | 4.36 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 11.8% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 3.88× | 10.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 11.4% | 9.7% | 30.7% | 0.32× | 10.27 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax not to score in both halves | 81.9% | 84.5% | 78.1% | 1.08× | 1.18 |
| Almere City to score in both halves | 56.3% | 57.9% | 28.9% | 2.00× | 1.73 |
| Almere City not to score in both halves | 43.7% | 42.1% | 71.1% | 0.59× | 2.38 |
| Jong Ajax to score in both halves | 18.1% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 0.70× | 6.47 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 63.7% | 58.0% | 54.0% | 1.08× | 1.72 |
| Only Almere City scores | 30.4% | 33.2% | 21.8% | 1.52× | 3.01 |
| Only Jong Ajax scores | 4.3% | 4.8% | 16.5% | 0.29× | 20.65 |
| Neither team scores | 1.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 0.62× | 20.97 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 20.8% | 22.5% | 6.5% | 3.44× | 4.45 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 19.7% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 0.84× | 5.45 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 19.6% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 1.14× | 5.45 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 15.5% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 2.04× | 5.47 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 14.6% | 11.7% | 23.2% | 0.50× | 8.57 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 8.1% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 0.48× | 13.16 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 1.6% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 0.51× | 25.41 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 66.7% | 58.0% | 48.7% | 1.19× | 1.72 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 23.4% | 23.9% | 32.0% | 0.75× | 4.18 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 10.0% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 0.55× | 9.47 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax not to win both halves | 97.8% | 97.3% | 92.0% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Almere City not to win both halves | 67.0% | 70.6% | 87.0% | 0.81× | 1.42 |
| Almere City to win both halves | 33.0% | 29.4% | 13.0% | 2.27× | 3.40 |
| Jong Ajax to win both halves | 2.2% | 2.7% | 8.0% | 0.33× | 37.39 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City by 3+ | 32.4% | 33.5% | 9.7% | 3.44× | 2.98 |
| Almere City by 1 | 20.4% | 24.8% | 20.7% | 1.20× | 4.03 |
| Almere City by 2 | 19.8% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 1.41× | 5.82 |
| Draw | 14.5% | 11.0% | 26.3% | 0.42× | 9.09 |
| Jong Ajax by 1 | 8.4% | 6.2% | 16.7% | 0.37× | 16.11 |
| Jong Ajax by 2 | 3.2% | 2.2% | 8.7% | 0.25× | 45.66 |
| Jong Ajax by 3+ | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 0.37× | 46.24 |