América de Cali v Deportivo Pasto — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

América de Cali

21:15

Deportivo Pasto

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 161h before kick-off

América de Cali win

74.9%

model 73.3%

Draw

18.5%

model 18.8%

Deportivo Pasto win

6.6%

model 7.9%

75187

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (75 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 14.9%
1-0 12.9%
3-0 10.8%
1-1 8.8%
2-1 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.3%	Under 2.5	47.7%
BTTS yes	40.3%	BTTS no	59.7%
América de Cali 1+	88.7%	América de Cali 2+	64.0%
Deportivo Pasto 1+	44.6%	Deportivo Pasto 2+	11.9%

Expected goals 2.18 – 0.59. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

América de Cali (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

73.0% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 946 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 4269 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

América de Cali carry the stronger rating, 1645 Elo against 1399.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

América de Cali have an estimated 74.9% win probability, against 18.5% for the draw and 6.6% for Deportivo Pasto. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.18 for América de Cali and 0.59 for Deportivo Pasto.

Why América de Cali

América de Cali carry the stronger rating, 1645 Elo against 1399. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.5%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Pasto can win

They have had 12 days' rest to América de Cali's 9.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for América de Cali, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Pasto, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

América de Cali: 55% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Pasto: 57% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

América de Cali are the model's most likely outcome at 74.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 14.9%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	73198	2.18–0.59	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	74188	2.32–0.65	2-0 14%	57%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali to win	74.1%	74.0%	45.9%	1.61×	1.35
Draw	17.8%	19.3%	29.5%	0.66×	5.17
Deportivo Pasto to win	8.1%	8.1%	24.8%	0.33×	12.34

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali & not both score	46.2%	42.7%	27.1%	1.58×	2.34
América de Cali & both teams score	27.9%	25.2%	18.9%	1.33×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	12.0%	13.2%	18.8%	0.71×	7.55
Draw & not both score	5.9%	8.4%	10.8%	0.77×	11.95
Deportivo Pasto & both teams score	4.1%	4.9%	11.4%	0.43×	20.49
Deportivo Pasto & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	13.5%	0.36×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali & over 1.5	62.9%	54.8%	33.9%	1.62×	1.82
América de Cali & over 2.5	49.2%	45.3%	25.6%	1.77×	2.21
América de Cali & under 3.5	44.6%	40.3%	35.7%	1.13×	2.48
América de Cali & over 3.5	29.5%	26.0%	10.3%	2.53×	3.84
América de Cali & under 2.5	25.0%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	23.8%	0.54×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.3%	12.9%	23.8%	0.54×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	12.0%	12.9%	18.8%	0.69×	7.78
América de Cali & under 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.78
Deportivo Pasto & under 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.69
Deportivo Pasto & over 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	16.4%	0.48×	12.69
Deportivo Pasto & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	12.8%	0.37×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Deportivo Pasto & under 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	12.1%	0.39×	20.93
Deportivo Pasto & under 1.5	2.6%	4.8%	8.5%	0.56×	20.94
Deportivo Pasto & over 3.5	1.6%	4.8%	5.0%	0.95×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (1UP)	82.2%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Deportivo Pasto (1UP)	22.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (2UP)	74.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Deportivo Pasto (2UP)	8.1%	8.7%	—	—	11.45

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali to win 2nd half	60.2%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
2nd half drawn	29.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Deportivo Pasto to win 2nd half	10.7%	11.7%	—	—	8.56

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (+0.5)	91.9%	92.1%	75.2%	1.22×	1.09
América de Cali (-0.5)	74.1%	73.7%	45.9%	1.61×	1.36
Deportivo Pasto (+2.5)	70.8%	73.7%	91.8%	0.80×	1.36
América de Cali (-1.5)	51.4%	52.3%	20.4%	2.56×	1.91
Deportivo Pasto (+1.5)	48.6%	47.7%	79.6%	0.60×	2.10
América de Cali (-2.5)	29.2%	26.3%	8.2%	3.21×	3.80
Deportivo Pasto (+0.5)	25.9%	26.3%	54.1%	0.49×	3.80
Deportivo Pasto (-0.5)	8.1%	7.9%	24.8%	0.32×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to concede	90.1%	91.6%	75.8%	1.21×	1.09
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet	9.9%	8.4%	24.2%	0.35×	11.95

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to concede in 1st half	63.1%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet in 1st half	36.9%	35.2%	—	—	2.85

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 6.5 corners	91.4%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Deportivo Pasto under 5.5 corners	84.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Deportivo Pasto under 4.5 corners	74.1%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Deportivo Pasto over 2.5 corners	59.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Deportivo Pasto under 3.5 corners	59.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Deportivo Pasto over 3.5 corners	40.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Deportivo Pasto under 2.5 corners	40.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Deportivo Pasto over 4.5 corners	25.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Deportivo Pasto over 5.5 corners	15.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Deportivo Pasto over 6.5 corners	8.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.6%	98.1%	1.00×	1.03
Deportivo Pasto under 2.5 goals	97.1%	97.6%	92.9%	1.05×	1.03
Deportivo Pasto under 1.5 goals	86.0%	87.9%	74.4%	1.18×	1.14
Deportivo Pasto under 0.5 goals	52.0%	53.7%	37.8%	1.42×	1.86
Deportivo Pasto over 0.5 goals	48.0%	46.3%	62.2%	0.74×	2.16
Deportivo Pasto over 1.5 goals	14.0%	12.1%	25.6%	0.47×	8.25
Deportivo Pasto over 2.5 goals	2.9%	2.4%	7.1%	0.34×	41.04
Deportivo Pasto over 3.5 goals	0.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.25×	41.18

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto under 1.5 in 1st half	97.1%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Deportivo Pasto under 0.5 in 1st half	77.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Deportivo Pasto over 0.5 in 1st half	23.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Deportivo Pasto over 1.5 in 1st half	2.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.86

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (away no bet)	80.6%	82.6%	60.9%	1.36×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	19.4%	17.4%	39.1%	0.45×	5.74

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto even goals	63.5%	59.1%	57.4%	1.03×	1.69
Deportivo Pasto odd goals	36.5%	40.9%	42.6%	0.96×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.1%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
América de Cali to score 2+ in a row	62.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Either team to score 3+ in a row	34.6%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
América de Cali to score 3+ in a row	33.6%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Deportivo Pasto to score 2+ in a row	8.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.85
Deportivo Pasto to score 3+ in a row	1.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.42

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali corners (+3.5)	92.8%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
América de Cali corners (+2.5)	87.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
América de Cali corners (+1.5)	80.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Pasto corners (+3.5)	73.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Deportivo Pasto corners (+2.5)	63.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Pasto corners (+1.5)	51.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
América de Cali corners (-1.5)	48.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
América de Cali corners (-2.5)	36.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
América de Cali corners (-3.5)	26.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Deportivo Pasto corners (-1.5)	19.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Deportivo Pasto corners (-2.5)	12.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Deportivo Pasto corners (-3.5)	7.2%	11.3%	—	—	8.82

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	58.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
9-11 corners	25.1%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	16.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.62

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.6%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	83.5%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	76.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	68.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 8.5 corners	58.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	52.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 7.5 corners	47.2%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 8.5 corners	41.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	31.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 10.5 corners	23.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 11.5 corners	16.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	11.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	13.8%	11.5%	8.5%	1.35×	8.73
1-0	11.2%	11.5%	12.1%	0.95×	8.73
3-0	10.6%	11.5%	4.6%	2.49×	8.73
1-1	8.5%	7.4%	13.1%	0.57×	13.46
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	11.0%	0.68×	13.46
Any other score	8.6%	7.4%	2.4%	3.14×	13.46
3-1	6.9%	7.4%	3.5%	2.14×	13.46
0-0	5.9%	7.4%	10.8%	0.68×	13.46
4-0	6.2%	7.4%	1.7%	4.45×	13.46
0-1	2.6%	1.7%	8.5%	0.20×	58.58
0-2	1.1%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.59
0-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.59
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.59
1-2	2.5%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	58.58
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.59
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.45×	58.59
2-2	2.9%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.58
2-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.59
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.27×	58.59
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.58
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.14×	58.59
4-1	4.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.57
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.45×	58.59
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.27×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali leading at HT (DNB)	85.1%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Pasto leading at HT (DNB)	14.9%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali or draw (1X)	91.9%	91.9%	75.2%	1.22×	1.09
América de Cali or Deportivo Pasto (12)	82.2%	80.7%	70.5%	1.14×	1.24
Deportivo Pasto or draw (X2)	25.9%	26.0%	54.1%	0.48×	3.85

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali or draw at HT	90.5%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
América de Cali or Deportivo Pasto at HT	63.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Pasto or draw at HT	46.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali or draw (1UP)	91.9%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Deportivo Pasto or draw (1UP)	25.9%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali or draw in 2nd half	89.3%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
América de Cali or Deportivo Pasto in 2nd half	70.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Deportivo Pasto or draw in 2nd half	39.8%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	45.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (DNB)	90.2%	92.9%	65.0%	1.43×	1.08
Deportivo Pasto (DNB)	9.8%	7.1%	35.0%	0.20×	14.11

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali to score first	73.4%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Deportivo Pasto to score first	20.7%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
No goal scored	5.9%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.1%	54.7%	51.2%	1.07×	1.83
Both teams to score	43.9%	45.3%	48.8%	0.93×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	35.5%	38.5%	35.9%	1.07×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	34.5%	34.4%	43.1%	0.80×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	21.5%	27.7%	8.2%	3.37×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	8.5%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.6%	89.1%	88.7%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.4%	10.9%	11.3%	0.97×	9.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.8%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	20.6%	21.1%	—	—	4.75
Both score 1st half only	11.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Both score in both halves	3.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.23

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	41.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.8%	47.4%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
4-6 goals	31.4%	30.7%	19.5%	1.58×	3.26
0-1 goals	19.7%	20.3%	31.2%	0.65×	4.94
7+ goals	3.2%	1.8%	1.5%	1.19×	55.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto to score exactly 0	52.0%	47.4%	37.8%	1.25×	2.11
Deportivo Pasto to score exactly 1	34.0%	33.9%	36.7%	0.92×	2.95
Deportivo Pasto to score exactly 2	11.1%	12.8%	18.6%	0.69×	7.81
Deportivo Pasto to score 3+	2.9%	4.5%	7.1%	0.63×	22.28

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali to score 3+	40.8%	35.0%	15.6%	2.25×	2.86
América de Cali to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.5%	26.1%	1.01×	3.77
América de Cali to score exactly 1	22.9%	23.3%	34.4%	0.68×	4.30
América de Cali to score exactly 0	9.9%	10.3%	24.2%	0.43×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali leading at HT	54.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Draw at HT	36.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Deportivo Pasto leading at HT	9.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.55

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali -1: 1	51.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
América de Cali -1: 2	25.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
América de Cali -1: X	22.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (0:1)	51.4%	51.1%	20.4%	2.50×	1.96
Deportivo Pasto (0:1)	25.9%	27.0%	54.1%	0.50×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.7%	24.3%	25.6%	0.95×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (0:2)	48.6%	51.4%	79.6%	0.65×	1.95
América de Cali (0:2)	29.2%	24.0%	8.2%	2.93×	4.16
Draw (0:2)	22.2%	20.3%	12.4%	1.64×	4.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (0:3)	70.8%	77.6%	91.8%	0.85×	1.29
Draw (0:3)	15.3%	16.0%	5.4%	2.95×	6.25
América de Cali (0:3)	13.9%	10.1%	2.9%	3.44×	9.95

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto (0:4)	86.1%	91.8%	97.1%	0.95×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	8.3%	4.6%	1.9%	2.39×	21.53
América de Cali (0:4)	5.6%	4.6%	1.1%	4.13×	21.77

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (1:0)	91.9%	92.8%	75.2%	1.23×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.9%	6.9%	17.2%	0.40×	14.51
Deportivo Pasto (1:0)	2.2%	3.2%	7.7%	0.41×	31.74

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (2:0)	97.8%	96.9%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.8%	2.3%	5.0%	0.45×	44.30
Deportivo Pasto (2:0)	0.4%	2.3%	2.8%	0.81×	44.39

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali clean sheet	52.0%	53.1%	37.8%	1.40×	1.88
América de Cali to concede	48.0%	46.9%	62.2%	0.75×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali clean sheet in 1st half	77.0%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
América de Cali to concede in 1st half	23.0%	22.5%	—	—	4.45

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali over 2.5 corners	78.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
América de Cali under 6.5 corners	75.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
América de Cali under 5.5 corners	64.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
América de Cali over 3.5 corners	63.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
América de Cali under 4.5 corners	51.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
América de Cali over 4.5 corners	48.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
América de Cali under 3.5 corners	36.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
América de Cali over 5.5 corners	35.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
América de Cali over 6.5 corners	24.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
América de Cali under 2.5 corners	21.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali over 0.5 goals	90.1%	92.2%	75.8%	1.22×	1.08
América de Cali under 3.5 goals	79.6%	77.7%	95.3%	0.82×	1.29
América de Cali over 1.5 goals	67.3%	67.9%	41.6%	1.63×	1.47
América de Cali under 2.5 goals	59.2%	58.8%	84.4%	0.70×	1.70
América de Cali over 2.5 goals	40.8%	41.2%	15.6%	2.64×	2.43
América de Cali under 1.5 goals	32.7%	32.1%	58.4%	0.55×	3.12
América de Cali over 3.5 goals	20.4%	22.3%	4.7%	4.71×	4.49
América de Cali under 0.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	24.2%	0.32×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali under 1.5 in 1st half	73.7%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
América de Cali over 0.5 in 1st half	63.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
América de Cali under 0.5 in 1st half	36.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
América de Cali over 1.5 in 1st half	26.3%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	68.9%	63.9%	54.4%	1.17×	1.57
Deportivo Pasto (home no bet)	31.1%	36.1%	45.6%	0.79×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali even goals	50.5%	50.6%	53.4%	0.95×	1.98
América de Cali odd goals	49.5%	49.4%	46.6%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
HT 1-0	28.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
HT 2-0	14.1%	11.1%	—	—	9.03
Any other HT score	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
HT 1-1	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
HT 0-1	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.65
HT 0-2	1.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.86
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.86
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.90

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali at HT / América de Cali at FT	49.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Draw at HT / América de Cali at FT	21.5%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Deportivo Pasto at HT / Deportivo Pasto at FT	3.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.13
Draw at HT / Deportivo Pasto at FT	3.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
América de Cali at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.15
Deportivo Pasto at HT / Draw at FT	2.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.17
Deportivo Pasto at HT / América de Cali at FT	2.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.18
América de Cali at HT / Deportivo Pasto at FT	0.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.26

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali to score last	73.6%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Deportivo Pasto to score last	20.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
No goal scored	5.9%	7.3%	—	—	13.63

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.1%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
América de Cali to lead by 1 at any time	82.2%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	60.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
América de Cali to lead by 2 at any time	56.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	32.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
América de Cali to lead by 3 at any time	31.8%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Deportivo Pasto to lead by 1 at any time	22.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Deportivo Pasto to lead by 2 at any time	4.5%	1.6%	—	—	61.34
Deportivo Pasto to lead by 3 at any time	0.7%	1.5%	—	—	65.32

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali most corners	60.2%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Deportivo Pasto most corners	28.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Corners level	11.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.2%	78.6%	67.5%	1.17×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.2%	78.6%	80.0%	0.98×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	65.4%	1.11×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.4%	63.5%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.6%	59.2%	68.4%	0.87×	1.69
3-6 goals	53.8%	53.1%	42.6%	1.25×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.9%	48.7%	40.5%	1.20×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.8%	48.7%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.1%	39.2%	34.8%	1.13×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.2%	39.2%	45.3%	0.86×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.4%	35.4%	19.5%	1.82×	2.83
4-5 goals	26.5%	30.2%	17.4%	1.74×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.8%	14.9%	7.9%	1.87×	6.73
7+ goals	3.2%	2.5%	1.5%	1.66×	39.43

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali never behind	71.2%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Deportivo Pasto never behind	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.86

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.4%	50.8%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.6%	49.2%	49.7%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.7%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	96.4%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.1%	82.4%	90.7%	0.91×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	80.3%	82.3%	68.8%	1.20×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	65.4%	66.3%	79.1%	0.84×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	57.0%	58.8%	44.0%	1.34×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	43.0%	41.2%	56.1%	0.73×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	34.6%	33.8%	20.9%	1.62×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	31.2%	0.57×	5.67
Over 4.5 goals	17.9%	17.6%	9.3%	1.89×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	3.6%	2.14×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	10.8%	0.71×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.7%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.1%	92.5%	96.2%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.5%	75.9%	89.5%	0.85×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.4%	72.6%	58.5%	1.24×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.4%	55.5%	72.9%	0.76×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.6%	44.5%	27.1%	1.64×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.7%	27.4%	41.5%	0.66×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.5%	24.1%	10.5%	2.28×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.9%	7.5%	3.8%	1.97×	13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.3%	2.8%	1.6%	1.76×	36.35

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.4%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.1%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.9%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.4%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.6%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto not to score in both halves	92.5%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
América de Cali not to score in both halves	53.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
América de Cali to score in both halves	46.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Deportivo Pasto to score in both halves	7.5%	9.7%	—	—	10.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only América de Cali scores	46.2%	50.3%	27.1%	1.86×	1.99
Both teams score	43.9%	46.6%	48.8%	0.96×	2.15
Neither team scores	5.9%	7.2%	10.8%	0.66×	13.96
Only Deportivo Pasto scores	4.0%	4.6%	13.5%	0.34×	21.71

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.4%	22.6%	25.0%	0.90×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.2%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.6%	17.5%	11.7%	1.49×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.8%	12.1%	20.4%	0.59×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	9.9%	7.6%	5.8%	1.30×	13.13
6 or more goals	8.0%	7.6%	3.6%	2.11×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.9%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	30.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto not to win both halves	99.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
América de Cali not to win both halves	67.3%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
América de Cali to win both halves	32.7%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Deportivo Pasto to win both halves	1.0%	2.8%	—	—	36.34

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali to win either half	81.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Deportivo Pasto to win neither half	80.9%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Deportivo Pasto to win either half	19.1%	17.3%	—	—	5.79
América de Cali to win neither half	18.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Pasto not to win to nil	96.0%	96.1%	86.5%	1.11×	1.04
América de Cali not to win to nil	53.8%	54.5%	72.9%	0.75×	1.84
América de Cali to win to nil	46.2%	45.5%	27.1%	1.68×	2.20
Deportivo Pasto to win to nil	4.0%	3.9%	13.5%	0.29×	25.79

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali by 3+	29.2%	27.8%	8.2%	3.39×	3.59
América de Cali by 1	22.7%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.14
América de Cali by 2	22.2%	24.1%	12.4%	1.95×	4.14
Draw	17.8%	16.9%	29.5%	0.57×	5.90
Deportivo Pasto by 1	5.9%	7.2%	17.2%	0.42×	13.81
Deportivo Pasto by 2	1.8%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	37.01
Deportivo Pasto by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	2.8%	0.97×	37.06