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Angers v Nice — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 September 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

1–4
1.33 – 2.53 xG
Shots
14 – 14
On target
7 – 8
Shots in box
7 – 11
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.22
Set-piece xG
0.87 – 0.40
Goals − xG
-0.33 – +0.86
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.91.82.63.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Youssouf Ndayishimiye 5' — goalHichem Boudaoui 24' — goalHimad Abdelli 66' — goalEvann Guessand 71' — goalEvann Guessand 84' — goal
Angers 1.33 xGNice 3.14 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Hichem Boudaoui 4' — Saved Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)Evann Guessand 5' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Youssouf Ndayishimiye 5' — Goal (0.36 xG, From Corner)Badredine Bouanani 17' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Melvin Bard 20' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Badredine Bouanani 23' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Hichem Boudaoui 24' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Badredine Bouanani 27' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Evann Guessand 32' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Farid El Melali 33' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Jean Eudes Aholou 33' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mohamed Ali-Cho 33' — Saved Shot (0.34 xG, Open Play)Yassin Belkhdim 36' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Himad Abdelli 45' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 48' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Direct Freekick)Farid El Melali 53' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 54' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Sidiki Chérif 55' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Himad Abdelli 66' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Youssouf Ndayishimiye 68' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Evann Guessand 71' — Goal (0.96 xG, Open Play)Jeremie Boga 71' — Blocked Shot (0.63 xG, Open Play)Zinedine Ferhat 77' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Pierrick Capelle 82' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Lilian Raolisoa 83' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Evann Guessand 84' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Zinedine Ferhat 86' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Farid El Melali 93' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)
Angers attacking right Nice attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Nice Hichem Boudaoui 0.37 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Mohamed Ali-Cho
5' Nice Evann Guessand 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
5' Nice Youssouf Ndayishimiye 0.36 From Corner Goal Jonathan Clauss
17' Nice Badredine Bouanani 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Tanguy NDombele Alvaro
20' Nice Melvin Bard 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Evann Guessand
23' Nice Badredine Bouanani 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
24' Nice Hichem Boudaoui 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Goal Tanguy NDombele Alvaro
27' Nice Badredine Bouanani 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Tanguy NDombele Alvaro
32' Nice Evann Guessand 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
33' Angers Farid El Melali 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Himad Abdelli
33' Angers Jean Eudes Aholou 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Carlens Arcus
33' Nice Mohamed Ali-Cho 0.34 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Tanguy NDombele Alvaro
36' Angers Yassin Belkhdim 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Himad Abdelli
45' Angers Himad Abdelli 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jordan Lefort
48' Angers Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 0.08 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
53' Angers Farid El Melali 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jean Eudes Aholou
54' Angers Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Yassin Belkhdim
55' Angers Sidiki Chérif 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jean Eudes Aholou
66' Angers Himad Abdelli 0.76 Right Foot Goal
68' Nice Youssouf Ndayishimiye 0.03 From Corner Blocked Shot Jeremie Boga
71' Nice Evann Guessand 0.96 Open Play Right Foot Goal
71' Nice Jeremie Boga 0.63 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
77' Angers Zinedine Ferhat 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Sidiki Chérif
82' Angers Pierrick Capelle 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Himad Abdelli
83' Angers Lilian Raolisoa 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Himad Abdelli
84' Nice Evann Guessand 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Goal
86' Angers Zinedine Ferhat 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Lilian Raolisoa
93' Angers Farid El Melali 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Florent Hanin

Players

Angers

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Himad Abdelli MC 90 1 0 2 4 0.81 0.25 0.42
Farid El Melali FW 90 0 0 3 0 0.11 0.00 0.24
Sidiki Chérif FW 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.12 0.13
Jordan Lefort DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.31
Yahia Fofana GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Cédric Hountondji DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Yassin Belkhdim MC 79 0 0 1 1 0.08 0.01 0.09
Abdoulaye Bamba DC 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jean Eudes Aholou MC 67 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.04 0.05
Jacques Ekomie DL 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Carlens Arcus DR 49 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng Sub 41 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.06
Pierrick Capelle Sub 23 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Florent Hanin Sub 23 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.19
Zinedine Ferhat Sub 11 0 0 2 0 0.13 0.00 0.13
Lilian Raolisoa Sub 11 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.02 0.06

Nice

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Evann Guessand FW 90 2 0 4 1 1.19 0.08 1.27
Hichem Boudaoui MC 90 1 0 2 0 0.45 0.00 0.48
Youssouf Ndayishimiye DC 90 1 0 2 0 0.39 0.00 0.14
Melvin Bard DML 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.14
Dante DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Tanguy NDombele Alvaro MC 90 0 1 0 4 0.00 0.47 0.47
Marcin Bulka GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Mohamed Ali-Cho FWR 71 0 0 1 1 0.34 0.37 0.70
Moïse Bombito DC 68 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Badredine Bouanani FWL 67 0 0 3 0 0.06 0.00 0.19
Jonathan Clauss DMR 67 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.36 0.11
Jeremie Boga Sub 23 0 0 1 1 0.63 0.03 1.59
Antoine Mendy Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mohamed Abdelmonem Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pablo Rosario Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Victor Orakpo Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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