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AS Nancy Lorraine v Stade Laval — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
AS Nancy Lorraine win
43.0%
model 43.9%
Draw
28.5%
model 27.8%
Stade Laval win
28.5%
model 28.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.2%
  2. 1-0 11.5%
  3. 0-0 9.1%
  4. 2-1 8.8%
  5. 0-1 8.7%

Goals

Over 2.544.4% Under 2.555.6%
BTTS yes49.6% BTTS no50.4%
AS Nancy Lorraine 1+75.0% AS Nancy Lorraine 2+40.4%
Stade Laval 1+65.5% Stade Laval 2+28.8%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
76/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
94%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • AS Nancy Lorraine carry the stronger rating, 1432 Elo against 1396.
  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

AS Nancy Lorraine have an estimated 43.0% win probability, against 28.5% for Stade Laval and 28.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.39 for AS Nancy Lorraine and 1.06 for Stade Laval.

Why AS Nancy Lorraine

AS Nancy Lorraine carry the stronger rating, 1432 Elo against 1396. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.5%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Stade Laval can win

Nothing in the data singles out Stade Laval.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for AS Nancy Lorraine, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Stade Laval, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

AS Nancy Lorraine: 53% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Stade Laval: 53% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

AS Nancy Lorraine are the model's most likely outcome at 43.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.14–1.03 1-1 14% 37% 44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to win 37.7% 36.4% 42.5% 0.86× 2.75
Stade Laval to win 32.1% 30.4% 29.8% 1.02× 3.29
Draw 30.2% 30.3% 27.8% 1.09× 3.30
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine & not both score 23.8% 21.9% 23.8% 0.92× 4.57
Stade Laval & not both score 20.1% 21.9% 17.7% 1.24× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 18.4% 17.9% 18.9% 0.95× 5.58
AS Nancy Lorraine & both teams score 13.9% 13.3% 18.8% 0.71× 7.54
Stade Laval & both teams score 12.1% 13.3% 12.3% 1.08× 7.54
Draw & not both score 11.8% 13.3% 9.1% 1.46× 7.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine & under 3.5 30.4% 30.9% 29.4% 1.05× 3.24
Stade Laval & under 3.5 26.3% 26.0% 23.1% 1.13× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 25.7% 26.0% 20.8% 1.25× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 25.7% 26.0% 20.8% 1.25× 3.84
AS Nancy Lorraine & over 1.5 25.2% 26.0% 30.0% 0.87× 3.84
Stade Laval & over 1.5 20.9% 21.7% 20.2% 1.07× 4.62
AS Nancy Lorraine & under 2.5 19.9% 18.0% 18.5% 0.97× 5.56
AS Nancy Lorraine & over 2.5 17.8% 18.0% 24.2% 0.74× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.4% 18.0% 18.9% 0.95× 5.56
Stade Laval & under 2.5 17.3% 18.0% 13.7% 1.31× 5.56
Stade Laval & over 2.5 14.8% 12.9% 16.3% 0.79× 7.77
AS Nancy Lorraine & under 1.5 12.5% 12.9% 12.6% 1.02× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 11.8% 12.9% 9.1% 1.42× 7.77
Stade Laval & under 1.5 11.3% 12.9% 9.8% 1.31× 7.77
AS Nancy Lorraine & over 3.5 7.3% 7.9% 13.2% 0.60× 12.70
Stade Laval & over 3.5 5.8% 7.9% 6.9% 1.14× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 4.5% 4.8% 7.2% 0.66× 20.93
Draw & over 3.5 4.5% 4.8% 7.2% 0.66× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (1UP) 51.7% 52.6% 1.90
Stade Laval (1UP) 46.7% 43.2% 2.32
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (2UP) 37.7% 37.1% 2.69
Stade Laval (2UP) 32.1% 30.9% 3.24
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 40.9% 41.0% 2.44
AS Nancy Lorraine to win 2nd half 30.5% 34.5% 2.90
Stade Laval to win 2nd half 28.6% 26.3% 3.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval (+2.5) 94.9% 92.1% 92.2% 1.00× 1.09
Stade Laval (+1.5) 84.1% 82.4% 80.8% 1.02× 1.21
AS Nancy Lorraine (+0.5) 67.9% 68.7% 70.2% 0.98× 1.46
Stade Laval (+0.5) 62.3% 62.9% 57.5% 1.09× 1.59
AS Nancy Lorraine (-0.5) 37.7% 37.1% 42.5% 0.87× 2.70
Stade Laval (-0.5) 32.1% 31.3% 29.8% 1.05× 3.20
AS Nancy Lorraine (-1.5) 15.9% 17.6% 19.2% 0.91× 5.69
AS Nancy Lorraine (-2.5) 5.1% 7.9% 7.8% 1.01× 12.66
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval to concede 68.1% 72.5% 73.4% 0.99× 1.38
Stade Laval clean sheet 31.9% 27.5% 26.6% 1.03× 3.64
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval clean sheet in 1st half 61.2% 64.8% 1.54
Stade Laval to concede in 1st half 38.8% 35.2% 2.84
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval under 6.5 corners 83.1% 81.5% 1.23
Stade Laval over 2.5 corners 74.2% 71.6% 1.40
Stade Laval under 5.5 corners 72.9% 71.6% 1.40
Stade Laval under 4.5 corners 59.2% 57.1% 1.75
Stade Laval over 3.5 corners 57.2% 57.1% 1.75
Stade Laval under 3.5 corners 42.8% 42.9% 2.33
Stade Laval over 4.5 corners 40.8% 42.9% 2.33
Stade Laval over 5.5 corners 27.1% 28.4% 3.52
Stade Laval under 2.5 corners 25.8% 28.4% 3.52
Stade Laval over 6.5 corners 16.9% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval under 3.5 goals 97.9% 97.5% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Stade Laval under 2.5 goals 91.4% 92.3% 87.5% 1.05× 1.08
Stade Laval under 1.5 goals 72.4% 72.0% 68.3% 1.05× 1.39
Stade Laval over 0.5 goals 64.4% 63.0% 67.2% 0.94× 1.59
Stade Laval under 0.5 goals 35.6% 37.0% 32.8% 1.13× 2.70
Stade Laval over 1.5 goals 27.6% 28.1% 31.7% 0.89× 3.57
Stade Laval over 2.5 goals 8.6% 7.7% 12.5% 0.62× 13.03
Stade Laval over 3.5 goals 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 0.89× 40.77
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval under 1.5 in 1st half 93.5% 94.2% 1.06
Stade Laval under 0.5 in 1st half 66.2% 68.2% 1.47
Stade Laval over 0.5 in 1st half 33.8% 31.8% 3.15
Stade Laval over 1.5 in 1st half 6.5% 5.8% 17.29
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (away no bet) 55.5% 57.4% 60.4% 0.95× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 44.5% 42.6% 39.6% 1.08× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval even goals 56.3% 56.9% 54.2% 1.05× 1.76
Stade Laval odd goals 43.7% 43.1% 45.8% 0.94× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.7% 92.4% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 8.3% 7.6% 13.21
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 48.9% 50.3% 1.99
Not both halves under 1.5 51.1% 49.7% 2.01
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 44.0% 38.4% 2.60
AS Nancy Lorraine to score 2+ in a row 25.7% 25.0% 4.00
Stade Laval to score 2+ in a row 21.8% 19.5% 5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row 12.7% 12.2% 8.21
AS Nancy Lorraine to score 3+ in a row 7.3% 5.7% 17.70
Stade Laval to score 3+ in a row 5.5% 5.6% 17.84
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (+3.5) 89.3% 84.5% 1.18
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (+2.5) 83.3% 79.7% 1.25
Stade Laval corners (+3.5) 76.2% 74.9% 1.34
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (+1.5) 75.4% 74.9% 1.34
Stade Laval corners (+2.5) 67.1% 65.8% 1.52
Stade Laval corners (+1.5) 56.5% 57.1% 1.75
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (-1.5) 43.5% 42.9% 2.33
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (-2.5) 32.9% 34.2% 2.92
Stade Laval corners (-1.5) 24.6% 25.1% 3.98
AS Nancy Lorraine corners (-3.5) 23.8% 25.1% 3.98
Stade Laval corners (-2.5) 16.7% 20.3% 4.94
Stade Laval corners (-3.5) 10.7% 15.5% 6.46
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 43.2% 38.7% 2.59
9-11 corners 29.8% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 27.0% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 80.3% 80.7% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 73.0% 72.6% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 67.7% 67.7% 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 64.1% 63.4% 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 56.8% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 54.0% 53.3% 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 46.0% 46.7% 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 43.2% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 35.9% 36.6% 2.73
Under 7.5 corners 32.3% 32.3% 3.10
Over 11.5 corners 27.0% 27.4% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 19.7% 19.3% 5.19
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.9% 11.5% 11.8% 0.97× 8.73
1-0 12.5% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.73
0-0 11.8% 11.5% 9.1% 1.26× 8.73
0-1 11.3% 11.5% 9.8% 1.16× 8.73
1-2 6.9% 7.4% 6.0% 1.24× 13.48
2-0 7.4% 7.4% 6.0% 1.24× 13.48
2-1 7.7% 7.4% 8.2% 0.91× 13.48
0-2 6.1% 7.4% 4.0% 1.85× 13.48
0-3 2.1% 1.7% 3.7% 0.46× 58.48
0-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.70× 58.49
1-3 2.4% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.48
1-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.9% 1.85× 58.49
2-2 4.0% 1.7% 5.8% 0.29× 58.47
2-3 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.01× 58.48
2-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 2.78× 58.49
3-0 2.8% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.47
3-1 2.9% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.47
3-2 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
3-3 0.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.11× 58.49
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.70× 58.49
4-0 0.8% 1.7% 2.0% 0.85× 58.49
4-1 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.59× 58.49
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 1.2% 1.39× 58.49
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 2.78× 58.49
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 11.11× 58.49
Any other score 1.1% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine leading at HT (DNB) 55.4% 57.5% 1.74
Stade Laval leading at HT (DNB) 44.6% 42.5% 2.36
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine or Stade Laval (12) 69.8% 69.7% 72.2% 0.97× 1.44
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw (1X) 67.9% 69.6% 70.2% 0.99× 1.44
Stade Laval or draw (X2) 62.3% 63.6% 57.5% 1.11× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw at HT 77.4% 79.9% 1.25
Stade Laval or draw at HT 71.9% 74.3% 1.35
AS Nancy Lorraine or Stade Laval at HT 50.7% 47.4% 2.11
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw (1UP) 67.9% 76.0% 1.32
Stade Laval or draw (1UP) 62.3% 71.7% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine or draw in 2nd half 71.4% 73.7% 1.36
Stade Laval or draw in 2nd half 69.5% 65.5% 1.53
AS Nancy Lorraine or Stade Laval in 2nd half 59.1% 59.0% 1.69
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 69.5% 69.7% 1.44
Neither half drawn 30.5% 30.3% 3.30
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (DNB) 54.0% 51.0% 58.7% 0.87× 1.96
Stade Laval (DNB) 46.0% 49.0% 41.3% 1.19× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to score first 46.3% 45.5% 2.20
Stade Laval to score first 41.9% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 11.8% 10.0% 10.05
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 55.7% 54.9% 50.3% 1.09× 1.82
Both teams to score 44.3% 45.1% 49.7% 0.91× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 49.0% 44.3% 40.9% 1.08× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 30.5% 34.3% 38.0% 0.90× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 13.9% 12.3% 11.8% 1.04× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 6.6% 8.4% 9.5% 0.88× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 91.2% 89.1% 85.5% 1.04× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 8.8% 10.9% 14.5% 0.75× 9.17
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 77.7% 75.3% 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 22.3% 24.7% 4.06
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 67.4% 62.2% 1.61
Both score 2nd half only 19.4% 15.7% 6.35
Both score 1st half only 10.3% 10.7% 9.34
Both score in both halves 2.9% 5.0% 20.13
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 86.8% 86.0% 1.16
Both teams to score by HT 13.2% 14.0% 7.13
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 56.9% 57.3% 1.75
A goal in each half 43.1% 42.7% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.8% 47.4% 41.8% 1.13× 2.11
0-1 goals 35.6% 35.0% 31.2% 1.12× 2.85
4-6 goals 16.9% 20.2% 25.2% 0.80× 4.96
7+ goals 0.7% 1.8% 2.0% 0.91× 54.73
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval to score exactly 1 36.8% 36.0% 35.7% 1.01× 2.78
Stade Laval to score exactly 0 35.6% 36.0% 32.8% 1.10× 2.78
Stade Laval to score exactly 2 19.0% 19.6% 19.4% 1.01× 5.11
Stade Laval to score 3+ 8.6% 8.5% 12.5% 0.68× 11.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to score exactly 1 36.4% 35.6% 33.7% 1.06× 2.81
AS Nancy Lorraine to score exactly 0 31.9% 32.6% 26.6% 1.23× 3.06
AS Nancy Lorraine to score exactly 2 20.8% 23.2% 22.2% 1.05× 4.30
AS Nancy Lorraine to score 3+ 10.8% 14.3% 17.8% 0.80× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 49.3% 52.6% 1.90
AS Nancy Lorraine leading at HT 28.1% 25.7% 3.89
Stade Laval leading at HT 22.6% 20.1% 4.96
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine -1: 2 62.3% 62.5% 1.60
AS Nancy Lorraine -1: X 21.8% 23.6% 4.24
AS Nancy Lorraine -1: 1 15.9% 17.5% 5.72
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval (0:1) 62.3% 61.4% 57.5% 1.07× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 21.8% 24.3% 23.4% 1.04× 4.12
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:1) 15.9% 17.8% 19.2% 0.92× 5.63
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval (0:2) 84.1% 82.8% 80.8% 1.03× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 10.8% 11.0% 11.5% 0.95× 9.13
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:2) 5.1% 7.7% 7.8% 0.98× 12.97
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval (0:3) 94.9% 92.6% 92.2% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 3.8% 2.4% 4.3% 0.55× 42.10
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:3) 1.3% 2.4% 3.7% 0.64× 42.21
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval (0:4) 98.7% 98.1% 96.3% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.0% 1.2% 3.1% 0.39× 83.56
AS Nancy Lorraine (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 0.8% 1.55× 83.65
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (1:0) 67.9% 69.9% 70.2% 1.00× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 19.7% 17.0% 17.5% 0.97× 5.87
Stade Laval (1:0) 12.4% 12.8% 12.5% 1.03× 7.81
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine (2:0) 87.6% 88.4% 87.5% 1.01× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 8.8% 6.5% 7.1% 0.91× 15.47
Stade Laval (2:0) 3.6% 2.3% 5.5% 0.41× 44.14
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 44.5% 49.9% 2.01
Halves equal 29.4% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.1% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to concede 64.4% 63.4% 67.2% 0.94× 1.58
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet 35.6% 36.6% 32.8% 1.12× 2.74
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet in 1st half 66.2% 68.5% 1.46
AS Nancy Lorraine to concede in 1st half 33.8% 31.5% 3.17
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine over 2.5 corners 83.7% 81.0% 1.24
AS Nancy Lorraine under 6.5 corners 71.0% 71.9% 1.39
AS Nancy Lorraine over 3.5 corners 70.3% 71.9% 1.39
AS Nancy Lorraine under 5.5 corners 58.8% 57.5% 1.74
AS Nancy Lorraine over 4.5 corners 55.5% 57.5% 1.74
AS Nancy Lorraine under 4.5 corners 44.5% 42.5% 2.35
AS Nancy Lorraine over 5.5 corners 41.2% 42.5% 2.35
AS Nancy Lorraine under 3.5 corners 29.7% 28.1% 3.56
AS Nancy Lorraine over 6.5 corners 29.0% 28.1% 3.56
AS Nancy Lorraine under 2.5 corners 16.3% 19.0% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine under 3.5 goals 97.1% 96.4% 93.4% 1.03× 1.04
AS Nancy Lorraine under 2.5 goals 89.2% 87.3% 82.2% 1.06× 1.15
AS Nancy Lorraine under 1.5 goals 68.3% 67.9% 60.2% 1.13× 1.47
AS Nancy Lorraine over 0.5 goals 68.1% 67.9% 73.4% 0.92× 1.47
AS Nancy Lorraine under 0.5 goals 31.9% 32.1% 26.6% 1.21× 3.11
AS Nancy Lorraine over 1.5 goals 31.7% 32.1% 39.8% 0.81× 3.11
AS Nancy Lorraine over 2.5 goals 10.8% 12.7% 17.8% 0.71× 7.86
AS Nancy Lorraine over 3.5 goals 2.9% 3.6% 6.6% 0.55× 27.48
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine under 1.5 in 1st half 91.2% 95.3% 1.05
AS Nancy Lorraine under 0.5 in 1st half 61.2% 64.6% 1.55
AS Nancy Lorraine over 0.5 in 1st half 38.8% 35.4% 2.83
AS Nancy Lorraine over 1.5 in 1st half 8.8% 4.7% 21.23
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval (home no bet) 51.5% 51.6% 51.7% 1.00× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 48.5% 48.4% 48.3% 1.00× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine even goals 55.1% 55.4% 53.4% 1.04× 1.80
AS Nancy Lorraine odd goals 44.9% 44.6% 46.6% 0.96× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 40.5% 40.5% 2.47
HT 1-0 19.8% 18.8% 5.33
HT 0-1 16.6% 18.7% 5.34
HT 1-1 8.3% 7.1% 14.03
HT 2-0 4.9% 2.3% 43.25
HT 0-2 3.5% 2.3% 43.36
Any other HT score 2.2% 2.3% 43.45
HT 2-1 2.0% 2.3% 43.46
HT 1-2 1.7% 2.3% 43.49
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.3% 43.58
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine at HT / AS Nancy Lorraine at FT 21.2% 21.8% 4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 20.6% 21.7% 4.60
Stade Laval at HT / Stade Laval at FT 16.5% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / AS Nancy Lorraine at FT 14.8% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Stade Laval at FT 13.8% 12.7% 7.88
AS Nancy Lorraine at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.74
Stade Laval at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% 28.79
AS Nancy Lorraine at HT / Stade Laval at FT 1.7% 3.5% 28.89
Stade Laval at HT / AS Nancy Lorraine at FT 1.6% 3.5% 28.90
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine to score last 46.3% 46.7% 2.14
Stade Laval to score last 41.9% 40.0% 2.50
No goal scored 11.8% 9.3% 10.71
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 88.2% 90.7% 1.10
AS Nancy Lorraine to lead by 1 at any time 51.7% 50.7% 1.97
Stade Laval to lead by 1 at any time 46.7% 44.0% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 36.8% 34.8% 2.87
AS Nancy Lorraine to lead by 2 at any time 20.3% 19.6% 5.11
Stade Laval to lead by 2 at any time 16.6% 14.9% 6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 10.8% 10.4% 9.58
AS Nancy Lorraine to lead by 3 at any time 6.2% 6.6% 15.12
Stade Laval to lead by 3 at any time 4.6% 1.7% 59.84
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine most corners 54.7% 52.0% 1.92
Stade Laval most corners 34.4% 34.3% 2.92
Corners level 10.9% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.8% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.2% 83.5% 78.8% 1.06× 1.20
1-3 goals 70.6% 72.4% 64.0% 1.13× 1.38
2-6 goals 63.7% 63.4% 66.9% 0.95× 1.58
2-5 goals 62.0% 63.4% 62.6% 1.01× 1.58
2-4 goals 57.4% 59.2% 56.6% 1.05× 1.69
1-2 goals 51.1% 53.2% 43.7% 1.22× 1.88
2-3 goals 46.8% 48.7% 41.8% 1.16× 2.06
3-6 goals 36.4% 39.1% 45.5% 0.86× 2.56
3-5 goals 34.7% 35.4% 41.2% 0.86× 2.83
3-4 goals 30.1% 35.4% 35.2% 1.00× 2.83
4-6 goals 16.9% 18.6% 25.2% 0.74× 5.37
4-5 goals 15.2% 18.6% 20.9% 0.89× 5.37
5-6 goals 6.3% 8.7% 10.5% 0.83× 11.46
7+ goals 0.7% 2.5% 2.0% 1.27× 39.30
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AS Nancy Lorraine never behind 41.5% 48.2% 2.08
Stade Laval never behind 36.5% 44.7% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.4% 50.8% 49.8% 1.02× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.6% 49.2% 50.2% 0.98× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 58.3% 57.5% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 41.7% 42.5% 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.3% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.7% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.6% 95.5% 93.7% 1.02× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 93.0% 92.3% 87.7% 1.05× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 88.2% 87.6% 90.9% 0.96× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 82.4% 82.4% 72.9% 1.13× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 64.4% 61.8% 68.8% 0.90× 1.62
Under 2.5 goals 62.9% 61.8% 52.6% 1.17× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 37.1% 38.2% 47.4% 0.81× 2.62
Under 1.5 goals 35.6% 38.2% 31.2% 1.22× 2.62
Over 3.5 goals 17.6% 17.6% 27.1% 0.65× 5.68
Under 0.5 goals 11.8% 12.4% 9.1% 1.36× 8.10
Over 4.5 goals 7.0% 7.7% 12.3% 0.63× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 2.4% 4.5% 6.3% 0.71× 22.23
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.3% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.5% 97.2% 93.3% 1.04× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 92.2% 92.5% 85.6% 1.08× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 78.1% 75.9% 66.0% 1.15× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 51.0% 51.8% 60.3% 0.86× 1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 49.0% 48.2% 39.7% 1.21× 2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 21.9% 24.1% 34.0% 0.71× 4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 7.8% 7.5% 14.4% 0.52× 13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.5% 2.8% 6.7% 0.41× 36.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.7% 2.8% 2.1% 1.32× 36.20
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.6% 92.8% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 77.0% 78.8% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 59.5% 62.8% 1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half 40.5% 37.2% 2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half 23.0% 21.2% 4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.4% 7.2% 13.86
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 86.4% 85.3% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 71.8% 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 63.5% 61.8% 1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 36.5% 38.2% 2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 28.2% 22.3% 4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 13.6% 14.7% 6.80
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval not to score in both halves 84.4% 84.4% 1.19
AS Nancy Lorraine not to score in both halves 81.4% 84.3% 1.19
AS Nancy Lorraine to score in both halves 18.6% 15.8% 6.35
Stade Laval to score in both halves 15.6% 15.6% 6.40
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 44.3% 46.6% 49.7% 0.94× 2.15
Only AS Nancy Lorraine scores 23.8% 22.3% 23.8% 0.94× 4.48
Only Stade Laval scores 20.1% 22.3% 17.7% 1.26× 4.48
Neither team scores 11.8% 10.9% 9.1% 1.20× 9.15
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.3% 25.0% 21.5% 1.16× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 23.8% 22.6% 22.3% 1.01× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 19.5% 17.4% 20.5% 0.85× 5.74
Exactly 0 goals 11.8% 12.1% 9.1% 1.33× 8.28
Exactly 4 goals 10.6% 12.1% 14.9% 0.81× 8.28
Exactly 5 goals 4.6% 4.4% 6.2% 0.72× 22.65
6 or more goals 2.4% 4.4% 6.3% 0.70× 22.68
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 36.5% 39.6% 2.53
1 goal in 2nd half 35.3% 39.4% 2.54
No goals in 2nd half 28.2% 29.8% 3.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval not to win both halves 93.5% 94.0% 1.06
AS Nancy Lorraine not to win both halves 91.4% 93.9% 1.07
AS Nancy Lorraine to win both halves 8.6% 6.1% 16.44
Stade Laval to win both halves 6.5% 6.0% 16.59
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval to win neither half 55.3% 59.4% 1.68
AS Nancy Lorraine to win neither half 50.0% 54.9% 1.82
AS Nancy Lorraine to win either half 50.0% 45.1% 2.22
Stade Laval to win either half 44.7% 40.6% 2.46
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade Laval not to win to nil 79.9% 78.1% 82.3% 0.95× 1.28
AS Nancy Lorraine not to win to nil 76.2% 78.0% 76.2% 1.02× 1.28
AS Nancy Lorraine to win to nil 23.8% 22.0% 23.8% 0.92× 4.55
Stade Laval to win to nil 20.1% 21.9% 17.7% 1.24× 4.56
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 30.2% 27.6% 27.8% 0.99× 3.63
AS Nancy Lorraine by 1 21.8% 24.1% 23.4% 1.03× 4.14
Stade Laval by 1 19.7% 16.9% 17.5% 0.97× 5.91
AS Nancy Lorraine by 2 10.8% 11.8% 11.5% 1.02× 8.48
Stade Laval by 2 8.8% 7.3% 7.1% 1.03× 13.78
AS Nancy Lorraine by 3+ 5.1% 7.3% 7.8% 0.92× 13.79
Stade Laval by 3+ 3.6% 2.7% 5.5% 0.49× 36.97
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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