Asteras Tripoli v Atromitos — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · GRE-Super League · 2627

GRE-Super League results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Asteras Tripoli

14:00

Atromitos

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 836h before kick-off

Asteras Tripoli win

31.4%

model 33.7%

Draw

31.4%

model 31.1%

Atromitos win

37.3%

model 35.2%

313137

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.9%
0-0 9.9%
1-2 8.2%
2-1 8.0%
0-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.5%	Under 2.5	52.5%
BTTS yes	54.6%	BTTS no	45.4%
Asteras Tripoli 1+	71.9%	Asteras Tripoli 2+	36.3%
Atromitos 1+	72.8%	Atromitos 2+	37.4%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.30. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Atromitos carry the stronger rating, 1487 Elo against 1416.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atromitos have an estimated 37.3% win probability, against 31.4% for Asteras Tripoli and 31.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for Asteras Tripoli and 1.30 for Atromitos.

Why Asteras Tripoli

Nothing in the data singles out Asteras Tripoli.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.4%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.27 to 1.30. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Atromitos can win

Atromitos carry the stronger rating, 1487 Elo against 1416.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Asteras Tripoli, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atromitos, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Asteras Tripoli: 51% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atromitos: 47% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Atromitos are the model's most likely outcome at 37.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.9%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	303238	1.14–1.32	1-1 15%	45%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos to win	38.5%	36.4%	33.7%	1.08×	2.74
Draw	31.7%	30.4%	25.1%	1.21×	3.29
Asteras Tripoli to win	29.8%	27.9%	41.5%	0.67×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos & not both score	21.1%	21.9%	19.5%	1.12×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	20.9%	21.9%	16.8%	1.30×	4.57
Atromitos & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	14.4%	1.25×	5.58
Asteras Tripoli & not both score	15.9%	17.9%	24.0%	0.75×	5.59
Asteras Tripoli & both teams score	14.0%	13.3%	17.7%	0.75×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.8%	13.3%	8.4%	1.57×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos & over 1.5	29.5%	26.0%	24.2%	1.07×	3.84
Atromitos & under 3.5	28.2%	26.0%	26.7%	0.98×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	26.0%	26.0%	21.4%	1.22×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.0%	26.0%	21.4%	1.22×	3.84
Asteras Tripoli & over 1.5	22.4%	21.6%	32.4%	0.67×	4.62
Asteras Tripoli & under 3.5	22.4%	21.6%	29.8%	0.73×	4.62
Atromitos & over 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	18.5%	1.17×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	20.9%	21.6%	16.8%	1.29×	4.62
Asteras Tripoli & over 2.5	16.8%	18.0%	26.5%	0.68×	5.56
Atromitos & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	15.4%	1.17×	5.56
Asteras Tripoli & under 2.5	13.0%	12.9%	15.2%	0.85×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	10.8%	12.9%	8.4%	1.53×	7.77
Atromitos & over 3.5	10.3%	12.9%	7.2%	1.79×	7.77
Atromitos & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	9.7%	0.82×	12.70
Asteras Tripoli & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	9.2%	0.85×	12.70
Asteras Tripoli & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	3.9%	2.02×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	3.9%	2.02×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos (1UP)	54.6%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Asteras Tripoli (1UP)	47.0%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos (2UP)	38.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Asteras Tripoli (2UP)	29.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Atromitos to win 2nd half	34.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Asteras Tripoli to win 2nd half	26.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos (+2.5)	95.9%	96.3%	89.3%	1.08×	1.04
Atromitos (+1.5)	87.0%	88.5%	78.9%	1.12×	1.13
Atromitos (+0.5)	70.2%	73.6%	58.5%	1.26×	1.36
Asteras Tripoli (+0.5)	61.5%	62.9%	66.3%	0.95×	1.59
Atromitos (-0.5)	38.5%	37.1%	33.7%	1.10×	2.69
Asteras Tripoli (-0.5)	29.8%	26.4%	41.5%	0.64×	3.80
Asteras Tripoli (-1.5)	13.0%	11.5%	21.2%	0.54×	8.69
Asteras Tripoli (-2.5)	4.1%	3.7%	10.7%	0.35×	26.79

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos to concede	68.0%	72.5%	72.3%	1.00×	1.38
Atromitos clean sheet	32.0%	27.5%	27.7%	0.99×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos clean sheet in 1st half	61.3%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Atromitos to concede in 1st half	38.8%	35.5%	—	—	2.81

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos under 6.5 corners	87.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Atromitos under 5.5 corners	79.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Atromitos over 2.5 corners	68.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Atromitos under 4.5 corners	66.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Atromitos over 3.5 corners	50.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Atromitos under 3.5 corners	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atromitos over 4.5 corners	33.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Atromitos under 2.5 corners	31.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Atromitos over 5.5 corners	20.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Atromitos over 6.5 corners	12.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos under 3.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	96.7%	1.01×	1.03
Atromitos under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.9%	89.7%	0.98×	1.14
Atromitos over 0.5 goals	73.3%	71.9%	67.8%	1.06×	1.39
Atromitos under 1.5 goals	62.0%	62.9%	67.6%	0.93×	1.59
Atromitos over 1.5 goals	38.0%	37.1%	32.4%	1.14×	2.70
Atromitos under 0.5 goals	26.7%	28.1%	32.2%	0.87×	3.57
Atromitos over 2.5 goals	14.8%	12.1%	10.3%	1.18×	8.25
Atromitos over 3.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	3.3%	0.75×	40.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Atromitos under 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Atromitos over 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Atromitos over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.78

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	51.5%	51.2%	37.7%	1.36×	1.95
Asteras Tripoli (away no bet)	48.5%	48.8%	62.3%	0.78×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos even goals	53.6%	52.8%	56.7%	0.93×	1.90
Atromitos odd goals	46.4%	47.2%	43.3%	1.09×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.1%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.9%	39.9%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.2%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Atromitos to score 2+ in a row	30.7%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Asteras Tripoli to score 2+ in a row	24.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Atromitos to score 3+ in a row	9.7%	5.7%	—	—	17.57
Asteras Tripoli to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.83

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli corners (+3.5)	95.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Asteras Tripoli corners (+2.5)	92.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Asteras Tripoli corners (+1.5)	87.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Asteras Tripoli corners (-1.5)	63.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Atromitos corners (+3.5)	57.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Asteras Tripoli corners (-2.5)	53.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Atromitos corners (+2.5)	46.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Asteras Tripoli corners (-3.5)	43.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Atromitos corners (+1.5)	36.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Atromitos corners (-1.5)	12.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Atromitos corners (-2.5)	7.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Atromitos corners (-3.5)	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.52

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.9%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	32.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	70.6%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	62.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	57.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	47.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	32.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	29.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	15.2%	13.7%	13.1%	1.05×	7.28
0-0	10.8%	11.4%	8.4%	1.36×	8.74
0-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.7%	0.77×	13.47
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.47
0-2	7.4%	7.4%	6.0%	1.25×	13.47
1-0	7.4%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.47
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	8.6%	0.86×	13.47
2-0	5.6%	7.4%	6.2%	1.21×	13.47
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.50
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.51
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.52
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.50
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.52
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.51
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.52
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.51
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.51
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.51
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.16×	58.52
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	8.32×	58.52
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.92×	58.52
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.52
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.52
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.32×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.32×	58.52
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos leading at HT (DNB)	52.4%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Asteras Tripoli leading at HT (DNB)	47.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos or draw (X2)	70.2%	72.1%	58.5%	1.23×	1.39
Asteras Tripoli or Atromitos (12)	68.3%	69.6%	74.9%	0.93×	1.44
Asteras Tripoli or draw (1X)	61.5%	63.6%	66.3%	0.96×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos or draw at HT	74.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Asteras Tripoli or draw at HT	72.2%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Asteras Tripoli or Atromitos at HT	53.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos or draw (1UP)	70.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Asteras Tripoli or draw (1UP)	61.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos or draw in 2nd half	73.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Asteras Tripoli or draw in 2nd half	65.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Asteras Tripoli or Atromitos in 2nd half	60.9%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.2%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	34.8%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos (DNB)	56.3%	58.2%	44.8%	1.30×	1.72
Asteras Tripoli (DNB)	43.7%	41.8%	55.2%	0.76×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos to score first	47.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Asteras Tripoli to score first	41.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	10.8%	9.7%	—	—	10.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.1%	51.4%	48.5%	1.06×	1.94
Not both teams to score	47.9%	48.6%	51.5%	0.94×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.3%	41.6%	38.6%	1.08×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.0%	38.5%	35.5%	1.08×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	15.2%	21.7%	13.1%	1.65×	4.61
Not both score & over 2.5	7.6%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.0%	85.7%	88.9%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.0%	14.3%	11.1%	1.29×	6.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.1%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	22.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.49
Both score in both halves	4.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.24

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	49.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	49.3%	47.4%	50.7%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	27.3%	26.4%	26.9%	0.98×	3.78
4-6 goals	22.1%	22.8%	21.8%	1.05×	4.38
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	1.0%	1.77×	55.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos to score exactly 1	35.3%	36.0%	35.5%	1.01×	2.78
Atromitos to score exactly 0	26.7%	27.4%	32.2%	0.85×	3.65
Atromitos to score exactly 2	23.3%	22.4%	22.4%	1.00×	4.46
Atromitos to score 3+	14.8%	12.8%	10.3%	1.25×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.6%	33.7%	1.06×	2.81
Asteras Tripoli to score exactly 0	32.0%	32.7%	27.7%	1.18×	3.06
Asteras Tripoli to score exactly 2	20.8%	23.3%	20.7%	1.12×	4.30
Asteras Tripoli to score 3+	10.8%	14.3%	18.3%	0.78×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Atromitos leading at HT	27.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Asteras Tripoli leading at HT	25.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos -1: 1	61.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Atromitos -1: X	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.70
Atromitos -1: 2	18.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos (0:1)	70.2%	70.9%	58.5%	1.21×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	16.9%	17.8%	20.5%	0.87×	5.62
Asteras Tripoli (0:1)	13.0%	13.9%	21.2%	0.66×	7.22

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos (0:2)	87.0%	86.9%	78.9%	1.10×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.9%	7.7%	10.7%	0.72×	12.94
Asteras Tripoli (0:2)	4.1%	3.8%	10.7%	0.35×	26.49

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos (0:3)	95.9%	96.6%	89.3%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	8.0%	0.30×	42.08
Asteras Tripoli (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	2.9%	0.83×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.8%	0.65×	83.52
Asteras Tripoli (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.2%	0.97×	83.59

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli (1:0)	61.5%	65.1%	66.3%	0.98×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	20.1%	0.85×	5.86
Atromitos (1:0)	18.6%	17.0%	13.8%	1.24×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli (2:0)	81.4%	84.5%	86.2%	0.98×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.0%	10.4%	8.2%	1.26×	9.63
Atromitos (2:0)	6.6%	6.4%	5.7%	1.12×	15.53

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	29.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli to concede	73.3%	73.1%	67.8%	1.08×	1.37
Asteras Tripoli clean sheet	26.7%	26.9%	32.2%	0.84×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli clean sheet in 1st half	59.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Asteras Tripoli to concede in 1st half	41.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.67

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli over 2.5 corners	92.3%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Asteras Tripoli over 3.5 corners	84.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Asteras Tripoli over 4.5 corners	73.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Asteras Tripoli over 5.5 corners	61.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Asteras Tripoli under 6.5 corners	51.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Asteras Tripoli over 6.5 corners	48.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Asteras Tripoli under 5.5 corners	38.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Asteras Tripoli under 4.5 corners	26.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Asteras Tripoli under 3.5 corners	15.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Asteras Tripoli under 2.5 corners	7.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli under 3.5 goals	97.1%	96.4%	94.3%	1.02×	1.04
Asteras Tripoli under 2.5 goals	89.2%	87.3%	81.7%	1.07×	1.15
Asteras Tripoli under 1.5 goals	68.4%	67.9%	61.2%	1.11×	1.47
Asteras Tripoli over 0.5 goals	68.0%	67.9%	72.3%	0.94×	1.47
Asteras Tripoli under 0.5 goals	32.0%	32.1%	27.7%	1.16×	3.11
Asteras Tripoli over 1.5 goals	31.6%	32.1%	38.8%	0.83×	3.11
Asteras Tripoli over 2.5 goals	10.8%	12.7%	18.3%	0.70×	7.85
Asteras Tripoli over 3.5 goals	2.9%	3.6%	5.7%	0.63×	27.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli under 1.5 in 1st half	91.3%	95.2%	—	—	1.05
Asteras Tripoli under 0.5 in 1st half	61.3%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Asteras Tripoli over 0.5 in 1st half	38.8%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Asteras Tripoli over 1.5 in 1st half	8.7%	4.8%	—	—	21.03

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos (home no bet)	54.8%	51.6%	57.3%	0.90×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.2%	48.4%	42.7%	1.13×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli even goals	55.1%	55.4%	52.8%	1.05×	1.80
Asteras Tripoli odd goals	44.9%	44.6%	47.2%	0.94×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 0-1	18.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 1-0	17.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-1	9.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 0-2	5.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.21
HT 2-0	4.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.74
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.84
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.88
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.90
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	44.03

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos at HT / Atromitos at FT	21.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Asteras Tripoli at HT / Asteras Tripoli at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Atromitos at FT	15.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Asteras Tripoli at FT	11.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Asteras Tripoli at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Atromitos at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Asteras Tripoli at HT / Atromitos at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Atromitos at HT / Asteras Tripoli at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos to score last	47.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Asteras Tripoli to score last	41.2%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	10.8%	9.1%	—	—	11.02

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.2%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Atromitos to lead by 1 at any time	54.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Asteras Tripoli to lead by 1 at any time	47.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Atromitos to lead by 2 at any time	24.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Asteras Tripoli to lead by 2 at any time	17.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Atromitos to lead by 3 at any time	8.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.19
Asteras Tripoli to lead by 3 at any time	5.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.34

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli most corners	73.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Atromitos most corners	18.9%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	8.2%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.4%	88.5%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.8%	78.6%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	71.4%	72.4%	72.3%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.8%	69.0%	70.0%	0.99×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.8%	69.0%	69.2%	1.00×	1.45
2-4 goals	62.4%	63.4%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	49.3%	48.7%	50.7%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.6%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.29
3-6 goals	43.3%	43.6%	47.6%	0.91×	2.30
3-5 goals	40.6%	43.6%	45.4%	0.96×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.2%	35.4%	37.0%	0.96×	2.83
4-6 goals	22.1%	24.5%	21.8%	1.12×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.5%	18.6%	19.5%	0.96×	5.37
5-6 goals	9.0%	8.8%	10.9%	0.80×	11.42
7+ goals	1.3%	2.5%	1.0%	2.47×	39.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atromitos never behind	42.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Asteras Tripoli never behind	34.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.79

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.0%	50.8%	53.8%	0.94×	1.97
Even number of goals	55.0%	49.2%	46.2%	1.06×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.1%	95.5%	96.7%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	89.6%	87.7%	88.3%	0.99×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	89.2%	87.7%	91.6%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.6%	77.4%	77.4%	1.00×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.4%	58.8%	51.5%	1.14×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	44.6%	41.2%	48.5%	0.85×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	26.9%	1.02×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	23.4%	22.6%	22.6%	1.00×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	10.8%	12.3%	8.4%	1.47×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	10.4%	12.3%	11.7%	1.05×	8.10
Over 5.5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	3.3%	1.37×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.3%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.8%	97.2%	96.4%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.1%	86.7%	86.9%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.3%	72.6%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.1%	62.1%	64.3%	0.97×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.9%	37.9%	35.7%	1.06×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.7%	27.4%	30.5%	0.90×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.9%	13.3%	13.1%	1.01×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.2%	2.8%	3.6%	0.77×	36.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.7%	1.1%	2.62×	36.38

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.5%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.5%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.75

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.6%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.0%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.4%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli not to score in both halves	81.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Atromitos not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Atromitos to score in both halves	22.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Asteras Tripoli to score in both halves	18.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.1%	53.9%	48.5%	1.11×	1.86
Only Atromitos scores	21.1%	22.3%	19.5%	1.15×	4.48
Only Asteras Tripoli scores	15.9%	16.1%	24.0%	0.67×	6.22
Neither team scores	10.8%	10.9%	8.4%	1.30×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.2%	25.0%	24.8%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.2%	22.6%	26.1%	0.87×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.4%	17.4%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.0%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	10.8%	12.1%	8.4%	1.43×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	6.4%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.10
6 or more goals	3.9%	4.4%	3.3%	1.34×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
1 goal in 2nd half	32.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	24.4%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli not to win both halves	93.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Atromitos not to win both halves	90.0%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Atromitos to win both halves	10.0%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
Asteras Tripoli to win both halves	6.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli to win neither half	55.4%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Atromitos to win either half	52.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Atromitos to win neither half	47.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Asteras Tripoli to win either half	44.6%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Asteras Tripoli not to win to nil	84.1%	83.0%	76.0%	1.09×	1.20
Atromitos not to win to nil	78.9%	78.0%	80.5%	0.97×	1.28
Atromitos to win to nil	21.1%	22.0%	19.5%	1.13×	4.56
Asteras Tripoli to win to nil	15.9%	17.0%	24.0%	0.71×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.7%	27.6%	25.1%	1.10×	3.62
Atromitos by 1	19.9%	17.0%	20.1%	0.84×	5.90
Asteras Tripoli by 1	16.9%	16.9%	20.5%	0.83×	5.90
Atromitos by 2	12.0%	11.8%	8.2%	1.44×	8.47
Asteras Tripoli by 2	8.9%	7.3%	10.7%	0.68×	13.79
Atromitos by 3+	6.6%	7.2%	5.7%	1.26×	13.80
Asteras Tripoli by 3+	4.1%	2.7%	10.7%	0.25×	37.01