betaider.com

Atalanta v Monza — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 30 October 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–0
1.65 – 0.08 xG
Shots
16 – 4
On target
5 – 3
Shots in box
8 – 0
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.02
Set-piece xG
0.28 – 0.05
Goals − xG
+0.35 – -0.08
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Lazar Samardzic 69' — goalDavide Zappacosta 87' — goal
Atalanta 1.65 xGMonza 0.08 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Mateo Retegui 4' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Charles De Ketelaere 15' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Berat Gjimshiti 21' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Marten de Roon 21' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Raoul Bellanova 27' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ademola Lookman 36' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Mateo Retegui 39' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Alessandro Bianco 41' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Pedro Pereira 46' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Lazar Samardzic 62' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Lazar Samardzic 69' — Goal (0.09 xG, Open Play)Milan Djuric 70' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Juan Cuadrado 73' — Blocked Shot (0.24 xG, Open Play)Sead Kolasinac 75' — Saved Shot (0.35 xG, Open Play)Lazar Samardzic 77' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Lazar Samardzic 84' — Blocked Shot (0.27 xG, Open Play)Georgios Kyriakopoulos 84' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Mateo Retegui 86' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, From Corner)Davide Zappacosta 87' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Odilon Kossounou 91' — Saved Shot (0.20 xG, Open Play)
Atalanta attacking right Monza attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Atalanta Mateo Retegui 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ademola Lookman
15' Atalanta Charles De Ketelaere 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ademola Lookman
21' Atalanta Berat Gjimshiti 0.04 From Corner Blocked Shot Ademola Lookman
21' Atalanta Marten de Roon 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
27' Atalanta Raoul Bellanova 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Charles De Ketelaere
36' Atalanta Ademola Lookman 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mateo Retegui
39' Atalanta Mateo Retegui 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
41' Monza Alessandro Bianco 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Matteo Pessina
46' Monza Pedro Pereira 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Samuele Vignato
62' Atalanta Lazar Samardzic 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
69' Atalanta Lazar Samardzic 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Goal Mateo Retegui
70' Monza Milan Djuric 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
73' Atalanta Juan Cuadrado 0.24 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Marten de Roon
75' Atalanta Sead Kolasinac 0.35 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
77' Atalanta Lazar Samardzic 0.06 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot
84' Atalanta Lazar Samardzic 0.27 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Juan Cuadrado
84' Monza Georgios Kyriakopoulos 0.05 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot
86' Atalanta Mateo Retegui 0.13 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Lazar Samardzic
87' Atalanta Davide Zappacosta 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal Lazar Samardzic
91' Atalanta Odilon Kossounou 0.20 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Nicolo Zaniolo

Players

Monza

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Georgios Kyriakopoulos DML 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Alessandro Bianco MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.02
Pedro Pereira DMR 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Pablo Marí DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Luca Caldirola DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stefano Turati GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Danilo D'Ambrosio DC 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dany Mota AMC 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Matteo Pessina MC 75 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Samuele Vignato AMC 75 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Mirko Maric FW 48 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Milan Djuric Sub 42 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Mattia Valoti Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gianluca Caprari Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Daniel Maldini Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Omari Forson Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Atalanta

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sead Kolasinac DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.35 0.00 0.54
Mateo Retegui FW 90 0 1 3 2 0.20 0.16 0.21
Berat Gjimshiti DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.36
Marten de Roon MC 90 0 0 1 3 0.02 0.24 0.63
Isak Hien DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
Éderson MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.18
Marco Carnesecchi GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.40
Charles De Ketelaere AMC 68 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.03 0.09
Raoul Bellanova DMR 59 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.09
Matteo Ruggeri DML 59 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Ademola Lookman AMC 48 0 0 1 3 0.07 0.10 0.13
Lazar Samardzic Sub 42 1 1 4 2 0.45 0.16 0.66
Juan Cuadrado Sub 31 0 0 1 1 0.24 0.27 0.75
Davide Zappacosta Sub 31 1 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.33
Nicolo Zaniolo Sub 22 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.20 0.30
Odilon Kossounou Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.20 0.00 0.20
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide