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Athletic Club v Getafe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 15 August 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–1
0.29 – 0.54 xG
Shots
7 – 9
On target
4 – 2
Shots in box
1 – 5
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.14 – 0.20
Goals − xG
+0.71 – +0.46
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.20.30.50.60'15'30'45'60'75'90'Oihan Sancet 26' — goalChristantus Uche 63' — goal
Athletic Club 0.29 xGGetafe 0.54 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Carles Pérez 5' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Omar Alderete 21' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Oihan Sancet 26' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Carles Pérez 39' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Peter 47' — Shot On Post (0.07 xG, Open Play)Carles Aleñá 51' — Saved Shot (0.23 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 52' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Omar Alderete 53' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Alex Sola 61' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Christantus Uche 63' — Goal (0.08 xG, From Corner)Nico Williams 76' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gorka Guruzeta 79' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Nico Williams 79' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Nabil Aberdin 84' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 86' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Yuri 92' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)
Athletic Club attacking right Getafe attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Getafe Carles Pérez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Alex Sola
21' Getafe Omar Alderete 0.07 Set Piece Blocked Shot Carles Pérez
26' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal Gorka Guruzeta
39' Getafe Carles Pérez 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Christantus Uche
47' Getafe Peter 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post
51' Getafe Carles Aleñá 0.23 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Omar Alderete
52' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Beñat Prados
53' Getafe Omar Alderete 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Luis Milla
61' Getafe Alex Sola 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot
63' Getafe Christantus Uche 0.08 From Corner Goal Luis Milla
76' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Aitor Paredes
79' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.08 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Ander Herrera
79' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
84' Getafe Nabil Aberdin 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Diego Rico
86' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Gorka Guruzeta
92' Athletic Club Yuri 0.02 Set Piece Left Foot Saved Shot Íñigo Lekue

Players

Athletic Club

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Iñaki Williams AMR 90 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Gorka Guruzeta FW 90 0 1 1 2 0.08 0.09 0.09
Oihan Sancet AMC 90 1 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.09
Yuri DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.05
Yeray Álvarez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Álex Padilla GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Andoni Gorosabel DR 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Aitor Paredes DC 88 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.05
Alex Berenguer AML 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Beñat Prados DMC 64 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.07
Mikel Vesga DMC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Unai Gómez Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Ander Herrera Sub 26 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.02
Nico Williams Sub 11 0 0 2 0 0.06 0.00 0.08
Íñigo Lekue Sub 2 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.05
Dani Vivian Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Getafe

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Omar Alderete DC 90 0 0 2 1 0.11 0.23 0.23
Christantus Uche FW 90 1 0 1 1 0.08 0.01 0.01
Nabil Aberdin DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.03
Luis Milla MC 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.12 0.02
Juan Iglesias DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Djené Dakonam DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Diego Rico DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.24
David Soria GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alex Sola ML 87 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.02 0.02
Carles Pérez MR 53 0 0 2 1 0.03 0.07 0.03
Carles Aleñá Sub 51 0 0 1 0 0.23 0.00 0.23
Mauro Arambarri MC 39 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Peter Sub 37 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Jesús Santiago Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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