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Athletic Club v Girona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 8 February 2025 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

3–0
3.82 – 0.06 xG
Shots
23 – 3
On target
8 – 1
Shots in box
17 – 0
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.02
Set-piece xG
1.48 – 0.00
Goals − xG
-0.88 – -0.06
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.12.23.34.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Oihan Sancet 41' — goalOihan Sancet 45' — goalOihan Sancet 78' — goal
Athletic Club 3.88 xGGirona 0.06 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Oihan Sancet 4' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Yangel Herrera 5' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 10' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gorka Guruzeta 11' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Yeray Álvarez 12' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)De Marcos 17' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yangel Herrera 18' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 22' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Gorka Guruzeta 24' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Gorka Guruzeta 31' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Iñaki Williams 31' — Saved Shot (0.44 xG, From Corner)Oihan Sancet 31' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, From Corner)Oihan Sancet 41' — Goal (0.74 xG, )De Marcos 43' — Saved Shot (0.66 xG, Open Play)Adama Boiro 45' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 45' — Goal (0.35 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 47' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Gorka Guruzeta 52' — Blocked Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Mikel Jauregizar 52' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Bryan Gil Salvatierra 55' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 72' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 74' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Yeray Álvarez 74' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Maroan Sannadi 76' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Mikel Jauregizar 77' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 78' — Goal (0.55 xG, Open Play)
Athletic Club attacking right Girona attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Iñaki Williams
5' Girona Yangel Herrera 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
10' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Oihan Sancet
11' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Iñaki Williams
12' Athletic Club Yeray Álvarez 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot Mikel Jauregizar
17' Athletic Club De Marcos 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
18' Girona Yangel Herrera 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
22' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.11 Open Play Missed Shot Adama Boiro
24' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Mikel Jauregizar
31' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.01 From Corner Missed Shot Alex Berenguer
31' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.44 From Corner Saved Shot Gorka Guruzeta
31' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.13 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
41' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.74 Right Foot Goal
43' Athletic Club De Marcos 0.66 Open Play Saved Shot Beñat Prados
45' Athletic Club Adama Boiro 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
45' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.35 Open Play Goal Alex Berenguer
47' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alex Berenguer
52' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Iñaki Williams
52' Athletic Club Mikel Jauregizar 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
55' Girona Bryan Gil Salvatierra 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Viktor Tsygankov
72' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot De Marcos
74' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
74' Athletic Club Yeray Álvarez 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
76' Athletic Club Maroan Sannadi 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
77' Athletic Club Mikel Jauregizar 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Oihan Sancet
78' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.55 Open Play Right Foot Goal Iñaki Williams

Players

Athletic Club

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
De Marcos DR 90 0 0 2 1 0.70 0.04 1.04
Iñaki Williams AMR 90 0 1 3 4 0.56 0.85 0.97
Yeray Álvarez DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.25
Mikel Jauregizar DMC 90 0 0 2 2 0.05 0.06 0.83
Unai Simón GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Dani Vivian DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oihan Sancet AMC 88 3 0 7 2 2.00 0.04 1.17
Alex Berenguer AML 88 0 1 1 3 0.05 0.46 1.22
Adama Boiro DL 80 0 0 1 1 0.10 0.11 0.21
Beñat Prados DMC 80 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.66 0.76
Gorka Guruzeta FW 69 0 0 4 1 0.28 0.44 0.22
Maroan Sannadi Sub 21 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Yuri Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mikel Vesga Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Peio Canales Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Endika Bujan Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Girona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Yangel Herrera MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.03 0.00 0.06
Ladislav Krejcí DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Donny van de Beek MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Paulo Gazzaniga GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juanpe DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Alejandro Francés DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Iván Martín MC 80 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Bryan Gil Salvatierra FWL 71 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.06
Viktor Tsygankov FWR 71 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.04
Abel Ruiz FW 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Miguel Gutiérrez DL 50 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Daley Blind Sub 40 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Gabriel Misehouy Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cristhian Stuani Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yáser Asprilla Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jhon Solis Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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