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Athletic Club v Real Betis — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 3 November 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–1
4.20 – 1.54 xG
Shots
17 – 7
On target
8 – 4
Shots in box
13 – 4
xG per shot
0.26 – 0.22
Set-piece xG
0.12 – 0.04
Goals − xG
-3.49 – -0.55
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.32.53.85.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Pablo Fornals 51' — goalAlex Berenguer 67' — goal
Athletic Club 4.49 xGReal Betis 1.55 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Oihan Sancet 10' — Shot On Post (0.58 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 13' — Missed Shot (0.71 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 16' — Shot On Post (0.01 xG, Open Play)Ezequiel Ávila 18' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 19' — Saved Shot (0.55 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 36' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 38' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Aitor Paredes 39' — Shot On Post (0.09 xG, From Corner)Iñaki Williams 45' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Pablo Fornals 46' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Pablo Fornals 51' — Goal (0.09 xG, Open Play)Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 54' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Oihan Sancet 61' — Missed Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Dani Vivian 63' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Assane Diao 63' — Blocked Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Iker Losada 63' — Saved Shot (0.56 xG, Open Play)Beñat Prados 65' — Saved Shot (0.26 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 67' — Goal (0.30 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 70' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ander Herrera 75' — Saved Shot (0.45 xG, Open Play)Ander Herrera 75' — Saved Shot (0.64 xG, Open Play)Andoni Gorosabel 82' — Saved Shot (0.27 xG, Open Play)Cédric Bakambu 82' — Saved Shot (0.68 xG, Open Play)Andoni Gorosabel 89' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)
Athletic Club attacking right Real Betis attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
10' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.58 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Iñaki Williams
13' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.71 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Iñaki Williams
16' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post
18' Real Betis Ezequiel Ávila 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
19' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.55 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Álvaro Djaló
36' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Álvaro Djaló
38' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
39' Athletic Club Aitor Paredes 0.09 From Corner Shot On Post Nico Williams
45' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Oihan Sancet
46' Real Betis Pablo Fornals 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
51' Real Betis Pablo Fornals 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Goal Assane Diao
54' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
61' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.41 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Iñaki Williams
63' Athletic Club Dani Vivian 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Beñat Prados
63' Real Betis Assane Diao 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pablo Fornals
63' Real Betis Iker Losada 0.56 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Assane Diao
65' Athletic Club Beñat Prados 0.26 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
67' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.30 Open Play Goal De Marcos
70' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Alex Berenguer
75' Athletic Club Ander Herrera 0.45 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Nico Williams
75' Athletic Club Ander Herrera 0.64 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
82' Athletic Club Andoni Gorosabel 0.27 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Iñaki Williams
82' Real Betis Cédric Bakambu 0.68 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
89' Athletic Club Andoni Gorosabel 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot

Players

Athletic Club

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Iñaki Williams AMR 90 0 0 5 4 0.68 1.98 2.96
Aitor Paredes DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 1.93
Nico Williams AML 90 0 0 1 2 0.07 0.54 2.61
Dani Vivian DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 2.13
Julen Agirrezabala GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.54
Yuri DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 2.00
Beñat Prados DMC 79 0 0 1 1 0.26 0.02 2.30
De Marcos DR 79 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.30 0.72
Oihan Sancet AMC 70 0 0 3 1 1.70 0.01 2.27
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta DMC 70 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.26 1.29
Álvaro Djaló FW 65 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.57 1.16
Alex Berenguer Sub 25 1 0 1 1 0.30 0.07 0.38
Ander Herrera Sub 20 0 0 2 0 1.08 0.00 1.16
Javier Martón Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Andoni Gorosabel Sub 11 0 0 2 0 0.29 0.00 0.27
Unai Gómez Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Real Betis

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Pablo Fornals MR 90 1 0 2 1 0.10 0.14 0.26
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli ML 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.16
Romain Perraud DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Diego Llorente DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Rui Silva GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Johnny Cardoso MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Marc Bartra DC 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Vitor Roque FW 72 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Ezequiel Ávila FW 46 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Héctor Bellerín DR 46 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sergi Altimira MC 46 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iker Losada Sub 44 0 0 1 0 0.56 0.00 0.66
Assane Diao Sub 44 0 1 1 2 0.14 0.66 0.79
Youssouf Sabaly Sub 44 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Cédric Bakambu Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.68 0.00 0.68
Natan Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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