betaider.com

Athletic Club v Real Madrid — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 4 December 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

2–1
2.08 – 1.98 xG
Shots
9 – 10
On target
3 – 5
Shots in box
8 – 8
xG per shot
0.23 – 0.20
Set-piece xG
0.02 – 0.82
Goals − xG
-0.08 – -0.99
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.21.72.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Alex Berenguer 52' — goalJude Bellingham 77' — goalGorka Guruzeta 79' — goal
Athletic Club 2.08 xGReal Madrid 1.99 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Beñat Prados 0' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 3' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Fran García 12' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Federico Valverde 20' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Iñaki Williams 23' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 30' — Missed Shot (0.43 xG, Open Play)Antonio Rüdiger 42' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mikel Jauregizar 47' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Alex Berenguer 52' — Goal (0.95 xG, Open Play)Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 58' — Saved Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 67' — Saved Shot (0.74 xG, )Rodrygo 69' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 73' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 74' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Jude Bellingham 77' — Goal (0.47 xG, Open Play)Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 77' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gorka Guruzeta 79' — Goal (0.36 xG, Open Play)Rodrygo 79' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Antonio Rüdiger 82' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)
Athletic Club attacking right Real Madrid attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Athletic Club Beñat Prados 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nico Williams
3' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Alex Berenguer
12' Real Madrid Fran García 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
20' Real Madrid Federico Valverde 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Rodrygo
23' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mikel Jauregizar
30' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Iñaki Williams
42' Real Madrid Antonio Rüdiger 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Rodrygo
47' Athletic Club Mikel Jauregizar 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot
52' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.95 Open Play Left Foot Goal
58' Real Madrid Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 0.41 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Rodrygo
67' Real Madrid Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 0.74 Right Foot Saved Shot
69' Real Madrid Rodrygo 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Brahim Diaz
73' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Nico Williams
74' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mikel Jauregizar
77' Real Madrid Jude Bellingham 0.47 Open Play Left Foot Goal
77' Real Madrid Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Rodrygo
79' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Goal
79' Real Madrid Rodrygo 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Kylian Mbappe-Lottin
82' Real Madrid Antonio Rüdiger 0.05 From Corner Missed Shot Luka Modric

Players

Athletic Club

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nico Williams AML 90 0 0 2 2 0.15 0.14 0.32
Iñaki Williams AMR 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.44 0.46
Mikel Jauregizar DMC 90 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.13 0.56
Julen Agirrezabala GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yeray Álvarez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Dani Vivian DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Adama Boiro DL 86 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oihan Sancet AMC 81 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.16
Andoni Gorosabel DR 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Beñat Prados DMC 66 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Alex Berenguer FW 65 1 0 2 1 1.38 0.05 1.46
Gorka Guruzeta Sub 25 1 0 1 0 0.36 0.00 0.47
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Unai Gómez Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
De Marcos Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yuri Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Kylian Mbappe-Lottin FW 90 0 0 3 1 1.17 0.06 0.58
Jude Bellingham ML 90 1 0 1 0 0.47 0.00 0.64
Rodrygo FW 90 0 0 2 4 0.12 0.50 0.70
Antonio Rüdiger DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.56
Federico Valverde MR 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.06
Thibaut Courtois GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Raúl DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.52
Lucas Vázquez DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Fran García DL 73 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.15
Aurelien Tchouameni MC 73 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Dani Ceballos MC 60 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Brahim Diaz Sub 30 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.08
Ferland Mendy Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Luka Modric Sub 17 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.02
Arda Güler Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Endrick Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide