Atlético Bucaramanga v Independiente Medellín — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 7 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Atlético Bucaramanga

19:15

Independiente Medellín

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 769h before kick-off

Atlético Bucaramanga win

43.0%

model 42.6%

Draw

28.5%

model 28.8%

Independiente Medellín win

28.5%

model 28.6%

432929

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
1-0 10.1%
0-0 9.2%
2-1 8.9%
2-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.3%	Under 2.5	53.7%
BTTS yes	52.0%	BTTS no	48.0%
Atlético Bucaramanga 1+	75.6%	Atlético Bucaramanga 2+	41.2%
Independiente Medellín 1+	67.2%	Independiente Medellín 2+	30.6%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Atlético Bucaramanga.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atlético Bucaramanga have an estimated 43.0% win probability, against 28.5% for the draw and 28.5% for Independiente Medellín. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.41 for Atlético Bucaramanga and 1.11 for Independiente Medellín.

Why Atlético Bucaramanga

Nothing in the data singles out Atlético Bucaramanga.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.5%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Independiente Medellín can win

Independiente Medellín carry the stronger rating, 1613 Elo against 1550. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Atlético Bucaramanga, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Independiente Medellín, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Atlético Bucaramanga: 50% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Independiente Medellín: 53% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Atlético Bucaramanga are the model's most likely outcome at 43.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	442927	1.41–1.06	1-1 14%	45%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to win	43.8%	43.0%	45.9%	0.94×	2.32
Draw	29.1%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Independiente Medellín to win	27.1%	27.9%	24.8%	1.13×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga & not both score	25.1%	25.2%	27.1%	0.93×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Atlético Bucaramanga & both teams score	18.8%	17.9%	18.9%	0.95×	5.58
Independiente Medellín & not both score	14.8%	13.3%	13.5%	0.98×	7.54
Independiente Medellín & both teams score	12.3%	13.3%	11.4%	1.16×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.7%	8.4%	10.8%	0.77×	11.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 1.5	33.0%	30.9%	33.9%	0.91×	3.24
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 3.5	32.1%	30.8%	35.7%	0.86×	3.24
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 2.5	24.6%	21.6%	25.6%	0.85×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	23.5%	21.6%	23.8%	0.91×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	23.5%	21.6%	23.8%	0.91×	4.62
Independiente Medellín & under 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	19.9%	1.09×	4.62
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Independiente Medellín & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Independiente Medellín & over 2.5	14.5%	12.9%	12.8%	1.01×	7.77
Independiente Medellín & under 2.5	12.6%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.77
Atlético Bucaramanga & over 3.5	11.8%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Atlético Bucaramanga & under 1.5	10.8%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.70
Independiente Medellín & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	8.5%	0.93×	12.70
Independiente Medellín & over 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (1UP)	58.7%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Independiente Medellín (1UP)	43.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (2UP)	43.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Independiente Medellín (2UP)	27.1%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Atlético Bucaramanga to win 2nd half	35.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Independiente Medellín to win 2nd half	25.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín (+2.5)	91.8%	92.1%	91.8%	1.00×	1.09
Independiente Medellín (+1.5)	78.4%	78.5%	79.6%	0.99×	1.27
Atlético Bucaramanga (+0.5)	72.9%	73.7%	75.2%	0.98×	1.36
Independiente Medellín (+0.5)	56.2%	57.0%	54.1%	1.05×	1.75
Atlético Bucaramanga (-0.5)	43.8%	43.0%	45.9%	0.94×	2.33
Independiente Medellín (-0.5)	27.1%	26.3%	24.8%	1.06×	3.80
Atlético Bucaramanga (-1.5)	21.6%	21.5%	20.4%	1.05×	4.64
Atlético Bucaramanga (-2.5)	8.2%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.64

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín to concede	75.5%	79.0%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
Independiente Medellín clean sheet	24.5%	21.0%	24.2%	0.87×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín to concede in 1st half	45.4%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Independiente Medellín clean sheet in 1st half	54.6%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín under 6.5 corners	88.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Independiente Medellín under 5.5 corners	81.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Independiente Medellín under 4.5 corners	69.5%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Independiente Medellín over 2.5 corners	64.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Independiente Medellín under 3.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Independiente Medellín over 3.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Independiente Medellín under 2.5 corners	35.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Independiente Medellín over 4.5 corners	30.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Independiente Medellín over 5.5 corners	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
Independiente Medellín over 6.5 corners	11.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.6%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Independiente Medellín under 2.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Independiente Medellín under 1.5 goals	71.5%	71.9%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
Independiente Medellín over 0.5 goals	65.3%	67.9%	62.2%	1.09×	1.47
Independiente Medellín under 0.5 goals	34.8%	32.1%	37.8%	0.85×	3.12
Independiente Medellín over 1.5 goals	28.5%	28.1%	25.6%	1.10×	3.56
Independiente Medellín over 2.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	7.1%	1.08×	13.05
Independiente Medellín over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.4%	1.9%	1.26×	40.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Independiente Medellín under 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Independiente Medellín over 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.9%	—	—	3.13
Independiente Medellín over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.11

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (away no bet)	60.1%	62.1%	60.9%	1.02×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	39.9%	37.9%	39.1%	0.97×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín even goals	56.0%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
Independiente Medellín odd goals	44.0%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.6%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.4%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.6%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 2+ in a row	33.9%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Independiente Medellín to score 2+ in a row	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 3+ in a row	11.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Independiente Medellín to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+3.5)	89.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+2.5)	82.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Independiente Medellín corners (+3.5)	81.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (+1.5)	73.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Independiente Medellín corners (+2.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Independiente Medellín corners (+1.5)	61.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-1.5)	38.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-2.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Independiente Medellín corners (-1.5)	26.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Atlético Bucaramanga corners (-3.5)	18.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Independiente Medellín corners (-2.5)	17.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Independiente Medellín corners (-3.5)	10.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	61.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
9-11 corners	24.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	14.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	90.5%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	85.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 10.5 corners	79.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	71.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	61.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	50.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	49.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	38.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 9.5 corners	28.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 10.5 corners	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 11.5 corners	14.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88
Over 12.5 corners	9.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.8%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.73
1-0	10.8%	11.4%	12.1%	0.95×	8.74
0-0	9.7%	7.4%	10.8%	0.68×	13.47
2-0	8.4%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.47
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	11.0%	0.68×	13.47
0-1	7.8%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.47
1-2	6.7%	7.4%	7.0%	1.07×	13.47
0-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.8%	0.46×	58.50
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.50
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.51
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.52
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.51
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.51
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52
3-0	4.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.50
3-1	4.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.50
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.51
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.52
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.14×	58.52
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.52
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga leading at HT (DNB)	61.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Independiente Medellín leading at HT (DNB)	38.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw (1X)	72.9%	72.1%	75.2%	0.96×	1.39
Atlético Bucaramanga or Independiente Medellín (12)	70.9%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Independiente Medellín or draw (X2)	56.2%	57.0%	54.1%	1.05×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw at HT	79.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Independiente Medellín or draw at HT	66.9%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Atlético Bucaramanga or Independiente Medellín at HT	54.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw (1UP)	72.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Independiente Medellín or draw (1UP)	56.2%	62.7%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga or draw in 2nd half	74.2%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Independiente Medellín or draw in 2nd half	64.1%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Atlético Bucaramanga or Independiente Medellín in 2nd half	61.7%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.4%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	34.6%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (DNB)	61.8%	62.8%	65.0%	0.97×	1.59
Independiente Medellín (DNB)	38.2%	37.2%	35.0%	1.06×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score first	51.6%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Independiente Medellín to score first	38.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	9.7%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.5%	51.4%	48.8%	1.05×	1.94
Not both teams to score	49.5%	48.6%	51.2%	0.95×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.5%	41.6%	43.1%	0.96×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	36.6%	38.5%	35.9%	1.07×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.8%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.4%	8.2%	1.02×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.3%	85.7%	88.7%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.7%	14.3%	11.3%	1.27×	6.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.7%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.9%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	22.3%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.49
Both score in both halves	4.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.26

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	49.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.2%	47.4%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	28.3%	26.5%	31.2%	0.85×	3.78
4-6 goals	22.2%	22.8%	19.5%	1.17×	4.38
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	1.5%	1.19×	55.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	36.7%	0.98×	2.78
Independiente Medellín to score exactly 0	34.8%	33.9%	37.8%	0.90×	2.95
Independiente Medellín to score exactly 2	19.4%	19.6%	18.6%	1.05×	5.11
Independiente Medellín to score 3+	9.1%	8.5%	7.1%	1.20×	11.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 1	34.4%	32.7%	34.4%	0.95×	3.06
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 0	24.5%	23.3%	24.2%	0.96×	4.30
Atlético Bucaramanga to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.3%	26.1%	0.89×	4.30
Atlético Bucaramanga to score 3+	16.8%	18.9%	15.6%	1.21×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Bucaramanga leading at HT	33.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Independiente Medellín leading at HT	21.0%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga -1: 2	56.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Atlético Bucaramanga -1: X	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Atlético Bucaramanga -1: 1	21.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín (0:1)	56.2%	55.8%	54.1%	1.03×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.2%	24.3%	25.6%	0.95×	4.12
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:1)	21.6%	24.3%	20.4%	1.19×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín (0:2)	78.4%	79.5%	79.6%	1.00×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.5%	11.0%	12.4%	0.89×	9.10
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:2)	8.2%	7.7%	8.2%	0.94×	12.95

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín (0:3)	91.8%	92.6%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.7%	5.8%	5.4%	1.07×	17.21
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	1.9%	0.62×	83.39
Atlético Bucaramanga (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.1%	1.08×	83.54

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (1:0)	72.9%	72.5%	75.2%	0.96×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.4%	17.0%	17.2%	0.99×	5.87
Independiente Medellín (1:0)	10.7%	12.8%	7.7%	1.67×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga (2:0)	89.3%	88.4%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.6%	6.4%	5.0%	1.29×	15.52
Independiente Medellín (2:0)	3.1%	2.3%	2.8%	0.81×	44.31

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	28.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede	65.3%	66.5%	62.2%	1.07×	1.50
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet	34.8%	33.5%	37.8%	0.89×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet in 1st half	65.5%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Atlético Bucaramanga to concede in 1st half	34.5%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 6.5 corners	82.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Atlético Bucaramanga under 5.5 corners	73.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Atlético Bucaramanga over 2.5 corners	72.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Atlético Bucaramanga under 4.5 corners	60.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Atlético Bucaramanga over 3.5 corners	55.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Atlético Bucaramanga under 3.5 corners	44.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Atlético Bucaramanga over 4.5 corners	40.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Atlético Bucaramanga under 2.5 corners	27.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Atlético Bucaramanga over 5.5 corners	27.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Atlético Bucaramanga over 6.5 corners	17.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 3.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Atlético Bucaramanga under 2.5 goals	83.2%	82.1%	84.4%	0.97×	1.22
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	75.8%	1.03×	1.29
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 goals	58.9%	58.8%	58.4%	1.01×	1.70
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 goals	41.1%	41.2%	41.6%	0.99×	2.43
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	24.2%	0.92×	4.49
Atlético Bucaramanga over 2.5 goals	16.8%	17.9%	15.6%	1.15×	5.60
Atlético Bucaramanga over 3.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	4.7%	1.63×	12.94

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga under 1.5 in 1st half	87.6%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Atlético Bucaramanga over 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Atlético Bucaramanga under 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Atlético Bucaramanga over 1.5 in 1st half	12.4%	10.1%	—	—	9.92

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.7%	51.6%	54.4%	0.95×	1.94
Independiente Medellín (home no bet)	48.3%	48.4%	45.6%	1.06×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga even goals	53.0%	50.6%	53.4%	0.95×	1.98
Atlético Bucaramanga odd goals	47.0%	49.4%	46.6%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
HT 1-0	21.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	9.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-0	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.18
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.83
Any other HT score	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.82
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.86
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.92
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	44.03

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT	25.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Independiente Medellín at HT / Independiente Medellín at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Independiente Medellín at FT	11.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Independiente Medellín at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Independiente Medellín at HT / Atlético Bucaramanga at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Atlético Bucaramanga at HT / Independiente Medellín at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga to score last	51.7%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Independiente Medellín to score last	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	9.7%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.3%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 1 at any time	58.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Independiente Medellín to lead by 1 at any time	43.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 2 at any time	27.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Independiente Medellín to lead by 2 at any time	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Atlético Bucaramanga to lead by 3 at any time	9.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.11
Independiente Medellín to lead by 3 at any time	4.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.26

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga most corners	50.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Independiente Medellín most corners	37.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	12.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.4%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.6%	80.0%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	70.4%	72.4%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.7%	69.0%	65.4%	1.06×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.8%	69.0%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.4%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.2%	48.7%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.6%	48.7%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.4%	43.6%	42.6%	1.02×	2.30
3-5 goals	40.7%	43.6%	40.5%	1.08×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.3%	35.4%	34.8%	1.02×	2.83
4-6 goals	22.2%	24.5%	19.5%	1.26×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.5%	18.6%	17.4%	1.07×	5.37
5-6 goals	9.1%	8.8%	7.9%	1.10×	11.42
7+ goals	1.3%	2.5%	1.5%	1.66×	39.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Bucaramanga never behind	46.4%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Independiente Medellín never behind	31.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.8%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.2%	49.7%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.6%	87.7%	90.7%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.5%	77.4%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.7%	72.5%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.3%	58.8%	56.1%	1.05×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	44.7%	41.2%	44.0%	0.94×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	28.3%	27.5%	31.2%	0.88×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	23.5%	22.6%	20.9%	1.09×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	10.4%	12.3%	9.3%	1.32×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	10.8%	0.71×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.8%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.0%	86.7%	89.5%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.2%	72.6%	72.9%	1.00×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.3%	62.1%	58.5%	1.06×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.7%	37.9%	41.5%	0.91×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.8%	27.4%	27.1%	1.01×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.0%	13.3%	10.5%	1.26×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.2%	2.8%	3.8%	0.72×	36.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	1.6%	1.76×	36.38

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.3%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.0%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.0%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.7%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.72

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín not to score in both halves	83.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Bucaramanga not to score in both halves	74.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Atlético Bucaramanga to score in both halves	25.1%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Independiente Medellín to score in both halves	16.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.5%	53.9%	48.8%	1.10×	1.86
Only Atlético Bucaramanga scores	25.1%	26.1%	27.1%	0.96×	3.83
Only Independiente Medellín scores	14.8%	11.0%	13.5%	0.81×	9.13
Neither team scores	9.7%	7.2%	10.8%	0.66×	13.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.0%	24.9%	25.0%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.2%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.6%	17.4%	20.4%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.1%	12.1%	11.7%	1.03×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	9.7%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	6.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.10
6 or more goals	4.0%	4.4%	3.6%	1.22×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	24.2%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín not to win both halves	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Atlético Bucaramanga not to win both halves	87.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Atlético Bucaramanga to win both halves	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Independiente Medellín to win both halves	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín to win neither half	58.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Atlético Bucaramanga to win either half	56.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Atlético Bucaramanga to win neither half	43.1%	40.6%	—	—	2.47
Independiente Medellín to win either half	41.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Medellín not to win to nil	85.2%	88.2%	86.5%	1.02×	1.13
Atlético Bucaramanga not to win to nil	74.9%	75.3%	72.9%	1.03×	1.33
Atlético Bucaramanga to win to nil	25.1%	24.7%	27.1%	0.91×	4.05
Independiente Medellín to win to nil	14.8%	11.8%	13.5%	0.88×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.1%	27.8%	29.5%	0.94×	3.59
Atlético Bucaramanga by 1	22.2%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.14
Independiente Medellín by 1	16.4%	16.9%	17.2%	0.98×	5.90
Atlético Bucaramanga by 2	13.5%	11.8%	12.4%	0.95×	8.47
Atlético Bucaramanga by 3+	8.2%	7.2%	8.2%	0.88×	13.80
Independiente Medellín by 2	7.6%	7.2%	5.0%	1.45×	13.80
Independiente Medellín by 3+	3.1%	2.7%	2.8%	0.97×	37.04