Atlético Grau v ADT — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Atlético Grau

14:00

ADT

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,172h before kick-off

Atlético Grau win

51.4%

model 52.5%

Draw

26.5%

model 27.0%

ADT win

22.1%

model 20.5%

512622

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 16.5%
1-1 12.0%
2-0 11.4%
0-0 11.3%
0-1 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	36.5%	Under 2.5	63.5%
BTTS yes	39.7%	BTTS no	60.3%
Atlético Grau 1+	75.3%	Atlético Grau 2+	40.8%
ADT 1+	53.0%	ADT 2+	17.5%

Expected goals 1.40 – 0.76. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Atlético Grau carry the stronger rating, 1463 Elo against 1391.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atlético Grau have an estimated 51.4% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 22.1% for ADT. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Atlético Grau and 0.76 for ADT.

Why Atlético Grau

Atlético Grau carry the stronger rating, 1463 Elo against 1391. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. A combined 2.15 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why ADT can win

Nothing in the data singles out ADT.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Atlético Grau, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for ADT, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Atlético Grau: 44% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. ADT: 55% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Atlético Grau are the model's most likely outcome at 51.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 16.5%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	542818	1.35–0.65	1-0 18%	32%	35%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to win	53.8%	51.5%	50.0%	1.03×	1.94
Draw	27.8%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
ADT to win	18.3%	19.3%	25.1%	0.77×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau & not both score	38.8%	33.2%	26.5%	1.25×	3.01
Atlético Grau & both teams score	15.1%	17.9%	23.6%	0.76×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	17.5%	0.76×	7.54
Draw & not both score	13.3%	13.3%	7.8%	1.70×	7.54
ADT & not both score	12.7%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.54
ADT & both teams score	5.6%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau & under 3.5	44.3%	40.3%	33.8%	1.19×	2.48
Atlético Grau & over 1.5	35.4%	34.9%	38.2%	0.91×	2.87
Atlético Grau & under 2.5	30.8%	30.9%	19.3%	1.60×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	24.9%	21.7%	18.9%	1.15×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	24.9%	21.7%	18.9%	1.15×	4.62
Atlético Grau & over 2.5	23.1%	21.7%	30.9%	0.70×	4.62
Atlético Grau & under 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	12.0%	1.50×	5.56
ADT & under 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.5%	12.9%	17.5%	0.74×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	13.3%	12.9%	7.8%	1.65×	7.77
ADT & under 2.5	12.0%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.77
Atlético Grau & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	16.4%	0.48×	12.69
ADT & over 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	17.3%	0.46×	12.69
ADT & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	8.0%	0.98×	12.69
ADT & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.94
ADT & over 3.5	1.8%	4.8%	6.2%	0.77×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (1UP)	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
ADT (1UP)	30.9%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (2UP)	53.8%	55.7%	—	—	1.79
ADT (2UP)	18.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.4%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Atlético Grau to win 2nd half	41.3%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
ADT to win 2nd half	17.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (+2.5)	90.2%	92.1%	88.5%	1.04×	1.09
Atlético Grau (+0.5)	81.7%	82.4%	74.9%	1.10×	1.21
ADT (+1.5)	73.9%	73.7%	75.3%	0.98×	1.36
Atlético Grau (-0.5)	53.8%	52.3%	50.0%	1.05×	1.91
ADT (+0.5)	46.2%	47.7%	50.0%	0.95×	2.10
Atlético Grau (-1.5)	26.1%	26.3%	24.7%	1.06×	3.81
ADT (-0.5)	18.3%	17.6%	25.1%	0.70×	5.68
Atlético Grau (-2.5)	9.8%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede	74.0%	76.5%	80.2%	0.95×	1.31
ADT clean sheet	26.0%	23.5%	19.8%	1.19×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT clean sheet in 1st half	56.0%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
ADT to concede in 1st half	44.0%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 6.5 corners	88.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
ADT under 5.5 corners	80.6%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
ADT under 4.5 corners	68.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
ADT over 2.5 corners	66.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
ADT under 3.5 corners	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
ADT over 3.5 corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
ADT under 2.5 corners	33.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
ADT over 4.5 corners	31.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
ADT over 5.5 corners	19.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
ADT over 6.5 corners	11.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.6%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
ADT under 2.5 goals	97.1%	97.5%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
ADT under 1.5 goals	86.0%	87.9%	71.6%	1.23×	1.14
ADT under 0.5 goals	52.0%	53.7%	34.2%	1.57×	1.86
ADT over 0.5 goals	48.0%	46.3%	65.8%	0.70×	2.16
ADT over 1.5 goals	14.0%	12.1%	28.4%	0.43×	8.25
ADT over 2.5 goals	2.9%	2.5%	8.0%	0.31×	40.73
ADT over 3.5 goals	0.5%	2.4%	2.5%	0.96×	40.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 1.5 in 1st half	97.1%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
ADT under 0.5 in 1st half	77.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
ADT over 0.5 in 1st half	23.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
ADT over 1.5 in 1st half	2.9%	4.2%	—	—	24.04

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (away no bet)	65.9%	66.3%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.1%	33.7%	33.4%	1.01×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT even goals	63.5%	59.1%	56.9%	1.04×	1.69
ADT odd goals	36.5%	40.9%	43.1%	0.95×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.4%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	53.9%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	46.1%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Atlético Grau to score 2+ in a row	34.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Atlético Grau to score 3+ in a row	12.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
ADT to score 2+ in a row	10.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
ADT to score 3+ in a row	1.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.59

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau corners (+3.5)	90.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Atlético Grau corners (+2.5)	85.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
ADT corners (+3.5)	77.9%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Atlético Grau corners (+1.5)	77.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
ADT corners (+2.5)	68.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
ADT corners (+1.5)	57.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Atlético Grau corners (-1.5)	42.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Atlético Grau corners (-2.5)	31.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
ADT corners (-1.5)	23.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Atlético Grau corners (-3.5)	22.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
ADT corners (-2.5)	14.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
ADT corners (-3.5)	9.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	55.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	26.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	17.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	82.6%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	66.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	56.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	44.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	44.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	33.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 10.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 11.5 corners	17.4%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	11.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	18.5%	13.8%	12.0%	1.15×	7.26
0-0	13.3%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.73
2-0	12.3%	11.5%	7.5%	1.54×	8.73
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
0-1	9.1%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.48
2-1	8.0%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
3-0	5.5%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.48
0-2	2.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.47
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.49
1-2	3.9%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.47
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
2-2	2.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.47
2-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.47
3-2	1.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.48
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.49
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.48
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.49
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau leading at HT (DNB)	72.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
ADT leading at HT (DNB)	27.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau or draw (1X)	81.7%	80.7%	74.9%	1.08×	1.24
Atlético Grau or ADT (12)	72.2%	72.1%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
ADT or draw (X2)	46.2%	48.5%	50.0%	0.97×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau or draw at HT	86.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
ADT or draw at HT	63.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Atlético Grau or ADT at HT	50.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau or draw (1UP)	81.7%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
ADT or draw (1UP)	46.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau or draw in 2nd half	82.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
ADT or draw in 2nd half	58.7%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Atlético Grau or ADT in 2nd half	58.6%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	70.8%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Neither half drawn	29.2%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (DNB)	74.6%	71.5%	66.6%	1.07×	1.40
ADT (DNB)	25.4%	28.5%	33.4%	0.85×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to score first	58.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
ADT to score first	28.3%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
No goal scored	13.3%	10.3%	—	—	9.67

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	64.8%	56.5%	46.2%	1.22×	1.77
Both teams to score	35.2%	43.5%	53.8%	0.81×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	56.0%	47.2%	37.6%	1.25×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	23.6%	27.7%	42.7%	0.65×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.6%	89.1%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.4%	10.9%	14.4%	0.76×	9.20

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	82.7%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.3%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	74.4%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Both score 2nd half only	15.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score 1st half only	8.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.68
Both score in both halves	1.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.38

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.9%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	10.1%	13.5%	—	—	7.38

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	61.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	38.9%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.9%	42.1%	44.2%	0.95×	2.37
0-1 goals	40.9%	42.1%	27.5%	1.53×	2.38
4-6 goals	13.8%	16.9%	26.9%	0.63×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	1.8%	1.00×	54.76

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score exactly 0	52.0%	47.3%	34.2%	1.38×	2.12
ADT to score exactly 1	34.0%	33.8%	37.6%	0.90×	2.96
ADT to score exactly 2	11.1%	12.8%	20.5%	0.62×	7.81
ADT to score 3+	2.9%	4.5%	8.0%	0.57×	22.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to score exactly 1	35.0%	35.6%	32.9%	1.08×	2.81
Atlético Grau to score exactly 0	26.0%	26.5%	19.8%	1.34×	3.77
Atlético Grau to score exactly 2	23.6%	23.2%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Atlético Grau to score 3+	15.4%	18.9%	22.5%	0.84×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Atlético Grau leading at HT	36.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
ADT leading at HT	13.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau -1: 2	46.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlético Grau -1: X	27.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Atlético Grau -1: 1	26.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:1)	46.2%	45.9%	50.0%	0.92×	2.18
Draw (0:1)	27.8%	27.0%	25.5%	1.06×	3.70
Atlético Grau (0:1)	26.1%	27.0%	24.7%	1.09×	3.71

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:2)	73.9%	75.7%	75.3%	1.01×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.3%	15.3%	13.5%	1.14×	6.55
Atlético Grau (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	11.5%	0.68×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:3)	90.2%	92.6%	88.5%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.8%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.17
Atlético Grau (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.42
Atlético Grau (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (1:0)	81.7%	81.4%	74.9%	1.09×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	13.6%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.80
ADT (1:0)	4.7%	3.2%	7.6%	0.42×	31.34

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (2:0)	95.3%	96.9%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	5.6%	0.40×	44.13
ADT (2:0)	0.9%	2.3%	2.2%	1.03×	44.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.4%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Halves equal	29.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau clean sheet	52.0%	53.1%	34.2%	1.55×	1.88
Atlético Grau to concede	48.0%	46.9%	65.8%	0.71×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau clean sheet in 1st half	77.0%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Atlético Grau to concede in 1st half	23.0%	22.2%	—	—	4.51

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau over 2.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Atlético Grau under 6.5 corners	78.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Atlético Grau under 5.5 corners	66.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Atlético Grau over 3.5 corners	63.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Atlético Grau under 4.5 corners	52.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Atlético Grau over 4.5 corners	47.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Atlético Grau under 3.5 corners	37.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Atlético Grau over 5.5 corners	33.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Atlético Grau over 6.5 corners	22.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Atlético Grau under 2.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 3.5 goals	95.2%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Atlético Grau under 2.5 goals	84.6%	82.1%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Atlético Grau over 0.5 goals	74.0%	74.2%	80.2%	0.93×	1.35
Atlético Grau under 1.5 goals	61.0%	63.5%	52.5%	1.21×	1.58
Atlético Grau over 1.5 goals	39.0%	36.5%	47.5%	0.77×	2.74
Atlético Grau under 0.5 goals	26.0%	25.8%	19.8%	1.30×	3.87
Atlético Grau over 2.5 goals	15.4%	17.9%	22.5%	0.79×	5.59
Atlético Grau over 3.5 goals	4.8%	3.7%	7.6%	0.48×	27.40

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Atlético Grau under 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Atlético Grau over 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Atlético Grau over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	10.2%	—	—	9.80

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.3%	60.1%	50.0%	1.20×	1.66
ADT (home no bet)	39.7%	39.9%	50.0%	0.80×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau even goals	53.4%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Atlético Grau odd goals	46.6%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	43.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
HT 1-0	25.0%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
HT 0-1	11.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	7.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 1-1	6.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
Any other HT score	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 0-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.50
HT 1-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	31.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / ADT at FT	8.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
ADT at HT / ADT at FT	8.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Atlético Grau at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
ADT at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
ADT at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Atlético Grau at HT / ADT at FT	0.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to score last	58.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
ADT to score last	28.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goal scored	13.3%	9.7%	—	—	10.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.7%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Atlético Grau to lead by 1 at any time	63.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	37.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
ADT to lead by 1 at any time	30.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Atlético Grau to lead by 2 at any time	30.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Atlético Grau to lead by 3 at any time	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
ADT to lead by 2 at any time	7.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.08
ADT to lead by 3 at any time	1.3%	1.6%	—	—	63.08

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau most corners	55.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
ADT most corners	33.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.1%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.5%	83.5%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.4%	72.4%	63.8%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	58.7%	59.2%	70.9%	0.83×	1.69
2-5 goals	57.5%	59.2%	67.5%	0.88×	1.69
1-2 goals	54.4%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-4 goals	53.9%	53.2%	58.4%	0.91×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.9%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.30
3-6 goals	31.9%	35.4%	49.6%	0.71×	2.83
3-5 goals	30.7%	35.4%	46.2%	0.77×	2.83
3-4 goals	27.1%	30.2%	37.1%	0.82×	3.31
4-6 goals	13.8%	14.9%	26.9%	0.55×	6.72
4-5 goals	12.6%	14.9%	23.5%	0.63×	6.72
5-6 goals	4.8%	2.6%	12.7%	0.20×	39.11
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	1.8%	1.40×	39.31

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau never behind	55.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
ADT never behind	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.6%	50.8%	53.1%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.4%	49.2%	46.9%	1.05×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	40.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.3%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	85.6%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.7%	87.6%	92.2%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	85.7%	87.6%	71.5%	1.23×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	67.7%	66.2%	48.7%	1.36×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	59.1%	58.8%	72.5%	0.81×	1.70
Under 1.5 goals	40.9%	41.2%	27.5%	1.50×	2.43
Over 2.5 goals	32.3%	33.8%	51.3%	0.66×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	14.3%	12.4%	28.5%	0.43×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	13.3%	12.4%	7.8%	1.58×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	14.4%	0.54×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	1.7%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.3%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.2%	92.5%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	82.6%	81.1%	63.1%	1.29×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.8%	55.4%	34.9%	1.59×	1.80
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.2%	44.6%	65.1%	0.68×	2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	17.4%	18.9%	36.9%	0.51×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.8%	7.5%	16.7%	0.45×	13.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.7%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	1.9%	1.47×	36.21

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.7%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.5%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	56.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half	43.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.00

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to score in both halves	92.5%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Atlético Grau not to score in both halves	76.4%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Atlético Grau to score in both halves	23.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
ADT to score in both halves	7.5%	9.7%	—	—	10.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Atlético Grau scores	38.8%	39.9%	26.5%	1.50×	2.51
Both teams score	35.2%	39.8%	53.8%	0.74×	2.51
Neither team scores	13.3%	10.9%	7.8%	1.40×	9.14
Only ADT scores	12.7%	10.9%	12.2%	0.90×	9.14

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	27.6%	25.0%	19.8%	1.26×	4.01
Exactly 2 goals	26.8%	25.0%	21.5%	1.16×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	18.0%	17.4%	22.9%	0.76×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	13.3%	12.1%	7.8%	1.55×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	9.0%	7.6%	14.4%	0.53×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	3.6%	4.4%	9.3%	0.48×	22.66
6 or more goals	1.7%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.5%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
2+ goals in 2nd half	32.2%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	31.3%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to win both halves	97.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Atlético Grau not to win both halves	85.1%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Atlético Grau to win both halves	14.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
ADT to win both halves	2.4%	2.8%	—	—	36.26

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to win neither half	71.2%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Atlético Grau to win either half	62.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Atlético Grau to win neither half	37.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
ADT to win either half	28.8%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to win to nil	87.3%	88.2%	87.8%	1.00×	1.13
Atlético Grau not to win to nil	61.2%	66.7%	73.5%	0.91×	1.50
Atlético Grau to win to nil	38.8%	33.3%	26.5%	1.25×	3.01
ADT to win to nil	12.7%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau by 1	27.8%	27.9%	25.5%	1.09×	3.59
Draw	27.8%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
Atlético Grau by 2	16.3%	16.9%	13.5%	1.26×	5.91
ADT by 1	13.6%	11.8%	17.6%	0.67×	8.47
Atlético Grau by 3+	9.8%	7.3%	11.5%	0.63×	13.77
ADT by 2	3.8%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.96
ADT by 3+	0.9%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	37.05