Atlético Grau v Los Chankas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 8 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Atlético Grau

14:00

Los Chankas

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 788h before kick-off

Atlético Grau win

48.6%

model 48.7%

Draw

28.0%

model 26.6%

Los Chankas win

23.4%

model 24.7%

492823

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.0%
1-1 12.4%
2-0 9.7%
0-0 9.5%
0-1 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.1%	Under 2.5	58.9%
BTTS yes	45.1%	BTTS no	54.9%
Atlético Grau 1+	75.6%	Atlético Grau 2+	41.1%
Los Chankas 1+	60.0%	Los Chankas 2+	23.3%

Expected goals 1.41 – 0.92. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atlético Grau have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 28.0% for the draw and 23.4% for Los Chankas. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.41 for Atlético Grau and 0.92 for Los Chankas.

Why Atlético Grau

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.0%. A combined 2.33 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Los Chankas can win

Los Chankas carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1463.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Atlético Grau, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Los Chankas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Atlético Grau: 44% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Los Chankas: 44% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Atlético Grau are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.0%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	522721	1.41–0.78	1-0 16%	37%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to win	52.1%	51.5%	50.0%	1.03×	1.94
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
Los Chankas to win	21.0%	24.4%	25.1%	0.97×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau & not both score	34.9%	29.7%	26.5%	1.12×	3.36
Atlético Grau & both teams score	17.2%	17.9%	23.6%	0.76×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	15.9%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.59
Los Chankas & not both score	13.5%	13.3%	12.2%	1.09×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.0%	13.3%	7.8%	1.70×	7.55
Los Chankas & both teams score	7.5%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau & under 3.5	41.1%	40.3%	33.8%	1.19×	2.48
Atlético Grau & over 1.5	36.0%	34.9%	38.2%	0.91×	2.87
Atlético Grau & under 2.5	27.2%	26.0%	19.3%	1.35×	3.84
Atlético Grau & over 2.5	24.9%	21.6%	30.9%	0.70×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	23.1%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	23.1%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.62
Los Chankas & under 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Atlético Grau & under 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	12.0%	1.50×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.9%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Los Chankas & under 2.5	12.4%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.77
Los Chankas & over 1.5	12.0%	12.9%	17.3%	0.75×	7.77
Atlético Grau & over 3.5	11.0%	12.9%	16.4%	0.79×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	11.0%	12.9%	7.8%	1.65×	7.77
Los Chankas & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	8.0%	0.98×	12.70
Los Chankas & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.8%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.93
Los Chankas & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.2%	0.77×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (1UP)	63.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Los Chankas (1UP)	35.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (2UP)	52.1%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Los Chankas (2UP)	21.0%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to win 2nd half	40.6%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	39.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Los Chankas to win 2nd half	19.9%	19.4%	—	—	5.17

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (+2.5)	90.1%	92.1%	88.5%	1.04×	1.09
Atlético Grau (+0.5)	79.0%	78.5%	74.9%	1.05×	1.27
Los Chankas (+1.5)	74.3%	73.7%	75.3%	0.98×	1.36
Atlético Grau (-0.5)	52.1%	52.4%	50.0%	1.05×	1.91
Los Chankas (+0.5)	47.9%	47.6%	50.0%	0.95×	2.10
Atlético Grau (-1.5)	25.7%	26.3%	24.7%	1.06×	3.80
Los Chankas (-0.5)	21.0%	21.5%	25.1%	0.86×	4.64
Atlético Grau (-2.5)	9.9%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to concede	75.5%	79.0%	80.2%	0.98×	1.27
Los Chankas clean sheet	24.5%	21.0%	19.8%	1.06×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to concede in 1st half	45.4%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Los Chankas clean sheet in 1st half	54.6%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 6.5 corners	91.6%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Los Chankas under 5.5 corners	84.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Los Chankas under 4.5 corners	73.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Los Chankas over 2.5 corners	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Los Chankas under 3.5 corners	57.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Los Chankas over 3.5 corners	42.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Los Chankas under 2.5 corners	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Los Chankas over 4.5 corners	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Los Chankas over 5.5 corners	15.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
Los Chankas over 6.5 corners	8.4%	9.9%	—	—	10.06

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 3.5 goals	99.2%	97.6%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Los Chankas under 2.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Los Chankas under 1.5 goals	81.7%	81.4%	71.6%	1.14×	1.23
Los Chankas over 0.5 goals	54.1%	53.7%	65.8%	0.82×	1.86
Los Chankas under 0.5 goals	45.9%	46.3%	34.2%	1.36×	2.16
Los Chankas over 1.5 goals	18.3%	18.6%	28.4%	0.65×	5.38
Los Chankas over 2.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	8.0%	0.31×	40.74
Los Chankas over 3.5 goals	0.8%	2.4%	2.5%	0.96×	40.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas under 1.5 in 1st half	96.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Los Chankas under 0.5 in 1st half	73.3%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Los Chankas over 0.5 in 1st half	26.7%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Los Chankas over 1.5 in 1st half	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.15

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (away no bet)	66.0%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.0%	33.6%	33.4%	1.01×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas even goals	60.5%	59.0%	56.9%	1.04×	1.70
Los Chankas odd goals	39.5%	41.0%	43.1%	0.95×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.6%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	—	—	12.93

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.1%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Not both halves under 1.5	50.9%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.9%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Atlético Grau to score 2+ in a row	35.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Los Chankas to score 2+ in a row	13.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Atlético Grau to score 3+ in a row	12.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Los Chankas to score 3+ in a row	2.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.88

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau corners (+3.5)	94.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Atlético Grau corners (+2.5)	89.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Grau corners (+1.5)	83.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Los Chankas corners (+3.5)	70.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Los Chankas corners (+2.5)	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Atlético Grau corners (-1.5)	51.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Los Chankas corners (+1.5)	48.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Atlético Grau corners (-2.5)	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Atlético Grau corners (-3.5)	29.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Los Chankas corners (-1.5)	16.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Los Chankas corners (-2.5)	10.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Los Chankas corners (-3.5)	6.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	19.1%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	80.9%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.3%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	46.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	26.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	19.1%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	13.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	16.1%	13.8%	12.0%	1.15×	7.27
1-1	12.1%	11.4%	11.3%	1.02×	8.74
0-0	11.0%	11.4%	7.8%	1.46×	8.74
2-0	11.1%	11.4%	7.5%	1.54×	8.74
0-1	9.0%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.47
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.47
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.47
1-2	4.8%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.50
0-2	3.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.50
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.52
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.52
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.52
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
2-2	3.4%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.50
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.52
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.50
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.52
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.52
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.51
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.52
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.52
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.52
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.52
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau leading at HT (DNB)	69.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Los Chankas leading at HT (DNB)	30.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau or draw (1X)	79.0%	75.6%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
Atlético Grau or Los Chankas (12)	73.1%	72.1%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
Los Chankas or draw (X2)	47.9%	48.5%	50.0%	0.97×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau or draw at HT	84.0%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Los Chankas or draw at HT	63.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Atlético Grau or Los Chankas at HT	52.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau or draw (1UP)	79.0%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Los Chankas or draw (1UP)	47.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau or draw in 2nd half	80.1%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Atlético Grau or Los Chankas in 2nd half	60.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Los Chankas or draw in 2nd half	59.4%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.7%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	31.3%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (DNB)	71.3%	71.4%	66.6%	1.07×	1.40
Los Chankas (DNB)	28.7%	28.6%	33.4%	0.86×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to score first	57.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Los Chankas to score first	31.7%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
No goal scored	11.0%	9.7%	—	—	10.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.4%	54.9%	46.2%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.6%	45.1%	53.8%	0.84×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.6%	47.0%	37.6%	1.25×	2.13
Both score & over 2.5	28.5%	33.6%	42.7%	0.79×	2.97
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.5%	89.1%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.5%	10.9%	14.4%	0.76×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	18.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
Both score 1st half only	9.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.66
Both score in both halves	2.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.61

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.9%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	12.1%	14.1%	—	—	7.11

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	43.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
0-1 goals	36.1%	35.0%	27.5%	1.28×	2.85
4-6 goals	17.0%	20.2%	26.9%	0.75×	4.95
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	1.8%	1.00×	55.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to score exactly 0	45.9%	42.9%	34.2%	1.25×	2.33
Los Chankas to score exactly 1	35.7%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Los Chankas to score exactly 2	13.9%	12.8%	20.5%	0.62×	7.80
Los Chankas to score 3+	4.4%	4.5%	8.0%	0.57×	22.00

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.7%	32.9%	0.99×	3.06
Atlético Grau to score exactly 0	24.5%	23.3%	19.8%	1.17×	4.30
Atlético Grau to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.3%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Atlético Grau to score 3+	16.8%	18.9%	22.5%	0.84×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Grau leading at HT	36.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Los Chankas leading at HT	16.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau -1: 2	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlético Grau -1: X	26.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Atlético Grau -1: 1	25.7%	26.6%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (0:1)	47.9%	45.9%	50.0%	0.92×	2.18
Draw (0:1)	26.5%	27.0%	25.5%	1.06×	3.70
Atlético Grau (0:1)	25.7%	27.0%	24.7%	1.09×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (0:2)	74.3%	75.6%	75.3%	1.00×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.8%	15.3%	13.5%	1.14×	6.54
Atlético Grau (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	11.5%	0.68×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (0:3)	90.1%	92.6%	88.5%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.8%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.19
Atlético Grau (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas (0:4)	96.9%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.35
Atlético Grau (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.52

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (1:0)	79.0%	78.5%	74.9%	1.05×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.8%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.80
Los Chankas (1:0)	6.2%	6.9%	7.6%	0.90×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau (2:0)	93.8%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.8%	2.3%	5.6%	0.40×	44.20
Los Chankas (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	2.2%	1.03×	44.42

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	28.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to concede	54.1%	53.1%	65.8%	0.81×	1.88
Atlético Grau clean sheet	45.9%	46.9%	34.2%	1.37×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau clean sheet in 1st half	73.3%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Atlético Grau to concede in 1st half	26.7%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau over 2.5 corners	82.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Atlético Grau under 6.5 corners	71.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Atlético Grau over 3.5 corners	69.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Atlético Grau under 5.5 corners	59.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Atlético Grau over 4.5 corners	54.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Atlético Grau under 4.5 corners	45.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Atlético Grau over 5.5 corners	40.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Atlético Grau under 3.5 corners	30.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Atlético Grau over 6.5 corners	28.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Atlético Grau under 2.5 corners	17.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Atlético Grau under 2.5 goals	83.2%	82.1%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Atlético Grau over 0.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	80.2%	0.97×	1.29
Atlético Grau under 1.5 goals	59.0%	58.8%	52.5%	1.12×	1.70
Atlético Grau over 1.5 goals	41.0%	41.2%	47.5%	0.87×	2.43
Atlético Grau under 0.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	19.8%	1.13×	4.49
Atlético Grau over 2.5 goals	16.8%	17.9%	22.5%	0.79×	5.60
Atlético Grau over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	7.6%	1.01×	12.94

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Atlético Grau over 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Atlético Grau under 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Atlético Grau over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	10.1%	—	—	9.92

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.1%	56.7%	50.0%	1.13×	1.76
Los Chankas (home no bet)	43.9%	43.3%	50.0%	0.87×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau even goals	53.0%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Atlético Grau odd goals	47.0%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	24.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
HT 2-0	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.86
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.90
HT 0-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.92
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.98
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	44.04

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	30.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Draw at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	19.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.93
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Los Chankas at HT / Los Chankas at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Los Chankas at FT	9.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Atlético Grau at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Los Chankas at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Los Chankas at HT / Atlético Grau at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Atlético Grau at HT / Los Chankas at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau to score last	57.3%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Los Chankas to score last	31.7%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	11.0%	9.1%	—	—	10.97

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.0%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Atlético Grau to lead by 1 at any time	63.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Los Chankas to lead by 1 at any time	35.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Atlético Grau to lead by 2 at any time	30.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Atlético Grau to lead by 3 at any time	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.64
Los Chankas to lead by 2 at any time	9.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.14
Los Chankas to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.5%	—	—	64.64

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau most corners	63.7%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Los Chankas most corners	25.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.9%	83.5%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.3%	72.4%	63.8%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	63.2%	63.4%	70.9%	0.89×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.5%	63.4%	67.5%	0.94×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.8%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.7%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.6%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.9%	35.4%	46.2%	0.77×	2.83
3-4 goals	30.2%	35.4%	37.1%	0.95×	2.83
4-6 goals	17.0%	18.6%	26.9%	0.69×	5.37
4-5 goals	15.3%	18.6%	23.5%	0.79×	5.37
5-6 goals	6.4%	8.7%	12.7%	0.69×	11.44
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	1.8%	1.39×	39.49

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Grau never behind	53.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Los Chankas never behind	25.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	53.1%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	46.9%	1.05×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.9%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.1%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.2%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.6%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	85.6%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.0%	87.7%	92.2%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.3%	82.4%	71.5%	1.15×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	63.9%	61.7%	72.5%	0.85×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	62.7%	61.7%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.3%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	36.1%	38.3%	27.5%	1.39×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.7%	17.6%	28.5%	0.62×	5.67
Under 0.5 goals	11.0%	12.3%	7.8%	1.58×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	14.4%	0.54×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.4%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.3%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.5%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.1%	92.5%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	77.9%	75.9%	63.1%	1.20×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.8%	51.8%	65.1%	0.79×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.2%	48.2%	34.9%	1.38×	2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.1%	24.1%	36.9%	0.65×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.9%	7.5%	16.7%	0.45×	13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.5%	2.8%	5.8%	0.47×	36.34
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.7%	1.9%	1.46×	36.40

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.5%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.7%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.0%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.0%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.0%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas not to score in both halves	90.0%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Atlético Grau not to score in both halves	75.0%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Atlético Grau to score in both halves	25.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
Los Chankas to score in both halves	10.0%	10.3%	—	—	9.71

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.6%	46.6%	53.8%	0.87×	2.15
Only Atlético Grau scores	34.9%	33.4%	26.5%	1.26×	2.99
Only Los Chankas scores	13.5%	10.9%	12.2%	0.90×	9.13
Neither team scores	11.0%	10.9%	7.8%	1.40×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.6%	24.9%	21.5%	1.16×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	25.1%	24.9%	19.8%	1.26×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	19.5%	17.4%	22.9%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.0%	12.1%	7.8%	1.54×	8.29
Exactly 4 goals	10.7%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	4.7%	4.4%	9.3%	0.48×	22.67
6 or more goals	2.4%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.1%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	35.9%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
No goals in 2nd half	28.0%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Atlético Grau not to win both halves	85.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Atlético Grau to win both halves	14.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Los Chankas to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.72

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas to win neither half	67.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Atlético Grau to win either half	62.1%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Atlético Grau to win neither half	37.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Los Chankas to win either half	32.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Los Chankas not to win to nil	86.5%	88.2%	87.8%	1.00×	1.13
Atlético Grau not to win to nil	65.1%	69.6%	73.5%	0.95×	1.44
Atlético Grau to win to nil	34.9%	30.4%	26.5%	1.15×	3.29
Los Chankas to win to nil	13.5%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.9%	27.8%	25.1%	1.11×	3.60
Atlético Grau by 1	26.5%	27.8%	25.5%	1.09×	3.60
Atlético Grau by 2	15.8%	16.9%	13.5%	1.26×	5.90
Los Chankas by 1	14.8%	11.8%	17.6%	0.67×	8.46
Atlético Grau by 3+	9.9%	7.3%	11.5%	0.63×	13.79
Los Chankas by 2	4.8%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.98
Los Chankas by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	37.09