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Atletico Madrid v Espanyol — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 August 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

Atletico Madrid
0–0
3.89 – 0.86 xG
Espanyol
Shots
25 – 8
On target
7 – 1
Shots in box
18 – 4
xG per shot
0.16 – 0.11
Set-piece xG
0.32 – 0.07
Goals − xG
-3.90 – -0.86
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.12.23.34.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Atletico Madrid 3.90 xGEspanyol 0.86 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Nahuel Molina 4' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Julián Álvarez 5' — Saved Shot (0.40 xG, Open Play)Samuel Lino 6' — Shot On Post (0.43 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 12' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Julián Álvarez 14' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, From Corner)Robin Le Normand 14' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Koke 15' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)César Azpilicueta 16' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Alejo Véliz 23' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 24' — Missed Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 26' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Javi Puado 32' — Missed Shot (0.57 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 45' — Saved Shot (0.46 xG, Open Play)Julián Álvarez 47' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Samuel Lino 47' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Rodrigo Riquelme 50' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Álvaro Aguado 50' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Koke 53' — Saved Shot (0.59 xG, Open Play)César Azpilicueta 61' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Ángel Correa 61' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Pablo Barrios Rivas 66' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Walid Cheddira 69' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Álvaro Aguado 69' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alex Kral 73' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Koke 82' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ángel Correa 82' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Rodrigo Riquelme 87' — Missed Shot (0.52 xG, Open Play)Tejero 90' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Pablo Barrios Rivas 91' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Javi Puado 92' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ángel Correa 93' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Pablo Barrios Rivas 94' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ángel Correa 96' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)
Atletico Madrid attacking right Espanyol attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Atletico Madrid Nahuel Molina 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Alexander Sørloth
5' Atletico Madrid Julián Álvarez 0.40 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
6' Atletico Madrid Samuel Lino 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Rodrigo de Paul
12' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.06 Open Play — Missed Shot Rodrigo de Paul
14' Atletico Madrid Julián Álvarez 0.14 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Robin Le Normand
14' Atletico Madrid Robin Le Normand 0.05 From Corner — Missed Shot Rodrigo Riquelme
15' Atletico Madrid Koke 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
16' Atletico Madrid César Azpilicueta 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Rodrigo Riquelme
23' Espanyol Alejo Véliz 0.06 Open Play — Missed Shot Tejero
24' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.41 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Rodrigo Riquelme
26' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.05 Open Play — Saved Shot Rodrigo de Paul
32' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.57 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Alex Kral
45' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.46 Open Play — Saved Shot Rodrigo de Paul
47' Atletico Madrid Julián Álvarez 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
47' Atletico Madrid Samuel Lino 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
50' Atletico Madrid Rodrigo Riquelme 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Pablo Barrios Rivas
50' Espanyol Álvaro Aguado 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Javi Puado
53' Atletico Madrid Koke 0.59 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
61' Atletico Madrid César Azpilicueta 0.05 From Corner — Saved Shot Ángel Correa
61' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Alexander Sørloth
66' Atletico Madrid Pablo Barrios Rivas 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alexander Sørloth
69' Espanyol Walid Cheddira 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Pol Lozano
69' Espanyol Álvaro Aguado 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
73' Espanyol Alex Kral 0.01 From Corner — Missed Shot Brian Oliván
82' Atletico Madrid Koke 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
82' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Antoine Griezmann
87' Atletico Madrid Rodrigo Riquelme 0.52 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Antoine Griezmann
90' Espanyol Tejero 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot —
91' Atletico Madrid Pablo Barrios Rivas 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
92' Espanyol Javi Puado 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jofre Carreras
93' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Reinildo
94' Atletico Madrid Pablo Barrios Rivas 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Rodrigo Riquelme
96' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pablo Barrios Rivas

Players

Espanyol

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Javi Puado FW 90 0 0 2 1 0.59 0.04 0.63
Álvaro Aguado MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.06 0.00 0.12
Tejero DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.06 0.71
Alex Kral MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.57 0.67
Fernando Calero DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.63
Joan García GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Omar El Hilali DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
José Gragera MC 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.57
Marash Kumbulla DC 68 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alejo Véliz FW 67 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.67
Carlos Romero DL 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Walid Cheddira Sub 23 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Brian Oliván Sub 23 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.00
Sergi Gómez Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pol Lozano Sub 21 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08
Jofre Carreras Sub 1 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02

Atletico Madrid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Koke MC 90 0 0 3 0 0.65 0.00 0.91
Rodrigo Riquelme DL 90 0 0 2 4 0.54 0.53 1.23
César Azpilicueta DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.53
Robin Le Normand DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.14 0.57
Jan Oblak GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Axel Witsel DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.19
Alexander Sørloth FW 76 0 0 4 3 0.98 0.15 1.54
Rodrigo de Paul MC 65 0 0 0 4 0.00 1.00 1.00
Julián Álvarez FW 49 0 0 3 0 0.61 0.00 0.94
Samuel Lino MC 49 0 0 2 0 0.48 0.00 0.89
Nahuel Molina DR 49 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.54
Pablo Barrios Rivas Sub 41 0 0 3 2 0.06 0.11 1.36
Marcos Llorente Sub 41 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.24
Antoine Griezmann Sub 41 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.64 0.66
Ángel Correa Sub 25 0 0 4 1 0.40 0.05 0.97
Reinildo Sub 14 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.30
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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