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Atletico Madrid v Getafe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 December 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–0
1.85 – 0.24 xG
Shots
11 – 7
On target
3 – 1
Shots in box
10 – 3
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.03
Set-piece xG
0.08 – 0.08
Goals − xG
-0.85 – -0.24
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.62.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Alexander Sørloth 68' — goal
Atletico Madrid 1.85 xGGetafe 0.24 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Pablo Barrios Rivas 3' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Samuel Lino 12' — Missed Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)Samuel Lino 16' — Missed Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Nyom 22' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Rodrigo de Paul 29' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Abdoulaye Keita 29' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Abdoulaye Keita 36' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Julián Álvarez 40' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Giuliano Simeone 42' — Missed Shot (0.59 xG, Open Play)Marcos Llorente 47' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Clement Lenglet 48' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Pablo Barrios Rivas 48' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Christantus Uche 55' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alvaro Rodríguez 62' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Alexander Sørloth 68' — Goal (0.05 xG, Open Play)Peter 88' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Luis Milla 90' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Ángel Correa 92' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)
Atletico Madrid attacking right Getafe attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Atletico Madrid Pablo Barrios Rivas 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
12' Atletico Madrid Samuel Lino 0.42 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Giuliano Simeone
16' Atletico Madrid Samuel Lino 0.33 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Rodrigo de Paul
22' Getafe Nyom 0.02 From Corner Saved Shot Luis Milla
29' Atletico Madrid Rodrigo de Paul 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Giuliano Simeone
29' Getafe Abdoulaye Keita 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Luis Milla
36' Getafe Abdoulaye Keita 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
40' Atletico Madrid Julián Álvarez 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Samuel Lino
42' Atletico Madrid Giuliano Simeone 0.59 Open Play Missed Shot Javi Galán
47' Atletico Madrid Marcos Llorente 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Samuel Lino
48' Atletico Madrid Clement Lenglet 0.08 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
48' Atletico Madrid Pablo Barrios Rivas 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Julián Álvarez
55' Getafe Christantus Uche 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Luis Milla
62' Getafe Alvaro Rodríguez 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Djené Dakonam
68' Atletico Madrid Alexander Sørloth 0.05 Open Play Goal Nahuel Molina
88' Getafe Peter 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Domingos Duarte
90' Getafe Luis Milla 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
92' Atletico Madrid Ángel Correa 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot

Players

Getafe

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Luis Milla MC 90 0 0 1 3 0.06 0.08 0.08
Nyom DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.05
Djené Dakonam MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.07
David Soria GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Juan Iglesias DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Domingos Duarte DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.05
Alvaro Rodríguez FW 80 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.07
Coba da Costa ML 80 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Omar Alderete DC 80 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Jesús Santiago MC 59 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Abdoulaye Keita MR 58 0 0 2 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Christantus Uche Sub 32 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.08
Alex Sola Sub 31 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Peter Sub 10 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Juan Berrocal Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bertug Yildirim Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02

Atletico Madrid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Rodrigo de Paul MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.11 0.33 0.61
Julián Álvarez FW 90 0 0 1 1 0.08 0.07 0.58
Clement Lenglet DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.43
Javi Galán DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.59 0.63
Giménez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.43
Jan Oblak GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pablo Barrios Rivas MC 89 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.41
Antoine Griezmann FW 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
Marcos Llorente DR 59 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.03
Giuliano Simeone MR 58 0 0 1 2 0.59 0.53 1.14
Samuel Lino ML 49 0 0 2 2 0.75 0.10 0.98
Alexander Sørloth Sub 41 1 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Ángel Correa Sub 32 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Nahuel Molina Sub 31 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Koke Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Robin Le Normand Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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