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Augsburg v RasenBallsport Leipzig — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 14 February 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Augsburg
0–0
1.05 – 1.65 xG
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Shots
11 – 14
On target
2 – 4
Shots in box
7 – 8
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
0.39 – 0.14
Goals − xG
-1.05 – -1.65
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Augsburg 1.05 xGRasenBallsport Leipzig 1.65 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Christoph Baumgartner 3' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Christoph Baumgartner 9' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Lutsharel Geertruida 10' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Alexis Claude Maurice 13' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Xavi Simons 14' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Chrislain Matsima 21' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)Frank Onyeka 25' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)David Raum 27' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Alexis Claude Maurice 38' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 39' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)David Raum 41' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Lukas Klostermann 46' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Xavi Simons 48' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Fredrik Jensen 53' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Amadou Haidara 58' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Xavi Simons 63' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Sesko 66' — Blocked Shot (0.58 xG, Open Play)Alexis Claude Maurice 67' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Phillip Tietz 68' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Arne Maier 72' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Phillip Tietz 73' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Frank Onyeka 80' — Missed Shot (0.45 xG, Open Play)Amadou Haidara 83' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Kosta Nedeljkovic 91' — Shot On Post (0.49 xG, Open Play)Kosta Nedeljkovic 91' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)
Augsburg attacking right RasenBallsport Leipzig attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' RasenBallsport Leipzig Christoph Baumgartner 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Xavi Simons
9' RasenBallsport Leipzig Christoph Baumgartner 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
10' RasenBallsport Leipzig Lutsharel Geertruida 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
13' Augsburg Alexis Claude Maurice 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kristijan Jakic
14' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot David Raum
21' Augsburg Chrislain Matsima 0.08 Set Piece — Saved Shot Marius Wolf
25' Augsburg Frank Onyeka 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Marius Wolf
27' RasenBallsport Leipzig David Raum 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Kevin Kampl
38' Augsburg Alexis Claude Maurice 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Frank Onyeka
39' Augsburg Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
41' RasenBallsport Leipzig David Raum 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
46' RasenBallsport Leipzig Lukas Klostermann 0.07 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot David Raum
48' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Benjamin Sesko
53' Augsburg Fredrik Jensen 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Kristijan Jakic
58' RasenBallsport Leipzig Amadou Haidara 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot —
63' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Bote Baku
66' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Sesko 0.58 Open Play — Blocked Shot David Raum
67' Augsburg Alexis Claude Maurice 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Frank Onyeka
68' Augsburg Phillip Tietz 0.09 From Corner — Missed Shot Marius Wolf
72' Augsburg Arne Maier 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Dimitris Giannoulis
73' Augsburg Phillip Tietz 0.07 From Corner — Missed Shot Alexis Claude Maurice
80' Augsburg Frank Onyeka 0.45 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Dimitris Giannoulis
83' RasenBallsport Leipzig Amadou Haidara 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Xavi Simons
91' RasenBallsport Leipzig Kosta Nedeljkovic 0.49 Open Play — Shot On Post —
91' RasenBallsport Leipzig Kosta Nedeljkovic 0.12 Open Play — Missed Shot David Raum

Players

Augsburg

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Frank Onyeka MC 90 0 0 2 2 0.48 0.07 0.48
Alexis Claude Maurice AMC 90 0 0 3 1 0.15 0.07 0.11
Chrislain Matsima DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.00
Finn Dahmen GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dimitris Giannoulis DML 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.55 0.55
Cédric Zesiger DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kristijan Jakic MC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.13 0.52
Marius Wolf DMR 83 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.21 0.11
Fredrik Jensen AMC 73 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.03
Samuel Essende FW 62 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Phillip Tietz Sub 28 0 0 2 0 0.17 0.00 0.00
Arne Maier Sub 17 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.11
Henri Koudossou Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

RasenBallsport Leipzig

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Xavi Simons AMC 90 0 0 3 2 0.15 0.05 0.81
David Raum DML 90 0 0 2 4 0.09 0.79 0.87
Lukas Klostermann DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.68
Amadou Haidara MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 0.68
Lutsharel Geertruida DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.70
Péter Gulácsi GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Benjamin Sesko FW 83 0 0 1 1 0.58 0.05 0.77
Bote Baku DMR 83 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.72
Kevin Kampl MC 71 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.73
Castello Lukeba DC 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.68
Christoph Baumgartner AMC 64 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Loïs Openda Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.66
Nicolas Seiwald Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arthur Vermeeren Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kosta Nedeljkovic Sub 7 0 0 2 0 0.61 0.00 0.61
Yussuf Poulsen Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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