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Auxerre v Lille — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 10 January 2025 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

0–0
0.60 – 1.52 xG
Shots
13 – 13
On target
3 – 5
Shots in box
9 – 8
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
0.20 – 0.90
Goals − xG
-0.60 – -1.52
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.91.31.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Auxerre 0.60 xGLille 1.52 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Benjamin André 8' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 21' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Paul Joly 24' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Clément Akpa 27' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Bafode Diakite 31' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Ismaily 31' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Gideon Mensah 38' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Rémy Cabella 38' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Hamed Junior Traore 39' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Assane Diousse 45' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jubal 45' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Jonathan Christian David 57' — Saved Shot (0.76 xG, )Hamed Junior Traore 59' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Hákon Haraldsson 63' — Saved Shot (0.27 xG, Open Play)Gaetan Perrin 70' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Lassine Sinayoko 70' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jubal 71' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Gaetan Perrin 73' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Hákon Haraldsson 74' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Rémy Cabella 75' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Rémy Cabella 79' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Osame Sahraoui 81' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Hamed Junior Traore 89' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Osame Sahraoui 89' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Thomas Meunier 94' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Angel Gomes 95' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)
Auxerre attacking right Lille attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
8' Lille Benjamin André 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Hákon Haraldsson
21' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
24' Auxerre Paul Joly 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lassine Sinayoko
27' Auxerre Clément Akpa 0.01 From Corner Blocked Shot Paul Joly
31' Lille Bafode Diakite 0.03 From Corner Blocked Shot Rémy Cabella
31' Lille Ismaily 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Hákon Haraldsson
38' Auxerre Gideon Mensah 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Lassine Sinayoko
38' Lille Rémy Cabella 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jonathan Christian David
39' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.08 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
45' Auxerre Assane Diousse 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
45' Auxerre Jubal 0.05 From Corner Missed Shot Gaetan Perrin
57' Lille Jonathan Christian David 0.76 Right Foot Saved Shot
59' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Assane Diousse
63' Lille Hákon Haraldsson 0.27 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot André Gomes
70' Auxerre Gaetan Perrin 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jubal
70' Auxerre Lassine Sinayoko 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Gaetan Perrin
71' Auxerre Jubal 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Gaetan Perrin
73' Auxerre Gaetan Perrin 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
74' Lille Hákon Haraldsson 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
75' Lille Rémy Cabella 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Hákon Haraldsson
79' Lille Rémy Cabella 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Osame Sahraoui
81' Lille Osame Sahraoui 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
89' Auxerre Hamed Junior Traore 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
89' Lille Osame Sahraoui 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jonathan Christian David
94' Lille Thomas Meunier 0.05 From Corner Saved Shot Angel Gomes
95' Lille Angel Gomes 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Gabriel Gudmundsson

Players

Lille

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jonathan Christian David FW 90 0 0 1 2 0.76 0.18 0.45
Hákon Haraldsson AML 90 0 0 2 3 0.30 0.13 0.42
Bafode Diakite DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.01
Benjamin André DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.11
Alexsandro Ribeiro DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Lucas Chevalier GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Rémy Cabella AMR 87 0 0 3 1 0.21 0.03 0.48
André Gomes DMC 80 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.27 0.39
Aissa Mandi DR 80 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Ismaily DL 70 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.10
Ayyoub Bouaddi AMC 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.27
Angel Gomes Sub 20 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.05 0.02
Gabriel Gudmundsson Sub 20 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.00
Osame Sahraoui Sub 10 0 0 2 1 0.12 0.02 0.11
Thomas Meunier Sub 10 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.09
Mohamed Bayo Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Auxerre

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Hamed Junior Traore ML 90 0 0 4 0 0.19 0.00 0.24
Gaetan Perrin MR 90 0 0 2 3 0.13 0.17 0.19
Jubal DC 90 0 0 2 1 0.11 0.01 0.01
Lassine Sinayoko FW 90 0 0 1 2 0.06 0.08 0.15
Gideon Mensah DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.08
Clément Akpa DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.00
Elisha Owusu MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Théo De Percin GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Sinaly Diomande DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Assane Diousse MC 67 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.01 0.04
Paul Joly DR 58 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.01 0.03
Han-Noah Massengo Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Florian Aye Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Theo Bair Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ado Onaiwu Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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