Avispa Fukuoka v Mito Hollyhock — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627
JPN-J League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Avispa Fukuoka win
46.4%
Draw
25.7%
Mito Hollyhock win
27.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.48–1.08 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.48–1.23 | 1-1 12% | 51% | 54% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka to win | 43.1% | 43.0% | 42.9% | 1.00× | 2.32 |
| Mito Hollyhock to win | 31.6% | 30.4% | 31.0% | 0.98× | 3.30 |
| Draw | 25.3% | 27.9% | 26.3% | 1.06× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka & not both score | 22.7% | 21.9% | 25.0% | 0.88× | 4.57 |
| Avispa Fukuoka & both teams score | 20.4% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 1.21× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.7% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 0.93× | 5.58 |
| Mito Hollyhock & not both score | 16.3% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 1.01× | 5.58 |
| Mito Hollyhock & both teams score | 15.4% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 1.33× | 5.58 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 1.18× | 11.93 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka & over 1.5 | 33.1% | 30.9% | 30.2% | 1.02× | 3.24 |
| Avispa Fukuoka & under 3.5 | 29.9% | 26.0% | 33.1% | 0.79× | 3.84 |
| Avispa Fukuoka & over 2.5 | 25.8% | 26.0% | 23.1% | 1.13× | 3.84 |
| Mito Hollyhock & over 1.5 | 23.3% | 21.7% | 21.2% | 1.02× | 4.62 |
| Mito Hollyhock & under 3.5 | 22.9% | 21.7% | 23.4% | 0.92× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.7% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 0.93× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 0.88× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 0.88× | 5.56 |
| Mito Hollyhock & over 2.5 | 18.2% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 1.01× | 5.56 |
| Avispa Fukuoka & under 2.5 | 17.3% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 0.90× | 5.56 |
| Mito Hollyhock & under 2.5 | 13.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 0.97× | 7.77 |
| Avispa Fukuoka & over 3.5 | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 1.29× | 7.77 |
| Avispa Fukuoka & under 1.5 | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 1.00× | 7.77 |
| Mito Hollyhock & over 3.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 1.02× | 12.69 |
| Mito Hollyhock & under 1.5 | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 0.79× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 1.11× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.31× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.31× | 12.70 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka (1UP) | 58.9% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Mito Hollyhock (1UP) | 49.0% | 43.3% | — | — | 2.31 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka (2UP) | 43.1% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Mito Hollyhock (2UP) | 31.6% | 30.8% | — | — | 3.24 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 35.4% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to win 2nd half | 35.3% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Mito Hollyhock to win 2nd half | 29.2% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock (+2.5) | 91.9% | 92.1% | 93.8% | 0.98× | 1.09 |
| Mito Hollyhock (+1.5) | 79.0% | 78.4% | 82.0% | 0.96× | 1.28 |
| Avispa Fukuoka (+0.5) | 68.4% | 68.7% | 69.0% | 1.00× | 1.46 |
| Mito Hollyhock (+0.5) | 56.9% | 57.0% | 57.1% | 1.00× | 1.75 |
| Avispa Fukuoka (-0.5) | 43.1% | 43.0% | 42.9% | 1.00× | 2.33 |
| Mito Hollyhock (-0.5) | 31.6% | 31.3% | 31.0% | 1.01× | 3.20 |
| Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5) | 21.0% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 1.19× | 4.64 |
| Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5) | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.28× | 12.62 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock to concede | 77.2% | 79.0% | 75.3% | 1.05× | 1.27 |
| Mito Hollyhock clean sheet | 22.8% | 21.0% | 24.7% | 0.85× | 4.77 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock to concede in 1st half | 47.0% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Mito Hollyhock clean sheet in 1st half | 53.0% | 49.3% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock under 6.5 corners | 94.6% | 89.3% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Mito Hollyhock under 5.5 corners | 88.9% | 84.9% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Mito Hollyhock under 4.5 corners | 78.9% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Mito Hollyhock under 3.5 corners | 63.5% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 2.5 corners | 56.7% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Mito Hollyhock under 2.5 corners | 43.3% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 3.5 corners | 36.5% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 4.5 corners | 21.1% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.14 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 5.5 corners | 11.1% | 15.1% | — | — | 6.64 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 6.5 corners | 5.4% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.33 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock under 3.5 goals | 96.4% | 97.5% | 95.9% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Mito Hollyhock under 2.5 goals | 87.3% | 87.9% | 87.8% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 0.5 goals | 70.7% | 71.9% | 68.0% | 1.06× | 1.39 |
| Mito Hollyhock under 1.5 goals | 65.3% | 67.9% | 68.2% | 1.00× | 1.47 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 goals | 34.7% | 32.1% | 31.8% | 1.01× | 3.12 |
| Mito Hollyhock under 0.5 goals | 29.3% | 28.1% | 32.0% | 0.88× | 3.56 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 2.5 goals | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 0.99× | 8.25 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 3.5 goals | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 0.60× | 40.69 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.2% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Mito Hollyhock under 0.5 in 1st half | 61.2% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 0.5 in 1st half | 38.8% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.8% | 5.9% | — | — | 17.04 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka (away no bet) | 63.0% | 62.1% | 62.0% | 1.00× | 1.61 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 37.0% | 37.9% | 38.0% | 1.00× | 2.64 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock even goals | 54.3% | 52.8% | 54.4% | 0.97× | 1.89 |
| Mito Hollyhock odd goals | 45.7% | 47.2% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 85.4% | 87.6% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 14.6% | 12.4% | — | — | 8.03 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 63.3% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 36.7% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 55.2% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to score 2+ in a row | 35.1% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Mito Hollyhock to score 2+ in a row | 26.3% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 19.1% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.11 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to score 3+ in a row | 12.0% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.22 |
| Mito Hollyhock to score 3+ in a row | 7.3% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.69 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka corners (+3.5) | 95.1% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Avispa Fukuoka corners (+2.5) | 90.7% | 88.6% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Avispa Fukuoka corners (+1.5) | 83.9% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Mito Hollyhock corners (+3.5) | 74.7% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Mito Hollyhock corners (+2.5) | 63.6% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Mito Hollyhock corners (+1.5) | 50.8% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Avispa Fukuoka corners (-1.5) | 49.2% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Avispa Fukuoka corners (-2.5) | 36.4% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Avispa Fukuoka corners (-3.5) | 25.3% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Mito Hollyhock corners (-1.5) | 16.1% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
| Mito Hollyhock corners (-2.5) | 9.3% | 11.4% | — | — | 8.81 |
| Mito Hollyhock corners (-3.5) | 4.9% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.51 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 63.5% | 50.0% | — | — | 2.00 |
| 9-11 corners | 24.8% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
| 12+ corners | 11.6% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 92.7% | 86.0% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 88.4% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 82.2% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 73.9% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 63.5% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 51.4% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 48.6% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 36.5% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 26.1% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 17.8% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.96 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 11.6% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.82 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 7.3% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.16 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 0.85× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 0.89× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 0.74× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.76× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 1.04× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.13× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.42× | 13.48 |
| 0-3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.54× | 58.48 |
| 0-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.49 |
| 1-3 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.72× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.16× | 58.48 |
| 2-3 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.98× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.60× | 58.49 |
| 3-0 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.47 |
| 3-1 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.46 |
| 3-2 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.68× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.16× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.70× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.35× | 58.48 |
| 4-1 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.60× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.40× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.40× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.54× | 58.47 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka leading at HT (DNB) | 58.2% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Mito Hollyhock leading at HT (DNB) | 41.8% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka or Mito Hollyhock (12) | 74.7% | 72.1% | 73.7% | 0.98× | 1.39 |
| Avispa Fukuoka or draw (1X) | 68.4% | 69.7% | 69.0% | 1.01× | 1.44 |
| Mito Hollyhock or draw (X2) | 56.9% | 57.0% | 57.1% | 1.00× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka or draw at HT | 76.3% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Mito Hollyhock or draw at HT | 67.0% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Avispa Fukuoka or Mito Hollyhock at HT | 56.7% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka or draw (1UP) | 68.4% | 76.0% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Mito Hollyhock or draw (1UP) | 56.9% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka or draw in 2nd half | 70.8% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Mito Hollyhock or draw in 2nd half | 64.7% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Avispa Fukuoka or Mito Hollyhock in 2nd half | 64.6% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 63.5% | 61.6% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Neither half drawn | 36.5% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.61 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka (DNB) | 57.7% | 58.3% | 58.0% | 1.00× | 1.72 |
| Mito Hollyhock (DNB) | 42.3% | 41.7% | 42.0% | 0.99× | 2.40 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka to score first | 51.0% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Mito Hollyhock to score first | 42.4% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| No goal scored | 6.5% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.36 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 54.4% | 51.4% | 50.5% | 1.02× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 45.6% | 48.6% | 49.5% | 0.98× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 42.5% | 41.6% | 37.2% | 1.12× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 37.2% | 38.5% | 40.0% | 0.96× | 2.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 0.92× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 0.87× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 84.9% | 83.1% | 86.2% | 0.96× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 15.1% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 1.23× | 5.91 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 70.4% | 74.0% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 29.6% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.84 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 57.6% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.2% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.79 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.8% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.30 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.4% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.84 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.8% | 82.4% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.2% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.67 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 53.6% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A half without a goal | 46.4% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.4% | 47.4% | 47.2% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.6% | 26.4% | 21.0% | 1.26× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 24.9% | 22.8% | 29.6% | 0.77× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.72× | 54.59 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock to score exactly 1 | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.4% | 0.99× | 2.78 |
| Mito Hollyhock to score exactly 0 | 29.3% | 27.4% | 32.0% | 0.86× | 3.65 |
| Mito Hollyhock to score exactly 2 | 22.1% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 1.13× | 4.46 |
| Mito Hollyhock to score 3+ | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.80 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka to score exactly 1 | 33.7% | 32.7% | 36.4% | 0.90× | 3.06 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to score exactly 2 | 24.9% | 23.3% | 24.4% | 0.95× | 4.30 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to score exactly 0 | 22.8% | 23.2% | 24.7% | 0.94× | 4.30 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to score 3+ | 18.6% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 1.27× | 5.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 43.3% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Avispa Fukuoka leading at HT | 33.0% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.98 |
| Mito Hollyhock leading at HT | 23.7% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka -1: 2 | 56.9% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Avispa Fukuoka -1: X | 22.1% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Avispa Fukuoka -1: 1 | 21.0% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock (0:1) | 56.9% | 55.8% | 57.1% | 0.98× | 1.79 |
| Draw (0:1) | 22.1% | 24.3% | 25.0% | 0.97× | 4.12 |
| Avispa Fukuoka (0:1) | 21.0% | 24.3% | 18.0% | 1.35× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock (0:2) | 79.0% | 79.5% | 82.0% | 0.97× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 12.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 0.91× | 9.12 |
| Avispa Fukuoka (0:2) | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 1.25× | 12.94 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock (0:3) | 91.9% | 92.6% | 93.8% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.36× | 17.19 |
| Avispa Fukuoka (0:3) | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.15× | 42.15 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock (0:4) | 97.4% | 98.1% | 97.9% | 1.00× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.84× | 83.46 |
| Avispa Fukuoka (0:4) | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.51× | 83.60 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka (1:0) | 68.4% | 70.0% | 69.0% | 1.01× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.4% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 0.88× | 5.87 |
| Mito Hollyhock (1:0) | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 1.08× | 7.80 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka (2:0) | 86.8% | 88.4% | 88.1% | 1.00× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 1.08× | 15.47 |
| Mito Hollyhock (2:0) | 4.3% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 0.38× | 44.09 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 47.9% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.3% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 24.8% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka to concede | 70.7% | 73.0% | 68.0% | 1.07× | 1.37 |
| Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet | 29.3% | 27.0% | 32.0% | 0.84× | 3.71 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet in 1st half | 61.2% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to concede in 1st half | 38.8% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka under 6.5 corners | 79.4% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 2.5 corners | 79.3% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Avispa Fukuoka under 5.5 corners | 67.9% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 3.5 corners | 63.4% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Avispa Fukuoka under 4.5 corners | 53.2% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 4.5 corners | 46.8% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Avispa Fukuoka under 3.5 corners | 36.6% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 5.5 corners | 32.1% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Avispa Fukuoka under 2.5 corners | 20.7% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 6.5 corners | 20.6% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka under 3.5 goals | 93.7% | 92.3% | 94.9% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Avispa Fukuoka under 2.5 goals | 81.4% | 82.1% | 85.1% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 0.5 goals | 77.2% | 77.7% | 75.3% | 1.03× | 1.29 |
| Avispa Fukuoka under 1.5 goals | 56.5% | 58.8% | 60.9% | 0.97× | 1.70 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 1.5 goals | 43.5% | 41.2% | 39.1% | 1.05× | 2.43 |
| Avispa Fukuoka under 0.5 goals | 22.8% | 22.3% | 24.7% | 0.90× | 4.49 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 2.5 goals | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 1.20× | 5.59 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 3.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.53× | 12.92 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.6% | 89.7% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 0.5 in 1st half | 47.0% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Avispa Fukuoka under 0.5 in 1st half | 53.0% | 49.2% | — | — | 2.03 |
| Avispa Fukuoka over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.4% | 10.3% | — | — | 9.71 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock (home no bet) | 55.6% | 56.7% | 54.1% | 1.05× | 1.77 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 44.4% | 43.3% | 45.9% | 0.95× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka even goals | 52.6% | 50.6% | 52.4% | 0.97× | 1.98 |
| Avispa Fukuoka odd goals | 47.4% | 49.4% | 47.6% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 32.4% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| HT 1-0 | 20.6% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.9% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.06 |
| Any other HT score | 4.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.32 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.32 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.37 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.43 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.55 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka at HT / Avispa Fukuoka at FT | 25.4% | 26.7% | — | — | 3.75 |
| Mito Hollyhock at HT / Mito Hollyhock at FT | 16.6% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Avispa Fukuoka at FT | 15.4% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 15.2% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.98 |
| Draw at HT / Mito Hollyhock at FT | 12.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Avispa Fukuoka at HT / Draw at FT | 5.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Mito Hollyhock at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.78 |
| Mito Hollyhock at HT / Avispa Fukuoka at FT | 2.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
| Avispa Fukuoka at HT / Mito Hollyhock at FT | 2.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka to score last | 51.0% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Mito Hollyhock to score last | 42.4% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| No goal scored | 6.5% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.36 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.5% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to lead by 1 at any time | 58.9% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Mito Hollyhock to lead by 1 at any time | 49.0% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 45.9% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to lead by 2 at any time | 27.3% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Mito Hollyhock to lead by 2 at any time | 18.8% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.69 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 16.0% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.72 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to lead by 3 at any time | 10.1% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
| Mito Hollyhock to lead by 3 at any time | 5.8% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.14 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka most corners | 62.3% | 58.8% | — | — | 1.70 |
| Mito Hollyhock most corners | 25.7% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
| Corners level | 12.0% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.39 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.7% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.7% | 78.6% | 81.8% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 73.0% | 72.4% | 68.0% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.4% | 69.0% | 65.0% | 1.06× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 64.7% | 63.4% | 69.6% | 0.91× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.3% | 63.4% | 59.3% | 1.07× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 48.7% | 48.7% | 44.3% | 1.10× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.4% | 48.7% | 47.2% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 45.1% | 48.7% | 41.3% | 1.18× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 42.7% | 43.6% | 46.4% | 0.94× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 37.0% | 39.1% | 35.6% | 1.10× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.6% | 30.2% | 21.0% | 1.44× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 23.0% | 24.5% | 18.0% | 1.36× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 11.7% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 1.68× | 6.72 |
| 7+ goals | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.01× | 39.24 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka never behind | 44.5% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Mito Hollyhock never behind | 34.5% | 35.8% | — | — | 2.80 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 50.8% | 46.8% | 1.09× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 49.2% | 53.2% | 0.92× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.2% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.8% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.0% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.0% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 94.3% | 92.3% | 94.5% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.5% | 92.3% | 92.9% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86.2% | 87.6% | 88.8% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% | 77.3% | 70.4% | 1.10× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71.3% | 72.5% | 76.6% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% | 52.5% | 46.7% | 1.12× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.2% | 47.5% | 53.3% | 0.89× | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.7% | 27.5% | 23.4% | 1.17× | 3.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24.9% | 22.7% | 29.6% | 0.77× | 4.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 1.10× | 8.09 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 1.09× | 12.93 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.40× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.8% | 97.2% | 97.4% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 93.8% | 92.5% | 94.1% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 83.8% | 81.1% | 87.2% | 0.93× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 67.1% | 67.4% | 61.2% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 63.2% | 62.1% | 69.5% | 0.89× | 1.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 36.9% | 37.9% | 30.5% | 1.24× | 2.64 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 32.9% | 32.6% | 38.8% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 16.2% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 1.48× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 1.28× | 13.27 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.06× | 36.16 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 89.5% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 68.9% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 67.6% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 32.4% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 31.1% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.5% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.13 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 79.4% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 78.9% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 53.2% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 46.8% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 21.1% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 20.6% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock not to score in both halves | 79.8% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Avispa Fukuoka not to score in both halves | 73.2% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to score in both halves | 26.8% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| Mito Hollyhock to score in both halves | 20.2% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.62 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 54.4% | 54.0% | 50.5% | 1.07× | 1.85 |
| Only Avispa Fukuoka scores | 22.7% | 22.3% | 25.0% | 0.89× | 4.48 |
| Only Mito Hollyhock scores | 16.3% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 0.91× | 6.22 |
| Neither team scores | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 1.01× | 13.92 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 24.3% | 22.6% | 23.9% | 0.95× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.1% | 22.6% | 23.4% | 0.97× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 18.4% | 17.4% | 22.6% | 0.77× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.9% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 0.98× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.31× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 1.07× | 13.09 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.38× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 46.8% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.6% | 33.4% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 20.6% | 23.0% | — | — | 4.35 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock not to win both halves | 93.1% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Avispa Fukuoka not to win both halves | 88.4% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to win both halves | 11.6% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.28 |
| Mito Hollyhock to win both halves | 6.9% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.56 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka to win either half | 56.7% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Mito Hollyhock to win neither half | 54.0% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Mito Hollyhock to win either half | 46.0% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to win neither half | 43.3% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock not to win to nil | 83.7% | 83.0% | 82.3% | 1.01× | 1.20 |
| Avispa Fukuoka not to win to nil | 77.3% | 78.0% | 75.0% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| Avispa Fukuoka to win to nil | 22.7% | 22.0% | 25.0% | 0.88× | 4.56 |
| Mito Hollyhock to win to nil | 16.3% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 0.96× | 5.89 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% | 27.8% | 26.3% | 1.06× | 3.59 |
| Avispa Fukuoka by 1 | 22.1% | 24.1% | 25.0% | 0.97× | 4.14 |
| Mito Hollyhock by 1 | 18.4% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 0.88× | 5.91 |
| Avispa Fukuoka by 2 | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 0.98× | 8.47 |
| Mito Hollyhock by 2 | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 1.21× | 13.77 |
| Avispa Fukuoka by 3+ | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 1.18× | 13.78 |
| Mito Hollyhock by 3+ | 4.3% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 0.45× | 36.94 |