Banfield v Lanús — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Banfield

14:00

Lanús

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,196h before kick-off

Banfield win

38.9%

model 35.6%

Draw

28.3%

model 29.6%

Lanús win

32.8%

model 34.8%

392833

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
1-0 11.6%
0-1 11.4%
0-0 11.0%
2-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	38.8%	Under 2.5	61.2%
BTTS yes	45.8%	BTTS no	54.2%
Banfield 1+	67.6%	Banfield 2+	31.1%
Lanús 1+	67.1%	Lanús 2+	30.5%

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Banfield.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Banfield have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.8% for Lanús and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.13 for Banfield and 1.11 for Lanús.

Why Banfield

Nothing in the data singles out Banfield.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. A combined 2.24 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.13 to 1.11. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Lanús can win

Lanús carry the stronger rating, 1495 Elo against 1441.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Banfield, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Lanús, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Banfield: 39% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lanús: 47% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Banfield are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	333037	1.04–1.14	1-1 14%	37%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to win	37.4%	36.4%	27.8%	1.31×	2.75
Banfield to win	32.6%	30.4%	41.7%	0.73×	3.29
Draw	30.1%	30.3%	30.6%	0.99×	3.30

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús & not both score	23.6%	21.9%	17.2%	1.27×	4.57
Banfield & not both score	20.4%	21.9%	27.8%	0.79×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	15.9%	1.12×	5.58
Lanús & both teams score	13.8%	13.3%	10.7%	1.24×	7.54
Banfield & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	14.1%	0.94×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.7%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús & under 3.5	30.2%	30.9%	23.6%	1.31×	3.24
Banfield & under 3.5	26.7%	26.0%	34.9%	0.75×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	25.5%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.5%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Lanús & over 1.5	24.9%	21.7%	17.5%	1.23×	4.62
Banfield & over 1.5	21.2%	21.7%	27.6%	0.78×	4.62
Lanús & under 2.5	19.8%	18.0%	14.7%	1.23×	5.56
Banfield & under 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Lanús & over 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.56
Banfield & over 2.5	15.0%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.56
Lanús & under 1.5	12.5%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Banfield & under 1.5	11.4%	12.9%	14.2%	0.90×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	11.7%	12.9%	14.8%	0.87×	7.77
Banfield & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.70
Lanús & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	4.2%	1.86×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (1UP)	51.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Banfield (1UP)	47.1%	43.2%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (2UP)	37.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Banfield (2UP)	32.6%	30.9%	—	—	3.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.7%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Lanús to win 2nd half	32.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Banfield to win 2nd half	26.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (+2.5)	96.3%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Lanús (+1.5)	87.3%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Lanús (+0.5)	67.4%	68.7%	58.3%	1.18×	1.46
Banfield (+0.5)	62.6%	62.9%	72.2%	0.87×	1.59
Lanús (-0.5)	37.4%	37.1%	27.8%	1.34×	2.70
Banfield (-0.5)	32.6%	31.3%	41.7%	0.75×	3.20
Banfield (-1.5)	12.7%	11.5%	17.5%	0.66×	8.70
Banfield (-2.5)	3.7%	3.7%	5.0%	0.74×	26.83

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to concede	64.7%	67.3%	68.1%	0.99×	1.49
Lanús clean sheet	35.3%	32.7%	31.9%	1.03×	3.06

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús clean sheet in 1st half	63.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Lanús to concede in 1st half	36.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús under 6.5 corners	89.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Lanús under 5.5 corners	80.6%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Lanús under 4.5 corners	68.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Lanús over 2.5 corners	67.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Lanús under 3.5 corners	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Lanús over 3.5 corners	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Lanús under 2.5 corners	32.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Lanús over 4.5 corners	31.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Lanús over 5.5 corners	19.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
Lanús over 6.5 corners	11.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Lanús under 2.5 goals	89.3%	87.9%	93.3%	0.94×	1.14
Lanús under 1.5 goals	68.6%	68.0%	78.2%	0.87×	1.47
Lanús over 0.5 goals	67.9%	68.0%	57.6%	1.18×	1.47
Lanús under 0.5 goals	32.1%	32.0%	42.4%	0.76×	3.12
Lanús over 1.5 goals	31.4%	32.0%	21.8%	1.47×	3.12
Lanús over 2.5 goals	10.7%	12.1%	6.7%	1.82×	8.26
Lanús over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.5%	1.1%	2.14×	40.73

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús under 1.5 in 1st half	92.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Lanús under 0.5 in 1st half	63.5%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Lanús over 0.5 in 1st half	36.5%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Lanús over 1.5 in 1st half	7.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.16

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield (away no bet)	52.0%	51.2%	57.7%	0.89×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	48.0%	48.8%	42.3%	1.15×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús even goals	55.2%	56.9%	58.4%	0.97×	1.76
Lanús odd goals	44.8%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.7%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.21

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.9%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	51.1%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Lanús to score 2+ in a row	25.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Banfield to score 2+ in a row	22.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Lanús to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.71
Banfield to score 3+ in a row	5.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.83

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield corners (+3.5)	90.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Banfield corners (+2.5)	84.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Lanús corners (+3.5)	79.9%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Banfield corners (+1.5)	76.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Lanús corners (+2.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Lanús corners (+1.5)	59.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Banfield corners (-1.5)	40.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Banfield corners (-2.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Lanús corners (-1.5)	23.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Banfield corners (-3.5)	20.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Lanús corners (-2.5)	15.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Lanús corners (-3.5)	9.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	56.9%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
9-11 corners	27.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	16.0%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	84.0%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	76.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	67.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	56.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	55.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	45.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	43.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	32.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 11.5 corners	16.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	10.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.8%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
0-1	12.5%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
0-0	11.7%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.73
1-0	11.4%	11.5%	14.2%	0.81×	8.73
0-2	7.3%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.48
1-2	7.6%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
2-1	7.0%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
2-0	6.1%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.48
0-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.47
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.49
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.47
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.48
3-1	2.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.48
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.49
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
Any other score	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús leading at HT (DNB)	50.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Banfield leading at HT (DNB)	49.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield or Lanús (12)	69.9%	69.7%	69.4%	1.00×	1.44
Lanús or draw (X2)	67.4%	69.6%	58.3%	1.20×	1.44
Banfield or draw (1X)	62.6%	63.6%	72.2%	0.88×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús or draw at HT	74.9%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Banfield or draw at HT	74.5%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Banfield or Lanús at HT	50.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús or draw (1UP)	67.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Banfield or draw (1UP)	62.6%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús or draw in 2nd half	73.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Banfield or draw in 2nd half	67.6%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Banfield or Lanús in 2nd half	59.3%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.6%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	30.4%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (DNB)	53.4%	51.0%	39.9%	1.28×	1.96
Banfield (DNB)	46.6%	49.0%	60.1%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to score first	46.1%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Banfield to score first	42.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	11.7%	9.9%	—	—	10.07

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.7%	54.9%	59.5%	0.92×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.3%	45.1%	40.5%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.1%	44.3%	52.9%	0.84×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.5%	34.3%	27.2%	1.26×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	13.8%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.6%	8.4%	6.8%	1.24×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.2%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.8%	10.9%	5.8%	1.86×	9.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.8%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.3%	24.7%	—	—	4.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	19.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score 1st half only	10.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.9%	5.0%	—	—	20.13

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.8%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.2%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.0%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	43.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.4%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	35.6%	35.0%	39.1%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	16.9%	20.2%	13.3%	1.52×	4.96
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.73

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Lanús to score exactly 0	32.1%	33.8%	42.4%	0.80×	2.96
Lanús to score exactly 2	20.7%	22.4%	15.3%	1.47×	4.47
Lanús to score 3+	10.7%	12.8%	6.7%	1.92×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	36.6%	0.97×	2.81
Banfield to score exactly 0	35.3%	35.6%	31.9%	1.12×	2.81
Banfield to score exactly 2	19.1%	18.9%	21.8%	0.87×	5.29
Banfield to score 3+	8.8%	10.3%	10.0%	1.03×	9.71

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Lanús leading at HT	25.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Banfield leading at HT	25.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús -1: 1	62.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Lanús -1: X	21.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Lanús -1: 2	15.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (0:1)	67.4%	65.5%	58.3%	1.12×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.9%	17.8%	24.3%	0.73×	5.62
Banfield (0:1)	12.7%	13.8%	17.5%	0.79×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (0:2)	87.3%	86.9%	82.5%	1.05×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.0%	7.7%	12.6%	0.61×	12.93
Banfield (0:2)	3.7%	3.8%	5.0%	0.75×	26.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (0:3)	96.3%	96.6%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.14
Banfield (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.60
Banfield (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.6%	2.08×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield (1:0)	62.6%	65.1%	72.2%	0.90×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	21.8%	21.8%	18.7%	1.16×	4.59
Lanús (1:0)	15.6%	17.0%	9.2%	1.86×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield (2:0)	84.4%	84.6%	90.8%	0.93×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.7%	10.4%	6.3%	1.64×	9.65
Lanús (2:0)	4.9%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.05

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.7%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Halves equal	29.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield to concede	67.9%	66.6%	57.6%	1.16×	1.50
Banfield clean sheet	32.1%	33.4%	42.4%	0.79×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield clean sheet in 1st half	63.5%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Banfield to concede in 1st half	36.5%	35.8%	—	—	2.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield under 6.5 corners	80.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Banfield over 2.5 corners	77.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Banfield under 5.5 corners	69.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Banfield over 3.5 corners	61.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Banfield under 4.5 corners	54.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Banfield over 4.5 corners	45.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Banfield under 3.5 corners	38.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Banfield over 5.5 corners	30.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Banfield under 2.5 corners	22.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Banfield over 6.5 corners	19.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield under 3.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Banfield under 2.5 goals	91.2%	92.2%	90.0%	1.02×	1.08
Banfield under 1.5 goals	72.1%	74.2%	68.3%	1.09×	1.35
Banfield over 0.5 goals	64.7%	63.5%	68.1%	0.93×	1.58
Banfield under 0.5 goals	35.3%	36.5%	31.9%	1.14×	2.74
Banfield over 1.5 goals	27.9%	25.8%	31.7%	0.82×	3.87
Banfield over 2.5 goals	8.8%	7.8%	10.0%	0.78×	12.90
Banfield over 3.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield under 1.5 in 1st half	92.5%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Banfield under 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Banfield over 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Banfield over 1.5 in 1st half	7.5%	4.6%	—	—	21.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús (home no bet)	55.4%	56.7%	47.5%	1.19×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.6%	43.3%	52.5%	0.83×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield even goals	56.2%	55.4%	55.7%	0.99×	1.80
Banfield odd goals	43.8%	44.6%	44.3%	1.01×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.6%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
HT 0-1	18.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	18.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	8.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 0-2	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.30
HT 2-0	4.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.31
Any other HT score	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Lanús at HT / Lanús at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Banfield at HT / Banfield at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Lanús at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Banfield at FT	13.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Banfield at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Lanús at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Banfield at HT / Lanús at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Lanús at HT / Banfield at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús to score last	46.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
Banfield to score last	42.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	11.7%	9.3%	—	—	10.74

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.3%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Lanús to lead by 1 at any time	51.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Banfield to lead by 1 at any time	47.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Lanús to lead by 2 at any time	20.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Banfield to lead by 2 at any time	16.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Lanús to lead by 3 at any time	6.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.13
Banfield to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.7%	—	—	59.75

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield most corners	53.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Lanús most corners	34.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	12.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.3%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.7%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	63.7%	63.4%	60.6%	1.05×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.0%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.4%	59.2%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.2%	53.2%	51.5%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.7%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.4%	39.1%	33.5%	1.17×	2.56
3-5 goals	34.7%	35.4%	32.9%	1.07×	2.83
3-4 goals	30.1%	35.4%	28.7%	1.23×	2.83
4-6 goals	16.9%	18.6%	13.3%	1.40×	5.37
4-5 goals	15.2%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.37
5-6 goals	6.3%	8.7%	4.9%	1.77×	11.46
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	0.5%	5.55×	39.30

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lanús never behind	41.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Banfield never behind	36.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.4%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.6%	95.5%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.3%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.4%	82.4%	86.4%	0.95×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	64.4%	61.8%	60.9%	1.01×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	62.9%	61.8%	66.2%	0.93×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.1%	38.2%	33.8%	1.13×	2.62
Under 1.5 goals	35.6%	38.2%	39.1%	0.98×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	17.6%	17.6%	13.6%	1.29×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	11.7%	12.4%	14.8%	0.83×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.4%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.5%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.2%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.1%	75.9%	82.9%	0.92×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.0%	51.8%	46.4%	1.12×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.0%	48.2%	53.6%	0.90×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.9%	24.1%	17.1%	1.41×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.8%	7.5%	5.8%	1.31×	13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.5%	2.8%	1.1%	2.57×	36.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	5.99×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.7%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.1%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.3%	7.2%	—	—	13.87

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.9%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.1%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield not to score in both halves	83.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Lanús not to score in both halves	82.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Lanús to score in both halves	18.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Banfield to score in both halves	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.3%	46.6%	40.5%	1.15×	2.15
Only Lanús scores	23.6%	22.3%	17.2%	1.30×	4.48
Only Banfield scores	20.4%	22.3%	27.8%	0.80×	4.48
Neither team scores	11.7%	10.9%	14.8%	0.74×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.3%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	23.9%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.5%	17.4%	20.3%	0.86×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	11.7%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.28
Exactly 4 goals	10.6%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	4.6%	4.4%	4.4%	1.01×	22.65
6 or more goals	2.4%	4.4%	1.0%	4.27×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.6%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 2nd half	35.4%	39.5%	—	—	2.54
No goals in 2nd half	28.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield not to win both halves	93.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Lanús not to win both halves	91.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Lanús to win both halves	8.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.46
Banfield to win both halves	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.57

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield to win neither half	54.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Lanús to win neither half	50.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Lanús to win either half	49.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Banfield to win either half	45.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Banfield not to win to nil	79.6%	78.1%	72.2%	1.08×	1.28
Lanús not to win to nil	76.4%	78.0%	82.8%	0.94×	1.28
Lanús to win to nil	23.6%	22.0%	17.2%	1.28×	4.55
Banfield to win to nil	20.4%	21.9%	27.8%	0.79×	4.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.1%	27.6%	30.6%	0.90×	3.63
Lanús by 1	21.8%	24.1%	18.7%	1.29×	4.14
Banfield by 1	19.9%	16.9%	24.3%	0.70×	5.91
Lanús by 2	10.7%	11.8%	6.3%	1.87×	8.48
Banfield by 2	9.0%	7.3%	12.6%	0.58×	13.77
Lanús by 3+	4.9%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.92
Banfield by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.96