Barcelona v Delfín — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · ECU-LigaPro · 2627

ECU-LigaPro results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Barcelona

14:00

Delfín

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 154h before kick-off

Barcelona win

66.9%

model 64.3%

Draw

22.4%

model 22.9%

Delfín win

10.7%

model 12.9%

672211

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 18.0%
2-0 14.7%
0-0 10.3%
1-1 9.9%
2-1 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	38.9%	Under 2.5	61.1%
BTTS yes	35.2%	BTTS no	64.8%
Barcelona 1+	81.1%	Barcelona 2+	49.5%
Delfín 1+	43.9%	Delfín 2+	11.5%

Expected goals 1.66 – 0.58. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Delfín under 0.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 33%

57.4% fair odds 1.74

strong signal · 663 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Delfín (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 92%

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 235 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Barcelona carry the stronger rating, 1668 Elo against 1398.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Barcelona have played 8 matches in the last 30 days.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Barcelona have an estimated 66.9% win probability, against 22.4% for the draw and 10.7% for Delfín. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.66 for Barcelona and 0.58 for Delfín.

Why Barcelona

Barcelona carry the stronger rating, 1668 Elo against 1398. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%. A combined 2.24 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Delfín can win

They have had 12 days' rest to Barcelona's 7.

Key players

Barcelona's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Lamine Yamal (0.88), Raphinha (0.81), Fermín López (0.49).

Availability

No lineup on record for Delfín, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Barcelona: 67% possession, 19.6 shots a match, 8.0 faced, 0.35 xG a match from set pieces. Delfín: 46% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Barcelona are the model's most likely outcome at 66.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 18.0%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Barcelona are finishing above their chances — 2.5 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

WWWLWLWWWW last 10 scored 27 from 24.5 xG conceded 8 from 9.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	642313	1.66–0.58	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	572914	1.29–0.49	1-0 22%	26%	28%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to win	57.1%	54.1%	44.2%	1.22×	1.85
Draw	28.5%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59
Delfín to win	14.4%	13.3%	29.6%	0.45×	7.49

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona & not both score	44.9%	40.2%	25.5%	1.58×	2.49
Draw & not both score	16.5%	17.9%	8.0%	2.24×	5.58
Barcelona & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	19.0%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & both teams score	12.1%	13.3%	18.6%	0.71×	7.54
Delfín & not both score	11.0%	13.3%	18.0%	0.74×	7.55
Delfín & both teams score	3.4%	4.9%	11.7%	0.41×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona & under 3.5	49.2%	45.2%	33.3%	1.36×	2.21
Barcelona & under 2.5	36.2%	34.9%	19.9%	1.75×	2.87
Barcelona & over 1.5	35.0%	30.9%	32.2%	0.96×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	26.7%	26.0%	22.1%	1.18×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.7%	26.0%	22.1%	1.18×	3.84
Barcelona & under 1.5	22.1%	21.7%	12.3%	1.77×	4.62
Barcelona & over 2.5	20.9%	21.7%	24.5%	0.88×	4.62
Draw & under 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	8.0%	2.25×	5.56
Delfín & under 3.5	13.5%	12.9%	22.3%	0.58×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	12.1%	12.9%	18.6%	0.69×	7.77
Delfín & under 2.5	10.6%	12.9%	15.1%	0.85×	7.77
Delfín & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	10.6%	0.74×	12.69
Barcelona & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	11.2%	0.71×	12.70
Delfín & over 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	19.1%	0.41×	12.70
Delfín & over 2.5	3.8%	4.8%	14.7%	0.33×	20.94
Draw & over 2.5	1.8%	4.8%	4.5%	1.07×	20.95
Draw & over 3.5	1.8%	4.8%	4.5%	1.07×	20.95
Delfín & over 3.5	0.8%	4.8%	7.4%	0.64×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (1UP)	64.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Delfín (1UP)	24.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (2UP)	57.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Delfín (2UP)	14.4%	13.6%	—	—	7.35

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	43.6%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Barcelona to win 2nd half	42.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Delfín to win 2nd half	13.6%	12.4%	—	—	8.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín (+2.5)	90.0%	88.5%	92.2%	0.96×	1.13
Barcelona (+0.5)	85.6%	88.5%	70.4%	1.26×	1.13
Delfín (+1.5)	72.7%	73.7%	80.5%	0.92×	1.36
Barcelona (-0.5)	57.1%	57.0%	44.2%	1.29×	1.75
Delfín (+0.5)	42.9%	43.0%	55.8%	0.77×	2.33
Barcelona (-1.5)	27.3%	26.3%	19.5%	1.35×	3.80
Delfín (-0.5)	14.4%	11.5%	29.6%	0.39×	8.69
Barcelona (-2.5)	10.0%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín to concede	72.6%	76.5%	74.2%	1.03×	1.31
Delfín clean sheet	27.4%	23.5%	25.8%	0.91×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín clean sheet in 1st half	57.3%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Delfín to concede in 1st half	42.7%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín under 6.5 corners	96.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Delfín under 5.5 corners	92.1%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Delfín under 4.5 corners	83.8%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Delfín under 3.5 corners	70.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Delfín under 2.5 corners	50.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Delfín over 2.5 corners	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Delfín over 3.5 corners	30.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Delfín over 4.5 corners	16.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Delfín over 5.5 corners	7.9%	10.0%	—	—	10.05
Delfín over 6.5 corners	3.6%	4.4%	—	—	22.79

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.6%	96.8%	1.01×	1.03
Delfín under 2.5 goals	98.7%	97.6%	89.8%	1.09×	1.03
Delfín under 1.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	73.8%	1.25×	1.08
Delfín under 0.5 goals	61.4%	62.9%	33.3%	1.89×	1.59
Delfín over 0.5 goals	38.6%	37.1%	66.7%	0.56×	2.70
Delfín over 1.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	26.2%	0.29×	13.02
Delfín over 2.5 goals	1.3%	2.5%	10.2%	0.24×	40.81
Delfín over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.4%	3.2%	0.77×	40.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín under 1.5 in 1st half	98.3%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Delfín under 0.5 in 1st half	82.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Delfín over 0.5 in 1st half	17.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.90
Delfín over 1.5 in 1st half	1.7%	4.0%	—	—	25.12

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (away no bet)	66.7%	66.4%	62.6%	1.06×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.3%	33.7%	37.4%	0.90×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín even goals	68.8%	64.9%	51.7%	1.26×	1.54
Delfín odd goals	31.2%	35.1%	48.3%	0.73×	2.85

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	95.2%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Both halves over 1.5 goals	4.8%	4.7%	—	—	21.40

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	60.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Not both halves under 1.5	40.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	38.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Barcelona to score 2+ in a row	33.7%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Barcelona to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Delfín to score 2+ in a row	6.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.78
Delfín to score 3+ in a row	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.15

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona corners (+3.5)	98.5%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Barcelona corners (+2.5)	96.9%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Barcelona corners (+1.5)	94.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Barcelona corners (-1.5)	73.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Barcelona corners (-2.5)	63.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Barcelona corners (-3.5)	51.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Delfín corners (+3.5)	48.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Delfín corners (+2.5)	36.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Delfín corners (+1.5)	26.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Delfín corners (-1.5)	6.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Delfín corners (-2.5)	3.1%	4.2%	—	—	23.57
Delfín corners (-3.5)	1.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	26.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.0%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	55.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	45.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	44.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	33.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	26.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	19.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	22.1%	20.2%	12.3%	1.64×	4.96
0-0	16.5%	13.8%	8.0%	1.72×	7.27
2-0	14.1%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.73
1-1	10.3%	11.5%	14.3%	0.80×	8.73
0-1	8.6%	7.4%	10.6%	0.70×	13.48
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.48
3-0	6.1%	7.4%	3.3%	2.22×	13.48
0-2	2.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.48
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.92×	58.49
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.49
1-2	2.6%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.47
1-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.49
2-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.48
2-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.49
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.49
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.47
3-2	0.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.49
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.49
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.20×	58.49
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.48
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.60×	58.49
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.20×	58.49
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona leading at HT (DNB)	77.4%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Delfín leading at HT (DNB)	22.6%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona or draw (1X)	85.6%	86.7%	70.4%	1.23×	1.15
Barcelona or Delfín (12)	71.5%	72.1%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Delfín or draw (X2)	42.9%	45.9%	55.8%	0.82×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona or draw at HT	89.2%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Delfín or draw at HT	63.1%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Barcelona or Delfín at HT	47.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona or draw (1UP)	85.6%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Delfín or draw (1UP)	42.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona or draw in 2nd half	86.4%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Delfín or draw in 2nd half	57.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Barcelona or Delfín in 2nd half	56.4%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Neither half drawn	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (DNB)	79.9%	74.7%	60.0%	1.25×	1.34
Delfín (DNB)	20.1%	25.3%	40.1%	0.63×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to score first	60.7%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Delfín to score first	22.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.37
No goal scored	16.5%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	72.3%	62.4%	51.1%	1.22×	1.60
Both teams to score	27.7%	37.6%	48.9%	0.77×	2.66

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	63.3%	50.2%	42.6%	1.18×	1.99
Both score & over 2.5	17.4%	21.7%	34.8%	0.63×	4.60
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	12.3%	14.3%	0.86×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	96.8%	91.7%	90.0%	1.02×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	3.2%	8.3%	10.0%	0.82×	12.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	86.9%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Both teams to score in 2nd half	13.1%	12.8%	—	—	7.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	80.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both score 2nd half only	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score 1st half only	6.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.78
Both score in both halves	1.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.55

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	92.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Both teams to score by HT	7.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	66.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
A goal in each half	33.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	47.2%	47.4%	30.5%	1.55×	2.11
2-3 goals	42.2%	42.1%	47.0%	0.90×	2.38
4-6 goals	10.3%	16.9%	21.4%	0.79×	5.92
7+ goals	0.2%	1.8%	1.5%	1.23×	54.78

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín to score exactly 0	61.4%	50.2%	33.3%	1.51×	1.99
Delfín to score exactly 1	30.0%	27.4%	40.7%	0.67×	3.65
Delfín to score exactly 2	7.3%	8.5%	16.2%	0.52×	11.83
Delfín to score 3+	1.3%	4.5%	10.2%	0.44×	22.22

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.6%	35.1%	1.01×	2.81
Barcelona to score exactly 0	27.4%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
Barcelona to score exactly 2	23.0%	23.2%	24.5%	0.95×	4.30
Barcelona to score 3+	14.2%	14.3%	14.9%	0.96×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Barcelona leading at HT	36.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Delfín leading at HT	10.8%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona -1: 2	42.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Barcelona -1: X	29.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Barcelona -1: 1	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín (0:1)	42.9%	42.7%	55.8%	0.77×	2.34
Draw (0:1)	29.8%	27.0%	24.9%	1.09×	3.70
Barcelona (0:1)	27.3%	27.0%	19.5%	1.38×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín (0:2)	72.7%	75.7%	80.5%	0.94×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	17.3%	15.3%	11.9%	1.28×	6.54
Barcelona (0:2)	10.0%	11.0%	7.8%	1.40×	9.13

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín (0:3)	90.0%	90.8%	92.2%	0.99×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.1%	5.8%	4.6%	1.25×	17.16
Barcelona (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	3.3%	0.71×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	96.7%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	2.2%	0.54×	83.42
Barcelona (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.3%	0.92×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (1:0)	85.6%	86.3%	70.4%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	11.5%	12.8%	18.2%	0.70×	7.81
Delfín (1:0)	2.9%	3.2%	11.5%	0.27×	31.64

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona (2:0)	97.1%	96.9%	88.5%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	7.4%	0.30×	44.22
Delfín (2:0)	0.4%	2.3%	4.3%	0.53×	44.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	41.6%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Halves equal	32.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona clean sheet	61.4%	63.4%	33.3%	1.91×	1.58
Barcelona to concede	38.6%	36.6%	66.7%	0.55×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona clean sheet in 1st half	82.3%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Barcelona to concede in 1st half	17.7%	16.1%	—	—	6.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona over 2.5 corners	92.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Barcelona over 3.5 corners	83.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Barcelona over 4.5 corners	72.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Barcelona over 5.5 corners	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Barcelona under 6.5 corners	52.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Barcelona over 6.5 corners	47.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Barcelona under 5.5 corners	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Barcelona under 4.5 corners	27.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Barcelona under 3.5 corners	16.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Barcelona under 2.5 corners	7.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona under 3.5 goals	95.8%	96.4%	94.6%	1.02×	1.04
Barcelona under 2.5 goals	85.9%	87.2%	85.1%	1.02×	1.15
Barcelona over 0.5 goals	72.6%	74.2%	74.2%	1.00×	1.35
Barcelona under 1.5 goals	62.9%	63.5%	60.8%	1.04×	1.58
Barcelona over 1.5 goals	37.1%	36.5%	39.2%	0.93×	2.74
Barcelona under 0.5 goals	27.4%	25.8%	25.8%	1.00×	3.87
Barcelona over 2.5 goals	14.2%	12.8%	14.9%	0.86×	7.84
Barcelona over 3.5 goals	4.2%	3.6%	5.4%	0.68×	27.42

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Barcelona under 0.5 in 1st half	57.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Barcelona over 0.5 in 1st half	42.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Barcelona over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	10.2%	—	—	9.84

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	66.5%	63.9%	47.2%	1.35×	1.57
Delfín (home no bet)	33.5%	36.1%	52.8%	0.68×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona even goals	53.8%	50.6%	54.3%	0.93×	1.98
Barcelona odd goals	46.2%	49.4%	45.7%	1.08×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	47.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
HT 1-0	26.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 0-1	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 2-0	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 1-1	5.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
Any other HT score	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 2-1	1.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 0-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 1-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.57
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.60

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona at HT / Barcelona at FT	33.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Draw at HT / Barcelona at FT	22.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Delfín at FT	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Delfín at HT / Delfín at FT	6.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.69
Barcelona at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Delfín at HT / Draw at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Delfín at HT / Barcelona at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Barcelona at HT / Delfín at FT	0.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona to score last	60.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Delfín to score last	23.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
No goal scored	16.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	83.5%	87.4%	—	—	1.14
Barcelona to lead by 1 at any time	64.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	34.7%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Barcelona to lead by 2 at any time	30.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Delfín to lead by 1 at any time	24.5%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Barcelona to lead by 3 at any time	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Delfín to lead by 2 at any time	4.3%	1.7%	—	—	60.08
Delfín to lead by 3 at any time	0.6%	1.6%	—	—	63.78

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona most corners	82.5%	81.7%	—	—	1.23
Delfín most corners	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Corners level	6.8%	8.5%	—	—	11.82

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.5%	83.5%	89.0%	0.94×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.0%	83.5%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	73.0%	72.4%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
1-2 goals	57.1%	59.2%	48.9%	1.21×	1.69
2-6 goals	52.6%	53.2%	68.2%	0.78×	1.88
2-5 goals	51.8%	53.2%	66.5%	0.80×	1.88
2-4 goals	49.3%	48.7%	59.3%	0.82×	2.06
2-3 goals	42.2%	43.6%	47.0%	0.93×	2.30
3-6 goals	26.2%	30.2%	42.0%	0.72×	3.31
3-5 goals	25.5%	30.2%	40.3%	0.75×	3.31
3-4 goals	22.9%	24.5%	33.1%	0.74×	4.09
4-6 goals	10.3%	14.9%	21.4%	0.70×	6.73
4-5 goals	9.6%	8.7%	19.7%	0.44×	11.43
5-6 goals	3.3%	2.6%	9.1%	0.28×	39.18
7+ goals	0.2%	2.5%	1.5%	1.71×	39.32

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona never behind	59.1%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Delfín never behind	18.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.8%	51.5%	0.99×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.2%	48.5%	1.01×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	61.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	39.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.9%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.0%	95.5%	96.8%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.5%	95.5%	89.6%	1.07×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	89.4%	87.7%	77.3%	1.13×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	83.5%	82.4%	92.0%	0.90×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	73.5%	72.5%	56.7%	1.28×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	52.8%	52.5%	69.5%	0.76×	1.91
Under 1.5 goals	47.2%	47.5%	30.5%	1.56×	2.11
Over 2.5 goals	26.5%	27.5%	43.3%	0.63×	3.64
Under 0.5 goals	16.5%	17.6%	8.0%	2.20×	5.68
Over 3.5 goals	10.6%	12.3%	22.7%	0.54×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	3.5%	4.5%	10.4%	0.43×	22.21
Over 5.5 goals	1.0%	4.5%	3.2%	1.42×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.8%	97.2%	98.5%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.0%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	96.2%	97.2%	88.1%	1.10×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	87.4%	86.7%	71.4%	1.21×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.1%	62.1%	41.3%	1.50×	1.61
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.9%	37.9%	58.7%	0.65×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	12.6%	13.3%	28.6%	0.46×	7.54
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	3.8%	2.8%	11.9%	0.23×	36.11
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.0%	2.8%	3.4%	0.81×	36.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.2%	2.8%	1.5%	1.83×	36.22

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.9%	96.5%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	82.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	52.9%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	47.1%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Over 1.5 in 1st half	17.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.27
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	91.4%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.6%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.4%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	8.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín not to score in both halves	95.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Barcelona not to score in both halves	77.7%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Barcelona to score in both halves	22.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Delfín to score in both halves	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Barcelona scores	44.9%	46.6%	25.5%	1.83×	2.15
Both teams score	27.7%	26.1%	48.9%	0.53×	3.83
Neither team scores	16.5%	16.1%	8.0%	2.01×	6.22
Only Delfín scores	11.0%	10.9%	18.0%	0.61×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	30.7%	25.2%	22.7%	1.11×	3.97
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	25.0%	26.4%	0.95×	4.01
Exactly 0 goals	16.5%	17.4%	8.0%	2.18×	5.74
Exactly 3 goals	15.9%	17.4%	20.8%	0.84×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	7.1%	7.6%	12.5%	0.61×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	2.5%	4.4%	7.4%	0.59×	22.68
6 or more goals	1.0%	4.4%	3.2%	1.39×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	37.0%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	35.6%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
2+ goals in 2nd half	27.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín not to win both halves	98.6%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Barcelona not to win both halves	84.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Barcelona to win both halves	15.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Delfín to win both halves	1.4%	2.7%	—	—	36.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín to win neither half	77.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Barcelona to win either half	64.0%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Barcelona to win neither half	36.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Delfín to win either half	22.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Delfín not to win to nil	89.0%	88.2%	82.0%	1.08×	1.13
Barcelona not to win to nil	55.1%	58.8%	74.5%	0.79×	1.70
Barcelona to win to nil	44.9%	41.2%	25.5%	1.62×	2.43
Delfín to win to nil	11.0%	11.8%	18.0%	0.65×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barcelona by 1	29.8%	27.9%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
Draw	28.5%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59
Barcelona by 2	17.3%	16.9%	11.9%	1.42×	5.91
Delfín by 1	11.5%	11.8%	18.2%	0.65×	8.48
Barcelona by 3+	10.0%	11.8%	7.8%	1.51×	8.48
Delfín by 2	2.5%	2.7%	7.4%	0.36×	37.00
Delfín by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	4.3%	0.63×	37.07