Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 21 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Barracas Central

18:00

Independiente Rivadavia

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 374h before kick-off

Barracas Central win

30.0%

model 33.0%

Draw

29.9%

model 31.6%

Independiente Rivadavia win

40.1%

model 35.4%

303040

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.9%
0-0 13.9%
0-1 13.4%
1-0 12.8%
0-2 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	32.4%	Under 2.5	67.6%
BTTS yes	40.4%	BTTS no	59.6%
Barracas Central 1+	62.4%	Barracas Central 2+	25.6%
Independiente Rivadavia 1+	64.0%	Independiente Rivadavia 2+	27.3%

Expected goals 0.98 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 72%

73.5% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 2591 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Barracas Central not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Independiente Rivadavia carry the stronger rating, 1631 Elo against 1506.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Independiente Rivadavia have an estimated 40.1% win probability, against 30.0% for Barracas Central and 29.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.98 for Barracas Central and 1.02 for Independiente Rivadavia.

Why Barracas Central

Nothing in the data singles out Barracas Central.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.9%. A combined 2.00 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 0.98 to 1.02. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Independiente Rivadavia can win

Independiente Rivadavia carry the stronger rating, 1631 Elo against 1506.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Barracas Central, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Independiente Rivadavia, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Barracas Central: 49% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Independiente Rivadavia: 41% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Independiente Rivadavia are the model's most likely outcome at 40.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	333235	0.98–1.02	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	313137	0.96–1.08	1-1 14%	33%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to win	37.5%	36.4%	27.8%	1.31×	2.75
Barracas Central to win	31.3%	30.3%	41.7%	0.73×	3.30
Draw	31.2%	30.3%	30.6%	0.99×	3.30

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia & not both score	24.8%	21.9%	17.2%	1.27×	4.57
Barracas Central & not both score	20.6%	21.9%	27.8%	0.79×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.8%	17.9%	15.9%	1.12×	5.58
Draw & not both score	13.4%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54
Independiente Rivadavia & both teams score	12.6%	13.3%	10.7%	1.24×	7.54
Barracas Central & both teams score	10.8%	13.3%	14.1%	0.94×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia & under 3.5	31.2%	30.9%	23.6%	1.31×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	27.2%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.2%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Barracas Central & under 3.5	26.5%	26.0%	34.9%	0.75×	3.84
Independiente Rivadavia & over 1.5	23.9%	21.7%	17.5%	1.23×	4.62
Independiente Rivadavia & under 2.5	21.2%	21.7%	14.7%	1.48×	4.62
Barracas Central & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	27.6%	0.65×	5.56
Barracas Central & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Independiente Rivadavia & over 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.56
Independiente Rivadavia & under 1.5	13.6%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Barracas Central & over 2.5	13.3%	12.9%	18.2%	0.71×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	13.4%	12.9%	14.8%	0.87×	7.77
Barracas Central & under 1.5	12.1%	12.9%	14.2%	0.90×	7.77
Independiente Rivadavia & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	4.2%	1.86×	12.70
Barracas Central & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	7.0%	0.68×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (1UP)	50.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Barracas Central (1UP)	45.1%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (2UP)	37.5%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Barracas Central (2UP)	31.3%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Independiente Rivadavia to win 2nd half	32.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Barracas Central to win 2nd half	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (+2.5)	96.8%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Independiente Rivadavia (+1.5)	88.5%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Independiente Rivadavia (+0.5)	68.7%	68.7%	58.3%	1.18×	1.46
Barracas Central (+0.5)	62.5%	62.9%	72.2%	0.87×	1.59
Independiente Rivadavia (-0.5)	37.5%	37.1%	27.8%	1.34×	2.70
Barracas Central (-0.5)	31.3%	31.3%	41.7%	0.75×	3.20
Barracas Central (-1.5)	11.5%	11.5%	17.5%	0.65×	8.71
Barracas Central (-2.5)	3.2%	3.7%	5.0%	0.74×	26.87

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to concede	61.8%	67.2%	68.1%	0.99×	1.49
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet	38.2%	32.8%	31.9%	1.03×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet in 1st half	66.1%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Independiente Rivadavia to concede in 1st half	33.9%	30.8%	—	—	3.24

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 6.5 corners	88.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Independiente Rivadavia under 5.5 corners	80.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Independiente Rivadavia under 4.5 corners	67.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 corners	67.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 corners	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 corners	32.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Independiente Rivadavia over 4.5 corners	32.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Independiente Rivadavia over 5.5 corners	19.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
Independiente Rivadavia over 6.5 corners	11.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 goals	97.6%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 goals	70.6%	71.9%	78.2%	0.92×	1.39
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 goals	66.0%	67.9%	57.6%	1.18×	1.47
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 goals	34.0%	32.1%	42.4%	0.76×	3.12
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 goals	29.4%	28.1%	21.8%	1.29×	3.56
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	6.7%	1.16×	13.02
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 goals	2.4%	2.5%	1.1%	2.14×	40.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 in 1st half	93.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 in 1st half	7.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.23

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (away no bet)	50.1%	51.2%	57.7%	0.89×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	49.9%	48.8%	42.3%	1.15×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia even goals	55.8%	56.9%	58.4%	0.97×	1.76
Independiente Rivadavia odd goals	44.2%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.0%	7.3%	—	—	13.76

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	47.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Both halves under 1.5 goals	52.4%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	41.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Independiente Rivadavia to score 2+ in a row	24.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Barracas Central to score 2+ in a row	19.8%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.76
Barracas Central to score 3+ in a row	4.8%	2.7%	—	—	37.67

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+3.5)	88.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Barracas Central corners (+3.5)	86.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+2.5)	81.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Barracas Central corners (+2.5)	78.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+1.5)	71.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Barracas Central corners (+1.5)	67.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-1.5)	32.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Barracas Central corners (-1.5)	28.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-2.5)	21.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Barracas Central corners (-2.5)	18.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-3.5)	13.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Barracas Central corners (-3.5)	11.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	68.3%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
9-11 corners	22.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
12+ corners	9.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	94.3%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	90.6%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	85.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 9.5 corners	77.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 8.5 corners	68.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 7.5 corners	56.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	43.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 8.5 corners	31.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 9.5 corners	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 10.5 corners	14.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.87
Over 11.5 corners	9.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Over 12.5 corners	5.7%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	13.6%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
1-1	13.9%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
0-0	13.4%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.73
1-0	12.1%	11.5%	14.2%	0.81×	8.73
0-2	7.6%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.48
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
2-0	6.0%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.48
2-1	6.5%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
0-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.47
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.49
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.47
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.48
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.48
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.49
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
Any other score	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT (DNB)	51.3%	55.7%	—	—	1.79
Barracas Central leading at HT (DNB)	48.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central or Independiente Rivadavia (12)	68.8%	69.7%	69.4%	1.00×	1.44
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (X2)	68.7%	69.7%	58.3%	1.20×	1.44
Barracas Central or draw (1X)	62.5%	63.6%	72.2%	0.88×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw at HT	76.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Barracas Central or draw at HT	74.9%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Barracas Central or Independiente Rivadavia at HT	48.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (1UP)	68.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Barracas Central or draw (1UP)	62.5%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw in 2nd half	74.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Barracas Central or draw in 2nd half	68.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Barracas Central or Independiente Rivadavia in 2nd half	57.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.3%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	28.7%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (DNB)	54.4%	51.0%	39.9%	1.28×	1.96
Barracas Central (DNB)	45.6%	49.0%	60.1%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score first	45.8%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Barracas Central to score first	40.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	13.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.64

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.8%	54.9%	59.5%	0.92×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.2%	45.1%	40.5%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	52.7%	47.1%	52.9%	0.89×	2.13
Both score & over 2.5	27.3%	33.6%	27.2%	1.24×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	13.9%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.1%	8.4%	6.8%	1.24×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.7%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.3%	10.9%	5.8%	1.86×	9.19

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.7%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Both score 1st half only	9.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.62
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.24

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.0%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	12.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.23

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	40.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.9%	47.4%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	39.1%	35.1%	39.1%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.5%	17.0%	13.3%	1.27×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.76

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 0	34.0%	33.8%	42.4%	0.80×	2.96
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 2	19.8%	19.6%	15.3%	1.28×	5.11
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+	9.6%	8.5%	6.7%	1.27×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central to score exactly 0	38.2%	35.6%	31.9%	1.12×	2.81
Barracas Central to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	36.6%	0.97×	2.81
Barracas Central to score exactly 2	17.7%	18.9%	21.8%	0.87×	5.29
Barracas Central to score 3+	7.3%	10.3%	10.0%	1.03×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	51.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT	25.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Barracas Central leading at HT	23.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia -1: 1	62.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Independiente Rivadavia -1: X	22.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Independiente Rivadavia -1: 2	15.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (0:1)	68.7%	65.5%	58.3%	1.12×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.8%	17.8%	24.3%	0.73×	5.62
Barracas Central (0:1)	11.5%	13.8%	17.5%	0.79×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (0:2)	88.5%	87.0%	82.5%	1.05×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.4%	7.7%	12.6%	0.61×	12.94
Barracas Central (0:2)	3.2%	3.8%	5.0%	0.75×	26.57

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (0:3)	96.8%	96.6%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.15
Barracas Central (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.62
Barracas Central (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.6%	2.08×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (1:0)	62.5%	65.1%	72.2%	0.90×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	22.3%	21.8%	18.7%	1.16×	4.59
Independiente Rivadavia (1:0)	15.2%	17.0%	9.2%	1.86×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central (2:0)	84.8%	84.6%	90.8%	0.93×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.6%	10.4%	6.3%	1.64×	9.65
Independiente Rivadavia (2:0)	4.6%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.07

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Halves equal	30.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central to concede	66.0%	66.5%	57.6%	1.16×	1.50
Barracas Central clean sheet	34.0%	33.5%	42.4%	0.79×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central clean sheet in 1st half	64.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.55
Barracas Central to concede in 1st half	35.1%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 6.5 corners	90.6%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Barracas Central under 5.5 corners	82.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Barracas Central under 4.5 corners	70.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Barracas Central over 2.5 corners	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Barracas Central under 3.5 corners	54.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Barracas Central over 3.5 corners	45.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Barracas Central under 2.5 corners	35.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Barracas Central over 4.5 corners	29.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Barracas Central over 5.5 corners	17.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Barracas Central over 6.5 corners	9.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 3.5 goals	98.3%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Barracas Central under 2.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	90.0%	1.02×	1.08
Barracas Central under 1.5 goals	75.0%	74.2%	68.3%	1.09×	1.35
Barracas Central over 0.5 goals	61.8%	63.5%	68.1%	0.93×	1.58
Barracas Central under 0.5 goals	38.2%	36.5%	31.9%	1.15×	2.74
Barracas Central over 1.5 goals	25.0%	25.8%	31.7%	0.82×	3.88
Barracas Central over 2.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	10.0%	0.78×	12.91
Barracas Central over 3.5 goals	1.7%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Barracas Central under 0.5 in 1st half	66.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Barracas Central over 0.5 in 1st half	33.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Barracas Central over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	4.5%	—	—	22.07

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (home no bet)	54.6%	51.7%	47.5%	1.09×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.4%	48.3%	52.5%	0.92×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central even goals	57.3%	55.5%	55.7%	1.00×	1.80
Barracas Central odd goals	42.7%	44.5%	44.3%	1.01×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	43.0%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
HT 0-1	18.5%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	7.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.32
HT 2-0	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
Any other HT score	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Barracas Central at HT / Barracas Central at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Barracas Central at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Barracas Central at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Barracas Central at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Barracas Central at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score last	45.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
Barracas Central to score last	40.8%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	13.4%	9.8%	—	—	10.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.6%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 1 at any time	50.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Barracas Central to lead by 1 at any time	45.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	34.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 2 at any time	19.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Barracas Central to lead by 2 at any time	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 3 at any time	5.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.15
Barracas Central to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	1.7%	—	—	60.40

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia most corners	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Barracas Central most corners	40.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	13.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.8%	83.5%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.6%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	60.4%	63.4%	60.6%	1.05×	1.58
2-5 goals	59.1%	59.2%	60.0%	0.99×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.3%	59.2%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	53.2%	53.2%	51.5%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.9%	48.7%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	33.0%	35.4%	33.5%	1.06×	2.83
3-5 goals	31.7%	35.4%	32.9%	1.07×	2.83
3-4 goals	27.8%	30.2%	28.7%	1.06×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.5%	14.9%	13.3%	1.12×	6.72
4-5 goals	13.2%	14.9%	12.7%	1.17×	6.72
5-6 goals	5.1%	8.7%	4.9%	1.77×	11.47
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	0.5%	5.55×	39.31

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia never behind	41.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Barracas Central never behind	36.0%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.4%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.6%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	40.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.2%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.2%	95.5%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.6%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.9%	82.4%	86.4%	0.95×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	66.5%	66.2%	66.2%	1.00×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	60.9%	61.7%	60.9%	1.01×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	39.1%	38.3%	39.1%	0.98×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	33.5%	33.8%	33.8%	1.00×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	15.1%	17.6%	13.6%	1.29×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	13.4%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	1.8%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.1%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.8%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.5%	81.0%	82.9%	0.98×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.9%	51.8%	53.6%	0.97×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.1%	48.2%	46.4%	1.04×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.5%	19.0%	17.1%	1.11×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.2%	7.5%	5.8%	1.31×	13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.9%	2.8%	1.1%	2.57×	36.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	0.5%	5.99×	36.21

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.2%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.8%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.3%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.7%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central not to score in both halves	85.7%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Independiente Rivadavia not to score in both halves	83.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Independiente Rivadavia to score in both halves	16.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Barracas Central to score in both halves	14.3%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.2%	46.6%	40.5%	1.15×	2.15
Only Independiente Rivadavia scores	24.8%	22.4%	17.2%	1.30×	4.47
Only Barracas Central scores	20.6%	22.3%	27.8%	0.80×	4.48
Neither team scores	13.4%	10.9%	14.8%	0.74×	9.14

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.4%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	25.7%	25.0%	24.4%	1.02×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	18.4%	17.4%	20.3%	0.86×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	13.4%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	9.4%	7.6%	8.5%	0.90×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	3.8%	4.4%	4.4%	1.01×	22.66
6 or more goals	1.8%	4.4%	1.0%	4.27×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.9%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.7%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	30.4%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central not to win both halves	93.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Independiente Rivadavia not to win both halves	91.9%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Independiente Rivadavia to win both halves	8.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Barracas Central to win both halves	6.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.62

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central to win neither half	56.6%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Independiente Rivadavia to win neither half	50.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Independiente Rivadavia to win either half	49.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Barracas Central to win either half	43.4%	40.6%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Barracas Central not to win to nil	79.4%	78.1%	72.2%	1.08×	1.28
Independiente Rivadavia not to win to nil	75.2%	78.0%	82.8%	0.94×	1.28
Independiente Rivadavia to win to nil	24.8%	22.0%	17.2%	1.28×	4.55
Barracas Central to win to nil	20.6%	21.9%	27.8%	0.79×	4.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.2%	27.6%	30.6%	0.90×	3.63
Independiente Rivadavia by 1	22.3%	24.1%	18.7%	1.29×	4.14
Barracas Central by 1	19.8%	16.9%	24.3%	0.70×	5.91
Independiente Rivadavia by 2	10.6%	11.8%	6.3%	1.87×	8.48
Barracas Central by 2	8.4%	7.3%	12.6%	0.58×	13.78
Independiente Rivadavia by 3+	4.6%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.93
Barracas Central by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.98