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Bayer Leverkusen v RasenBallsport Leipzig — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 August 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Bayer Leverkusen
2–3
3.42 – 1.51 xG
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Shots
26 – 8
On target
10 – 4
Shots in box
18 – 5
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.19
Set-piece xG
1.70 – 0.00
Goals − xG
-1.43 – +1.49
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.01.92.93.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jeremie Frimpong 37' — goalÁlex Grimaldo 44' — goalKevin Kampl 51' — goalLoïs Openda 56' — goalLoïs Openda 79' — goal
Bayer Leverkusen 3.43 xGRasenBallsport Leipzig 1.51 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Edmond Tapsoba 5' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Set Piece)Florian Wirtz 6' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Florian Wirtz 9' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Piero Hincapié 9' — Shot On Post (0.43 xG, From Corner)Victor Boniface 9' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Granit Xhaka 14' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Victor Boniface 16' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Xavi Simons 27' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Sesko 31' — Missed Shot (0.57 xG, Open Play)Jeremie Frimpong 37' — Goal (0.44 xG, Open Play)Álex Grimaldo 41' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Victor Boniface 42' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Álex Grimaldo 44' — Goal (0.55 xG, Open Play)Martin Terrier 45' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Martin Terrier 45' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Victor Boniface 47' — Missed Shot (0.29 xG, From Corner)Kevin Kampl 51' — Goal (0.48 xG, Open Play)Kevin Kampl 51' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Victor Boniface 53' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Florian Wirtz 55' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Martin Terrier 56' — Missed Shot (0.54 xG, From Corner)Loïs Openda 56' — Goal (0.30 xG, Open Play)Martin Terrier 59' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Henrichs 66' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Florian Wirtz 67' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Antonio Nusa 72' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Amine Adli 73' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Florian Wirtz 75' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Loïs Openda 79' — Goal (0.02 xG, Open Play)Florian Wirtz 83' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Álex Grimaldo 84' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Amine Adli 92' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Florian Wirtz 94' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Nathan Tella 97' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)
Bayer Leverkusen attacking right RasenBallsport Leipzig attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Bayer Leverkusen Edmond Tapsoba 0.09 Set Piece — Saved Shot Aleix García
6' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Álex Grimaldo
9' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
9' Bayer Leverkusen Piero Hincapié 0.43 From Corner — Shot On Post —
9' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot —
14' Bayer Leverkusen Granit Xhaka 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Florian Wirtz
16' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.01 From Corner — Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
27' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Benjamin Sesko
31' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Sesko 0.57 Open Play — Missed Shot Loïs Openda
37' Bayer Leverkusen Jeremie Frimpong 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
41' Bayer Leverkusen Álex Grimaldo 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot Florian Wirtz
42' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.06 From Corner — Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
44' Bayer Leverkusen Álex Grimaldo 0.55 Open Play Left Foot Goal Florian Wirtz
45' Bayer Leverkusen Martin Terrier 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Florian Wirtz
45' Bayer Leverkusen Martin Terrier 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
47' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.29 From Corner — Missed Shot Aleix García
51' RasenBallsport Leipzig Kevin Kampl 0.48 Open Play — Goal Benjamin Henrichs
51' RasenBallsport Leipzig Kevin Kampl 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
53' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Florian Wirtz
55' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Granit Xhaka
56' Bayer Leverkusen Martin Terrier 0.54 From Corner — Missed Shot Florian Wirtz
56' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.30 Open Play Right Foot Goal Benjamin Sesko
59' Bayer Leverkusen Martin Terrier 0.05 Open Play — Saved Shot Aleix García
66' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Henrichs 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Loïs Openda
67' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
72' RasenBallsport Leipzig Antonio Nusa 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Benjamin Henrichs
73' Bayer Leverkusen Amine Adli 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
75' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Victor Boniface
79' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Goal Antonio Nusa
83' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Aleix García
84' Bayer Leverkusen Álex Grimaldo 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Granit Xhaka
92' Bayer Leverkusen Amine Adli 0.10 From Corner — Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
94' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.05 Open Play — Saved Shot Patrik Schick
97' Bayer Leverkusen Nathan Tella 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Álex Grimaldo

Players

Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Álex Grimaldo DML 90 1 0 3 7 0.59 0.45 1.00
Piero Hincapié DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.43 0.00 0.19
Florian Wirtz AMC 90 0 1 7 6 0.32 1.27 1.04
Edmond Tapsoba DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.24
Granit Xhaka MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.04 0.05 0.52
Jonathan Tah DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Aleix García MC 90 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.46 0.24
Matej Kovár GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Jeremie Frimpong DMR 84 1 0 1 0 0.44 0.00 0.53
Victor Boniface FW 84 0 0 5 1 0.43 0.10 0.16
Martin Terrier AMC 78 0 0 4 0 0.78 0.00 0.84
Amine Adli Sub 12 0 0 2 0 0.19 0.00 0.13
Nathan Tella Sub 6 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.12
Patrik Schick Sub 6 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.09
Arthur Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05

RasenBallsport Leipzig

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Kevin Kampl MC 90 1 0 2 0 0.49 0.00 0.86
Loïs Openda FW 90 2 0 2 2 0.32 0.63 1.43
Benjamin Henrichs DMR 90 0 1 1 2 0.07 0.51 1.16
Xavi Simons AMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.53
Péter Gulácsi GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.30
Castello Lukeba DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.37
David Raum DML 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
El Chadaille Bitshiabu DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.55
Lukas Klostermann DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.50
Nicolas Seiwald Sub 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.89
Benjamin Sesko AMC 74 0 1 1 2 0.57 0.33 1.38
Antonio Nusa Sub 16 0 1 1 1 0.03 0.02 0.04
Amadou Haidara MC 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Christoph Baumgartner Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arthur Vermeeren Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yussuf Poulsen Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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