Bayer Leverkusen v RasenBallsport Leipzig — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 20 September 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627
Bundesliga
xG Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyBayer Leverkusen win
63.3%
model 65.9%
Draw
18.4%
model 17.5%
RasenBallsport Leipzig win
18.3%
model 16.6%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 2-1 9.2%
- 3-1 7.8%
- 2-0 7.5%
- 1-1 7.2%
- 3-0 6.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 72.5% | Under 2.5 | 27.5% |
| BTTS yes | 65.0% | BTTS no | 35.0% |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1+ | 92.1% | Bayer Leverkusen 2+ | 72.0% |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig 1+ | 70.5% | RasenBallsport Leipzig 2+ | 34.5% |
Expected goals 2.54 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
85/100
Data quality
85/100
Model agreement
92%
★ Best pick
Bayer Leverkusen (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 42%
69.0% fair odds 1.45
strong signal · 931 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1UP)
Double chance 1UP · usually 74%
84.2% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Bayer Leverkusen carry the stronger rating, 1663 Elo against 1603.
- Bayer Leverkusen have created 2.80 xG a match over their last five while RasenBallsport Leipzig have allowed 1.58.
- At home Bayer Leverkusen average 4.05 xG a match.
- Their last eleven was closer to full strength: RasenBallsport Leipzig were missing 1.87 expected goal involvements a match against 0.83.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Bayer Leverkusen have an estimated 63.3% win probability, against 18.4% for the draw and 18.3% for RasenBallsport Leipzig. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.54 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.22 for RasenBallsport Leipzig.
Why Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen carry the stronger rating, 1663 Elo against 1603. Bayer Leverkusen have created 2.80 xG a match over their last five while RasenBallsport Leipzig have allowed 1.58. At home Bayer Leverkusen average 4.05 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: RasenBallsport Leipzig were missing 1.87 expected goal involvements a match against 0.83.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 18.4%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why RasenBallsport Leipzig can win
RasenBallsport Leipzig have created 2.43 xG a match over their last five while Bayer Leverkusen have allowed 1.83. Away from home RasenBallsport Leipzig average 1.64 xG a match.
Key players
Bayer Leverkusen's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Patrik Schick (0.71), Álex Grimaldo (0.46), Ibrahim Maza (0.36). RasenBallsport Leipzig's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Rômulo (0.56), Christoph Baumgartner (0.55), Yan Diomande (0.52).
Availability
1 of Bayer Leverkusen's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Bayer Leverkusen's last eleven are new to the club this window. 3 of RasenBallsport Leipzig's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of RasenBallsport Leipzig's last eleven are new to the club this window.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Bayer Leverkusen: 62% possession, 19.4 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 1.00 xG a match from set pieces. RasenBallsport Leipzig: 59% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 13.5 faced, 0.58 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Bayer Leverkusen are the model's most likely outcome at 63.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.2%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 85/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Bayer Leverkusen are finishing below their chances — 3.0 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.
DWWLWWLDLW last 10
scored 25
from 28.0 xG
conceded 17
from 18.3 xG
RasenBallsport Leipzig are finishing below their chances — 2.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.
WWWWWLWLWL last 10
scored 22
from 24.3 xG
conceded 15
from 15.8 xG
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.54–1.22 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 2.49–1.54 | 2-1 8% | 77% | 72% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to win | 57.3% | 54.1% | 41.7% | 1.30× | 1.85 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win | 24.1% | 24.5% | 33.5% | 0.73× | 4.09 |
| Draw | 18.5% | 19.4% | 24.9% | 0.78× | 5.16 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen & both teams score | 39.6% | 33.3% | 22.2% | 1.50× | 3.01 |
| Bayer Leverkusen & not both score | 17.8% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 0.91× | 5.58 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & both teams score | 17.8% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 0.98× | 5.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.0% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 0.93× | 5.58 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & not both score | 6.3% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 0.54× | 11.93 |
| Draw & not both score | 1.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 0.83× | 20.62 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen & over 1.5 | 53.5% | 48.7% | 35.6% | 1.37× | 2.05 |
| Bayer Leverkusen & over 2.5 | 48.6% | 45.2% | 29.5% | 1.53× | 2.21 |
| Bayer Leverkusen & over 3.5 | 36.4% | 34.9% | 20.3% | 1.72× | 2.86 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 1.5 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 27.6% | 0.78× | 4.62 |
| Bayer Leverkusen & under 3.5 | 21.0% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 1.00× | 4.62 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 2.5 | 19.6% | 18.0% | 23.3% | 0.77× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 0.94× | 5.56 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 3.5 | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 0.93× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 1.35× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 1.35× | 7.77 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 3.5 | 10.8% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 0.65× | 7.77 |
| Bayer Leverkusen & under 2.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 0.64× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 7.8% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 0.51× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 7.8% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 0.51× | 12.70 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 2.5 | 4.5% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 0.46× | 20.92 |
| Bayer Leverkusen & under 1.5 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 0.75× | 20.93 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 1.5 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 0.79× | 20.94 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 1.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 0.81× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen (1UP) | 74.7% | 76.1% | 59.6% | 1.28× | 1.32 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (1UP) | 48.3% | 43.4% | 52.8% | 0.82× | 2.31 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen (2UP) | 57.3% | 55.2% | 45.2% | 1.22× | 1.81 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (2UP) | 24.1% | 23.6% | 36.4% | 0.65× | 4.24 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to win 2nd half | 53.3% | 52.3% | 37.2% | 1.41× | 1.91 |
| 2nd half drawn | 27.1% | 26.3% | 33.5% | 0.78× | 3.80 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win 2nd half | 19.6% | 19.3% | 29.4% | 0.66× | 5.17 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (+2.5) | 79.2% | 78.5% | 88.3% | 0.89× | 1.27 |
| Bayer Leverkusen (+0.5) | 75.9% | 78.4% | 66.5% | 1.18× | 1.28 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (+1.5) | 62.7% | 62.9% | 75.2% | 0.84× | 1.59 |
| Bayer Leverkusen (-0.5) | 57.3% | 57.0% | 41.7% | 1.37× | 1.75 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (+0.5) | 42.7% | 43.0% | 58.3% | 0.74× | 2.33 |
| Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5) | 37.3% | 37.1% | 24.8% | 1.50× | 2.69 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (-0.5) | 24.1% | 21.6% | 33.5% | 0.64× | 4.64 |
| Bayer Leverkusen (-2.5) | 20.8% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 1.83× | 4.64 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede | 92.2% | 91.8% | 78.9% | 1.16× | 1.09 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet | 7.8% | 8.2% | 21.1% | 0.39× | 12.16 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede in 1st half | 67.4% | 70.4% | 51.8% | 1.36× | 1.42 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet in 1st half | 32.6% | 29.6% | 48.2% | 0.61× | 3.38 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 3.5 goals | 91.5% | 92.3% | 92.9% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 goals | 80.7% | 81.4% | 74.6% | 1.09× | 1.23 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 2.5 goals | 77.1% | 76.2% | 79.2% | 0.96× | 1.31 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 goals | 51.0% | 53.6% | 57.3% | 0.94× | 1.86 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 goals | 49.0% | 46.4% | 42.7% | 1.09× | 2.16 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 2.5 goals | 22.9% | 23.8% | 20.8% | 1.14× | 4.21 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 goals | 19.3% | 18.6% | 25.4% | 0.73× | 5.38 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 3.5 goals | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 1.07× | 13.06 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 in 1st half | 77.2% | 76.1% | 85.9% | 0.89× | 1.32 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 in 1st half | 59.4% | 62.6% | 45.5% | 1.38× | 1.60 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 in 1st half | 40.6% | 37.4% | 54.5% | 0.69× | 2.67 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 in 1st half | 22.8% | 23.9% | 14.1% | 1.69× | 4.18 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen (away no bet) | 75.6% | 73.6% | 62.6% | 1.17× | 1.36 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 24.4% | 26.4% | 37.4% | 0.71× | 3.78 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig even goals | 51.9% | 52.8% | 53.2% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig odd goals | 48.1% | 47.2% | 46.8% | 1.01× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 61.7% | 63.6% | 76.0% | 0.84× | 1.57 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 38.3% | 36.4% | 24.0% | 1.52× | 2.74 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 85.6% | 83.2% | 72.2% | 1.15× | 1.20 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 14.4% | 16.8% | 27.8% | 0.60× | 5.95 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 77.9% | 75.9% | 66.8% | 1.14× | 1.32 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to score 2+ in a row | 60.6% | 59.6% | 42.4% | 1.40× | 1.68 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 39.0% | 36.6% | 29.3% | 1.25× | 2.73 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 2+ in a row | 33.6% | 28.8% | 34.5% | 0.84× | 3.47 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to score 3+ in a row | 30.2% | 28.7% | 17.6% | 1.63× | 3.49 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 3+ in a row | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 0.96× | 8.31 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 13.8% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 2.19× | 8.73 |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 1.09× | 13.47 |
| 2-2 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.17× | 13.47 |
| 3-1 | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.20× | 13.47 |
| 1-1 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.75× | 13.47 |
| 1-2 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 1.09× | 13.47 |
| 3-2 | 5.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.13× | 13.47 |
| 2-0 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 6.2% | 0.28× | 58.50 |
| 0-0 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 0.29× | 58.52 |
| 0-1 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 0.28× | 58.51 |
| 0-2 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.38× | 58.51 |
| 0-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.52 |
| 0-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 58.52 |
| 1-0 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 0.27× | 58.50 |
| 1-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.37× | 58.51 |
| 1-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 58.52 |
| 2-3 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.63× | 58.50 |
| 2-4 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.52 |
| 3-0 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.63× | 58.50 |
| 3-3 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.51 |
| 3-4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.20× | 58.52 |
| 4-0 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.47× | 58.51 |
| 4-1 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.77× | 58.50 |
| 4-2 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.50 |
| 4-3 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.79× | 58.51 |
| 4-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.59× | 58.52 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen leading at HT (DNB) | 58.3% | 57.4% | 55.7% | 1.03× | 1.74 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig leading at HT (DNB) | 41.7% | 42.6% | 44.3% | 0.96× | 2.35 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen or RasenBallsport Leipzig (12) | 81.5% | 80.6% | 75.1% | 1.07× | 1.24 |
| Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X) | 75.9% | 75.5% | 66.5% | 1.14× | 1.32 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw (X2) | 42.7% | 45.9% | 58.3% | 0.79× | 2.18 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen or draw at HT | 71.0% | 74.5% | 70.7% | 1.05× | 1.34 |
| Bayer Leverkusen or RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT | 69.6% | 66.4% | 65.8% | 1.01× | 1.51 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw at HT | 59.4% | 56.6% | 63.3% | 0.90× | 1.77 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1UP) | 75.9% | 83.9% | 73.6% | 1.14× | 1.19 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw (1UP) | 48.3% | 52.6% | 65.0% | 0.81× | 1.90 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen or draw in 2nd half | 80.4% | 80.7% | 70.6% | 1.14× | 1.24 |
| Bayer Leverkusen or RasenBallsport Leipzig in 2nd half | 72.9% | 73.7% | 66.5% | 1.11× | 1.36 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw in 2nd half | 46.7% | 47.7% | 62.8% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half drawn | 50.7% | 50.1% | 46.3% | 1.08× | 2.00 |
| A half drawn | 49.3% | 49.9% | 53.7% | 0.93× | 2.00 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen (DNB) | 70.4% | 71.4% | 55.5% | 1.29× | 1.40 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (DNB) | 29.6% | 28.6% | 44.5% | 0.64× | 3.50 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to score first | 59.8% | 62.1% | 50.7% | 1.22× | 1.61 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score first | 38.7% | 32.8% | 43.6% | 0.75× | 3.05 |
| No goal scored | 1.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 0.72× | 23.61 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 74.4% | 62.5% | 59.4% | 1.05× | 1.60 |
| Not both teams to score | 25.6% | 37.5% | 40.6% | 0.92× | 2.67 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 68.1% | 57.4% | 49.7% | 1.16× | 1.74 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 14.8% | 12.3% | 28.3% | 0.44× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 0.98× | 8.12 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 64.6% | 70.7% | 79.7% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 35.4% | 29.3% | 20.3% | 1.44× | 3.42 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 60.0% | 65.7% | 65.5% | 1.00× | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 40.0% | 34.3% | 34.5% | 0.99× | 2.92 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 36.0% | 44.1% | 51.7% | 0.85× | 2.27 |
| Both score 1st half only | 24.0% | 21.0% | 14.0% | 1.50× | 4.77 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.0% | 21.0% | 27.8% | 0.75× | 4.77 |
| Both score in both halves | 16.0% | 15.7% | 6.8% | 2.30× | 6.37 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 60.0% | 60.0% | 79.3% | 0.76× | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 40.0% | 40.0% | 20.7% | 1.94× | 2.50 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 76.9% | 79.9% | 66.8% | 1.20× | 1.25 |
| A half without a goal | 23.1% | 20.1% | 33.2% | 0.60× | 4.99 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 47.2% | 47.4% | 39.7% | 1.19× | 2.11 |
| 2-3 goals | 31.8% | 30.8% | 38.9% | 0.79× | 3.25 |
| 7+ goals | 13.1% | 16.9% | 3.8% | 4.45× | 5.90 |
| 0-1 goals | 7.8% | 7.6% | 17.9% | 0.42× | 13.15 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 1 | 31.7% | 33.8% | 32.1% | 1.06× | 2.96 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 2 | 26.1% | 27.4% | 22.1% | 1.24× | 3.65 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 3+ | 22.9% | 22.4% | 20.8% | 1.08× | 4.46 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 0 | 19.3% | 19.6% | 25.4% | 0.77× | 5.11 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to score 3+ | 46.9% | 36.8% | 27.5% | 1.34× | 2.71 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to score exactly 2 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 22.7% | 1.17× | 3.77 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to score exactly 1 | 19.9% | 18.9% | 29.0% | 0.65× | 5.29 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to score exactly 0 | 7.8% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 0.49× | 9.71 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen leading at HT | 40.6% | 43.4% | 36.7% | 1.18× | 2.31 |
| Draw at HT | 30.4% | 33.6% | 34.2% | 0.98× | 2.98 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig leading at HT | 29.1% | 25.5% | 29.3% | 0.87× | 3.92 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen -1: 2 | 42.7% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Bayer Leverkusen -1: 1 | 37.3% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Bayer Leverkusen -1: X | 20.0% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.70 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:1) | 42.7% | 42.7% | 58.3% | 0.73× | 2.34 |
| Bayer Leverkusen (0:1) | 37.3% | 37.3% | 24.8% | 1.51× | 2.68 |
| Draw (0:1) | 20.0% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 1.04× | 5.62 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:2) | 62.7% | 67.2% | 75.2% | 0.89× | 1.49 |
| Bayer Leverkusen (0:2) | 20.8% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 1.73× | 4.92 |
| Draw (0:2) | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 1.16× | 6.54 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:3) | 79.2% | 80.5% | 88.3% | 0.91× | 1.24 |
| Draw (0:3) | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.97× | 10.01 |
| Bayer Leverkusen (0:3) | 9.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 0.86× | 17.14 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:4) | 90.1% | 94.6% | 93.2% | 1.02× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 0.88× | 21.60 |
| Bayer Leverkusen (0:4) | 4.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.69× | 83.13 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen (1:0) | 75.9% | 78.4% | 66.5% | 1.18× | 1.28 |
| Draw (1:0) | 12.9% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 0.78× | 7.80 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (1:0) | 11.2% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.75× | 7.81 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen (2:0) | 88.8% | 88.4% | 82.9% | 1.07× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 6.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 0.64× | 15.53 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (2:0) | 4.3% | 2.3% | 7.3% | 0.31× | 44.23 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 42.8% | 47.5% | 46.7% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 37.1% | 37.1% | 26.4% | 1.41× | 2.70 |
| Halves equal | 20.1% | 24.2% | 27.0% | 0.90× | 4.13 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to concede | 80.7% | 80.7% | 74.6% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet | 19.3% | 19.3% | 25.4% | 0.76× | 5.18 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to concede in 1st half | 59.4% | 62.6% | 45.5% | 1.38× | 1.60 |
| Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet in 1st half | 40.6% | 37.4% | 54.5% | 0.69× | 2.67 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen over 0.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.3% | 78.9% | 1.17× | 1.08 |
| Bayer Leverkusen under 3.5 goals | 74.7% | 74.2% | 88.6% | 0.84× | 1.35 |
| Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals | 72.3% | 74.2% | 50.0% | 1.48× | 1.35 |
| Bayer Leverkusen under 2.5 goals | 53.1% | 53.3% | 72.5% | 0.73× | 1.88 |
| Bayer Leverkusen over 2.5 goals | 46.9% | 46.7% | 27.5% | 1.70× | 2.14 |
| Bayer Leverkusen under 1.5 goals | 27.7% | 25.8% | 50.0% | 0.52× | 3.88 |
| Bayer Leverkusen over 3.5 goals | 25.3% | 25.8% | 11.4% | 2.26× | 3.88 |
| Bayer Leverkusen under 0.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.7% | 21.1% | 0.37× | 12.92 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen under 1.5 in 1st half | 69.1% | 69.1% | 80.8% | 0.86× | 1.45 |
| Bayer Leverkusen over 0.5 in 1st half | 67.4% | 68.9% | 51.8% | 1.33× | 1.45 |
| Bayer Leverkusen under 0.5 in 1st half | 32.6% | 31.1% | 48.2% | 0.65× | 3.22 |
| Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 in 1st half | 30.9% | 30.9% | 19.2% | 1.61× | 3.24 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (home no bet) | 56.6% | 56.7% | 57.3% | 0.99× | 1.76 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 43.4% | 43.3% | 42.7% | 1.02× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen even goals | 50.3% | 50.6% | 52.5% | 0.96× | 1.98 |
| Bayer Leverkusen odd goals | 49.7% | 49.4% | 47.5% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 16.0% | 18.8% | 6.7% | 2.81× | 5.33 |
| HT 1-0 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 0.57× | 9.08 |
| HT 1-1 | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 1.13× | 9.10 |
| HT 0-0 | 13.2% | 11.0% | 23.4% | 0.47× | 9.10 |
| HT 0-1 | 11.9% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 0.66× | 9.11 |
| HT 2-0 | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 0.74× | 14.16 |
| HT 2-1 | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.64× | 14.17 |
| HT 1-2 | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.01× | 14.19 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 1.01× | 14.20 |
| HT 2-2 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.79× | 43.82 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen at HT / Bayer Leverkusen at FT | 35.2% | 40.6% | 28.1% | 1.44× | 2.46 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT | 16.7% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 0.83× | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Bayer Leverkusen at FT | 16.2% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 1.58× | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 8.2% | 6.0% | 14.0% | 0.43× | 16.56 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / Draw at FT | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 1.00× | 16.61 |
| Draw at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 0.61× | 16.62 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / Bayer Leverkusen at FT | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.80× | 16.63 |
| Bayer Leverkusen at HT / Draw at FT | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 0.68× | 28.84 |
| Bayer Leverkusen at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 0.91× | 28.93 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to score last | 59.8% | 56.8% | 49.9% | 1.14× | 1.76 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score last | 38.7% | 38.2% | 44.4% | 0.86× | 2.62 |
| No goal scored | 1.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 0.72× | 23.61 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 98.5% | 95.7% | 94.1% | 1.02× | 1.05 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to lead by 1 at any time | 74.7% | 74.4% | 59.6% | 1.25× | 1.34 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 66.6% | 69.4% | 55.8% | 1.24× | 1.44 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 1 at any time | 48.3% | 44.1% | 52.8% | 0.83× | 2.27 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to lead by 2 at any time | 47.7% | 44.0% | 33.2% | 1.33× | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 33.0% | 29.3% | 25.4% | 1.15× | 3.41 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to lead by 3 at any time | 26.0% | 25.2% | 15.6% | 1.62× | 3.96 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 2 at any time | 19.9% | 15.0% | 23.4% | 0.64× | 6.66 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 3 at any time | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 0.65× | 15.25 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 goals | 79.0% | 78.6% | 78.4% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| 1-5 goals | 73.9% | 72.4% | 83.2% | 0.87× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 67.6% | 69.0% | 71.1% | 0.97× | 1.45 |
| 3-6 goals | 65.8% | 69.0% | 58.4% | 1.18× | 1.45 |
| 1-4 goals | 57.6% | 59.2% | 72.5% | 0.82× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 54.3% | 53.2% | 51.1% | 1.04× | 1.88 |
| 2-4 goals | 51.3% | 53.2% | 60.5% | 0.88× | 1.88 |
| 4-6 goals | 47.2% | 48.7% | 39.7% | 1.23× | 2.06 |
| 1-3 goals | 38.1% | 39.2% | 51.0% | 0.77× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.0% | 39.2% | 40.5% | 0.97× | 2.55 |
| 4-5 goals | 35.8% | 39.2% | 32.4% | 1.21× | 2.55 |
| 2-3 goals | 31.8% | 35.4% | 38.9% | 0.91× | 2.83 |
| 5-6 goals | 27.8% | 30.2% | 18.1% | 1.67× | 3.31 |
| 1-2 goals | 19.6% | 18.6% | 32.2% | 0.58× | 5.37 |
| 7+ goals | 13.1% | 14.9% | 3.8% | 3.90× | 6.72 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen never behind | 50.2% | 62.2% | 47.2% | 1.32× | 1.61 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig never behind | 23.8% | 24.4% | 40.4% | 0.60× | 4.10 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.0% | 50.8% | 44.6% | 1.14× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.0% | 49.2% | 55.4% | 0.89× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.9% | 51.6% | 52.5% | 0.98× | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 49.1% | 48.4% | 47.5% | 1.02× | 2.06 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.7% | 52.1% | 53.1% | 0.98× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.3% | 47.9% | 46.9% | 1.02× | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 98.5% | 95.5% | 94.1% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.3% | 82.1% | 1.12× | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.9% | 77.4% | 62.1% | 1.25× | 1.29 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 75.4% | 77.4% | 88.9% | 0.87× | 1.29 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60.4% | 61.7% | 43.3% | 1.42× | 1.62 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 59.1% | 58.8% | 78.3% | 0.75× | 1.70 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 40.9% | 41.2% | 21.7% | 1.89× | 2.43 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 39.6% | 38.3% | 56.7% | 0.68× | 2.61 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 24.6% | 22.6% | 11.1% | 2.04× | 4.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 21.1% | 22.6% | 37.9% | 0.60× | 4.42 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.7% | 17.9% | 0.43× | 12.94 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 1.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 0.76× | 22.27 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 91.0% | 92.5% | 77.6% | 1.19× | 1.08 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 85.2% | 86.7% | 95.9% | 0.90× | 1.15 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 74.1% | 72.6% | 53.3% | 1.36× | 1.38 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 70.6% | 72.6% | 87.6% | 0.83× | 1.38 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 50.8% | 51.8% | 27.7% | 1.87× | 1.93 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 49.2% | 48.2% | 72.3% | 0.67× | 2.07 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 29.4% | 27.4% | 12.4% | 2.21× | 3.65 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 25.9% | 27.4% | 46.7% | 0.59× | 3.65 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 14.8% | 13.3% | 4.1% | 3.23× | 7.53 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 9.0% | 7.5% | 22.4% | 0.34× | 13.26 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 86.8% | 89.0% | 76.6% | 1.16× | 1.12 |
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 67.1% | 69.1% | 84.7% | 0.82× | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 60.0% | 63.8% | 41.0% | 1.56× | 1.57 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 40.0% | 36.2% | 59.0% | 0.61× | 2.76 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 32.9% | 30.9% | 15.3% | 2.02× | 3.24 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 13.2% | 11.0% | 23.4% | 0.47× | 9.12 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 88.6% | 85.3% | 84.3% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 63.9% | 62.3% | 55.2% | 1.13× | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 63.0% | 62.2% | 73.6% | 0.85× | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 37.0% | 37.8% | 26.4% | 1.43× | 2.65 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 36.1% | 37.7% | 44.8% | 0.84× | 2.65 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 0.93× | 6.82 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig not to score in both halves | 68.8% | 70.3% | 72.7% | 0.97× | 1.42 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to score in both halves | 51.3% | 56.2% | 35.3% | 1.59× | 1.78 |
| Bayer Leverkusen not to score in both halves | 48.7% | 43.8% | 64.7% | 0.68× | 2.28 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score in both halves | 31.2% | 29.7% | 27.3% | 1.09× | 3.37 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 74.4% | 66.7% | 59.4% | 1.12× | 1.50 |
| Only Bayer Leverkusen scores | 17.8% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 0.82× | 6.22 |
| Only RasenBallsport Leipzig scores | 6.3% | 7.2% | 15.4% | 0.47× | 13.92 |
| Neither team scores | 1.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 0.78× | 21.90 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 24.6% | 22.6% | 11.1% | 2.04× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 19.5% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 0.80× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 18.5% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 0.92× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 16.3% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 1.62× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 13.3% | 12.1% | 20.2% | 0.60× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 0.62× | 13.10 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 1.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 0.75× | 22.72 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 63.9% | 59.2% | 55.2% | 1.07× | 1.69 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 24.7% | 23.2% | 29.3% | 0.79× | 4.32 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 11.4% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 0.93× | 6.87 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig not to win both halves | 94.3% | 94.0% | 90.6% | 1.04× | 1.06 |
| Bayer Leverkusen not to win both halves | 78.4% | 75.5% | 84.1% | 0.90× | 1.33 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to win both halves | 21.6% | 24.6% | 15.9% | 1.54× | 4.07 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win both halves | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 0.64× | 16.73 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen to win either half | 72.2% | 73.0% | 58.0% | 1.26× | 1.37 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win neither half | 57.1% | 59.4% | 50.7% | 1.17× | 1.68 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win either half | 42.9% | 40.6% | 49.3% | 0.82× | 2.47 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to win neither half | 27.8% | 27.0% | 42.0% | 0.64× | 3.70 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig not to win to nil | 93.7% | 92.1% | 84.6% | 1.09× | 1.09 |
| Bayer Leverkusen not to win to nil | 82.2% | 83.0% | 80.3% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Bayer Leverkusen to win to nil | 17.8% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 0.86× | 5.89 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win to nil | 6.3% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 0.52× | 12.58 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen by 3+ | 20.8% | 24.1% | 11.7% | 2.06× | 4.14 |
| Bayer Leverkusen by 1 | 20.0% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 0.99× | 5.90 |
| Draw | 18.5% | 17.0% | 24.9% | 0.68× | 5.90 |
| Bayer Leverkusen by 2 | 16.6% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 1.29× | 5.90 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig by 1 | 12.9% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 0.72× | 8.47 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig by 2 | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 0.72× | 13.80 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig by 3+ | 4.3% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 0.37× | 37.00 |