Beijing Guoan v Qingdao West Coast — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 October 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Beijing Guoan

07:00

Qingdao West Coast

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,021h before kick-off

Beijing Guoan win

53.7%

model 54.7%

Draw

23.1%

model 24.4%

Qingdao West Coast win

23.1%

model 21.0%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
1-0 10.9%
2-0 9.8%
2-1 9.8%
0-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.7%	Under 2.5	48.3%
BTTS yes	52.4%	BTTS no	47.6%
Beijing Guoan 1+	82.6%	Beijing Guoan 2+	52.2%
Qingdao West Coast 1+	63.0%	Qingdao West Coast 2+	26.2%

Expected goals 1.75 – 0.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Beijing Guoan carry the stronger rating, 1641 Elo against 1570.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0120 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Beijing Guoan have an estimated 53.7% win probability, against 23.1% for the draw and 23.1% for Qingdao West Coast. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.75 for Beijing Guoan and 0.99 for Qingdao West Coast.

Why Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan carry the stronger rating, 1641 Elo against 1570. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Qingdao West Coast can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Beijing Guoan, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Qingdao West Coast, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Beijing Guoan: 51% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Qingdao West Coast: 47% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Beijing Guoan are the model's most likely outcome at 53.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	552520	1.70–0.92	1-0 12%	49%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan to win	55.5%	54.0%	46.0%	1.17×	1.85
Draw	24.8%	24.5%	26.2%	0.93×	4.09
Qingdao West Coast to win	19.7%	19.4%	28.0%	0.69×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan & not both score	32.3%	29.7%	23.2%	1.28×	3.37
Beijing Guoan & both teams score	23.2%	21.9%	23.0%	0.95×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.58
Qingdao West Coast & not both score	10.5%	13.3%	9.8%	1.35×	7.55
Qingdao West Coast & both teams score	9.2%	8.4%	18.5%	0.45×	11.92
Draw & not both score	7.7%	8.4%	4.3%	1.94×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan & over 1.5	43.5%	40.3%	36.4%	1.11×	2.48
Beijing Guoan & under 3.5	38.2%	34.9%	27.3%	1.28×	2.87
Beijing Guoan & over 2.5	32.9%	30.9%	29.4%	1.05×	3.24
Beijing Guoan & under 2.5	22.6%	21.7%	16.9%	1.28×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Beijing Guoan & over 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Qingdao West Coast & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Qingdao West Coast & over 1.5	13.5%	12.9%	23.7%	0.54×	7.77
Beijing Guoan & under 1.5	12.0%	12.9%	9.8%	1.31×	7.77
Qingdao West Coast & over 2.5	10.4%	12.9%	21.0%	0.61×	7.77
Qingdao West Coast & under 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	4.3%	1.82×	12.70
Qingdao West Coast & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	4.6%	1.73×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Qingdao West Coast & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	12.3%	0.39×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan (1UP)	68.1%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Qingdao West Coast (1UP)	36.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan (2UP)	55.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Qingdao West Coast (2UP)	19.7%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan to win 2nd half	44.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	35.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Qingdao West Coast to win 2nd half	20.1%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast (+2.5)	86.3%	88.5%	89.3%	0.99×	1.13
Beijing Guoan (+0.5)	80.3%	82.4%	72.0%	1.14×	1.21
Qingdao West Coast (+1.5)	69.1%	68.7%	74.7%	0.92×	1.46
Beijing Guoan (-0.5)	55.5%	57.0%	46.0%	1.24×	1.76
Qingdao West Coast (+0.5)	44.5%	43.0%	54.0%	0.80×	2.33
Beijing Guoan (-1.5)	30.9%	31.3%	25.3%	1.24×	3.20
Qingdao West Coast (-0.5)	19.7%	17.6%	28.0%	0.63×	5.68
Beijing Guoan (-2.5)	13.7%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast to concede	81.7%	81.3%	86.1%	0.94×	1.23
Qingdao West Coast clean sheet	18.3%	18.7%	13.9%	1.35×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast clean sheet in 1st half	48.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Qingdao West Coast to concede in 1st half	51.9%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast under 6.5 corners	88.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Qingdao West Coast under 5.5 corners	80.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Qingdao West Coast over 2.5 corners	67.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Qingdao West Coast under 4.5 corners	67.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Qingdao West Coast under 3.5 corners	51.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Qingdao West Coast over 3.5 corners	48.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Qingdao West Coast under 2.5 corners	32.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Qingdao West Coast over 4.5 corners	32.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Qingdao West Coast over 5.5 corners	19.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
Qingdao West Coast over 6.5 corners	11.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.5%	92.9%	1.05×	1.03
Qingdao West Coast under 2.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	83.1%	1.11×	1.08
Qingdao West Coast under 1.5 goals	76.7%	76.2%	60.8%	1.25×	1.31
Qingdao West Coast over 0.5 goals	60.0%	59.5%	72.7%	0.82×	1.68
Qingdao West Coast under 0.5 goals	40.0%	40.5%	27.3%	1.48×	2.47
Qingdao West Coast over 1.5 goals	23.3%	23.8%	39.2%	0.61×	4.21
Qingdao West Coast over 2.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	16.9%	0.45×	13.05
Qingdao West Coast over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	94.3%	—	—	1.06
Qingdao West Coast under 0.5 in 1st half	69.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Qingdao West Coast over 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Qingdao West Coast over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	5.7%	—	—	17.43

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan (away no bet)	69.1%	66.4%	63.7%	1.04×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.9%	33.6%	36.3%	0.93×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast even goals	58.0%	56.9%	54.7%	1.04×	1.76
Qingdao West Coast odd goals	42.0%	43.1%	45.3%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.5%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	—	—	8.08

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Beijing Guoan to score 2+ in a row	43.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Beijing Guoan to score 3+ in a row	17.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Qingdao West Coast to score 2+ in a row	16.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Qingdao West Coast to score 3+ in a row	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.50

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan corners (+3.5)	95.8%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Beijing Guoan corners (+2.5)	92.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Beijing Guoan corners (+1.5)	88.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Beijing Guoan corners (-1.5)	63.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Qingdao West Coast corners (+3.5)	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Beijing Guoan corners (-2.5)	52.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Qingdao West Coast corners (+2.5)	47.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Beijing Guoan corners (-3.5)	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Qingdao West Coast corners (+1.5)	36.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Qingdao West Coast corners (-1.5)	12.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Qingdao West Coast corners (-2.5)	7.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Qingdao West Coast corners (-3.5)	4.2%	4.2%	—	—	23.54

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	34.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	27.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.0%	11.5%	9.8%	1.17×	8.73
1-1	11.8%	11.5%	12.3%	0.93×	8.73
2-0	10.6%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.73
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
0-0	7.7%	7.4%	4.3%	1.71×	13.48
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	4.6%	1.63×	13.48
1-2	5.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
3-0	6.0%	7.4%	3.4%	2.17×	13.48
3-1	5.5%	7.4%	6.2%	1.21×	13.48
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.47
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.49
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.48
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.49
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.46
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.48
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.49
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.48
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.49
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.49
4-0	2.5%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.48
4-1	2.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.48
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.50×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan leading at HT (DNB)	70.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Qingdao West Coast leading at HT (DNB)	29.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.49

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan or draw (1X)	80.3%	80.6%	72.0%	1.12×	1.24
Beijing Guoan or Qingdao West Coast (12)	75.2%	75.5%	73.8%	1.02×	1.32
Qingdao West Coast or draw (X2)	44.5%	46.0%	54.0%	0.85×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan or draw at HT	83.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Qingdao West Coast or draw at HT	59.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Beijing Guoan or Qingdao West Coast at HT	56.9%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan or draw (1UP)	80.3%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Qingdao West Coast or draw (1UP)	44.5%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan or draw in 2nd half	79.9%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Beijing Guoan or Qingdao West Coast in 2nd half	64.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Qingdao West Coast or draw in 2nd half	55.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan (DNB)	73.8%	71.4%	62.2%	1.15×	1.40
Qingdao West Coast (DNB)	26.3%	28.6%	37.8%	0.75×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan to score first	60.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Qingdao West Coast to score first	32.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	7.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.29

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.6%	51.4%	36.9%	1.39×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.4%	48.6%	63.1%	0.77×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.6%	38.5%	28.0%	1.37×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	37.7%	38.5%	51.0%	0.75×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.8%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.9%	12.3%	9.1%	1.35×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.2%	85.6%	78.4%	1.09×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.8%	14.4%	21.6%	0.66×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.6%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.4%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.8%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.2%	5.0%	—	—	19.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.0%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	47.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.2%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
0-1 goals	26.0%	26.4%	18.2%	1.45×	3.78
4-6 goals	25.0%	26.4%	36.9%	0.72×	3.78
7+ goals	1.8%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.62

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast to score exactly 0	40.0%	37.0%	27.3%	1.35×	2.70
Qingdao West Coast to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	33.7%	1.07×	2.78
Qingdao West Coast to score exactly 2	16.8%	19.6%	22.6%	0.87×	5.11
Qingdao West Coast to score 3+	6.6%	8.4%	16.9%	0.50×	11.84

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan to score exactly 1	31.0%	32.6%	34.2%	0.96×	3.06
Beijing Guoan to score exactly 2	26.4%	26.5%	26.2%	1.01×	3.77
Beijing Guoan to score 3+	24.3%	23.3%	26.2%	0.89×	4.30
Beijing Guoan to score exactly 0	18.3%	18.9%	13.9%	1.36×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.1%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Beijing Guoan leading at HT	40.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Qingdao West Coast leading at HT	16.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan -1: 2	44.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Beijing Guoan -1: 1	30.9%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Beijing Guoan -1: X	24.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast (0:1)	44.5%	42.7%	54.0%	0.79×	2.34
Beijing Guoan (0:1)	30.9%	30.0%	25.3%	1.19×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	24.6%	24.3%	21.0%	1.16×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast (0:2)	69.1%	72.2%	74.7%	0.97×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	17.2%	15.3%	14.8%	1.03×	6.54
Beijing Guoan (0:2)	13.7%	11.0%	10.7%	1.02×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast (0:3)	86.3%	90.8%	89.3%	1.02×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.7%	5.8%	5.9%	0.99×	17.14
Beijing Guoan (0:3)	5.0%	2.4%	5.0%	0.47×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast (0:4)	95.0%	98.1%	95.0%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.5%	1.2%	3.9%	0.31×	83.27
Beijing Guoan (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	83.51

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan (1:0)	80.3%	81.4%	72.0%	1.13×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	13.0%	12.8%	16.4%	0.78×	7.80
Qingdao West Coast (1:0)	6.7%	6.9%	11.8%	0.58×	14.45

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan (2:0)	93.3%	93.9%	88.2%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.0%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	44.05
Qingdao West Coast (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	5.0%	0.45×	44.26

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan to concede	60.0%	61.0%	72.7%	0.84×	1.64
Beijing Guoan clean sheet	40.0%	39.0%	27.3%	1.43×	2.57

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan clean sheet in 1st half	69.3%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Beijing Guoan to concede in 1st half	30.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan over 2.5 corners	92.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Beijing Guoan over 3.5 corners	83.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Beijing Guoan over 4.5 corners	72.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Beijing Guoan over 5.5 corners	60.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Beijing Guoan under 6.5 corners	52.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Beijing Guoan over 6.5 corners	47.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Beijing Guoan under 5.5 corners	39.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Beijing Guoan under 4.5 corners	27.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Beijing Guoan under 3.5 corners	16.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Beijing Guoan under 2.5 corners	7.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan under 3.5 goals	90.7%	92.2%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Beijing Guoan over 0.5 goals	81.7%	82.1%	86.1%	0.95×	1.22
Beijing Guoan under 2.5 goals	75.7%	77.7%	73.8%	1.05×	1.29
Beijing Guoan over 1.5 goals	50.7%	53.2%	52.2%	1.02×	1.88
Beijing Guoan under 1.5 goals	49.3%	46.8%	47.8%	0.98×	2.14
Beijing Guoan over 2.5 goals	24.3%	22.3%	26.2%	0.85×	4.49
Beijing Guoan under 0.5 goals	18.3%	17.9%	13.9%	1.29×	5.59
Beijing Guoan over 3.5 goals	9.3%	7.8%	10.5%	0.74×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan under 1.5 in 1st half	83.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Beijing Guoan under 0.5 in 1st half	48.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Beijing Guoan over 0.5 in 1st half	51.9%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Beijing Guoan over 1.5 in 1st half	16.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.7%	56.7%	48.3%	1.17×	1.77
Qingdao West Coast (home no bet)	44.3%	43.3%	51.7%	0.84×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan even goals	51.7%	50.6%	48.3%	1.05×	1.98
Beijing Guoan odd goals	48.3%	49.4%	51.7%	0.95×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	24.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	12.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 2-0	8.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.29
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan at HT / Beijing Guoan at FT	34.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Draw at HT / Beijing Guoan at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Qingdao West Coast at HT / Qingdao West Coast at FT	9.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Draw at HT / Qingdao West Coast at FT	8.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Beijing Guoan at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Qingdao West Coast at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Qingdao West Coast at HT / Beijing Guoan at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Beijing Guoan at HT / Qingdao West Coast at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan to score last	60.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Qingdao West Coast to score last	32.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.29

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Beijing Guoan to lead by 1 at any time	68.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Beijing Guoan to lead by 2 at any time	36.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Qingdao West Coast to lead by 1 at any time	36.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Beijing Guoan to lead by 3 at any time	15.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Qingdao West Coast to lead by 2 at any time	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Qingdao West Coast to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	61.84

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan most corners	73.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Qingdao West Coast most corners	18.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	8.3%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	84.7%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.6%	74.7%	1.05×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.2%	72.4%	77.9%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.0%	69.0%	70.8%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.5%	68.9%	55.1%	1.25×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.4%	60.8%	1.04×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.2%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.8%	48.7%	56.0%	0.87×	2.06
1-2 goals	43.7%	43.6%	36.0%	1.21×	2.30
3-5 goals	43.6%	43.6%	49.0%	0.89×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.1%	39.1%	39.0%	1.01×	2.56
4-6 goals	25.0%	30.2%	36.9%	0.82×	3.31
4-5 goals	21.7%	24.5%	29.8%	0.82×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.7%	14.9%	17.3%	0.86×	6.73
7+ goals	1.8%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan never behind	55.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Qingdao West Coast never behind	24.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.8%	46.2%	1.10×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.2%	53.8%	0.91×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	95.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.5%	87.6%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.0%	72.5%	81.8%	0.89×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.2%	72.5%	59.2%	1.22×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.4%	52.5%	40.1%	1.31×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	48.6%	47.5%	59.9%	0.79×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	26.8%	27.5%	40.8%	0.67×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	26.0%	27.5%	18.2%	1.51×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	12.5%	12.4%	21.2%	0.58×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	4.3%	1.79×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	11.2%	0.69×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.6%	92.5%	87.6%	1.06×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.4%	86.7%	73.7%	1.18×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.8%	67.4%	49.6%	1.36×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.1%	67.4%	76.7%	0.88×	1.48
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.9%	32.6%	23.3%	1.40×	3.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.2%	32.6%	50.4%	0.65×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.6%	13.3%	26.3%	0.50×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.4%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	4.4%	0.63×	36.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.1%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.9%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.1%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast not to score in both halves	87.0%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Beijing Guoan not to score in both halves	67.8%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Beijing Guoan to score in both halves	32.2%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Qingdao West Coast to score in both halves	13.0%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.4%	50.5%	63.1%	0.80×	1.98
Only Beijing Guoan scores	32.3%	33.3%	23.2%	1.44×	3.00
Only Qingdao West Coast scores	10.5%	10.9%	9.8%	1.12×	9.15
Neither team scores	7.7%	7.2%	4.3%	1.66×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.4%	25.0%	22.1%	1.13×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.3%	17.4%	14.1%	1.23×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	14.3%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	7.7%	7.6%	4.3%	1.77×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	7.5%	7.6%	10.3%	0.75×	13.08
6 or more goals	5.0%	7.6%	11.2%	0.68×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.0%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	22.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast not to win both halves	96.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Beijing Guoan not to win both halves	82.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Beijing Guoan to win both halves	18.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Qingdao West Coast to win both halves	3.4%	2.8%	—	—	35.82

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Beijing Guoan to win either half	66.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Qingdao West Coast to win neither half	66.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Qingdao West Coast to win either half	33.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Beijing Guoan to win neither half	33.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Qingdao West Coast not to win to nil	89.5%	88.2%	90.2%	0.98×	1.13
Beijing Guoan not to win to nil	67.7%	69.7%	76.8%	0.91×	1.44
Beijing Guoan to win to nil	32.3%	30.3%	23.2%	1.31×	3.30
Qingdao West Coast to win to nil	10.5%	11.8%	9.8%	1.20×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.8%	24.2%	26.2%	0.92×	4.14
Beijing Guoan by 1	24.6%	24.2%	21.0%	1.15×	4.14
Beijing Guoan by 2	17.2%	16.9%	14.8%	1.14×	5.91
Beijing Guoan by 3+	13.7%	11.8%	10.7%	1.10×	8.47
Qingdao West Coast by 1	13.0%	11.8%	16.4%	0.72×	8.47
Qingdao West Coast by 2	5.0%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.92
Qingdao West Coast by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	37.03