Birmingham City v Preston North End — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 13 October 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Birmingham City

15:00

Preston North End

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 909h before kick-off

Birmingham City win

53.6%

model 53.5%

Draw

27.6%

model 27.5%

Preston North End win

18.8%

model 18.9%

542819

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.1%
1-0 11.9%
2-0 10.8%
0-0 9.6%
2-1 9.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.7%	Under 2.5	54.3%
BTTS yes	48.4%	BTTS no	51.6%
Birmingham City 1+	80.3%	Birmingham City 2+	48.3%
Preston North End 1+	58.5%	Preston North End 2+	22.0%

Expected goals 1.62 – 0.88. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

44/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Birmingham City carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1327.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Birmingham City have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 27.6% for the draw and 18.8% for Preston North End. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Birmingham City and 0.88 for Preston North End.

Why Birmingham City

Birmingham City carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1327.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.6%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Preston North End can win

Nothing in the data singles out Preston North End.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Birmingham City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Preston North End, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Birmingham City: 49% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Preston North End: 46% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Birmingham City are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	532919	1.53–0.82	1-1 13%	42%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to win	52.5%	51.4%	43.5%	1.18×	1.94
Draw	28.7%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Preston North End to win	18.8%	19.3%	29.0%	0.67×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City & not both score	33.0%	29.7%	23.4%	1.27×	3.37
Birmingham City & both teams score	19.5%	17.9%	20.2%	0.89×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
Draw & not both score	11.0%	13.3%	7.3%	1.81×	7.55
Preston North End & not both score	10.8%	13.3%	15.3%	0.87×	7.55
Preston North End & both teams score	8.0%	8.4%	13.8%	0.61×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City & over 1.5	39.3%	34.9%	32.5%	1.07×	2.87
Birmingham City & under 3.5	39.2%	34.9%	32.5%	1.07×	2.87
Birmingham City & over 2.5	28.2%	26.0%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Birmingham City & under 2.5	24.4%	21.7%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	24.4%	21.7%	21.6%	1.00×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	24.4%	21.7%	21.6%	1.00×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Preston North End & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	22.3%	0.81×	5.56
Birmingham City & over 3.5	13.4%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.77
Birmingham City & under 1.5	13.2%	12.9%	11.1%	1.16×	7.77
Preston North End & over 1.5	12.3%	12.9%	21.4%	0.60×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	11.0%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.77
Preston North End & over 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	16.2%	0.49×	12.69
Preston North End & under 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	13.0%	0.61×	12.69
Preston North End & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.93
Preston North End & over 3.5	3.3%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (1UP)	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Preston North End (1UP)	34.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (2UP)	52.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Preston North End (2UP)	18.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to win 2nd half	42.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	38.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Preston North End to win 2nd half	19.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (+2.5)	88.5%	88.5%	91.9%	0.96×	1.13
Birmingham City (+0.5)	81.2%	82.4%	71.0%	1.16×	1.21
Preston North End (+1.5)	71.9%	73.7%	80.7%	0.91×	1.36
Birmingham City (-0.5)	52.5%	52.3%	43.5%	1.20×	1.91
Preston North End (+0.5)	47.5%	47.7%	56.5%	0.84×	2.10
Birmingham City (-1.5)	28.1%	26.3%	19.3%	1.36×	3.80
Preston North End (-0.5)	18.8%	17.6%	29.0%	0.61×	5.68
Birmingham City (-2.5)	11.5%	11.5%	8.1%	1.42×	8.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to concede	78.2%	79.0%	77.5%	1.02×	1.27
Preston North End clean sheet	21.8%	21.0%	22.5%	0.93×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to concede in 1st half	48.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Preston North End clean sheet in 1st half	51.9%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End under 6.5 corners	83.6%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Preston North End under 5.5 corners	75.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Preston North End over 2.5 corners	67.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Preston North End under 4.5 corners	63.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Preston North End over 3.5 corners	51.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Preston North End under 3.5 corners	48.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Preston North End over 4.5 corners	36.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Preston North End under 2.5 corners	32.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Preston North End over 5.5 corners	25.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Preston North End over 6.5 corners	16.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.6%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Preston North End under 2.5 goals	95.0%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Preston North End under 1.5 goals	80.2%	81.4%	69.9%	1.16×	1.23
Preston North End over 0.5 goals	56.0%	59.5%	69.4%	0.86×	1.68
Preston North End under 0.5 goals	44.0%	40.5%	30.6%	1.32×	2.47
Preston North End over 1.5 goals	19.8%	18.6%	30.1%	0.62×	5.37
Preston North End over 2.5 goals	5.0%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	13.06
Preston North End over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.4%	2.2%	1.10×	40.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End under 1.5 in 1st half	95.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Preston North End under 0.5 in 1st half	72.0%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Preston North End over 0.5 in 1st half	28.0%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Preston North End over 1.5 in 1st half	4.3%	4.4%	—	—	22.84

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (away no bet)	64.7%	62.1%	61.2%	1.02×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.3%	37.9%	38.8%	0.98×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End even goals	59.7%	56.9%	52.6%	1.08×	1.76
Preston North End odd goals	40.3%	43.1%	47.4%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.8%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.22

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.7%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Birmingham City to score 2+ in a row	39.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Birmingham City to score 3+ in a row	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.17
Preston North End to score 2+ in a row	14.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.18
Preston North End to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.89

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City corners (+3.5)	95.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Birmingham City corners (+2.5)	92.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Birmingham City corners (+1.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Birmingham City corners (-1.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Birmingham City corners (-2.5)	65.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Birmingham City corners (-3.5)	57.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Preston North End corners (+3.5)	42.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Preston North End corners (+2.5)	35.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Preston North End corners (+1.5)	27.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Preston North End corners (-1.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Preston North End corners (-2.5)	7.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Preston North End corners (-3.5)	4.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.52

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	55.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
0-8 corners	22.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
9-11 corners	21.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	84.0%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	70.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	63.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 11.5 corners	55.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 12.5 corners	51.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 12.5 corners	48.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 11.5 corners	44.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 10.5 corners	36.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 9.5 corners	29.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 8.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Under 7.5 corners	16.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.2%	11.5%	11.1%	1.03×	8.73
1-1	13.4%	11.5%	14.4%	0.79×	8.73
0-0	11.0%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.73
2-0	11.1%	11.5%	6.2%	1.85×	8.73
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.48
0-1	6.4%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
3-0	5.7%	7.4%	4.0%	1.84×	13.48
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	7.9%	0.22×	58.46
0-2	3.2%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.47
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	3.98×	58.49
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.49
2-2	3.7%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.47
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.49
3-1	4.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.46
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.48
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.49
4-0	2.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.48
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.95×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	19.90×	58.49
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City leading at HT (DNB)	70.5%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Preston North End leading at HT (DNB)	29.5%	28.7%	—	—	3.48

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City or draw (1X)	81.2%	80.7%	71.0%	1.14×	1.24
Birmingham City or Preston North End (12)	71.3%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Preston North End or draw (X2)	47.5%	48.6%	56.5%	0.86×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City or draw at HT	84.2%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Preston North End or draw at HT	62.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Birmingham City or Preston North End at HT	53.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City or draw (1UP)	81.2%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Preston North End or draw (1UP)	47.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City or draw in 2nd half	80.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Birmingham City or Preston North End in 2nd half	61.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Preston North End or draw in 2nd half	58.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.7%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Neither half drawn	34.3%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (DNB)	73.7%	71.4%	60.0%	1.19×	1.40
Preston North End (DNB)	26.3%	28.6%	40.0%	0.71×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to score first	57.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Preston North End to score first	31.1%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goal scored	11.0%	9.7%	—	—	10.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.8%	51.4%	45.8%	1.12×	1.94
Both teams to score	45.2%	48.6%	54.2%	0.90×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.0%	44.3%	37.3%	1.19×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.8%	34.3%	39.9%	0.86×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.1%	89.1%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.9%	10.9%	11.0%	0.99×	9.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.0%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	20.0%	20.7%	—	—	4.83
Both score 1st half only	10.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.0%	5.0%	—	—	20.10

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.3%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.7%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	47.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.4%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	30.7%	30.7%	25.9%	1.18×	3.25
4-6 goals	20.0%	20.2%	22.4%	0.90×	4.95
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.4%	1.33×	54.70

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to score exactly 0	44.0%	37.1%	30.6%	1.21×	2.70
Preston North End to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	39.4%	0.91×	2.78
Preston North End to score exactly 2	14.8%	12.8%	20.7%	0.62×	7.79
Preston North End to score 3+	5.0%	8.4%	9.5%	0.89×	11.85

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to score exactly 1	33.2%	32.7%	36.9%	0.88×	3.06
Birmingham City to score exactly 2	25.3%	26.5%	24.6%	1.08×	3.77
Birmingham City to score exactly 0	21.8%	23.2%	22.5%	1.03×	4.30
Birmingham City to score 3+	19.7%	18.9%	16.2%	1.17×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Birmingham City leading at HT	37.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Preston North End leading at HT	15.8%	15.4%	—	—	6.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City -1: 2	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Birmingham City -1: 1	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Birmingham City -1: X	24.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (0:1)	47.5%	46.0%	56.5%	0.81×	2.18
Birmingham City (0:1)	28.1%	27.0%	19.3%	1.40×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.5%	24.3%	24.2%	1.00×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (0:2)	71.9%	75.6%	80.7%	0.94×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.6%	15.3%	11.3%	1.35×	6.55
Birmingham City (0:2)	11.5%	11.0%	8.1%	1.36×	9.13

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (0:3)	88.5%	90.8%	91.9%	0.99×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.7%	5.8%	4.8%	1.21×	17.15
Birmingham City (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (0:4)	96.2%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.8%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.36
Birmingham City (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.56

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (1:0)	81.2%	81.4%	71.0%	1.15×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.5%	12.8%	17.3%	0.74×	7.81
Preston North End (1:0)	6.3%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (2:0)	93.7%	94.0%	88.1%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.8%	2.3%	8.7%	0.26×	44.06
Preston North End (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	3.3%	0.69×	44.28

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.3%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Halves equal	29.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to concede	56.0%	60.9%	69.4%	0.88×	1.64
Birmingham City clean sheet	44.0%	39.1%	30.6%	1.28×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City clean sheet in 1st half	72.0%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Birmingham City to concede in 1st half	28.0%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City over 2.5 corners	94.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Birmingham City over 3.5 corners	88.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Birmingham City over 4.5 corners	81.7%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Birmingham City over 5.5 corners	73.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Birmingham City over 6.5 corners	64.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Birmingham City under 6.5 corners	35.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Birmingham City under 5.5 corners	26.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Birmingham City under 4.5 corners	18.3%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Birmingham City under 3.5 corners	11.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.29
Birmingham City under 2.5 corners	5.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City under 3.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Birmingham City under 2.5 goals	80.3%	82.1%	83.8%	0.98×	1.22
Birmingham City over 0.5 goals	78.2%	77.8%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
Birmingham City under 1.5 goals	55.0%	53.3%	59.4%	0.90×	1.88
Birmingham City over 1.5 goals	45.0%	46.7%	40.6%	1.15×	2.14
Birmingham City under 0.5 goals	21.8%	22.2%	22.5%	0.99×	4.50
Birmingham City over 2.5 goals	19.7%	17.9%	16.2%	1.11×	5.59
Birmingham City over 3.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	5.2%	1.50×	12.92

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City under 1.5 in 1st half	85.9%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Birmingham City over 0.5 in 1st half	48.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Birmingham City under 0.5 in 1st half	51.9%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Birmingham City over 1.5 in 1st half	14.1%	10.3%	—	—	9.68

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.5%	60.1%	48.7%	1.23×	1.66
Preston North End (home no bet)	39.5%	39.9%	51.3%	0.78×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City even goals	52.4%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Birmingham City odd goals	47.6%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
HT 1-0	24.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	12.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	8.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 2-0	8.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
Any other HT score	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City at HT / Birmingham City at FT	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Birmingham City at FT	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Preston North End at HT / Preston North End at FT	9.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Draw at HT / Preston North End at FT	8.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Birmingham City at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Preston North End at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Preston North End at HT / Birmingham City at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Birmingham City at HT / Preston North End at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to score last	58.1%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Preston North End to score last	30.9%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	11.0%	9.1%	—	—	10.97

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.0%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Birmingham City to lead by 1 at any time	64.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Preston North End to lead by 1 at any time	34.6%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Birmingham City to lead by 2 at any time	33.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Birmingham City to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Preston North End to lead by 2 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Preston North End to lead by 3 at any time	2.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.27

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City most corners	79.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Preston North End most corners	15.3%	19.1%	—	—	5.23
Corners level	5.7%	8.5%	—	—	11.83

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.5%	83.4%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	68.3%	69.0%	72.8%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.0%	69.0%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.1%	68.9%	70.2%	0.98×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.4%	63.4%	64.8%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.4%	48.7%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.4%	48.7%	44.4%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.6%	43.6%	47.1%	0.93×	2.30
3-5 goals	38.3%	39.2%	44.5%	0.88×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.7%	35.4%	39.1%	0.90×	2.83
4-6 goals	20.0%	18.6%	22.4%	0.83×	5.37
4-5 goals	17.7%	18.6%	19.8%	0.94×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.9%	8.7%	8.1%	1.08×	11.44
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.4%	1.85×	39.29

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City never behind	54.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Preston North End never behind	24.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.7%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.3%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.8%	95.5%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.0%	87.7%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.0%	77.4%	76.3%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.3%	66.2%	74.1%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.4%	58.8%	51.6%	1.14×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	41.6%	41.2%	48.4%	0.85×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	30.7%	33.8%	25.9%	1.30×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	21.0%	22.6%	23.7%	0.96×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	11.0%	12.3%	7.3%	1.69×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	9.4%	0.83×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	3.2%	4.5%	4.0%	1.14×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.6%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.9%	86.8%	89.1%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.6%	72.6%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.6%	55.4%	65.1%	0.85×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.4%	44.6%	34.9%	1.28×	2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.4%	27.4%	31.5%	0.87×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.1%	13.2%	10.9%	1.21×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.4%	2.8%	4.2%	0.66×	36.12
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.8%	1.4%	1.96×	36.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.67

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.9%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End not to score in both halves	89.1%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Birmingham City not to score in both halves	72.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Birmingham City to score in both halves	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Preston North End to score in both halves	10.9%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.2%	50.4%	54.2%	0.93×	1.98
Only Birmingham City scores	33.0%	33.4%	23.4%	1.43×	3.00
Neither team scores	11.0%	10.9%	7.3%	1.50×	9.15
Only Preston North End scores	10.8%	10.9%	15.3%	0.71×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.8%	25.0%	25.8%	0.97×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.6%	22.6%	24.7%	0.91×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.7%	17.4%	18.7%	0.93×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	12.1%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	11.0%	12.1%	7.3%	1.65×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	5.7%	7.6%	5.5%	1.39×	13.09
6 or more goals	3.2%	4.4%	4.0%	1.12×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	26.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Birmingham City not to win both halves	83.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Birmingham City to win both halves	16.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Preston North End to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to win neither half	68.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Birmingham City to win either half	63.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Birmingham City to win neither half	36.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Preston North End to win either half	31.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End not to win to nil	89.2%	88.2%	84.7%	1.04×	1.13
Birmingham City not to win to nil	67.0%	69.7%	76.6%	0.91×	1.44
Birmingham City to win to nil	33.0%	30.3%	23.4%	1.30×	3.30
Preston North End to win to nil	10.8%	11.8%	15.3%	0.77×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.7%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Birmingham City by 1	24.5%	24.2%	24.2%	1.00×	4.14
Birmingham City by 2	16.6%	16.9%	11.3%	1.49×	5.91
Preston North End by 1	12.5%	11.8%	17.3%	0.68×	8.48
Birmingham City by 3+	11.5%	11.8%	8.1%	1.46×	8.48
Preston North End by 2	4.8%	2.7%	8.7%	0.31×	36.93
Preston North End by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	3.3%	0.83×	37.04