Boyacá Chicó FC v Alianza FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 15 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Boyacá Chicó FC

14:00

Alianza FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 226h before kick-off

Boyacá Chicó FC win

40.2%

model 37.0%

Draw

29.9%

model 31.9%

Alianza FC win

29.9%

model 31.0%

403030

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.7%
0-0 12.8%
1-0 11.9%
0-1 10.6%
2-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	36.5%	Under 2.5	63.5%
BTTS yes	44.6%	BTTS no	55.4%
Boyacá Chicó FC 1+	67.9%	Boyacá Chicó FC 2+	31.4%
Alianza FC 1+	63.9%	Alianza FC 2+	27.1%

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 45%

52.0% fair odds 1.93

moderate signal · 1537 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Alianza FC (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 390 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

They have had 16 days' rest to Alianza FC's 12.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Boyacá Chicó FC have an estimated 40.2% win probability, against 29.9% for the draw and 29.9% for Alianza FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.14 for Boyacá Chicó FC and 1.02 for Alianza FC.

Why Boyacá Chicó FC

They have had 16 days' rest to Alianza FC's 12.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.9%. A combined 2.15 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.14 to 1.02. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Alianza FC can win

Alianza FC carry the stronger rating, 1384 Elo against 1354.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Boyacá Chicó FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Alianza FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Boyacá Chicó FC: 40% possession, 7.6 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alianza FC: 45% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Boyacá Chicó FC are the model's most likely outcome at 40.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.7%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	373231	1.14–1.02	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	363231	1.10–1.00	1-1 15%	35%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to win	36.3%	36.4%	45.9%	0.79×	2.75
Draw	32.4%	30.4%	29.5%	1.03×	3.29
Alianza FC to win	31.3%	30.4%	24.8%	1.23×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC & not both score	23.3%	21.9%	27.1%	0.81×	4.57
Alianza FC & not both score	19.8%	17.9%	13.5%	1.33×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Draw & not both score	13.5%	13.3%	10.8%	1.22×	7.55
Boyacá Chicó FC & both teams score	13.1%	13.2%	18.9%	0.70×	7.55
Alianza FC & both teams score	11.5%	13.2%	11.4%	1.16×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 3.5	29.7%	26.0%	35.7%	0.73×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	28.2%	26.0%	23.8%	1.09×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.2%	26.0%	23.8%	1.09×	3.84
Alianza FC & under 3.5	25.9%	26.0%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 1.5	24.1%	21.6%	33.9%	0.64×	4.62
Alianza FC & over 1.5	20.3%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.62
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 2.5	19.6%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	25.6%	0.70×	5.56
Alianza FC & under 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	13.5%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.77
Alianza FC & over 2.5	14.1%	12.9%	12.8%	1.01×	7.77
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 1.5	12.2%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.78
Alianza FC & under 1.5	11.0%	12.9%	8.5%	1.52×	7.78
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.69
Alianza FC & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (1UP)	50.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Alianza FC (1UP)	45.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (2UP)	36.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Alianza FC (2UP)	31.3%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.3%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Boyacá Chicó FC to win 2nd half	29.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Alianza FC to win 2nd half	28.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (+2.5)	95.3%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Alianza FC (+1.5)	84.8%	82.4%	79.6%	1.04×	1.21
Boyacá Chicó FC (+0.5)	68.7%	68.7%	75.2%	0.91×	1.46
Alianza FC (+0.5)	63.7%	62.9%	54.1%	1.16×	1.59
Boyacá Chicó FC (-0.5)	36.3%	37.1%	45.9%	0.81×	2.69
Alianza FC (-0.5)	31.3%	31.3%	24.8%	1.26×	3.20
Boyacá Chicó FC (-1.5)	15.2%	17.6%	20.4%	0.86×	5.69
Boyacá Chicó FC (-2.5)	4.7%	3.7%	8.2%	0.46×	26.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC to concede	66.7%	72.5%	75.8%	0.96×	1.38
Alianza FC clean sheet	33.3%	27.5%	24.2%	1.14×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC clean sheet in 1st half	62.3%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Alianza FC to concede in 1st half	37.7%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC under 6.5 corners	88.4%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Alianza FC under 5.5 corners	80.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Alianza FC under 4.5 corners	68.7%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Alianza FC over 2.5 corners	64.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Alianza FC under 3.5 corners	53.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Alianza FC over 3.5 corners	46.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Alianza FC under 2.5 corners	35.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Alianza FC over 4.5 corners	31.3%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Alianza FC over 5.5 corners	19.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.24
Alianza FC over 6.5 corners	11.6%	15.1%	—	—	6.63

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.6%	98.1%	1.00×	1.03
Alianza FC under 2.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Alianza FC under 1.5 goals	73.5%	71.9%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
Alianza FC over 0.5 goals	63.2%	62.9%	62.2%	1.01×	1.59
Alianza FC under 0.5 goals	36.8%	37.1%	37.8%	0.98×	2.70
Alianza FC over 1.5 goals	26.5%	28.1%	25.6%	1.10×	3.56
Alianza FC over 2.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	7.1%	1.08×	13.06
Alianza FC over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.4%	1.9%	1.25×	41.10

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Alianza FC under 0.5 in 1st half	67.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Alianza FC over 0.5 in 1st half	33.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Alianza FC over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.22

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (away no bet)	52.9%	51.3%	60.9%	0.84×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	47.1%	48.7%	39.1%	1.25×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC even goals	56.8%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
Alianza FC odd goals	43.2%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.4%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	50.4%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Not both halves under 1.5	49.6%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 2+ in a row	24.5%	19.4%	—	—	5.16
Alianza FC to score 2+ in a row	21.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 3+ in a row	6.7%	5.6%	—	—	17.99
Alianza FC to score 3+ in a row	5.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.12

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+3.5)	89.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+2.5)	83.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Alianza FC corners (+3.5)	79.8%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+1.5)	74.5%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Alianza FC corners (+2.5)	70.9%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Alianza FC corners (+1.5)	60.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-1.5)	40.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-2.5)	29.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Alianza FC corners (-1.5)	25.5%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-3.5)	20.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Alianza FC corners (-2.5)	17.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Alianza FC corners (-3.5)	10.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	59.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
9-11 corners	24.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
12+ corners	15.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.62

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.2%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	84.2%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	69.2%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 8.5 corners	59.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	52.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 7.5 corners	48.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 8.5 corners	40.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	30.8%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 10.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 11.5 corners	15.8%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 12.5 corners	10.8%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.7%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.73
0-0	13.5%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.73
1-0	12.2%	11.5%	12.1%	0.95×	8.73
0-1	11.0%	11.5%	8.5%	1.35×	8.73
1-2	6.7%	7.4%	7.0%	1.07×	13.46
2-0	7.4%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.46
2-1	7.4%	7.4%	11.0%	0.68×	13.46
0-2	6.1%	7.4%	3.8%	1.98×	13.46
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.58
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.59
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.58
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.45×	58.59
2-2	3.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.57
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.59
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	12.27×	58.59
3-0	2.7%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.58
3-1	2.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.58
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.58
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.14×	58.59
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.59
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.45×	58.59
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.45×	58.59
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.27×	58.59
Any other score	0.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC leading at HT (DNB)	55.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Alianza FC leading at HT (DNB)	44.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw (1X)	68.7%	69.6%	75.2%	0.93×	1.44
Boyacá Chicó FC or Alianza FC (12)	67.6%	69.6%	70.5%	0.99×	1.44
Alianza FC or draw (X2)	63.7%	63.6%	54.1%	1.18×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw at HT	77.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Alianza FC or draw at HT	72.7%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Boyacá Chicó FC or Alianza FC at HT	49.5%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw (1UP)	68.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Alianza FC or draw (1UP)	63.7%	71.4%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw in 2nd half	72.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Alianza FC or draw in 2nd half	70.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Boyacá Chicó FC or Alianza FC in 2nd half	57.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	70.1%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	29.9%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (DNB)	53.8%	51.0%	65.0%	0.78×	1.96
Alianza FC (DNB)	46.2%	49.0%	35.0%	1.40×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to score first	45.3%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Alianza FC to score first	41.2%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	13.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.6%	54.8%	51.2%	1.07×	1.83
Both teams to score	43.4%	45.2%	48.8%	0.93×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.2%	47.0%	43.1%	1.09×	2.13
Both score & over 2.5	28.7%	33.6%	35.9%	0.94×	2.97
Both score & under 2.5	14.7%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.3%	8.4%	8.2%	1.02×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.0%	89.1%	88.7%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.0%	10.9%	11.3%	0.97×	9.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.5%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.5%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.5%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	18.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score 1st half only	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Both score in both halves	2.6%	4.9%	—	—	20.42

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	58.2%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	41.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.2%	47.4%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	36.7%	35.0%	31.2%	1.12×	2.86
4-6 goals	15.6%	20.2%	19.5%	1.04×	4.95
7+ goals	0.6%	1.8%	1.5%	1.18×	55.38

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC to score exactly 0	36.8%	36.0%	37.8%	0.95×	2.78
Alianza FC to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	36.7%	0.98×	2.78
Alianza FC to score exactly 2	18.4%	19.5%	18.6%	1.05×	5.12
Alianza FC to score 3+	8.0%	8.5%	7.1%	1.20×	11.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.6%	34.4%	1.04×	2.81
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 0	33.3%	32.6%	24.2%	1.35×	3.06
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 2	20.1%	23.3%	26.1%	0.89×	4.30
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 3+	10.0%	10.3%	15.6%	0.66×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.5%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Boyacá Chicó FC leading at HT	27.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Alianza FC leading at HT	22.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC -1: 2	63.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Boyacá Chicó FC -1: X	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Boyacá Chicó FC -1: 1	15.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (0:1)	63.7%	61.3%	54.1%	1.13×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.1%	24.3%	25.6%	0.95×	4.12
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:1)	15.2%	17.8%	20.4%	0.87×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (0:2)	84.8%	82.8%	79.6%	1.04×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.5%	11.0%	12.4%	0.89×	9.09
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:2)	4.7%	3.8%	8.2%	0.46×	26.41

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (0:3)	95.3%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.98
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.9%	0.62×	83.37
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.1%	1.08×	83.45

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (1:0)	68.7%	69.9%	75.2%	0.93×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.1%	17.0%	17.2%	0.99×	5.87
Alianza FC (1:0)	12.2%	12.8%	7.7%	1.67×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (2:0)	87.8%	88.4%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.7%	6.5%	5.0%	1.29×	15.47
Alianza FC (2:0)	3.5%	2.3%	2.8%	0.81×	44.19

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.3%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Halves equal	31.2%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to concede	63.2%	63.4%	62.2%	1.02×	1.58
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet	36.8%	36.6%	37.8%	0.97×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet in 1st half	67.0%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Boyacá Chicó FC to concede in 1st half	33.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 6.5 corners	80.7%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Boyacá Chicó FC over 2.5 corners	74.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Boyacá Chicó FC under 5.5 corners	70.6%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Boyacá Chicó FC over 3.5 corners	58.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Boyacá Chicó FC under 4.5 corners	57.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Boyacá Chicó FC over 4.5 corners	42.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Boyacá Chicó FC under 3.5 corners	42.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Boyacá Chicó FC over 5.5 corners	29.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Boyacá Chicó FC under 2.5 corners	26.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Boyacá Chicó FC over 6.5 corners	19.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 3.5 goals	97.4%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Boyacá Chicó FC under 2.5 goals	90.0%	92.2%	84.4%	1.09×	1.08
Boyacá Chicó FC under 1.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	58.4%	1.16×	1.47
Boyacá Chicó FC over 0.5 goals	66.7%	67.9%	75.8%	0.90×	1.47
Boyacá Chicó FC under 0.5 goals	33.3%	32.1%	24.2%	1.33×	3.12
Boyacá Chicó FC over 1.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	41.6%	0.77×	3.12
Boyacá Chicó FC over 2.5 goals	10.0%	7.8%	15.6%	0.50×	12.86
Boyacá Chicó FC over 3.5 goals	2.6%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 1.5 in 1st half	91.8%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Boyacá Chicó FC under 0.5 in 1st half	62.3%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Boyacá Chicó FC over 0.5 in 1st half	37.7%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Boyacá Chicó FC over 1.5 in 1st half	8.2%	4.5%	—	—	21.99

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.9%	51.5%	54.4%	0.95×	1.94
Alianza FC (home no bet)	49.1%	48.5%	45.6%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC even goals	55.5%	55.4%	53.4%	1.04×	1.80
Boyacá Chicó FC odd goals	44.5%	44.6%	46.6%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.0%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
HT 1-0	19.5%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 0-1	16.5%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	8.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.09
HT 2-0	4.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.57
HT 0-2	3.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.67
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.79
Any other HT score	2.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.78
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.82
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.6%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT	20.4%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Alianza FC at HT / Alianza FC at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Alianza FC at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Alianza FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Alianza FC at FT	1.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.22
Alianza FC at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT	1.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.22

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to score last	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Alianza FC to score last	41.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	13.5%	9.9%	—	—	10.14

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.5%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 1 at any time	50.3%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Alianza FC to lead by 1 at any time	45.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	35.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.89
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 2 at any time	19.4%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Alianza FC to lead by 2 at any time	16.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.5%	—	—	15.41
Alianza FC to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.50

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC most corners	51.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Alianza FC most corners	36.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.5%	83.5%	85.7%	0.98×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.3%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.4%	72.4%	68.4%	1.06×	1.38
2-6 goals	62.7%	63.5%	67.5%	0.94×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.3%	63.5%	65.4%	0.97×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.1%	59.2%	59.7%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.5%	53.1%	45.3%	1.17×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.2%	48.7%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	34.5%	35.4%	42.6%	0.83×	2.83
3-5 goals	33.0%	35.4%	40.5%	0.87×	2.83
3-4 goals	28.8%	30.2%	34.8%	0.87×	3.31
4-6 goals	15.6%	18.6%	19.5%	0.96×	5.38
4-5 goals	14.1%	14.9%	17.4%	0.85×	6.73
5-6 goals	5.6%	8.7%	7.9%	1.10×	11.46
7+ goals	0.6%	2.5%	1.5%	1.65×	39.56

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC never behind	40.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Alianza FC never behind	36.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.8%	50.8%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.2%	49.2%	49.7%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	40.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.9%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.0%	95.5%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.5%	87.7%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	83.8%	82.4%	79.1%	1.04×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	64.9%	61.8%	56.1%	1.10×	1.62
Over 1.5 goals	63.3%	61.8%	68.8%	0.90×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	36.7%	38.2%	31.2%	1.23×	2.62
Over 2.5 goals	35.1%	38.2%	44.0%	0.87×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	16.2%	17.6%	20.9%	0.85×	5.67
Under 0.5 goals	13.5%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Over 4.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	2.0%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.4%	97.3%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.9%	97.3%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.1%	92.5%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	80.1%	81.1%	72.9%	1.11×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.1%	51.8%	41.5%	1.25×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.9%	48.2%	58.5%	0.82×	2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	19.9%	18.9%	27.1%	0.70×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.9%	7.5%	10.5%	0.72×	13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.1%	2.7%	3.8%	0.72×	36.38
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.6%	2.7%	1.6%	1.76×	36.43

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.1%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.0%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.0%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.0%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.9%	7.0%	—	—	14.25

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.3%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.7%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC not to score in both halves	85.1%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Boyacá Chicó FC not to score in both halves	82.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Boyacá Chicó FC to score in both halves	17.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Alianza FC to score in both halves	14.9%	14.3%	—	—	7.00

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.4%	46.6%	48.8%	0.95×	2.15
Only Boyacá Chicó FC scores	23.3%	22.4%	27.1%	0.82×	4.47
Only Alianza FC scores	19.8%	16.1%	13.5%	1.20×	6.20
Neither team scores	13.5%	10.9%	10.8%	1.01×	9.13

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.2%	25.0%	25.0%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	23.2%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	18.9%	17.5%	23.2%	0.75×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.5%	12.1%	10.8%	1.11×	8.29
Exactly 4 goals	9.9%	7.6%	11.7%	0.65×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	4.2%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.61
6 or more goals	2.0%	4.4%	3.6%	1.22×	22.64

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.2%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	35.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	29.7%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC not to win both halves	93.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Boyacá Chicó FC not to win both halves	91.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Boyacá Chicó FC to win both halves	8.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Alianza FC to win both halves	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC to win neither half	56.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Boyacá Chicó FC to win neither half	51.3%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Boyacá Chicó FC to win either half	48.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Alianza FC to win either half	43.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC not to win to nil	80.2%	83.0%	86.5%	0.96×	1.21
Boyacá Chicó FC not to win to nil	76.7%	78.0%	72.9%	1.07×	1.28
Boyacá Chicó FC to win to nil	23.3%	22.0%	27.1%	0.81×	4.55
Alianza FC to win to nil	19.8%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.87

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.4%	27.6%	29.5%	0.94×	3.62
Boyacá Chicó FC by 1	21.1%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.14
Alianza FC by 1	19.1%	16.9%	17.2%	0.98×	5.90
Boyacá Chicó FC by 2	10.5%	11.8%	12.4%	0.95×	8.47
Alianza FC by 2	8.7%	7.2%	5.0%	1.45×	13.80
Boyacá Chicó FC by 3+	4.7%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.92
Alianza FC by 3+	3.5%	2.7%	2.8%	0.97×	36.96