Boyacá Chicó FC v Once Caldas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Boyacá Chicó FC

15:00

Once Caldas

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 21:19

Boyacá Chicó FC win

20.2%

model 19.3%

Draw

39.5%

model 26.0%

Once Caldas win

40.3%

model 54.7%

203940

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (684 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.4%
0-1 11.2%
0-2 10.5%
1-2 9.7%
0-0 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.9%	Under 2.5	51.1%
BTTS yes	50.4%	BTTS no	49.6%
Boyacá Chicó FC 1+	60.3%	Boyacá Chicó FC 2+	23.7%
Once Caldas 1+	81.8%	Once Caldas 2+	50.8%

Expected goals 0.93 – 1.71. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Once Caldas (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 25%

52.0% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 897 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Boyacá Chicó FC to concede

Home clean sheet · usually 62%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 244 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1568 Elo against 1354.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Once Caldas have an estimated 40.3% win probability, against 39.5% for the draw and 20.2% for Boyacá Chicó FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.93 for Boyacá Chicó FC and 1.71 for Once Caldas.

Why Boyacá Chicó FC

Nothing in the data singles out Boyacá Chicó FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 39.5%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Once Caldas can win

Once Caldas carry the stronger rating, 1568 Elo against 1354.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Boyacá Chicó FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Once Caldas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Boyacá Chicó FC: 40% possession, 7.6 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Once Caldas: 55% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 21:18 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Once Caldas are the model's most likely outcome at 40.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	192655	0.93–1.71	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	172657	0.83–1.68	0-1 13%	46%	47%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win	56.6%	54.0%	24.8%	2.18×	1.85
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Boyacá Chicó FC to win	17.3%	19.3%	45.9%	0.42×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas & not both score	34.4%	29.7%	13.5%	2.20×	3.36
Once Caldas & both teams score	22.1%	21.9%	11.4%	1.92×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Boyacá Chicó FC & not both score	9.4%	8.4%	27.1%	0.31×	11.92
Draw & not both score	9.1%	8.4%	10.8%	0.77×	11.92
Boyacá Chicó FC & both teams score	7.9%	8.4%	18.9%	0.44×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas & over 1.5	44.0%	40.3%	16.4%	2.46×	2.48
Once Caldas & under 3.5	40.0%	34.9%	19.9%	1.76×	2.86
Once Caldas & over 2.5	32.5%	30.9%	12.8%	2.41×	3.24
Once Caldas & under 2.5	24.0%	21.7%	12.1%	1.79×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	21.5%	21.7%	23.8%	0.91×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.5%	21.7%	23.8%	0.91×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Once Caldas & over 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	5.0%	3.59×	5.56
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 3.5	14.0%	12.9%	35.7%	0.36×	7.77
Once Caldas & under 1.5	12.6%	12.9%	8.5%	1.52×	7.77
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 1.5	11.6%	12.9%	33.9%	0.38×	7.77
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	25.6%	0.31×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.69
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.69
Boyacá Chicó FC & under 1.5	5.7%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Boyacá Chicó FC & over 3.5	3.3%	4.8%	10.3%	0.46×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (1UP)	68.6%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Boyacá Chicó FC (1UP)	33.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (2UP)	56.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Boyacá Chicó FC (2UP)	17.3%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to win 2nd half	47.7%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	35.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Boyacá Chicó FC to win 2nd half	16.7%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (+2.5)	98.7%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Once Caldas (+1.5)	94.3%	92.1%	79.6%	1.16×	1.09
Once Caldas (+0.5)	82.7%	82.4%	54.1%	1.52×	1.21
Once Caldas (-0.5)	56.6%	57.0%	24.8%	2.30×	1.75
Boyacá Chicó FC (+0.5)	43.4%	43.0%	75.2%	0.57×	2.33
Boyacá Chicó FC (-0.5)	17.3%	17.6%	45.9%	0.38×	5.69
Boyacá Chicó FC (-1.5)	5.7%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.65
Boyacá Chicó FC (-2.5)	1.3%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	26.99

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to concede	56.4%	62.6%	75.8%	0.83×	1.60
Once Caldas clean sheet	43.6%	37.4%	24.2%	1.54×	2.68

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas clean sheet in 1st half	70.0%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
Once Caldas to concede in 1st half	30.0%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 6.5 corners	82.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Once Caldas under 5.5 corners	73.2%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Once Caldas over 2.5 corners	71.9%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Once Caldas under 4.5 corners	60.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Once Caldas over 3.5 corners	55.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Once Caldas under 3.5 corners	44.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Once Caldas over 4.5 corners	39.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Once Caldas under 2.5 corners	28.1%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Once Caldas over 5.5 corners	26.8%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Once Caldas over 6.5 corners	17.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 3.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Once Caldas over 0.5 goals	81.4%	81.4%	62.2%	1.31×	1.23
Once Caldas under 2.5 goals	76.2%	76.2%	92.9%	0.82×	1.31
Once Caldas over 1.5 goals	50.1%	53.6%	25.6%	2.10×	1.86
Once Caldas under 1.5 goals	49.9%	46.4%	74.4%	0.62×	2.16
Once Caldas over 2.5 goals	23.8%	23.8%	7.1%	3.35×	4.21
Once Caldas under 0.5 goals	18.6%	18.6%	37.8%	0.49×	5.38
Once Caldas over 3.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	1.9%	3.94×	13.02

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas under 1.5 in 1st half	85.3%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Once Caldas under 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Once Caldas over 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Once Caldas over 1.5 in 1st half	14.7%	11.1%	—	—	9.04

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	60.2%	62.0%	39.1%	1.59×	1.61
Boyacá Chicó FC (away no bet)	39.8%	38.0%	60.9%	0.62×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas even goals	51.7%	52.8%	57.4%	0.92×	1.89
Once Caldas odd goals	48.3%	47.2%	42.6%	1.11×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.0%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.0%	12.3%	—	—	8.14

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.7%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.3%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.8%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Once Caldas to score 2+ in a row	43.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Once Caldas to score 3+ in a row	17.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 2+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.18
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+3.5)	85.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Once Caldas corners (+3.5)	82.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+2.5)	78.4%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Once Caldas corners (+2.5)	73.9%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (+1.5)	69.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Once Caldas corners (+1.5)	64.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-1.5)	35.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Once Caldas corners (-1.5)	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-2.5)	26.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Once Caldas corners (-2.5)	21.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Boyacá Chicó FC corners (-3.5)	18.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Once Caldas corners (-3.5)	14.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.5%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
9-11 corners	26.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	20.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.3%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	79.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 7.5 corners	58.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 8.5 corners	47.5%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 7.5 corners	41.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	37.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 10.5 corners	28.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	20.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 12.5 corners	14.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.80

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.6%	11.5%	8.5%	1.35×	8.73
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.73
0-2	11.5%	11.5%	3.8%	3.05×	8.73
0-0	9.1%	7.4%	10.8%	0.68×	13.48
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.0%	1.07×	13.48
0-3	6.4%	7.4%	1.1%	6.67×	13.48
1-0	5.7%	7.4%	12.1%	0.61×	13.48
1-3	5.3%	7.4%	1.4%	5.33×	13.48
2-1	4.7%	1.7%	11.0%	0.16×	58.46
0-4	2.7%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.47
1-4	2.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.48
2-0	2.8%	1.7%	8.5%	0.20×	58.47
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.47
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.48
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.48
3-0	0.8%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.49
3-1	1.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.48
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.48
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.49
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.15×	58.49
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.49
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.49
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.49
Any other score	3.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas leading at HT (DNB)	69.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Boyacá Chicó FC leading at HT (DNB)	30.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw (X2)	82.7%	80.7%	54.1%	1.49×	1.24
Boyacá Chicó FC or Once Caldas (12)	73.9%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw (1X)	43.4%	46.0%	75.2%	0.61×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw at HT	83.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw at HT	62.1%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Boyacá Chicó FC or Once Caldas at HT	54.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw (1UP)	82.7%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw (1UP)	43.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas or draw in 2nd half	83.3%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Boyacá Chicó FC or Once Caldas in 2nd half	64.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Boyacá Chicó FC or draw in 2nd half	52.3%	54.5%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.6%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (DNB)	76.6%	74.6%	35.0%	2.13×	1.34
Boyacá Chicó FC (DNB)	23.4%	25.4%	65.0%	0.39×	3.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score first	60.8%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Boyacá Chicó FC to score first	30.0%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
No goal scored	9.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.0%	51.4%	51.2%	1.00×	1.95
Both teams to score	47.0%	48.6%	48.8%	1.00×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.7%	41.6%	43.1%	0.96×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.6%	34.3%	35.9%	0.96×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	8.2%	1.50×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.9%	85.6%	88.7%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.1%	14.4%	11.3%	1.28×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.7%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.3%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.3%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	20.8%	20.8%	—	—	4.82
Both score 1st half only	11.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	3.5%	5.0%	—	—	19.99

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.1%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.9%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	49.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.4%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	27.4%	26.4%	31.2%	0.85×	3.78
4-6 goals	23.1%	22.8%	19.5%	1.17×	4.38
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.5%	1.20×	54.66

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score exactly 1	31.3%	33.8%	36.7%	0.92×	2.96
Once Caldas to score exactly 2	26.3%	27.4%	18.6%	1.47×	3.65
Once Caldas to score 3+	23.8%	22.4%	7.1%	3.16×	4.46
Once Caldas to score exactly 0	18.6%	19.6%	37.8%	0.52×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.6%	34.4%	1.04×	2.81
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 0	43.6%	35.0%	24.2%	1.44×	2.86
Boyacá Chicó FC to score exactly 2	15.0%	18.9%	26.1%	0.72×	5.30
Boyacá Chicó FC to score 3+	5.2%	10.3%	15.6%	0.66×	9.75

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Once Caldas leading at HT	37.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Boyacá Chicó FC leading at HT	16.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas -1: 1	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Once Caldas -1: 2	32.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Once Caldas -1: X	24.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (0:1)	82.7%	77.7%	54.1%	1.44×	1.29
Draw (0:1)	11.6%	13.8%	25.6%	0.54×	7.23
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:1)	5.7%	9.2%	20.4%	0.45×	10.92

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (0:2)	94.3%	90.9%	79.6%	1.14×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.3%	3.8%	12.4%	0.30×	26.50
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:2)	1.3%	3.7%	8.2%	0.46×	26.68

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (0:3)	98.7%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.22
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Boyacá Chicó FC (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.1%	1.07×	83.68
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.9%	0.61×	83.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (1:0)	43.4%	43.1%	75.2%	0.57×	2.32
Once Caldas (1:0)	32.0%	30.3%	7.7%	3.97×	3.30
Draw (1:0)	24.6%	21.8%	17.2%	1.26×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC (2:0)	68.0%	70.5%	92.4%	0.76×	1.42
Draw (2:0)	17.8%	15.7%	5.0%	3.13×	6.37
Once Caldas (2:0)	14.1%	10.4%	2.8%	3.74×	9.62

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to concede	81.4%	80.8%	62.2%	1.30×	1.24
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet	18.6%	19.2%	37.8%	0.51×	5.20

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet in 1st half	51.0%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Boyacá Chicó FC to concede in 1st half	49.0%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 6.5 corners	79.7%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Boyacá Chicó FC over 2.5 corners	74.9%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Boyacá Chicó FC under 5.5 corners	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Boyacá Chicó FC over 3.5 corners	59.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Boyacá Chicó FC under 4.5 corners	56.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Boyacá Chicó FC over 4.5 corners	43.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Boyacá Chicó FC under 3.5 corners	40.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Boyacá Chicó FC over 5.5 corners	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Boyacá Chicó FC under 2.5 corners	25.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Boyacá Chicó FC over 6.5 corners	20.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 3.5 goals	99.0%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Boyacá Chicó FC under 2.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	84.4%	1.09×	1.08
Boyacá Chicó FC under 1.5 goals	79.8%	77.8%	58.4%	1.33×	1.29
Boyacá Chicó FC over 0.5 goals	56.4%	58.8%	75.8%	0.78×	1.70
Boyacá Chicó FC under 0.5 goals	43.6%	41.2%	24.2%	1.70×	2.43
Boyacá Chicó FC over 1.5 goals	20.2%	22.2%	41.6%	0.53×	4.50
Boyacá Chicó FC over 2.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	15.6%	0.50×	12.93
Boyacá Chicó FC over 3.5 goals	1.0%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.57

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC under 1.5 in 1st half	95.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Boyacá Chicó FC under 0.5 in 1st half	70.0%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Boyacá Chicó FC over 0.5 in 1st half	30.0%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Boyacá Chicó FC over 1.5 in 1st half	5.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.66

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas (home no bet)	68.4%	64.0%	45.6%	1.40×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	31.6%	36.0%	54.4%	0.66×	2.78

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC even goals	59.5%	55.5%	53.4%	1.04×	1.80
Boyacá Chicó FC odd goals	40.5%	44.5%	46.6%	0.96×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
HT 0-1	23.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	12.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	8.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 0-2	8.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-0	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.50
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas at HT / Once Caldas at FT	32.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Draw at HT / Once Caldas at FT	20.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT	9.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Draw at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT	7.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Once Caldas at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Boyacá Chicó FC at HT / Once Caldas at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Once Caldas at HT / Boyacá Chicó FC at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas to score last	61.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Boyacá Chicó FC to score last	29.9%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
No goal scored	9.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Once Caldas to lead by 1 at any time	68.6%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Once Caldas to lead by 2 at any time	37.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 1 at any time	33.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Once Caldas to lead by 3 at any time	16.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 2 at any time	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Boyacá Chicó FC to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	1.6%	—	—	62.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC most corners	47.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Once Caldas most corners	41.5%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	11.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.6%	80.0%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	71.2%	72.4%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.3%	69.0%	65.4%	1.05×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.3%	68.9%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.4%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.7%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.9%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.30
3-6 goals	44.5%	43.6%	42.6%	1.02×	2.30
3-5 goals	41.7%	43.6%	40.5%	1.08×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.9%	35.4%	34.8%	1.02×	2.83
4-6 goals	23.1%	24.5%	19.5%	1.26×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.2%	24.5%	17.4%	1.41×	4.09
5-6 goals	9.6%	8.7%	7.9%	1.10×	11.43
7+ goals	1.4%	2.5%	1.5%	1.66×	39.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Once Caldas never behind	57.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Boyacá Chicó FC never behind	22.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.8%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.2%	49.7%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.7%	95.5%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.9%	87.7%	90.7%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.5%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.6%	72.5%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.0%	52.5%	56.1%	0.94×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	46.0%	47.5%	44.0%	1.08×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.4%	27.5%	31.2%	0.88×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	24.5%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	11.1%	12.3%	9.3%	1.33×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	10.8%	0.71×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	4.3%	4.5%	3.6%	1.25×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.5%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.4%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.2%	86.7%	89.5%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.8%	67.4%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.7%	62.1%	58.5%	1.06×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.3%	37.9%	41.5%	0.91×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.2%	32.6%	27.1%	1.20×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.8%	13.3%	10.5%	1.26×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.6%	2.8%	3.8%	0.72×	36.09
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.5%	2.8%	1.6%	1.77×	36.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.3%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.1%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.9%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC not to score in both halves	88.7%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Once Caldas not to score in both halves	68.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Once Caldas to score in both halves	31.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Boyacá Chicó FC to score in both halves	11.3%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.0%	50.5%	48.8%	1.03×	1.98
Only Once Caldas scores	34.4%	33.4%	13.5%	2.47×	3.00
Only Boyacá Chicó FC scores	9.4%	7.2%	27.1%	0.27×	13.89
Neither team scores	9.1%	7.2%	10.8%	0.66×	13.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.6%	25.0%	25.0%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.3%	17.4%	20.4%	0.85×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	13.5%	12.1%	11.7%	1.03×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	9.1%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.09
6 or more goals	4.3%	4.4%	3.6%	1.22×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	32.9%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	23.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC not to win both halves	97.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Once Caldas not to win both halves	81.7%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Once Caldas to win both halves	18.3%	15.9%	—	—	6.31
Boyacá Chicó FC to win both halves	2.9%	2.8%	—	—	36.03

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC to win neither half	69.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Once Caldas to win either half	67.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Once Caldas to win neither half	32.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Boyacá Chicó FC to win either half	30.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boyacá Chicó FC not to win to nil	90.6%	92.0%	72.9%	1.26×	1.09
Once Caldas not to win to nil	65.6%	69.6%	86.5%	0.80×	1.44
Once Caldas to win to nil	34.4%	30.4%	13.5%	2.25×	3.29
Boyacá Chicó FC to win to nil	9.4%	8.0%	27.1%	0.29×	12.53

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.1%	27.8%	29.5%	0.94×	3.59
Once Caldas by 1	24.6%	24.2%	17.2%	1.40×	4.14
Once Caldas by 2	17.8%	16.9%	5.0%	3.38×	5.91
Once Caldas by 3+	14.1%	11.8%	2.8%	4.24×	8.47
Boyacá Chicó FC by 1	11.6%	11.8%	25.6%	0.46×	8.48
Boyacá Chicó FC by 2	4.3%	2.7%	12.4%	0.22×	36.94
Boyacá Chicó FC by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.04