Brest v Paris Saint Germain — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 1 February 2025 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425
Ligue 1
xG
Shots
14 – 14
On target
7 – 7
Shots in box
6 – 13
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.28
Set-piece xG
0.09 – 0.14
Goals − xG
+1.36 – +1.03
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Brest 0.64 xGParis Saint Germain 3.97 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Brest attacking right
Paris Saint Germain attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' |
 Paris Saint Germain |
Ousmane Dembélé | 0.23 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia |
| 4' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Ousmane Dembélé | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Bradley Barcola |
| 8' |
 Brest |
Romain Del Castillo | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 12' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0.37 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Achraf Hakimi |
| 14' |
Brest |
Luc Zogbe | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Ludovic Ajorque |
| 17' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Abdallah Sima |
| 18' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Bradley Barcola | 0.26 | Open Play | Right Foot | Shot On Post | Marquinhos |
| 22' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Achraf Hakimi | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ousmane Dembélé |
| 25' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0.14 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Nuno Mendes |
| 28' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Ousmane Dembélé | 0.39 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Bradley Barcola |
| 30' |
Brest |
Romain Faivre | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Mahdi Camara |
| 47' |
Brest |
Kenny Lala | 0.01 | From Corner | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 49' |
Brest |
Romain Del Castillo | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 53' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Bradley Barcola | 0.28 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Marquinhos |
| 55' |
Brest |
Abdallah Sima | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Ludovic Ajorque |
| 55' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Abdallah Sima |
| 56' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 56' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Ousmane Dembélé | 0.31 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 61' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Ousmane Dembélé | 0.46 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Lee Kang-In |
| 64' |
Brest |
Pierre Lees-Melou | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Luc Zogbe |
| 70' |
Brest |
Ludovic Ajorque | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 74' |
Brest |
Pierre Lees-Melou | 0.03 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 75' |
Brest |
Mahdi Camara | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Kamory Doumbia |
| 77' |
Brest |
Romain Faivre | 0.03 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Kenny Lala |
| 86' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Désiré Doué | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Nuno Mendes |
| 88' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Gonçalo Ramos | 0.62 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Désiré Doué |
| 91' |
Brest |
Ibrahim Salah | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Brendan Chardonnet |
| 96' |
Paris Saint Germain |
Gonçalo Ramos | 0.62 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
Players
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achraf Hakimi DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.37 | 1.22 |
| Fabián MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.51 |
| William Pacho DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 |
| Marquinhos DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.54 | 1.04 |
| Nuno Mendes DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1.36 |
| Vitinha MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| Lee Kang-In MC | 83 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 1.19 |
| Ousmane Dembélé FW | 69 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1.48 | 0.09 | 1.94 |
| Bradley Barcola FWR | 69 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 1.57 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia FWL | 60 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.58 | 0.23 | 0.93 |
| Désiré Doué Sub | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.62 | 1.11 |
| Gonçalo Ramos Sub | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.24 | 0.00 | 1.28 |
| Lucas Hernández Sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Senny Mayulu Sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
Brest
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludovic Ajorque FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.37 |
| Romain Faivre AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Kenny Lala DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.31 |
| Luc Zogbe DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| Niakhate Ndiaye DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Marco Bizot GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Brendan Chardonnet DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.12 |
| Pierre Lees-Melou DMC | 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Mahdi Camara DMC | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| Romain Del Castillo AMR | 72 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Abdallah Sima AML | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| Mama Baldé Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Kamory Doumbia Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Hugo Magnetti Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Edimilson Fernandes Sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Ibrahim Salah Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |