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Brest v Saint-Etienne — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 August 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

4–0
3.61 – 0.26 xG
Shots
22 – 6
On target
8 – 0
Shots in box
18 – 2
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
2.93 – 0.00
Goals − xG
+0.33 – -0.26
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.02.13.14.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Mahdi Camara 9' — goalRomain Del Castillo 31' — goalLudovic Ajorque 76' — goalKenny Lala 83' — goal
Brest 3.67 xGSaint-Etienne 0.26 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Julien Le Cardinal 1' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Romain Faivre 2' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mahdi Camara 7' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ibrahim Sissoko 7' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Abdallah Sima 9' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Brendan Chardonnet 9' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Mahdi Camara 9' — Goal (0.43 xG, From Corner)Mahdi Camara 15' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Romain Del Castillo 17' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Abdallah Sima 18' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Romain Faivre 27' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ibrahim Sissoko 28' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Romain Del Castillo 31' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Ayman Aiki 36' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Romain Faivre 37' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Julien Le Cardinal 40' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Abdallah Sima 43' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Ajorque 47' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Lamine Fomba 48' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ayman Aiki 53' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Brendan Chardonnet 54' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Ludovic Ajorque 55' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Aïmen Moueffek 62' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jonas Martin 68' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Kenny Lala 76' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Direct Freekick)Ludovic Ajorque 76' — Goal (0.67 xG, Set Piece)Kenny Lala 83' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Axel Camblan 93' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)
Brest attacking right Saint-Etienne attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Brest Julien Le Cardinal 0.01 Set Piece Saved Shot Romain Del Castillo
2' Brest Romain Faivre 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ludovic Ajorque
7' Brest Mahdi Camara 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ludovic Ajorque
7' Saint-Etienne Ibrahim Sissoko 0.10 Open Play Missed Shot Mathieu Cafaro
9' Brest Abdallah Sima 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jordan Amavi
9' Brest Brendan Chardonnet 0.01 From Corner Blocked Shot Romain Del Castillo
9' Brest Mahdi Camara 0.43 From Corner Goal
15' Brest Mahdi Camara 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ludovic Ajorque
17' Brest Romain Del Castillo 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ludovic Ajorque
18' Brest Abdallah Sima 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Romain Del Castillo
27' Brest Romain Faivre 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
28' Saint-Etienne Ibrahim Sissoko 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
31' Brest Romain Del Castillo 0.76 Left Foot Goal
36' Saint-Etienne Ayman Aiki 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Mathieu Cafaro
37' Brest Romain Faivre 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Romain Del Castillo
40' Brest Julien Le Cardinal 0.09 From Corner Blocked Shot Romain Faivre
43' Brest Abdallah Sima 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
47' Brest Ludovic Ajorque 0.02 Set Piece Missed Shot Romain Del Castillo
48' Saint-Etienne Lamine Fomba 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ibrahim Sissoko
53' Saint-Etienne Ayman Aiki 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Yvann Maçon
54' Brest Brendan Chardonnet 0.01 Set Piece Missed Shot Kenny Lala
55' Brest Ludovic Ajorque 0.02 Set Piece Missed Shot Mahdi Camara
62' Saint-Etienne Aïmen Moueffek 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ibrahima Wadji
68' Brest Jonas Martin 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Romain Faivre
76' Brest Kenny Lala 0.09 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
76' Brest Ludovic Ajorque 0.67 Set Piece Left Foot Goal
83' Brest Kenny Lala 0.76 Right Foot Goal
93' Brest Axel Camblan 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mahdi Camara

Players

Brest

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Kenny Lala DR 90 1 0 2 1 0.85 0.01 0.14
Romain Del Castillo FWR 90 1 0 2 5 0.81 0.16 0.21
Ludovic Ajorque FW 90 1 0 3 4 0.71 0.24 0.24
Mahdi Camara MC 90 1 0 3 2 0.57 0.12 0.23
Brendan Chardonnet DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.02 0.00 0.14
Hugo Magnetti MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Marco Bizot GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Romain Faivre MC 80 0 0 3 2 0.15 0.23 0.30
Julien Le Cardinal DC 79 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.00
Jordan Amavi DL 79 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.10
Abdallah Sima FWL 72 0 0 3 0 0.22 0.00 0.21
Jonas Martin Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.14 0.00 0.14
Luc Zogbe Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Soumaila Coulibaly Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pereira Lage Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Axel Camblan Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.10

Saint-Etienne

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ibrahim Sissoko FW 90 0 0 2 1 0.13 0.02 0.15
Yunis Abdelhamid DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Mathieu Cafaro AML 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.18 0.18
Gautier Larsonneur GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Dylan Batubinsika DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zuriko Davitashvili AMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Pierre Cornud DL 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Mathis Amougou DMC 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Ayman Aiki AMR 64 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Lamine Fomba DMC 64 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.14
Yvann Maçon DR 64 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Aïmen Moueffek Sub 26 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Ibrahima Wadji Sub 26 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.01
Dennis Appiah Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Leo Petrot Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Florian Tardieu Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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