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Brighton and Hove Albion v Sheffield United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 12 November 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

Shots
12 – 9
On target
6 – 1
Shots in box
8 – 4
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.25 – 0.12
Goals − xG
-0.09 – +0.16
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.60.91.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Simon Adingra 5' — goal
Brighton and Hove Albion 1.09 xGSheffield United 0.84 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Gustavo Hamer 1' — Missed Shot (0.25 xG, Open Play)Anssumane Fati 3' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Simon Adingra 5' — Goal (0.43 xG, Open Play)Anssumane Fati 14' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Adam Webster 23' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Facundo Buonanotte 29' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Jayden Bogle 40' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Billy Gilmour 46' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)George Baldock 49' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)James McAtee 49' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)João Pedro 50' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Jan Paul van Hecke 58' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Kaoru Mitoma 60' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Kaoru Mitoma 61' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Mahmoud Dahoud 61' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Adam Webster 73' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Jayden Bogle 73' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jayden Bogle 76' — Missed Shot (0.35 xG, Open Play)Oliver Norwood 80' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Luke Thomas 83' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jayden Bogle 89' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)
Brighton and Hove Albion attacking right Sheffield United attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Sheffield United Gustavo Hamer 0.25 Open Play Missed Shot
3' Brighton and Hove Albion Anssumane Fati 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mahmoud Dahoud
5' Brighton and Hove Albion Simon Adingra 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Goal Facundo Buonanotte
14' Brighton and Hove Albion Anssumane Fati 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Adam Lallana
23' Brighton and Hove Albion Adam Webster 0.06 Set Piece Missed Shot Pascal Groß
29' Brighton and Hove Albion Facundo Buonanotte 0.09 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
40' Sheffield United Jayden Bogle 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
46' Brighton and Hove Albion Billy Gilmour 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot
49' Sheffield United George Baldock 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
49' Sheffield United James McAtee 0.06 From Corner Blocked Shot Jack Robinson
50' Brighton and Hove Albion João Pedro 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Simon Adingra
58' Brighton and Hove Albion Jan Paul van Hecke 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Pascal Groß
60' Brighton and Hove Albion Kaoru Mitoma 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Anssumane Fati
61' Brighton and Hove Albion Kaoru Mitoma 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
61' Brighton and Hove Albion Mahmoud Dahoud 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot
73' Brighton and Hove Albion Adam Webster 0.00 Open Play Left Foot Own Goal
73' Sheffield United Jayden Bogle 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gustavo Hamer
76' Sheffield United Jayden Bogle 0.35 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Cameron Archer
80' Sheffield United Oliver Norwood 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Gustavo Hamer
83' Sheffield United Luke Thomas 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Oliver Norwood
89' Sheffield United Jayden Bogle 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gustavo Hamer

Players

Brighton and Hove Albion

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Simon Adingra AML 90 1 0 1 1 0.43 0.09 0.51
Jan Paul van Hecke DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.73
Adam Webster DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.24
Pascal Groß DR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.12 0.22
Jason Steele GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Igor Julio DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
Anssumane Fati FW 75 0 0 2 1 0.22 0.10 0.41
Billy Gilmour DMC 75 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.51
Mahmoud Dahoud DMC 73 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.08 0.08
Facundo Buonanotte AMR 50 0 1 1 1 0.09 0.43 0.57
Adam Lallana AMC 50 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.14 0.57
Kaoru Mitoma Sub 40 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.10
João Pedro Sub 40 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
Joël Veltman Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carlos Baleba Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Sheffield United

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jayden Bogle DMR 90 0 0 4 0 0.48 0.00 0.46
Gustavo Hamer AMC 90 0 0 1 3 0.25 0.11 0.36
George Baldock DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.40
Luke Thomas DML 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.06
Oliver Norwood MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.02 0.08
Cameron Archer FW 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.35 0.35
Auston Trusty DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Jack Robinson DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.05
Wes Foderingham GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
James McAtee AMC 89 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.36
Vinicius Souza MC 56 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ben Osborn Sub 34 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Anis Ben Slimane Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
William Osula Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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