betaider.com

Brighton and Hove Albion v West Ham United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 26 August 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

Brighton and Hove Albion
1–3
1.37 – 2.95 xG
West Ham United
Shots
26 – 12
On target
10 – 7
Shots in box
14 – 10
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.26
Set-piece xG
0.36 – 0.00
Goals − xG
-0.38 – -0.09
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.91.72.63.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'James Ward-Prowse 18' — goalJarrod Bowen 57' — goalMichail Antonio 62' — goalPascal Groß 80' — goal
Brighton and Hove Albion 1.38 xGWest Ham United 3.09 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Lucas Paquetá 1' — Missed Shot (0.47 xG, Open Play)Michail Antonio 5' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Billy Gilmour 14' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)James Ward-Prowse 18' — Blocked Shot (0.16 xG, Open Play)James Ward-Prowse 18' — Goal (0.86 xG, Open Play)Evan Ferguson 20' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Kaoru Mitoma 21' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Lewis Dunk 26' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Solly March 26' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Billy Gilmour 28' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Evan Ferguson 28' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Pascal Groß 40' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Evan Ferguson 45' — Saved Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Danny Welbeck 47' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Solly March 47' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Direct Freekick)Kaoru Mitoma 48' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Pascal Groß 51' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jarrod Bowen 52' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Emerson 55' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Lucas Paquetá 56' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jarrod Bowen 57' — Goal (0.56 xG, Open Play)Evan Ferguson 61' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Michail Antonio 62' — Goal (0.17 xG, Open Play)Lewis Dunk 65' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Pascal Groß 65' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)James Ward-Prowse 67' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Michail Antonio 70' — Missed Shot (0.45 xG, Open Play)Pascal Groß 78' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Evan Ferguson 79' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Pascal Groß 80' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)João Pedro 82' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Joël Veltman 86' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)João Pedro 89' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Evan Ferguson 91' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Lewis Dunk 92' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Lewis Dunk 92' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Lewis Dunk 93' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jarrod Bowen 96' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)
Brighton and Hove Albion attacking right West Ham United attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' West Ham United Lucas Paquetá 0.47 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
5' West Ham United Michail Antonio 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lucas Paquetá
14' Brighton and Hove Albion Billy Gilmour 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Estupiñán
18' West Ham United James Ward-Prowse 0.16 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Michail Antonio
18' West Ham United James Ward-Prowse 0.86 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
20' Brighton and Hove Albion Evan Ferguson 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Danny Welbeck
21' Brighton and Hove Albion Kaoru Mitoma 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Estupiñán
26' Brighton and Hove Albion Lewis Dunk 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Pascal Groß
26' Brighton and Hove Albion Solly March 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Lewis Dunk
28' Brighton and Hove Albion Billy Gilmour 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
28' Brighton and Hove Albion Evan Ferguson 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Billy Gilmour
40' Brighton and Hove Albion Pascal Groß 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Billy Gilmour
45' Brighton and Hove Albion Evan Ferguson 0.31 Open Play — Saved Shot Kaoru Mitoma
47' Brighton and Hove Albion Danny Welbeck 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pascal Groß
47' Brighton and Hove Albion Solly March 0.10 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot —
48' Brighton and Hove Albion Kaoru Mitoma 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Pascal Groß
51' Brighton and Hove Albion Pascal Groß 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Danny Welbeck
52' West Ham United Jarrod Bowen 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
55' West Ham United Emerson 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Said Benrahma
56' West Ham United Lucas Paquetá 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Said Benrahma
57' West Ham United Jarrod Bowen 0.56 Open Play Left Foot Goal Said Benrahma
61' Brighton and Hove Albion Evan Ferguson 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Solly March
62' West Ham United Michail Antonio 0.17 Open Play Right Foot Goal Jarrod Bowen
65' Brighton and Hove Albion Lewis Dunk 0.02 From Corner — Saved Shot Solly March
65' Brighton and Hove Albion Pascal Groß 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot Adam Lallana
67' West Ham United James Ward-Prowse 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Said Benrahma
70' West Ham United Michail Antonio 0.45 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Lucas Paquetá
78' Brighton and Hove Albion Pascal Groß 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Simon Adingra
79' Brighton and Hove Albion Evan Ferguson 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Kaoru Mitoma
80' Brighton and Hove Albion Pascal Groß 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal Joël Veltman
82' Brighton and Hove Albion João Pedro 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pascal Groß
86' Brighton and Hove Albion Joël Veltman 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot João Pedro
89' Brighton and Hove Albion João Pedro 0.02 Open Play — Blocked Shot Pascal Groß
91' Brighton and Hove Albion Evan Ferguson 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
92' Brighton and Hove Albion Lewis Dunk 0.06 From Corner — Blocked Shot Pascal Groß
92' Brighton and Hove Albion Lewis Dunk 0.05 From Corner — Missed Shot —
93' Brighton and Hove Albion Lewis Dunk 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
96' West Ham United Jarrod Bowen 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —

Players

West Ham United

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
James Ward-Prowse MC 90 1 0 3 0 1.04 0.00 1.77
Jarrod Bowen MR 90 1 1 3 1 0.75 0.17 0.92
Emerson DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.16
Vladimir Coufal DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Kurt Zouma DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.66
Angelo Ogbonna DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Alphonse Areola GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
Lucas Paquetá ML 89 0 0 2 2 0.49 0.57 1.17
Edson Álvarez DMC 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Michail Antonio FW 83 1 0 3 1 0.74 0.16 1.45
Said Benrahma Sub 52 0 1 0 4 0.00 0.67 0.86
Tomas Soucek MC 38 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Thilo Kehrer Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Pablo Fornals Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Danny Ings Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Brighton and Hove Albion

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Evan Ferguson FW 90 0 0 6 0 0.60 0.00 0.68
Lewis Dunk DC 90 0 0 5 1 0.18 0.03 0.47
Pascal Groß DMC 90 1 0 5 6 0.13 0.26 0.76
Kaoru Mitoma AML 90 0 0 2 2 0.07 0.32 0.56
Estupiñán DL 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.34
Bart Verbruggen GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Adam Webster DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Solly March AMR 76 0 0 2 2 0.13 0.05 0.49
James Milner DR 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.37
Billy Gilmour DMC 64 0 0 2 2 0.10 0.10 0.37
Danny Welbeck AMC 64 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.13 0.50
João Pedro Sub 26 0 0 2 1 0.09 0.05 0.14
Adam Lallana Sub 26 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.08
Joël Veltman Sub 14 0 1 1 1 0.05 0.03 0.15
Simon Adingra Sub 14 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.11
betaider.com

Sport

Football Basketball Tennis Ice hockey Baseball

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide