Brommapojkarna v Djurgården — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 16 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627
SWE-Allsvenskan
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.4%
- 0-1 10.7%
- 1-2 9.6%
- 0-2 9.3%
- 0-0 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 49.7% | Under 2.5 | 50.3% |
| BTTS yes | 52.4% | BTTS no | 47.6% |
| Brommapojkarna 1+ | 64.3% | Brommapojkarna 2+ | 27.5% |
| Djurgården 1+ | 80.4% | Djurgården 2+ | 48.5% |
Expected goals 1.03 – 1.63. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Djurgården carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1457.
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Djurgården have an estimated 51.4% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 22.2% for Brommapojkarna. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.03 for Brommapojkarna and 1.63 for Djurgården.
Why Brommapojkarna
Nothing in the data singles out Brommapojkarna.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.
Why Djurgården can win
Djurgården carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1457. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Brommapojkarna, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Djurgården, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Brommapojkarna: 49% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Djurgården: 48% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 5.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Djurgården are the model's most likely outcome at 51.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.00–1.87 | 1-1 11% | 55% | 54% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to win | 57.1% | 54.1% | 36.6% | 1.48× | 1.85 |
| Draw | 23.6% | 24.5% | 22.9% | 1.07× | 4.09 |
| Brommapojkarna to win | 19.3% | 19.4% | 40.7% | 0.48× | 5.17 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården & not both score | 30.6% | 29.7% | 18.8% | 1.58× | 3.37 |
| Djurgården & both teams score | 26.5% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 1.39× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.3% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.58 |
| Brommapojkarna & both teams score | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 0.77× | 7.55 |
| Brommapojkarna & not both score | 9.2% | 8.4% | 23.7% | 0.35× | 11.92 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.57× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården & over 1.5 | 47.0% | 45.2% | 27.7% | 1.63× | 2.21 |
| Djurgården & over 2.5 | 37.1% | 34.9% | 22.9% | 1.52× | 2.87 |
| Djurgården & under 3.5 | 36.1% | 34.9% | 25.4% | 1.37× | 2.87 |
| Djurgården & over 3.5 | 21.0% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 1.89× | 4.62 |
| Djurgården & under 2.5 | 20.0% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 1.29× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 17.5% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 1.00× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 17.5% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 1.00× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.3% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.56 |
| Brommapojkarna & over 1.5 | 14.2% | 12.9% | 34.6% | 0.37× | 7.77 |
| Brommapojkarna & under 3.5 | 14.2% | 12.9% | 26.2% | 0.49× | 7.77 |
| Brommapojkarna & over 2.5 | 11.4% | 12.9% | 25.4% | 0.51× | 7.77 |
| Djurgården & under 1.5 | 10.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 1.40× | 7.77 |
| Brommapojkarna & under 2.5 | 8.0% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 0.51× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.47× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.55× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.55× | 12.70 |
| Brommapojkarna & under 1.5 | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.24× | 12.70 |
| Brommapojkarna & over 3.5 | 5.1% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 0.53× | 12.70 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (1UP) | 70.4% | 75.6% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Brommapojkarna (1UP) | 37.5% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (2UP) | 57.1% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Brommapojkarna (2UP) | 19.3% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.68 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to win 2nd half | 48.8% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.7% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Brommapojkarna to win 2nd half | 18.5% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.24 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (+2.5) | 98.1% | 96.3% | 88.6% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Djurgården (+1.5) | 93.0% | 92.1% | 76.3% | 1.21× | 1.09 |
| Djurgården (+0.5) | 80.7% | 82.4% | 59.3% | 1.39× | 1.21 |
| Djurgården (-0.5) | 57.1% | 57.0% | 36.6% | 1.56× | 1.75 |
| Brommapojkarna (+0.5) | 42.9% | 43.0% | 63.4% | 0.68× | 2.33 |
| Brommapojkarna (-0.5) | 19.3% | 17.6% | 40.7% | 0.43× | 5.68 |
| Brommapojkarna (-1.5) | 7.0% | 7.9% | 23.7% | 0.33× | 12.64 |
| Brommapojkarna (-2.5) | 1.9% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 0.32× | 26.95 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to concede | 63.1% | 67.3% | 76.1% | 0.88× | 1.49 |
| Djurgården clean sheet | 36.9% | 32.7% | 23.9% | 1.37× | 3.05 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården clean sheet in 1st half | 65.1% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Djurgården to concede in 1st half | 34.9% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården over 2.5 corners | 87.9% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Djurgården over 3.5 corners | 76.4% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Djurgården under 6.5 corners | 65.1% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Djurgården over 4.5 corners | 62.4% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Djurgården under 5.5 corners | 52.0% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Djurgården over 5.5 corners | 48.0% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Djurgården under 4.5 corners | 37.6% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Djurgården over 6.5 corners | 34.9% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Djurgården under 3.5 corners | 23.6% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Djurgården under 2.5 corners | 12.1% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.75 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården under 3.5 goals | 88.1% | 87.9% | 95.2% | 0.92× | 1.14 |
| Djurgården over 0.5 goals | 84.5% | 81.4% | 71.2% | 1.14× | 1.23 |
| Djurgården under 2.5 goals | 71.3% | 71.9% | 81.7% | 0.88× | 1.39 |
| Djurgården over 1.5 goals | 55.6% | 59.5% | 39.2% | 1.52× | 1.68 |
| Djurgården under 1.5 goals | 44.4% | 40.5% | 60.8% | 0.67× | 2.47 |
| Djurgården over 2.5 goals | 28.7% | 28.1% | 18.3% | 1.53× | 3.56 |
| Djurgården under 0.5 goals | 15.5% | 18.6% | 28.8% | 0.65× | 5.38 |
| Djurgården over 3.5 goals | 11.9% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 2.51× | 8.26 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården under 1.5 in 1st half | 82.8% | 83.1% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Djurgården over 0.5 in 1st half | 52.6% | 56.2% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Djurgården under 0.5 in 1st half | 47.4% | 43.8% | — | — | 2.28 |
| Djurgården over 1.5 in 1st half | 17.2% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.92 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 55.0% | 57.4% | 36.0% | 1.59× | 1.74 |
| Brommapojkarna (away no bet) | 45.0% | 42.6% | 64.0% | 0.67× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården even goals | 51.2% | 52.8% | 53.2% | 0.99× | 1.89 |
| Djurgården odd goals | 48.8% | 47.2% | 46.8% | 1.01× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 83.5% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 16.5% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.88 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 66.9% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 33.1% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.18 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 60.0% | 55.3% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Djurgården to score 2+ in a row | 47.9% | 45.9% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 24.4% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Djurgården to score 3+ in a row | 20.7% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.13 |
| Brommapojkarna to score 2+ in a row | 18.1% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.12 |
| Brommapojkarna to score 3+ in a row | 3.9% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.16 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården corners (+3.5) | 91.2% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Djurgården corners (+2.5) | 86.0% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Djurgården corners (+1.5) | 78.8% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Brommapojkarna corners (+3.5) | 72.5% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Brommapojkarna corners (+2.5) | 62.7% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Brommapojkarna corners (+1.5) | 51.9% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Djurgården corners (-1.5) | 48.1% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Djurgården corners (-2.5) | 37.3% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Djurgården corners (-3.5) | 27.5% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Brommapojkarna corners (-1.5) | 21.2% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Brommapojkarna corners (-2.5) | 14.0% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| Brommapojkarna corners (-3.5) | 8.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 37.5% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| 12+ corners | 31.5% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 31.1% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 76.7% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 73.0% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 68.5% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 62.5% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 59.0% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 51.6% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 48.4% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 41.0% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 37.5% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 31.5% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 27.0% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 23.3% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 0.88× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 1.25× | 8.73 |
| 0-2 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.46× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.91× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.27× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.39× | 13.48 |
| 0-3 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.94× | 13.48 |
| 1-0 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 1.17× | 13.48 |
| 1-3 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.53× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.46 |
| 2-0 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 9.4% | 0.18× | 58.47 |
| 2-3 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.47 |
| 2-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.48 |
| 3-0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.48 |
| 3-1 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.48 |
| 3-2 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.24× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.12× | 58.49 |
| 4-2 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 4.5% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.46 |
| 0-4 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.47 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården leading at HT (DNB) | 67.3% | 73.9% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Brommapojkarna leading at HT (DNB) | 32.7% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården or draw (X2) | 80.7% | 80.6% | 59.3% | 1.36× | 1.24 |
| Brommapojkarna or Djurgården (12) | 76.4% | 75.5% | 77.1% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| Brommapojkarna or draw (1X) | 42.9% | 45.9% | 63.4% | 0.73× | 2.18 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården or draw at HT | 81.0% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Brommapojkarna or draw at HT | 60.8% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Brommapojkarna or Djurgården at HT | 58.2% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården or draw (1UP) | 80.7% | 88.3% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Brommapojkarna or draw (1UP) | 42.9% | 52.7% | — | — | 1.90 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården or draw in 2nd half | 81.5% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Brommapojkarna or Djurgården in 2nd half | 67.3% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Brommapojkarna or draw in 2nd half | 51.2% | 54.4% | — | — | 1.84 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 60.2% | 61.5% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 39.8% | 38.5% | — | — | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (DNB) | 74.7% | 71.5% | 47.4% | 1.51× | 1.40 |
| Brommapojkarna (DNB) | 25.3% | 28.5% | 52.6% | 0.54× | 3.51 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to score first | 61.0% | 64.4% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Brommapojkarna to score first | 32.7% | 27.2% | — | — | 3.68 |
| No goal scored | 6.3% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.37 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 54.0% | 51.4% | 52.7% | 0.98× | 1.95 |
| Not both teams to score | 46.1% | 48.6% | 47.3% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 42.7% | 41.6% | 39.9% | 1.04× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 34.2% | 34.3% | 34.4% | 1.00× | 2.92 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 0.93× | 8.11 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 0.95× | 8.11 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 85.3% | 85.6% | 84.2% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 14.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 0.91× | 6.94 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 70.6% | 74.0% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 29.4% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.84 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 57.5% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.1% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.79 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.1% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.29 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.4% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.84 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.6% | 82.4% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.4% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.67 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 56.6% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 43.4% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.3% | 47.4% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.5% | 26.5% | 26.2% | 1.01× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 21.5% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 1.12× | 4.39 |
| 7+ goals | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 0.38× | 54.52 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to score exactly 1 | 28.9% | 27.4% | 32.3% | 0.85× | 3.65 |
| Djurgården to score 3+ | 28.7% | 27.4% | 18.3% | 1.50× | 3.65 |
| Djurgården to score exactly 2 | 26.9% | 27.4% | 21.1% | 1.30× | 3.65 |
| Djurgården to score exactly 0 | 15.5% | 19.6% | 28.8% | 0.68× | 5.11 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna to score exactly 0 | 36.9% | 35.6% | 23.9% | 1.49× | 2.81 |
| Brommapojkarna to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 35.6% | 32.8% | 1.08× | 2.81 |
| Brommapojkarna to score exactly 2 | 18.4% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 0.85× | 5.29 |
| Brommapojkarna to score 3+ | 8.0% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 0.48× | 9.72 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 41.8% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Djurgården leading at HT | 39.2% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.64 |
| Brommapojkarna leading at HT | 19.0% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.39 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården -1: 1 | 42.9% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Djurgården -1: 2 | 33.5% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Djurgården -1: X | 23.6% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (0:1) | 80.7% | 77.5% | 59.3% | 1.31× | 1.29 |
| Draw (0:1) | 12.3% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 0.80× | 7.23 |
| Brommapojkarna (0:1) | 7.0% | 9.2% | 23.7% | 0.39× | 10.89 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (0:2) | 93.0% | 90.8% | 76.3% | 1.19× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:2) | 5.1% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 0.62× | 12.97 |
| Brommapojkarna (0:2) | 1.9% | 3.8% | 11.5% | 0.33× | 26.65 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (0:3) | 98.1% | 96.6% | 88.6% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 1.5% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 0.34× | 42.20 |
| Brommapojkarna (0:3) | 0.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 0.49× | 42.25 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (0:4) | 99.6% | 98.1% | 95.2% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 0.31× | 83.65 |
| Brommapojkarna (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.94× | 83.68 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna (1:0) | 42.9% | 43.1% | 63.4% | 0.68× | 2.32 |
| Djurgården (1:0) | 33.5% | 30.5% | 16.5% | 1.84× | 3.28 |
| Draw (1:0) | 23.6% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 1.07× | 4.59 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna (2:0) | 66.5% | 70.4% | 83.5% | 0.84× | 1.42 |
| Draw (2:0) | 17.7% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 1.50× | 6.37 |
| Djurgården (2:0) | 15.8% | 15.6% | 6.4% | 2.46× | 6.39 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.9% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.2% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 24.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna to concede | 84.5% | 80.9% | 71.2% | 1.14× | 1.24 |
| Brommapojkarna clean sheet | 15.5% | 19.1% | 28.8% | 0.67× | 5.23 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna to concede in 1st half | 52.6% | 56.2% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Brommapojkarna clean sheet in 1st half | 47.4% | 43.8% | — | — | 2.28 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna under 6.5 corners | 83.2% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Brommapojkarna over 2.5 corners | 75.6% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Brommapojkarna under 5.5 corners | 72.6% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Brommapojkarna over 3.5 corners | 58.5% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Brommapojkarna under 4.5 corners | 58.4% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Brommapojkarna under 3.5 corners | 41.5% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Brommapojkarna over 4.5 corners | 41.6% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Brommapojkarna over 5.5 corners | 27.4% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Brommapojkarna under 2.5 corners | 24.4% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| Brommapojkarna over 6.5 corners | 16.8% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna under 3.5 goals | 98.1% | 96.4% | 90.6% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| Brommapojkarna under 2.5 goals | 92.0% | 92.3% | 78.4% | 1.18× | 1.08 |
| Brommapojkarna under 1.5 goals | 73.7% | 74.2% | 56.5% | 1.31× | 1.35 |
| Brommapojkarna over 0.5 goals | 63.1% | 63.5% | 76.1% | 0.83× | 1.58 |
| Brommapojkarna under 0.5 goals | 36.9% | 36.5% | 23.9% | 1.53× | 2.74 |
| Brommapojkarna over 1.5 goals | 26.4% | 25.8% | 43.5% | 0.59× | 3.87 |
| Brommapojkarna over 2.5 goals | 8.0% | 7.7% | 21.6% | 0.36× | 12.90 |
| Brommapojkarna over 3.5 goals | 1.9% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 0.39× | 27.53 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.0% | 95.4% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Brommapojkarna under 0.5 in 1st half | 65.1% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Brommapojkarna over 0.5 in 1st half | 34.9% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Brommapojkarna over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.0% | 4.6% | — | — | 21.91 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (home no bet) | 70.7% | 66.4% | 61.5% | 1.08× | 1.51 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 29.3% | 33.6% | 38.5% | 0.87× | 2.97 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna even goals | 56.8% | 55.5% | 53.9% | 1.03× | 1.80 |
| Brommapojkarna odd goals | 43.2% | 44.6% | 46.1% | 0.97× | 2.25 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 31.0% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| HT 0-1 | 22.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
| HT 1-0 | 13.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.0% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.01 |
| HT 0-2 | 8.6% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.03 |
| Any other HT score | 4.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.25 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.34 |
| HT 2-0 | 2.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.40 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.45 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.55 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården at HT / Djurgården at FT | 33.6% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Draw at HT / Djurgården at FT | 20.0% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.3% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Brommapojkarna at HT / Brommapojkarna at FT | 10.6% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Draw at HT / Brommapojkarna at FT | 7.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.67 |
| Brommapojkarna at HT / Draw at FT | 5.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.77 |
| Djurgården at HT / Draw at FT | 4.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.79 |
| Brommapojkarna at HT / Djurgården at FT | 3.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.83 |
| Djurgården at HT / Brommapojkarna at FT | 1.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.91 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to score last | 61.1% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Brommapojkarna to score last | 32.6% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| No goal scored | 6.3% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.37 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.7% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Djurgården to lead by 1 at any time | 70.4% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 51.4% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Djurgården to lead by 2 at any time | 40.1% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Brommapojkarna to lead by 1 at any time | 37.5% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.87 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 21.3% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Djurgården to lead by 3 at any time | 18.5% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.70 |
| Brommapojkarna to lead by 2 at any time | 11.5% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.57 |
| Brommapojkarna to lead by 3 at any time | 2.8% | 1.6% | — | — | 61.50 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården most corners | 59.2% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Brommapojkarna most corners | 30.3% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 10.5% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.6% | 87.4% | 86.8% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 77.5% | 78.6% | 78.4% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 75.8% | 78.6% | 75.1% | 1.05× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.5% | 72.4% | 71.8% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.3% | 63.4% | 63.4% | 1.00× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 61.5% | 63.4% | 64.1% | 0.99× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 51.8% | 53.2% | 48.3% | 1.10× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 47.5% | 48.7% | 45.0% | 1.08× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.3% | 48.7% | 49.1% | 0.99× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 39.2% | 39.2% | 42.0% | 0.93× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.3% | 39.2% | 36.6% | 1.07× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.5% | 30.3% | 26.2% | 1.15× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 25.1% | 30.2% | 22.9% | 1.32× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 13.5% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 1.24× | 6.72 |
| 7+ goals | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 0.53× | 39.21 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården never behind | 56.2% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Brommapojkarna never behind | 23.3% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.10 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.7% | 50.8% | 49.4% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 51.4% | 49.2% | 50.6% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.0% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.0% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.1% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.9% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.7% | 92.3% | 94.7% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 92.9% | 92.3% | 91.9% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83.8% | 82.4% | 83.5% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% | 77.4% | 79.6% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67.8% | 66.2% | 69.2% | 0.96× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% | 52.5% | 52.9% | 0.99× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.5% | 47.5% | 47.1% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.2% | 33.8% | 30.8% | 1.10× | 2.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21.5% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 1.11× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16.2% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 1.06× | 5.68 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 0.95× | 12.93 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.45× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.2% | 97.2% | 95.0% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 92.2% | 92.5% | 91.1% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 80.7% | 81.0% | 80.7% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 71.8% | 72.6% | 72.2% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 58.5% | 55.5% | 60.5% | 0.92× | 1.80 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 41.5% | 44.5% | 39.5% | 1.13× | 2.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 28.2% | 27.4% | 27.8% | 0.99× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 19.3% | 19.0% | 19.3% | 0.98× | 5.27 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 0.85× | 13.26 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.55× | 36.14 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 88.5% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 69.0% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 67.1% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 32.9% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 31.0% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 11.5% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.10 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 81.3% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 76.1% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 50.5% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 49.5% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 23.9% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.92 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 18.7% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna not to score in both halves | 84.9% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Djurgården not to score in both halves | 64.6% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Djurgården to score in both halves | 35.4% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Brommapojkarna to score in both halves | 15.1% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.41 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 54.0% | 54.0% | 52.7% | 1.02× | 1.85 |
| Only Djurgården scores | 30.6% | 33.3% | 18.8% | 1.77× | 3.00 |
| Only Brommapojkarna scores | 9.2% | 7.2% | 23.7% | 0.30× | 13.89 |
| Neither team scores | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.34× | 13.92 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 24.0% | 22.6% | 27.0% | 0.84× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 22.4% | 1.01× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.0% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 1.20× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 15.2% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 1.14× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 0.88× | 13.08 |
| 6 or more goals | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 0.94× | 13.09 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.43× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 50.5% | 51.2% | — | — | 1.95 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 30.8% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 18.7% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.82 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna not to win both halves | 96.4% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Djurgården not to win both halves | 80.7% | 84.1% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Djurgården to win both halves | 19.3% | 15.9% | — | — | 6.28 |
| Brommapojkarna to win both halves | 3.6% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.74 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to win either half | 68.7% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Brommapojkarna to win neither half | 66.1% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Brommapojkarna to win either half | 33.9% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Djurgården to win neither half | 31.3% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna not to win to nil | 90.8% | 92.0% | 76.3% | 1.21× | 1.09 |
| Djurgården not to win to nil | 69.4% | 69.7% | 81.2% | 0.86× | 1.44 |
| Djurgården to win to nil | 30.6% | 30.3% | 18.8% | 1.61× | 3.30 |
| Brommapojkarna to win to nil | 9.2% | 8.0% | 23.7% | 0.34× | 12.53 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården by 1 | 23.6% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 1.19× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 23.6% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 1.05× | 4.14 |
| Djurgården by 2 | 17.7% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 1.62× | 5.91 |
| Djurgården by 3+ | 15.8% | 16.9% | 6.4% | 2.66× | 5.91 |
| Brommapojkarna by 1 | 12.3% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 0.68× | 8.48 |
| Brommapojkarna by 2 | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 0.58× | 13.79 |
| Brommapojkarna by 3+ | 1.9% | 2.7% | 11.5% | 0.24× | 37.02 |