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Brøndby IF v AGF — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Brøndby IF win
36.7%
model 37.9%
Draw
26.7%
model 26.6%
AGF win
36.7%
model 35.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.6%
  2. 2-1 8.5%
  3. 1-2 8.2%
  4. 1-0 7.7%
  5. 0-1 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.553.8% Under 2.546.2%
BTTS yes58.1% BTTS no41.9%
Brøndby IF 1+76.4% Brøndby IF 2+42.3%
AGF 1+75.1% AGF 2+40.4%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.39. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Brøndby IF have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for AGF and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for Brøndby IF and 1.39 for AGF.

Why Brøndby IF

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.44 to 1.39. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why AGF can win

AGF carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1566.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Brøndby IF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for AGF, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Brøndby IF: 56% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. AGF: 59% possession, 19.2 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Brøndby IF are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.38–1.34 1-1 13% 51% 56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to win 37.2% 36.4% 44.9% 0.81× 2.75
AGF to win 35.5% 36.4% 30.0% 1.21× 2.75
Draw 27.3% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw & both teams score 19.9% 17.9% 19.6% 0.92× 5.58
Brøndby IF & not both score 18.8% 17.9% 20.7% 0.87× 5.58
Brøndby IF & both teams score 18.4% 17.9% 24.5% 0.73× 5.58
AGF & not both score 17.9% 17.9% 13.5% 1.33× 5.58
AGF & both teams score 17.6% 17.9% 16.8% 1.07× 5.58
Draw & not both score 7.4% 8.4% 6.1% 1.38× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF & over 1.5 28.9% 26.0% 35.5% 0.73× 3.84
AGF & over 1.5 27.4% 26.0% 26.2% 0.99× 3.84
Brøndby IF & under 3.5 25.9% 26.0% 27.3% 0.95× 3.84
AGF & under 3.5 24.8% 21.7% 18.5% 1.17× 4.62
Brøndby IF & over 2.5 22.6% 21.7% 29.5% 0.73× 4.62
AGF & over 2.5 21.5% 21.7% 20.9% 1.03× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 20.4% 21.7% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 20.4% 21.7% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.9% 18.0% 19.6% 0.92× 5.56
Brøndby IF & under 2.5 14.6% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.77
AGF & under 2.5 14.0% 12.9% 9.4% 1.37× 7.77
Brøndby IF & over 3.5 11.3% 12.9% 17.9% 0.72× 7.77
AGF & over 3.5 10.7% 12.9% 11.8% 1.09× 7.77
Brøndby IF & under 1.5 8.3% 7.9% 9.6% 0.82× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 7.4% 7.9% 6.1% 1.30× 12.70
AGF & under 1.5 8.1% 7.9% 4.1% 1.91× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (1UP) 54.4% 52.7% 1.90
AGF (1UP) 52.9% 52.7% 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (2UP) 37.2% 37.1% 2.70
AGF (2UP) 35.5% 37.0% 2.70
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 36.0% 36.0% 2.78
AGF to win 2nd half 32.5% 34.5% 2.90
Brøndby IF to win 2nd half 31.4% 34.5% 2.90
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF (+2.5) 93.7% 92.1% 91.7% 1.00× 1.09
AGF (+1.5) 82.5% 82.4% 78.8% 1.05× 1.21
Brøndby IF (+0.5) 64.5% 62.9% 70.0% 0.90× 1.59
AGF (+0.5) 62.8% 62.9% 55.1% 1.14× 1.59
Brøndby IF (-0.5) 37.2% 37.1% 44.9% 0.83× 2.70
AGF (-0.5) 35.5% 37.1% 30.0% 1.23× 2.70
Brøndby IF (-1.5) 17.5% 17.6% 21.2% 0.83× 5.69
Brøndby IF (-2.5) 6.3% 7.9% 8.3% 0.96× 12.64
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF to concede 74.7% 76.5% 80.7% 0.95× 1.31
AGF clean sheet 25.3% 23.5% 19.3% 1.22× 4.25
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF clean sheet in 1st half 55.3% 58.4% 1.71
AGF to concede in 1st half 44.7% 41.7% 2.40
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF over 2.5 corners 83.9% 81.5% 1.23
AGF over 3.5 corners 70.8% 71.6% 1.40
AGF under 6.5 corners 70.2% 71.6% 1.40
AGF under 5.5 corners 58.0% 57.1% 1.75
AGF over 4.5 corners 56.1% 57.1% 1.75
AGF under 4.5 corners 43.9% 42.9% 2.33
AGF over 5.5 corners 42.0% 42.9% 2.33
AGF over 6.5 corners 29.8% 28.4% 3.52
AGF under 3.5 corners 29.2% 28.4% 3.52
AGF under 2.5 corners 16.1% 18.5% 5.40
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF under 3.5 goals 95.3% 97.5% 93.7% 1.04× 1.03
AGF under 2.5 goals 84.8% 81.4% 84.0% 0.97× 1.23
AGF over 0.5 goals 73.8% 72.0% 73.6% 0.98× 1.39
AGF under 1.5 goals 61.3% 62.9% 57.9% 1.09× 1.59
AGF over 1.5 goals 38.7% 37.1% 42.1% 0.88× 2.70
AGF under 0.5 goals 26.2% 28.0% 26.4% 1.06× 3.57
AGF over 2.5 goals 15.2% 18.6% 16.0% 1.16× 5.39
AGF over 3.5 goals 4.7% 2.5% 6.3% 0.39× 40.63
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF under 1.5 in 1st half 89.9% 89.2% 1.12
AGF under 0.5 in 1st half 58.5% 62.4% 1.60
AGF over 0.5 in 1st half 41.5% 37.6% 2.66
AGF over 1.5 in 1st half 10.1% 10.8% 9.24
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (away no bet) 57.7% 57.5% 63.9% 0.90× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 42.3% 42.5% 36.1% 1.18× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF even goals 53.4% 52.8% 57.6% 0.92× 1.89
AGF odd goals 46.6% 47.2% 42.4% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 85.4% 87.5% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 14.6% 12.5% 8.03
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 64.0% 58.1% 1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals 36.0% 41.9% 2.39
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 55.2% 55.0% 1.82
Brøndby IF to score 2+ in a row 31.4% 28.9% 3.46
AGF to score 2+ in a row 30.1% 28.9% 3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row 18.9% 16.4% 6.11
Brøndby IF to score 3+ in a row 9.9% 5.7% 17.49
AGF to score 3+ in a row 9.2% 5.7% 17.54
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF corners (+3.5) 88.3% 84.5% 1.18
AGF corners (+2.5) 82.1% 79.7% 1.25
Brøndby IF corners (+3.5) 76.5% 74.9% 1.34
AGF corners (+1.5) 74.1% 70.7% 1.41
Brøndby IF corners (+2.5) 67.6% 65.8% 1.52
Brøndby IF corners (+1.5) 57.3% 57.1% 1.75
AGF corners (-1.5) 42.7% 42.9% 2.33
AGF corners (-2.5) 32.4% 34.2% 2.92
Brøndby IF corners (-1.5) 25.9% 29.3% 3.42
AGF corners (-3.5) 23.5% 25.1% 3.98
Brøndby IF corners (-2.5) 17.9% 20.3% 4.94
Brøndby IF corners (-3.5) 11.7% 15.5% 6.46
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 41.2% 38.6% 2.59
9-11 corners 29.7% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 29.1% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 78.4% 76.5% 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 70.9% 72.6% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 69.4% 67.7% 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 61.9% 63.4% 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 58.8% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 51.9% 53.3% 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 48.1% 46.7% 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 41.2% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 38.1% 36.6% 2.73
Under 7.5 corners 30.6% 32.3% 3.10
Over 11.5 corners 29.1% 27.4% 3.65
Over 12.5 corners 21.6% 23.5% 4.26
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.0% 11.5% 11.0% 1.04× 8.73
2-1 8.4% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.48
0-0 7.4% 7.4% 6.1% 1.22× 13.48
0-1 8.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.48
1-0 8.3% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.48
1-2 8.2% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.48
0-2 5.9% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.48
2-0 6.3% 7.4% 6.3% 1.17× 13.48
2-2 5.6% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.48
0-3 2.6% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.47
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
1-3 3.6% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.47
1-4 1.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.48
2-3 2.5% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.48
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.49
3-0 2.9% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.47
3-1 3.8% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
3-2 2.6% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.47
3-3 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
4-0 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.48
4-1 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.48
4-2 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.48
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.49
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
Any other score 2.5% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF leading at HT (DNB) 53.2% 56.0% 1.79
AGF leading at HT (DNB) 46.8% 44.0% 2.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or AGF (12) 72.7% 72.1% 74.7% 0.97× 1.39
Brøndby IF or draw (1X) 64.5% 63.6% 70.0% 0.91× 1.57
AGF or draw (X2) 62.8% 63.6% 55.1% 1.15× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or draw at HT 73.7% 74.4% 1.34
AGF or draw at HT 70.1% 74.2% 1.35
Brøndby IF or AGF at HT 56.2% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or draw (1UP) 64.5% 71.8% 1.39
AGF or draw (1UP) 62.8% 71.7% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF or draw in 2nd half 68.6% 65.5% 1.53
Brøndby IF or draw in 2nd half 67.5% 65.5% 1.53
Brøndby IF or AGF in 2nd half 64.0% 64.0% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 63.2% 61.6% 1.62
Neither half drawn 36.8% 38.4% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (DNB) 51.2% 50.9% 59.9% 0.85× 1.97
AGF (DNB) 48.8% 49.1% 40.1% 1.23× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to score first 46.9% 45.5% 2.20
AGF to score first 45.7% 45.4% 2.20
No goal scored 7.4% 7.5% 13.31
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 55.9% 54.9% 60.3% 0.91× 1.82
Not both teams to score 44.1% 45.1% 39.7% 1.14× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 43.0% 41.6% 49.6% 0.84× 2.40
Not both score & under 2.5 36.0% 38.5% 30.6% 1.26× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.0% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.1% 8.4% 9.4% 0.89× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 84.5% 83.1% 80.4% 1.03× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 15.5% 16.9% 19.6% 0.86× 5.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 69.7% 67.7% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 30.3% 32.3% 3.10
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 56.6% 59.3% 1.69
Both score 2nd half only 24.7% 20.9% 4.79
Both score 1st half only 13.1% 10.8% 9.29
Both score in both halves 5.6% 6.7% 14.83
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 81.3% 82.3% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 18.7% 17.7% 5.66
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 54.2% 53.5% 1.87
A half without a goal 45.8% 46.5% 2.15
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.3% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
4-6 goals 26.8% 26.4% 36.4% 0.73× 3.78
0-1 goals 23.8% 22.8% 19.3% 1.18× 4.38
7+ goals 2.1% 1.8% 1.9% 0.95× 54.59
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF to score exactly 1 35.1% 36.0% 31.7% 1.14× 2.78
AGF to score exactly 0 26.2% 27.4% 26.4% 1.04× 3.65
AGF to score exactly 2 23.5% 22.4% 26.4% 0.85× 4.46
AGF to score 3+ 15.2% 19.6% 16.0% 1.22× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to score exactly 1 34.8% 32.7% 33.6% 0.97× 3.06
Brøndby IF to score exactly 0 25.3% 26.5% 19.3% 1.38× 3.77
Brøndby IF to score exactly 2 23.9% 23.2% 25.9% 0.90× 4.30
Brøndby IF to score 3+ 16.1% 18.9% 21.8% 0.87× 5.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 43.8% 43.2% 2.32
Brøndby IF leading at HT 29.9% 25.8% 3.88
AGF leading at HT 26.3% 25.6% 3.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF -1: 2 62.8% 62.5% 1.60
Brøndby IF -1: X 19.7% 17.5% 5.71
Brøndby IF -1: 1 17.5% 17.5% 5.72
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF (0:1) 62.8% 61.5% 55.1% 1.12× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 19.7% 17.8% 24.0% 0.74× 5.62
Brøndby IF (0:1) 17.5% 17.8% 21.2% 0.84× 5.63
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF (0:2) 82.5% 82.8% 78.8% 1.05× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.1% 11.0% 13.2% 0.83× 9.13
Brøndby IF (0:2) 6.3% 7.7% 8.3% 0.93× 12.96
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF (0:3) 93.7% 92.6% 91.7% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.5% 2.4% 3.6% 0.66× 42.06
Brøndby IF (0:3) 1.9% 2.4% 5.0% 0.48× 42.18
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF (0:4) 98.1% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.4% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.52
Brøndby IF (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.63
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (1:0) 64.5% 65.1% 70.0% 0.93× 1.54
Draw (1:0) 19.2% 17.0% 14.6% 1.17× 5.87
AGF (1:0) 16.3% 17.0% 15.7% 1.08× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (2:0) 83.7% 84.6% 84.3% 1.00× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.5% 10.4% 8.3% 1.25× 9.65
AGF (2:0) 5.8% 6.5% 7.7% 0.84× 15.51
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.4% 48.1% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 26.1% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to concede 73.8% 73.1% 73.6% 0.99× 1.37
Brøndby IF clean sheet 26.2% 26.9% 26.4% 1.02× 3.72
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF clean sheet in 1st half 58.5% 62.4% 1.60
Brøndby IF to concede in 1st half 41.5% 37.6% 2.66
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF under 6.5 corners 81.2% 80.9% 1.24
Brøndby IF over 2.5 corners 75.7% 76.5% 1.31
Brøndby IF under 5.5 corners 70.7% 71.9% 1.39
Brøndby IF over 3.5 corners 59.3% 57.5% 1.74
Brøndby IF under 4.5 corners 56.9% 57.5% 1.74
Brøndby IF over 4.5 corners 43.1% 42.5% 2.35
Brøndby IF under 3.5 corners 40.7% 42.5% 2.35
Brøndby IF over 5.5 corners 29.3% 28.1% 3.56
Brøndby IF under 2.5 corners 24.3% 23.5% 4.26
Brøndby IF over 6.5 corners 18.8% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF under 3.5 goals 94.9% 92.3% 91.2% 1.01× 1.08
Brøndby IF under 2.5 goals 83.9% 82.1% 78.2% 1.05× 1.22
Brøndby IF over 0.5 goals 74.7% 74.2% 80.7% 0.92× 1.35
Brøndby IF under 1.5 goals 60.0% 63.5% 52.6% 1.21× 1.58
Brøndby IF over 1.5 goals 40.0% 36.5% 47.4% 0.77× 2.74
Brøndby IF under 0.5 goals 25.3% 25.8% 19.3% 1.34× 3.87
Brøndby IF over 2.5 goals 16.1% 17.9% 21.8% 0.82× 5.59
Brøndby IF over 3.5 goals 5.1% 7.7% 8.8% 0.88× 12.93
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF under 1.5 in 1st half 88.1% 89.8% 1.11
Brøndby IF under 0.5 in 1st half 55.3% 58.0% 1.72
Brøndby IF over 0.5 in 1st half 44.7% 42.0% 2.38
Brøndby IF over 1.5 in 1st half 11.9% 10.2% 9.78
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF (home no bet) 56.5% 56.7% 54.2% 1.05× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 43.5% 43.3% 45.8% 0.95× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF even goals 53.2% 50.6% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Brøndby IF odd goals 46.8% 49.4% 49.6% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 32.5% 32.3% 3.10
HT 1-0 19.0% 18.8% 5.33
HT 0-1 17.2% 18.7% 5.34
HT 1-1 10.4% 10.9% 9.17
HT 2-0 5.7% 7.1% 14.07
HT 0-2 4.6% 2.3% 43.27
Any other HT score 3.9% 2.3% 43.32
HT 2-1 3.0% 2.3% 43.39
HT 1-2 2.7% 2.3% 43.41
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.3% 43.55
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF at HT / Brøndby IF at FT 21.7% 21.8% 4.59
AGF at HT / AGF at FT 19.2% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.6% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / AGF at FT 13.8% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Brøndby IF at FT 13.3% 12.7% 7.89
Brøndby IF at HT / Draw at FT 5.7% 6.0% 16.72
AGF at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.5% 28.77
Brøndby IF at HT / AGF at FT 2.5% 3.5% 28.86
AGF at HT / Brøndby IF at FT 2.2% 3.5% 28.88
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to score last 46.9% 46.7% 2.14
AGF to score last 45.7% 46.6% 2.15
No goal scored 7.4% 7.5% 13.31
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.6% 92.6% 1.08
Brøndby IF to lead by 1 at any time 54.4% 50.7% 1.97
AGF to lead by 1 at any time 52.9% 50.7% 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 45.7% 44.0% 2.27
Brøndby IF to lead by 2 at any time 23.6% 19.6% 5.09
AGF to lead by 2 at any time 22.3% 19.6% 5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 15.7% 14.9% 6.72
Brøndby IF to lead by 3 at any time 8.2% 6.7% 15.03
AGF to lead by 3 at any time 7.5% 6.6% 15.06
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF most corners 53.6% 52.0% 1.93
Brøndby IF most corners 35.6% 39.3% 2.54
Corners level 10.8% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.8% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.7% 78.6% 73.8% 1.06× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.1% 72.4% 79.1% 0.92× 1.38
2-5 goals 70.4% 72.4% 72.2% 1.00× 1.38
1-3 goals 63.7% 63.4% 56.2% 1.13× 1.58
2-4 goals 62.3% 63.4% 60.6% 1.05× 1.58
3-6 goals 48.9% 48.7% 57.0% 0.85× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.3% 48.7% 43.0% 1.13× 2.06
3-5 goals 45.2% 48.7% 50.1% 0.97× 2.06
1-2 goals 41.6% 43.6% 35.5% 1.23× 2.30
3-4 goals 37.1% 39.1% 38.6% 1.02× 2.55
4-6 goals 26.8% 30.2% 36.4% 0.83× 3.31
4-5 goals 23.1% 24.5% 29.5% 0.83× 4.09
5-6 goals 11.8% 14.9% 18.7% 0.79× 6.72
7+ goals 2.1% 2.5% 1.9% 1.32× 39.24
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF never behind 39.7% 44.9% 2.23
AGF never behind 38.2% 44.8% 2.23
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.2% 50.8% 47.1% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.8% 49.2% 52.9% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.5% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 44.5% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.6% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.4% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 94.2% 92.3% 91.2% 1.01× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 92.6% 92.3% 93.9% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 86.1% 87.6% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 76.2% 77.3% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 71.1% 72.5% 62.0% 1.17× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 51.0% 52.5% 58.7% 0.89× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 49.0% 47.5% 41.3% 1.15× 2.10
Over 3.5 goals 28.9% 27.5% 38.0% 0.72× 3.64
Under 1.5 goals 23.8% 22.7% 19.3% 1.18× 4.41
Over 4.5 goals 13.9% 12.4% 20.4% 0.61× 8.09
Under 0.5 goals 7.4% 7.7% 6.1% 1.28× 12.92
Over 5.5 goals 5.8% 7.7% 8.8% 0.88× 12.93
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.8% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 93.7% 92.5% 90.0% 1.03× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 83.6% 81.1% 75.3% 1.08× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 68.2% 67.4% 75.3% 0.90× 1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 62.9% 62.1% 52.1% 1.19× 1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 37.1% 37.9% 47.9% 0.79× 2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 31.8% 32.6% 24.7% 1.32× 3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 16.4% 18.9% 24.7% 0.77× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 6.3% 7.5% 10.0% 0.76× 13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.2% 2.8% 2.1% 1.34× 36.16
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 89.5% 89.0% 1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half 68.8% 69.0% 1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half 67.5% 69.0% 1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half 32.5% 31.0% 3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half 31.2% 31.0% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 10.5% 11.0% 9.13
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 79.3% 79.8% 1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 78.7% 79.8% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 52.6% 53.2% 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 47.4% 46.8% 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 21.3% 20.2% 4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 20.7% 20.2% 4.95
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF not to score in both halves 77.1% 78.2% 1.28
Brøndby IF not to score in both halves 75.7% 78.2% 1.28
Brøndby IF to score in both halves 24.3% 21.8% 4.58
AGF to score in both halves 22.9% 21.8% 4.59
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 55.9% 58.4% 60.3% 0.97× 1.71
Only Brøndby IF scores 18.8% 16.1% 20.7% 0.78× 6.22
Only AGF scores 17.9% 16.1% 13.5% 1.19× 6.22
Neither team scores 7.4% 7.2% 6.1% 1.19× 13.91
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.2% 25.0% 22.3% 1.12× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 22.1% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 16.4% 17.4% 13.5% 1.29× 5.74
Exactly 4 goals 15.0% 12.1% 17.9% 0.68× 8.27
Exactly 5 goals 8.1% 7.6% 11.8% 0.65× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 7.4% 7.6% 6.1% 1.26× 13.09
6 or more goals 5.8% 7.6% 8.8% 0.87× 13.09
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 47.4% 45.0% 2.22
1 goal in 2nd half 31.9% 33.4% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 20.7% 23.0% 4.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF not to win both halves 91.3% 93.9% 1.07
Brøndby IF not to win both halves 90.5% 93.9% 1.07
Brøndby IF to win both halves 9.5% 6.1% 16.38
AGF to win both halves 8.7% 6.1% 16.44
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to win either half 51.8% 54.9% 1.82
AGF to win either half 50.2% 54.9% 1.82
AGF to win neither half 49.8% 45.1% 2.22
Brøndby IF to win neither half 48.2% 45.1% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
AGF not to win to nil 82.1% 83.0% 86.5% 0.96× 1.21
Brøndby IF not to win to nil 81.2% 83.0% 79.3% 1.05× 1.21
Brøndby IF to win to nil 18.8% 17.0% 20.7% 0.82× 5.89
AGF to win to nil 17.9% 17.0% 13.5% 1.26× 5.89
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.3% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
Brøndby IF by 1 19.7% 16.9% 24.0% 0.71× 5.91
AGF by 1 19.2% 16.9% 14.6% 1.16× 5.91
Brøndby IF by 2 11.1% 11.8% 13.2% 0.89× 8.48
AGF by 2 10.5% 11.8% 8.3% 1.43× 8.48
Brøndby IF by 3+ 6.3% 7.3% 8.3% 0.88× 13.79
AGF by 3+ 5.8% 7.3% 7.7% 0.94× 13.79
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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