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Brøndby IF v Lyngby Boldklub — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Brøndby IF win
58.4%
model 58.7%
Draw
22.9%
model 24.2%
Lyngby Boldklub win
18.7%
model 17.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-0 11.8%
  2. 1-1 11.5%
  3. 2-0 11.3%
  4. 2-1 9.8%
  5. 0-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.549.8% Under 2.550.2%
BTTS yes49.1% BTTS no50.9%
Brøndby IF 1+83.5% Brøndby IF 2+53.7%
Lyngby Boldklub 1+58.0% Lyngby Boldklub 2+21.5%

Expected goals 1.80 – 0.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Brøndby IF carry the stronger rating, 1566 Elo against 1376.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Brøndby IF have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 22.9% for the draw and 18.7% for Lyngby Boldklub. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.80 for Brøndby IF and 0.87 for Lyngby Boldklub.

Why Brøndby IF

Brøndby IF carry the stronger rating, 1566 Elo against 1376. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Lyngby Boldklub can win

Nothing in the data singles out Lyngby Boldklub.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Brøndby IF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Lyngby Boldklub, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Brøndby IF: 56% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lyngby Boldklub: 53% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Brøndby IF are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.8%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.69–0.67 1-0 15% 42% 40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to win 61.5% 58.1% 44.9% 1.29× 1.72
Draw 24.9% 24.5% 25.3% 0.97× 4.09
Lyngby Boldklub to win 13.6% 13.3% 30.0% 0.44× 7.50
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF & not both score 41.3% 40.1% 20.7% 1.94× 2.50
Brøndby IF & both teams score 20.3% 21.9% 24.5% 0.89× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 14.7% 13.3% 19.6% 0.68× 7.54
Draw & not both score 10.1% 13.3% 6.1% 2.19× 7.55
Lyngby Boldklub & not both score 8.2% 8.4% 13.5% 0.62× 11.93
Lyngby Boldklub & both teams score 5.3% 8.4% 16.8% 0.50× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF & over 1.5 46.2% 45.2% 35.5% 1.27× 2.21
Brøndby IF & under 3.5 45.6% 45.2% 27.3% 1.66× 2.21
Brøndby IF & over 2.5 32.7% 30.9% 29.5% 1.05× 3.24
Brøndby IF & under 2.5 28.9% 26.0% 15.7% 1.66× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 21.5% 21.7% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 21.5% 21.7% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Brøndby IF & over 3.5 16.0% 18.0% 17.9% 1.00× 5.56
Brøndby IF & under 1.5 15.3% 18.0% 9.6% 1.87× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 14.7% 12.9% 19.6% 0.66× 7.77
Lyngby Boldklub & under 3.5 11.7% 12.9% 18.5% 0.70× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 10.1% 12.9% 6.1% 2.12× 7.77
Lyngby Boldklub & over 1.5 8.0% 7.9% 26.2% 0.30× 12.70
Lyngby Boldklub & under 2.5 7.7% 7.9% 9.4% 0.84× 12.70
Lyngby Boldklub & under 1.5 5.6% 7.9% 4.1% 1.91× 12.70
Lyngby Boldklub & over 2.5 5.9% 7.9% 20.9% 0.38× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 3.4% 4.8% 8.8% 0.54× 20.94
Draw & over 3.5 3.4% 4.8% 8.8% 0.54× 20.94
Lyngby Boldklub & over 3.5 1.9% 4.8% 11.8% 0.40× 20.95
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (1UP) 71.3% 75.7% 1.32
Lyngby Boldklub (1UP) 27.8% 26.9% 3.72
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (2UP) 61.5% 67.6% 1.48
Lyngby Boldklub (2UP) 13.6% 13.5% 7.41
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to win 2nd half 48.5% 45.6% 2.19
2nd half drawn 36.9% 36.1% 2.77
Lyngby Boldklub to win 2nd half 14.7% 12.6% 7.94
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (+0.5) 86.4% 88.5% 70.0% 1.26× 1.13
Lyngby Boldklub (+2.5) 84.1% 82.4% 91.7% 0.90× 1.21
Lyngby Boldklub (+1.5) 64.7% 62.9% 78.8% 0.80× 1.59
Brøndby IF (-0.5) 61.5% 62.9% 44.9% 1.40× 1.59
Lyngby Boldklub (+0.5) 38.5% 37.1% 55.1% 0.67× 2.70
Brøndby IF (-1.5) 35.3% 37.1% 21.2% 1.75× 2.70
Brøndby IF (-2.5) 15.9% 17.6% 8.3% 2.13× 5.69
Lyngby Boldklub (-0.5) 13.6% 11.5% 30.0% 0.38× 8.70
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub to concede 81.6% 81.3% 80.7% 1.01× 1.23
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet 18.4% 18.7% 19.3% 0.97× 5.35
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet in 1st half 48.3% 50.7% 1.97
Lyngby Boldklub to concede in 1st half 51.7% 49.3% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub under 6.5 corners 80.6% 81.5% 1.23
Lyngby Boldklub over 2.5 corners 76.2% 75.9% 1.32
Lyngby Boldklub under 5.5 corners 70.0% 67.5% 1.48
Lyngby Boldklub over 3.5 corners 60.0% 61.8% 1.62
Lyngby Boldklub under 4.5 corners 56.1% 57.1% 1.75
Lyngby Boldklub over 4.5 corners 43.9% 42.9% 2.33
Lyngby Boldklub under 3.5 corners 40.0% 38.2% 2.62
Lyngby Boldklub over 5.5 corners 30.0% 32.5% 3.08
Lyngby Boldklub under 2.5 corners 23.8% 24.1% 4.16
Lyngby Boldklub over 6.5 corners 19.4% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub under 3.5 goals 99.5% 97.6% 93.7% 1.04× 1.03
Lyngby Boldklub under 2.5 goals 97.0% 97.5% 84.0% 1.16× 1.03
Lyngby Boldklub under 1.5 goals 85.6% 87.9% 57.9% 1.52× 1.14
Lyngby Boldklub under 0.5 goals 51.4% 53.7% 26.4% 2.03× 1.86
Lyngby Boldklub over 0.5 goals 48.6% 46.3% 73.6% 0.63× 2.16
Lyngby Boldklub over 1.5 goals 14.4% 12.1% 42.1% 0.29× 8.24
Lyngby Boldklub over 2.5 goals 3.0% 2.5% 16.0% 0.15× 40.72
Lyngby Boldklub over 3.5 goals 0.5% 2.4% 6.3% 0.39× 40.86
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub under 1.5 in 1st half 97.0% 95.8% 1.04
Lyngby Boldklub under 0.5 in 1st half 76.6% 75.7% 1.32
Lyngby Boldklub over 0.5 in 1st half 23.4% 24.3% 4.11
Lyngby Boldklub over 1.5 in 1st half 3.0% 4.2% 23.96
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (away no bet) 71.2% 68.5% 63.9% 1.07× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 28.8% 31.5% 36.1% 0.87× 3.18
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub even goals 63.2% 59.1% 57.6% 1.03× 1.69
Lyngby Boldklub odd goals 36.8% 40.9% 42.4% 0.96× 2.44
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.6% 87.8% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.4% 12.2% 8.22
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 55.8% 60.0% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 44.2% 40.0% 2.50
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 52.1% 51.3% 1.95
Brøndby IF to score 2+ in a row 45.2% 45.7% 2.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row 20.6% 19.5% 5.13
Brøndby IF to score 3+ in a row 19.1% 16.4% 6.11
Lyngby Boldklub to score 2+ in a row 9.7% 5.7% 17.50
Lyngby Boldklub to score 3+ in a row 1.5% 2.5% 39.67
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF corners (+3.5) 87.7% 84.5% 1.18
Brøndby IF corners (+2.5) 81.4% 79.7% 1.25
Lyngby Boldklub corners (+3.5) 77.4% 74.9% 1.34
Brøndby IF corners (+1.5) 73.2% 70.7% 1.41
Lyngby Boldklub corners (+2.5) 68.6% 65.8% 1.52
Lyngby Boldklub corners (+1.5) 58.5% 57.1% 1.75
Brøndby IF corners (-1.5) 41.5% 42.9% 2.33
Brøndby IF corners (-2.5) 31.4% 34.2% 2.92
Lyngby Boldklub corners (-1.5) 26.8% 29.3% 3.42
Brøndby IF corners (-3.5) 22.6% 25.1% 3.98
Lyngby Boldklub corners (-2.5) 18.6% 20.3% 4.93
Lyngby Boldklub corners (-3.5) 12.3% 15.5% 6.46
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 41.3% 38.6% 2.59
9-11 corners 29.7% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 29.0% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 78.6% 76.5% 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 71.0% 72.6% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 69.3% 67.7% 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 62.1% 63.4% 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 58.7% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 52.0% 53.3% 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 48.0% 46.7% 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 41.3% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 37.9% 36.6% 2.73
Under 7.5 corners 30.7% 32.3% 3.10
Over 11.5 corners 29.0% 27.4% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 21.4% 23.5% 4.26
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 15.3% 13.7% 9.6% 1.43× 7.28
2-0 13.6% 11.5% 6.3% 1.81× 8.73
1-1 11.3% 11.5% 11.0% 1.04× 8.73
0-0 10.1% 11.5% 6.1% 1.89× 8.73
2-1 9.0% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.48
3-0 7.7% 7.4% 1.9% 3.85× 13.48
0-1 5.6% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.48
3-1 5.1% 7.4% 5.2% 1.42× 13.48
0-2 2.1% 1.7% 5.5% 0.31× 58.48
0-3 0.5% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.49
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.49
1-2 3.5% 1.7% 7.7% 0.22× 58.47
1-3 0.8% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.49
1-4 0.1% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.49
2-2 3.0% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.47
2-3 0.7% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.49
2-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.49
3-2 1.7% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.48
3-3 0.4% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.49
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
4-0 3.2% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.47
4-1 2.2% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.48
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.49
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.49
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
Any other score 3.0% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF leading at HT (DNB) 77.9% 78.1% 1.28
Lyngby Boldklub leading at HT (DNB) 22.1% 21.9% 4.57
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or draw (1X) 86.4% 86.7% 70.0% 1.24× 1.15
Brøndby IF or Lyngby Boldklub (12) 75.1% 75.5% 74.7% 1.01× 1.32
Lyngby Boldklub or draw (X2) 38.5% 41.9% 55.1% 0.76× 2.39
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or draw at HT 87.8% 88.2% 1.13
Lyngby Boldklub or draw at HT 57.0% 56.9% 1.76
Brøndby IF or Lyngby Boldklub at HT 55.2% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or draw (1UP) 86.4% 91.6% 1.09
Lyngby Boldklub or draw (1UP) 38.5% 42.5% 2.35
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or draw in 2nd half 85.3% 87.4% 1.14
Brøndby IF or Lyngby Boldklub in 2nd half 63.1% 63.9% 1.56
Lyngby Boldklub or draw in 2nd half 51.5% 54.4% 1.84
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.4% 61.7% 1.62
Neither half drawn 35.6% 38.3% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (DNB) 81.9% 80.5% 59.9% 1.34× 1.24
Lyngby Boldklub (DNB) 18.1% 19.5% 40.1% 0.49× 5.12
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to score first 64.5% 64.7% 1.55
Lyngby Boldklub to score first 25.3% 28.0% 3.58
No goal scored 10.1% 9.5% 10.53
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 59.7% 54.9% 39.7% 1.38× 1.82
Both teams to score 40.3% 45.1% 60.3% 0.75× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 46.7% 44.3% 30.6% 1.45× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 29.0% 33.6% 49.6% 0.68× 2.98
Not both score & over 2.5 13.0% 12.3% 9.4% 1.32× 8.11
Both score & under 2.5 11.3% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.11
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 92.7% 89.1% 80.4% 1.11× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 7.3% 10.9% 19.6% 0.56× 9.19
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 79.4% 75.6% 1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half 20.6% 24.4% 4.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 69.7% 62.7% 1.60
Both score 2nd half only 18.1% 15.7% 6.38
Both score 1st half only 9.7% 6.8% 14.61
Both score in both halves 2.5% 4.9% 20.22
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 87.8% 86.1% 1.16
Both teams to score by HT 12.2% 13.9% 7.21
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 52.8% 53.4% 1.87
A goal in each half 47.2% 46.6% 2.15
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.7% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
0-1 goals 31.1% 30.7% 19.3% 1.59× 3.25
4-6 goals 20.2% 22.8% 36.4% 0.63× 4.39
7+ goals 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 0.95× 54.70
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub to score exactly 0 51.4% 47.3% 26.4% 1.79× 2.12
Lyngby Boldklub to score exactly 1 34.2% 33.8% 31.7% 1.07× 2.96
Lyngby Boldklub to score exactly 2 11.4% 12.8% 26.4% 0.48× 7.81
Lyngby Boldklub to score 3+ 3.0% 4.5% 16.0% 0.28× 22.10
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to score exactly 1 31.1% 32.6% 33.6% 0.97× 3.06
Brøndby IF to score exactly 2 26.4% 26.5% 25.9% 1.02× 3.77
Brøndby IF to score 3+ 24.1% 23.3% 21.8% 1.07× 4.30
Brøndby IF to score exactly 0 18.4% 18.9% 19.3% 0.98× 5.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 44.8% 43.2% 2.32
Brøndby IF leading at HT 43.0% 43.1% 2.32
Lyngby Boldklub leading at HT 12.2% 11.8% 8.50
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF -1: 2 38.5% 37.3% 2.68
Brøndby IF -1: 1 35.3% 37.2% 2.69
Brøndby IF -1: X 26.2% 26.5% 3.77
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub (0:1) 38.5% 37.3% 55.1% 0.68× 2.68
Brøndby IF (0:1) 35.3% 37.2% 21.2% 1.75× 2.69
Draw (0:1) 26.2% 27.0% 24.0% 1.13× 3.71
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub (0:2) 64.7% 67.4% 78.8% 0.86× 1.48
Draw (0:2) 19.4% 15.3% 13.2% 1.16× 6.54
Brøndby IF (0:2) 15.9% 15.3% 8.3% 1.85× 6.55
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub (0:3) 84.1% 85.2% 91.7% 0.93× 1.17
Draw (0:3) 10.1% 10.0% 3.6% 2.78× 10.03
Brøndby IF (0:3) 5.8% 5.8% 5.0% 1.17× 17.19
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub (0:4) 94.2% 94.7% 95.0% 1.00× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 4.0% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.20
Brøndby IF (0:4) 1.8% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.47
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (1:0) 86.4% 86.3% 70.0% 1.23× 1.16
Draw (1:0) 9.9% 6.9% 14.6% 0.48× 14.40
Lyngby Boldklub (1:0) 3.7% 3.2% 15.7% 0.20× 31.51
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (2:0) 96.3% 96.9% 84.3% 1.15× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 3.0% 2.3% 8.3% 0.27× 44.18
Lyngby Boldklub (2:0) 0.7% 2.3% 7.7% 0.29× 44.33
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 44.8% 49.9% 2.00
Halves equal 28.4% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.9% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF clean sheet 51.4% 53.1% 26.4% 2.01× 1.88
Brøndby IF to concede 48.6% 46.9% 73.6% 0.64× 2.13
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF clean sheet in 1st half 76.6% 77.6% 1.29
Brøndby IF to concede in 1st half 23.4% 22.4% 4.47
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF over 2.5 corners 83.4% 81.0% 1.24
Brøndby IF under 6.5 corners 71.0% 71.9% 1.39
Brøndby IF over 3.5 corners 70.1% 71.9% 1.39
Brøndby IF under 5.5 corners 58.9% 57.5% 1.74
Brøndby IF over 4.5 corners 55.3% 57.5% 1.74
Brøndby IF under 4.5 corners 44.7% 42.5% 2.35
Brøndby IF over 5.5 corners 41.1% 42.5% 2.35
Brøndby IF under 3.5 corners 29.9% 28.1% 3.56
Brøndby IF over 6.5 corners 29.0% 28.1% 3.56
Brøndby IF under 2.5 corners 16.6% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF under 3.5 goals 90.8% 92.2% 91.2% 1.01× 1.08
Brøndby IF over 0.5 goals 81.6% 82.1% 80.7% 1.02× 1.22
Brøndby IF under 2.5 goals 75.9% 77.7% 78.2% 0.99× 1.29
Brøndby IF over 1.5 goals 50.5% 53.2% 47.4% 1.12× 1.88
Brøndby IF under 1.5 goals 49.5% 46.8% 52.6% 0.89× 2.14
Brøndby IF over 2.5 goals 24.1% 22.3% 21.8% 1.02× 4.49
Brøndby IF under 0.5 goals 18.4% 17.9% 19.3% 0.93× 5.59
Brøndby IF over 3.5 goals 9.2% 7.8% 8.8% 0.88× 12.89
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF under 1.5 in 1st half 83.4% 84.3% 1.19
Brøndby IF under 0.5 in 1st half 48.3% 50.9% 1.97
Brøndby IF over 0.5 in 1st half 51.7% 49.1% 2.04
Brøndby IF over 1.5 in 1st half 16.6% 15.7% 6.38
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 64.7% 60.2% 45.8% 1.32× 1.66
Lyngby Boldklub (home no bet) 35.3% 39.8% 54.2% 0.73× 2.52
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF even goals 51.7% 50.6% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Brøndby IF odd goals 48.3% 49.4% 49.6% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 37.1% 38.6% 2.59
HT 1-0 26.8% 28.8% 3.47
HT 2-0 9.8% 7.1% 14.01
HT 0-1 9.7% 7.1% 14.01
HT 1-1 7.3% 7.1% 14.05
Any other HT score 4.0% 2.3% 43.32
HT 2-1 2.6% 2.3% 43.42
HT 0-2 1.3% 2.3% 43.51
HT 1-2 1.0% 2.3% 43.54
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.3% 43.59
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF at HT / Brøndby IF at FT 38.1% 41.0% 2.44
Draw at HT / Brøndby IF at FT 21.3% 21.8% 4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.2% 16.8% 5.97
Lyngby Boldklub at HT / Lyngby Boldklub at FT 6.5% 6.0% 16.69
Draw at HT / Lyngby Boldklub at FT 6.2% 6.0% 16.70
Brøndby IF at HT / Draw at FT 4.1% 3.5% 28.80
Lyngby Boldklub at HT / Draw at FT 3.6% 3.5% 28.82
Lyngby Boldklub at HT / Brøndby IF at FT 2.1% 3.5% 28.88
Brøndby IF at HT / Lyngby Boldklub at FT 0.8% 3.5% 28.93
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to score last 64.7% 62.3% 1.61
Lyngby Boldklub to score last 25.2% 26.7% 3.74
No goal scored 10.1% 8.9% 11.26
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 89.9% 91.0% 1.10
Brøndby IF to lead by 1 at any time 71.3% 74.1% 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 46.1% 44.0% 2.27
Brøndby IF to lead by 2 at any time 40.0% 39.2% 2.55
Lyngby Boldklub to lead by 1 at any time 27.8% 25.5% 3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 18.8% 14.9% 6.69
Brøndby IF to lead by 3 at any time 17.7% 14.9% 6.70
Lyngby Boldklub to lead by 2 at any time 6.2% 6.6% 15.12
Lyngby Boldklub to lead by 3 at any time 1.1% 1.6% 63.27
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF most corners 52.5% 51.9% 1.93
Lyngby Boldklub most corners 36.7% 39.3% 2.54
Corners level 10.8% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.5% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.8% 83.5% 73.8% 1.13× 1.20
1-3 goals 68.6% 69.0% 56.2% 1.23× 1.45
2-6 goals 67.9% 69.0% 79.1% 0.87× 1.45
2-5 goals 65.6% 68.9% 72.2% 0.96× 1.45
2-4 goals 59.9% 59.2% 60.6% 0.98× 1.69
1-2 goals 47.9% 48.7% 35.5% 1.37× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.7% 48.7% 43.0% 1.13× 2.06
3-6 goals 40.9% 43.6% 57.0% 0.76× 2.30
3-5 goals 38.6% 39.2% 50.1% 0.78× 2.55
3-4 goals 32.9% 35.4% 38.6% 0.92× 2.83
4-6 goals 20.2% 24.5% 36.4% 0.67× 4.09
4-5 goals 18.0% 18.6% 29.5% 0.63× 5.37
5-6 goals 8.0% 8.7% 18.7% 0.47× 11.44
7+ goals 1.1% 2.5% 1.9% 1.32× 39.29
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF never behind 62.1% 67.5% 1.48
Lyngby Boldklub never behind 18.5% 18.8% 5.33
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.2% 50.8% 47.1% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.8% 49.2% 52.9% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.1% 57.5% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 42.9% 42.5% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.7% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.3% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.7% 95.5% 91.2% 1.05× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 90.9% 92.3% 79.6% 1.16× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 89.9% 87.7% 93.9% 0.93× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 78.7% 77.4% 62.0% 1.25× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 68.9% 66.2% 80.7% 0.82× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 58.1% 58.8% 41.3% 1.42× 1.70
Over 2.5 goals 42.0% 41.2% 58.7% 0.70× 2.43
Under 1.5 goals 31.1% 33.8% 19.3% 1.75× 2.96
Over 3.5 goals 21.3% 22.6% 38.0% 0.60× 4.42
Under 0.5 goals 10.1% 12.3% 6.1% 2.04× 8.10
Over 4.5 goals 9.1% 7.7% 20.4% 0.38× 12.92
Over 5.5 goals 3.3% 4.5% 8.8% 0.51× 22.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.9% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.5% 97.2% 90.0% 1.08× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 89.7% 86.8% 75.3% 1.15× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 73.2% 72.6% 52.1% 1.39× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 57.5% 55.4% 75.3% 0.74× 1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 42.5% 44.6% 24.7% 1.80× 2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 26.8% 27.4% 47.9% 0.57× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 10.3% 13.2% 24.7% 0.54× 7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.5% 2.8% 10.0% 0.28× 36.12
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.1% 2.8% 2.1% 1.33× 36.19
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.1% 92.7% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 73.7% 71.2% 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 62.9% 63.7% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 37.1% 36.3% 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 26.3% 28.8% 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.9% 7.3% 13.64
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 84.2% 82.9% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 74.2% 77.8% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 60.2% 61.6% 1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 39.8% 38.4% 2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 25.8% 22.2% 4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 15.8% 17.1% 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub not to score in both halves 92.3% 90.3% 1.11
Brøndby IF not to score in both halves 68.0% 70.5% 1.42
Brøndby IF to score in both halves 32.0% 29.5% 3.39
Lyngby Boldklub to score in both halves 7.7% 9.7% 10.27
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Only Brøndby IF scores 41.3% 46.6% 20.7% 2.25× 2.15
Both teams score 40.3% 46.6% 60.3% 0.77× 2.15
Neither team scores 10.1% 10.9% 6.1% 1.80× 9.16
Only Lyngby Boldklub scores 8.2% 7.2% 13.5% 0.53× 13.90
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.0% 25.0% 22.3% 1.12× 4.01
Exactly 1 goals 20.9% 22.6% 13.5% 1.67× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 20.7% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 12.2% 12.1% 17.9% 0.67× 8.28
Exactly 0 goals 10.1% 12.1% 6.1% 1.99× 8.28
Exactly 5 goals 5.8% 7.6% 11.8% 0.64× 13.09
6 or more goals 3.3% 4.4% 8.8% 0.50× 22.67
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 39.8% 40.0% 2.50
1 goal in 2nd half 34.4% 33.5% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 25.8% 29.7% 3.36
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub not to win both halves 98.2% 97.3% 1.03
Brøndby IF not to win both halves 79.0% 75.4% 1.33
Brøndby IF to win both halves 21.0% 24.6% 4.07
Lyngby Boldklub to win both halves 1.8% 2.7% 36.50
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub to win neither half 74.9% 73.1% 1.37
Brøndby IF to win either half 70.5% 72.8% 1.37
Brøndby IF to win neither half 29.5% 27.2% 3.68
Lyngby Boldklub to win either half 25.1% 26.9% 3.72
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lyngby Boldklub not to win to nil 91.8% 92.0% 86.5% 1.06× 1.09
Brøndby IF not to win to nil 58.7% 58.9% 79.3% 0.74× 1.70
Brøndby IF to win to nil 41.3% 41.1% 20.7% 1.99× 2.43
Lyngby Boldklub to win to nil 8.2% 8.0% 13.5% 0.59× 12.55
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF by 1 26.2% 27.8% 24.0% 1.16× 3.59
Draw 24.9% 24.2% 25.3% 0.95× 4.14
Brøndby IF by 2 19.4% 16.9% 13.2% 1.28× 5.91
Brøndby IF by 3+ 15.9% 16.9% 8.3% 2.05× 5.91
Lyngby Boldklub by 1 9.9% 7.3% 14.6% 0.50× 13.77
Lyngby Boldklub by 2 3.0% 2.7% 8.3% 0.33× 36.99
Lyngby Boldklub by 3+ 0.7% 2.7% 7.7% 0.35× 37.06
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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