Burnley v Liverpool — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 26 December 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
9 – 19
On target
0 – 10
Shots in box
5 – 12
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.16 – 0.17
Goals − xG
-0.97 – +0.32
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Burnley 0.97 xGLiverpool 1.68 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Burnley attacking right
Liverpool attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' |
 Liverpool |
Harvey Elliott | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Ryan Gravenberch |
| 4' |
 Burnley |
Zeki Amdouni | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 5' |
Liverpool |
Darwin Núñez | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Cody Gakpo |
| 6' |
Liverpool |
Ryan Gravenberch | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 7' |
Liverpool |
Mohamed Salah | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Darwin Núñez |
| 9' |
Liverpool |
Cody Gakpo | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Trent Alexander-Arnold |
| 11' |
Burnley |
Josh Brownhill | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Lyle Foster |
| 19' |
Liverpool |
Cody Gakpo | 0.14 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 19' |
Liverpool |
Harvey Elliott | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Darwin Núñez |
| 22' |
Liverpool |
Darwin Núñez | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Trent Alexander-Arnold |
| 27' |
Liverpool |
Cody Gakpo | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 33' |
Liverpool |
Mohamed Salah | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Shot On Post | Cody Gakpo |
| 39' |
Liverpool |
Wataru Endo | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Darwin Núñez |
| 40' |
Liverpool |
Jarell Quansah | 0.04 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Harvey Elliott |
| 40' |
Liverpool |
Joseph Gomez | 0.02 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 41' |
Liverpool |
Mohamed Salah | 0.11 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Harvey Elliott |
| 58' |
Burnley |
Dara O'Shea | 0.01 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Mike Trésor |
| 59' |
Burnley |
Louis Beyer | 0.15 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Dara O'Shea |
| 65' |
Burnley |
Sander Berge | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 67' |
Burnley |
Johann Berg Gudmundsson | 0.35 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Wilson Odobert |
| 78' |
Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Sander Berge |
| 81' |
Liverpool |
Dominik Szoboszlai | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Wataru Endo |
| 85' |
Liverpool |
Trent Alexander-Arnold | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Wataru Endo |
| 86' |
Burnley |
Jacob Bruun Larsen | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 87' |
Liverpool |
Luis Díaz | 0.30 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Trent Alexander-Arnold |
| 88' |
Liverpool |
Virgil van Dijk | 0.12 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Trent Alexander-Arnold |
| 89' |
Liverpool |
Diogo Jota | 0.22 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Luis Díaz |
| 92' |
Burnley |
Sander Berge | 0.29 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Charlie Taylor |
Players
Burnley
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sander Berge MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.37 |
| Louis Beyer DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Josh Brownhill MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Wilson Odobert MR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.35 | 0.70 |
| Dara O'Shea DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| James Trafford GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Vitinho DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 |
| Charlie Taylor DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Zeki Amdouni FW | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Lyle Foster FW | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Mike Trésor ML | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Johann Berg Gudmundsson Sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Nathan Redmond Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| Aaron Ramsey Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
Liverpool
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Salah FWR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| Virgil van Dijk DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Wataru Endo MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.52 |
| Jarell Quansah DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.02 | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| Joseph Gomez DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Alisson GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.52 |
| Darwin Núñez FWL | 86 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| Cody Gakpo FW | 69 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.61 |
| Harvey Elliott MC | 69 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 0.40 |
| Ryan Gravenberch MC | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 0.34 |
| Curtis Jones Sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Luis Díaz Sub | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.22 | 0.52 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai Sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Diogo Jota Sub | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.22 |