Burnley v Manchester United — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 23 September 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
12 – 11
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
8 – 8
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
0.14 – 0.03
Goals − xG
-0.94 – +0.16
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Burnley 0.94 xGManchester United 0.84 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Burnley attacking right
Manchester United attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0' |
 Manchester United |
Marcus Rashford | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Hannibal Mejbri |
| 6' |
Manchester United |
Bruno Fernandes | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Marcus Rashford |
| 9' |
 Burnley |
Zeki Amdouni | 0.05 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | — |
| 13' |
Burnley |
Josh Brownhill | 0.02 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 16' |
Burnley |
Zeki Amdouni | 0.39 | Open Play | Left Foot | Shot On Post | Aaron Ramsey |
| 29' |
Manchester United |
Rasmus Højlund | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Marcus Rashford |
| 31' |
Burnley |
Aaron Ramsey | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 34' |
Manchester United |
Bruno Fernandes | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Casemiro |
| 37' |
Burnley |
Luca Koleosho | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Josh Cullen |
| 41' |
Burnley |
Aaron Ramsey | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Zeki Amdouni |
| 44' |
Manchester United |
Bruno Fernandes | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Jonny Evans |
| 53' |
Burnley |
Luca Koleosho | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 62' |
Manchester United |
Scott McTominay | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 69' |
Manchester United |
Marcus Rashford | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Casemiro |
| 74' |
Burnley |
Jacob Bruun Larsen | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Ameen Al Dakhil |
| 81' |
Burnley |
Sander Berge | 0.09 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 83' |
Burnley |
Jay Rodriguez | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Josh Cullen |
| 84' |
Manchester United |
Marcus Rashford | 0.13 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Hannibal Mejbri |
| 85' |
Manchester United |
Casemiro | 0.03 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 87' |
Burnley |
Benson Manuel | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Josh Cullen |
| 89' |
Manchester United |
Rasmus Højlund | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Bruno Fernandes |
| 91' |
Manchester United |
Bruno Fernandes | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Diogo Dalot |
| 94' |
Burnley |
Benson Manuel | 0.04 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Mike Trésor |
Players
Burnley
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ameen Al Dakhil DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| Charlie Taylor DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Connor Roberts DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| Josh Cullen MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.68 |
| James Trafford GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| Louis Beyer DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Josh Brownhill MC | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| Zeki Amdouni FW | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.44 | 0.05 | 0.52 |
| Aaron Ramsey MC | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| Luca Koleosho FWL | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Mike Trésor Sub | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Johann Berg Gudmundsson FWR | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jay Rodriguez Sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Sander Berge Sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen Sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Benson Manuel Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
Manchester United
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes AMR | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.11 | 0.51 |
| Marcus Rashford AML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.46 |
| Rasmus Højlund FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Scott McTominay DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Casemiro DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.44 |
| Jonny Evans DC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| Hannibal Mejbri AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.60 |
| Diogo Dalot DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| André Onana GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Victor Lindelöf DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Sergio Reguilón DL | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Raphael Varane Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Sofyan Amrabat Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |