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Burnley v Sheffield United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 2 December 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

5–0
2.60 – 0.62 xG
Shots
19 – 6
On target
7 – 3
Shots in box
13 – 4
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.08 – 0.06
Goals − xG
+2.34 – -0.62
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.52.23.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jay Rodriguez 0' — goalJacob Bruun Larsen 28' — goalZeki Amdouni 72' — goalLuca Koleosho 74' — goalJosh Brownhill 79' — goal
Burnley 2.66 xGSheffield United 0.62 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Jay Rodriguez 0' — Goal (0.40 xG, Open Play)Jay Rodriguez 9' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 11' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Gustavo Hamer 12' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Oliver Norwood 19' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 28' — Goal (0.29 xG, Open Play)Cameron Archer 30' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 39' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 45' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Dara O'Shea 48' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Luca Koleosho 53' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Vitinho 62' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)William Osula 67' — Saved Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)William Osula 68' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Zeki Amdouni 72' — Goal (0.37 xG, Open Play)Luca Koleosho 73' — Shot On Post (0.68 xG, Open Play)Zeki Amdouni 73' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Luca Koleosho 74' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Michael Obafemi 77' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Josh Brownhill 79' — Goal (0.04 xG, Open Play)Vitinho 85' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)William Osula 86' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Johann Berg Gudmundsson 88' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Louis Beyer 88' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Josh Brownhill 93' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)
Burnley attacking right Sheffield United attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Burnley Jay Rodriguez 0.40 Open Play Goal Charlie Taylor
9' Burnley Jay Rodriguez 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Zeki Amdouni
11' Burnley Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Sander Berge
12' Sheffield United Gustavo Hamer 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Cameron Archer
19' Sheffield United Oliver Norwood 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
28' Burnley Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.29 Open Play Left Foot Goal Dara O'Shea
30' Sheffield United Cameron Archer 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot John Fleck
39' Burnley Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
45' Burnley Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Luca Koleosho
48' Burnley Dara O'Shea 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Jacob Bruun Larsen
53' Burnley Luca Koleosho 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jacob Bruun Larsen
62' Burnley Vitinho 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jacob Bruun Larsen
67' Sheffield United William Osula 0.38 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Gustavo Hamer
68' Sheffield United William Osula 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Bénie Traoré
72' Burnley Zeki Amdouni 0.37 Open Play Left Foot Goal Louis Beyer
73' Burnley Luca Koleosho 0.68 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post
73' Burnley Zeki Amdouni 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Johann Berg Gudmundsson
74' Burnley Luca Koleosho 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Goal Zeki Amdouni
77' Burnley Michael Obafemi 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Johann Berg Gudmundsson
79' Burnley Josh Brownhill 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Goal
85' Burnley Vitinho 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Johann Berg Gudmundsson
86' Sheffield United William Osula 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot James McAtee
88' Burnley Johann Berg Gudmundsson 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Nathan Redmond
88' Burnley Louis Beyer 0.05 From Corner Blocked Shot Johann Berg Gudmundsson
93' Burnley Josh Brownhill 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot Johann Berg Gudmundsson

Players

Burnley

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Vitinho DR 90 0 0 2 0 0.17 0.00 0.65
Louis Beyer DC 90 0 1 1 1 0.05 0.37 0.68
Josh Brownhill MC 90 1 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 0.59
Charlie Taylor DL 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.40 1.33
James Trafford GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Sander Berge MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.26
Dara O'Shea DC 88 0 1 1 1 0.02 0.29 0.43
Luca Koleosho ML 82 1 0 3 1 0.85 0.10 0.95
Jay Rodriguez FW 82 1 0 2 0 0.46 0.00 0.69
Zeki Amdouni FW 82 1 1 2 2 0.45 0.18 1.12
Jacob Bruun Larsen MR 70 1 0 4 3 0.45 0.15 0.65
Johann Berg Gudmundsson Sub 20 0 0 1 5 0.08 0.31 0.33
Michael Obafemi Sub 8 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.11
Mike Trésor Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Nathan Redmond Sub 8 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.17
Hjalmar Ekdal Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09

Sheffield United

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Gustavo Hamer AMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.38 0.40
Oliver Norwood MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.41
Jack Robinson DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Wes Foderingham GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Auston Trusty DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Anel Ahmedhodzic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jayden Bogle Sub 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cameron Archer AMC 51 0 0 1 1 0.11 0.01 0.12
John Fleck MC 51 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.12
Luke Thomas DML 51 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oliver McBurnie FW 45 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
William Osula Sub 39 0 0 3 0 0.49 0.00 0.43
James McAtee Sub 39 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.43
Bénie Traoré Sub 39 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.00
George Baldock DMR 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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