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Burnley v Wolverhampton Wanderers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 2 April 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

Shots
13 – 8
On target
6 – 2
Shots in box
8 – 8
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.02 – 0.56
Goals − xG
-0.13 – -0.01
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.60.91.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jacob Bruun Larsen 36' — goalRayan Ait Nouri 47' — goal
Burnley 1.13 xGWolverhampton Wanderers 1.01 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Wilson Odobert 6' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Vitinho 11' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Matt Doherty 22' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)João Gomes 26' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Vitinho 32' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 36' — Goal (0.29 xG, Open Play)Leon Chiwome 38' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Max Kilman 38' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Josh Cullen 45' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Rayan Ait Nouri 47' — Goal (0.26 xG, Set Piece)Dara O'Shea 48' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Rayan Ait Nouri 52' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)David Datro Fofana 56' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Maxime Estève 56' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 57' — Saved Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Wilson Odobert 58' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Wilson Odobert 74' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Pablo Sarabia 77' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mario Lemina 84' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Wilson Odobert 87' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Benson Manuel 88' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Burnley attacking right Wolverhampton Wanderers attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
6' Burnley Wilson Odobert 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Lyle Foster
11' Burnley Vitinho 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Josh Cullen
22' Wolverhampton Wanderers Matt Doherty 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Nélson Semedo
26' Wolverhampton Wanderers João Gomes 0.10 From Corner Missed Shot Matt Doherty
32' Burnley Vitinho 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lyle Foster
36' Burnley Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.29 Open Play Right Foot Goal Dara O'Shea
38' Wolverhampton Wanderers Leon Chiwome 0.10 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Max Kilman
38' Wolverhampton Wanderers Max Kilman 0.10 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
45' Burnley Josh Cullen 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Wilson Odobert
47' Wolverhampton Wanderers Rayan Ait Nouri 0.26 Set Piece Goal Pablo Sarabia
48' Burnley Dara O'Shea 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Jacob Bruun Larsen
52' Wolverhampton Wanderers Rayan Ait Nouri 0.29 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Max Kilman
56' Burnley David Datro Fofana 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
56' Burnley Maxime Estève 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
57' Burnley Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.41 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Vitinho
58' Burnley Wilson Odobert 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
74' Burnley Wilson Odobert 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Charlie Taylor
77' Wolverhampton Wanderers Pablo Sarabia 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
84' Wolverhampton Wanderers Mario Lemina 0.02 Open Play Missed Shot Rayan Ait Nouri
87' Burnley Wilson Odobert 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot David Datro Fofana
88' Burnley Benson Manuel 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Wilson Odobert

Players

Burnley

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Wilson Odobert FW 90 0 0 4 2 0.20 0.04 0.24
Vitinho DR 90 0 0 2 1 0.09 0.41 0.64
David Datro Fofana FW 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.08 0.22
Dara O'Shea DC 90 0 1 1 1 0.02 0.29 0.37
Josh Cullen MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 0.52
Maxime Estève DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.16
Sander Berge MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.93
Arijanet Muric GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.42
Lyle Foster MR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.12 0.55
Charlie Taylor DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.17
Jacob Bruun Larsen ML 77 1 0 2 1 0.70 0.02 0.76
Jay Rodriguez Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Benson Manuel Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02

Wolverhampton Wanderers

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Rayan Ait Nouri ML 90 1 0 2 1 0.55 0.02 0.31
Max Kilman DC 90 0 0 1 2 0.10 0.39 0.29
João Gomes MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.31
Matt Doherty MR 90 0 0 1 1 0.08 0.10 0.38
Mario Lemina MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.31
Nélson Semedo DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.37
José Sá GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Toti DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.29
Pablo Sarabia AMC 87 0 1 1 1 0.06 0.26 0.35
Leon Chiwome FW 80 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.00
Hugo Bueno DL 72 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Santiago Bueno Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Matheus Cunha Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Boubacar Traore Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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