betaider.com

Cagliari v AC Milan — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 9 November 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

3–3
1.90 – 2.78 xG
Shots
16 – 13
On target
6 – 6
Shots in box
11 – 10
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.22
Set-piece xG
0.45 – 0.00
Goals − xG
+1.09 – +0.17
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.62.43.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Nadir Zortea 1' — goalRafael Leão 14' — goalRafael Leão 39' — goalGabriele Zappa 52' — goalTammy Abraham 68' — goalGabriele Zappa 88' — goal
Cagliari 1.91 xGAC Milan 2.83 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Nadir Zortea 1' — Goal (0.06 xG, From Corner)Sebastiano Luperto 1' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Alessandro Deiola 5' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Christian Pulisic 6' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Rafael Leão 8' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Rafael Leão 14' — Goal (0.28 xG, Open Play)Sebastiano Luperto 16' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, From Corner)Nicolas Viola 18' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Youssouf Fofana 36' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nadir Zortea 38' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Rafael Leão 39' — Goal (0.57 xG, Open Play)Antoine Makoumbou 40' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 40' — Saved Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 44' — Missed Shot (0.50 xG, Open Play)Zito 44' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Samuel Chukwueze 46' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Zappa 46' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Nadir Zortea 51' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Zappa 52' — Goal (0.21 xG, Open Play)Francesco Camarda 56' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Antoine Makoumbou 57' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Tijjani Reijnders 64' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Christian Pulisic 68' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Tammy Abraham 68' — Goal (0.93 xG, Open Play)Christian Pulisic 75' — Missed Shot (0.49 xG, Open Play)Youssouf Fofana 75' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Zappa 88' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Leonardo Pavoletti 91' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Noah Okafor 92' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)
Cagliari attacking right AC Milan attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Cagliari Nadir Zortea 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Goal Sebastiano Luperto
1' Cagliari Sebastiano Luperto 0.10 From Corner Missed Shot Nicolas Viola
5' Cagliari Alessandro Deiola 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
6' AC Milan Christian Pulisic 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Samuel Chukwueze
8' AC Milan Rafael Leão 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Samuel Chukwueze
14' AC Milan Rafael Leão 0.28 Open Play Right Foot Goal Tijjani Reijnders
16' Cagliari Sebastiano Luperto 0.30 From Corner Saved Shot Nicolas Viola
18' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
36' AC Milan Youssouf Fofana 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Rafael Leão
38' Cagliari Nadir Zortea 0.05 Open Play Saved Shot Tommaso Augello
39' AC Milan Rafael Leão 0.57 Open Play Right Foot Goal Youssouf Fofana
40' Cagliari Antoine Makoumbou 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
40' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.41 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Nicolas Viola
44' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.50 Open Play Missed Shot Zito
44' Cagliari Zito 0.02 Open Play Missed Shot Nadir Zortea
46' AC Milan Samuel Chukwueze 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Francesco Camarda
46' Cagliari Gabriele Zappa 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Tommaso Augello
51' Cagliari Nadir Zortea 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
52' Cagliari Gabriele Zappa 0.21 Open Play Right Foot Goal
56' AC Milan Francesco Camarda 0.06 Open Play Saved Shot Christian Pulisic
57' Cagliari Antoine Makoumbou 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
64' AC Milan Tijjani Reijnders 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Theo Hernández
68' AC Milan Christian Pulisic 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ruben Loftus-Cheek
68' AC Milan Tammy Abraham 0.93 Open Play Right Foot Goal
75' AC Milan Christian Pulisic 0.49 Open Play Missed Shot Tammy Abraham
75' AC Milan Youssouf Fofana 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Strahinja Pavlovic
88' Cagliari Gabriele Zappa 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Goal Tommaso Augello
91' Cagliari Leonardo Pavoletti 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gianluca Lapadula
92' AC Milan Noah Okafor 0.08 Open Play Saved Shot Yunus Musah

Players

AC Milan

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Tijjani Reijnders DMC 90 0 1 1 1 0.08 0.28 0.99
Youssouf Fofana DMC 90 0 1 2 1 0.03 0.57 1.64
Strahinja Pavlovic DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.58
Theo Hernández DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.89
Mike Maignan GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.23
Malick Thiaw DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.87
Rafael Leão AML 88 2 0 3 1 0.94 0.02 1.49
Christian Pulisic AMC 88 0 0 3 1 0.57 0.06 1.05
Emerson DR 87 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.62
Francesco Camarda FW 72 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.14 0.30
Samuel Chukwueze AMR 71 0 0 1 2 0.14 0.12 0.31
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Sub 19 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.62
Tammy Abraham Sub 18 1 0 1 1 0.93 0.49 1.42
Fikayo Tomori Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Noah Okafor Sub 2 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Yunus Musah Sub 2 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08

Cagliari

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sebastiano Luperto DC 90 0 1 2 1 0.40 0.06 0.08
Gabriele Zappa DR 90 2 0 3 0 0.34 0.00 0.77
Zito AML 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.50 0.63
Alessandro Deiola DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.21
Alen Sherri GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tommaso Augello DL 90 0 1 0 3 0.00 0.18 0.20
Roberto Piccoli FW 85 0 0 2 0 0.92 0.00 0.94
Nadir Zortea AMR 85 1 0 3 1 0.15 0.02 0.19
Antoine Makoumbou DMC 85 0 0 2 0 0.03 0.00 0.47
José Luis Palomino DC 80 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Nicolas Viola AMC 79 0 0 1 3 0.02 0.81 0.43
Gianluca Gaetano Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mateusz Wieteska Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Leonardo Pavoletti Sub 5 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Razvan Marin Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Gianluca Lapadula Sub 5 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide