Catanzaro v Carrarese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · ITA-Serie B · 2627

ITA-Serie B results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Catanzaro

11:15

Carrarese

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 127h before kick-off

Catanzaro win

51.4%

model 51.9%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.2%

Carrarese win

21.3%

model 22.9%

512721

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
2-1 9.7%
2-0 8.1%
1-0 7.3%
1-2 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.5%	Under 2.5	40.5%
BTTS yes	60.7%	BTTS no	39.3%
Catanzaro 1+	84.8%	Catanzaro 2+	56.1%
Carrarese 1+	70.0%	Carrarese 2+	33.8%

Expected goals 1.88 – 1.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

52/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 46%

58.9% fair odds 1.70

strong signal · 1564 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Catanzaro over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 78%

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1110 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Catanzaro carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1410.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Catanzaro have an estimated 51.4% win probability, against 27.3% for the draw and 21.3% for Carrarese. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.88 for Catanzaro and 1.20 for Carrarese.

Why Catanzaro

Catanzaro carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1410.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 32% in this competition.

Why Carrarese can win

Nothing in the data singles out Carrarese.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Catanzaro, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Carrarese, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Catanzaro: 57% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Carrarese: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Catanzaro are the model's most likely outcome at 51.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	522523	1.88–1.20	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	552421	2.01–1.19	1-1 11%	62%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win	55.0%	51.5%	42.7%	1.21×	1.94
Draw	24.0%	24.5%	32.0%	0.76×	4.09
Carrarese to win	21.0%	24.4%	25.4%	0.96×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro & both teams score	30.0%	25.2%	18.8%	1.34×	3.97
Catanzaro & not both score	25.0%	21.9%	24.0%	0.91×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	17.9%	23.0%	0.78×	5.58
Carrarese & both teams score	12.9%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Carrarese & not both score	8.1%	8.4%	13.3%	0.63×	11.93
Draw & not both score	5.3%	8.4%	9.1%	0.92×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro & over 1.5	48.1%	45.2%	31.7%	1.43×	2.21
Catanzaro & over 2.5	39.9%	34.9%	24.3%	1.44×	2.87
Catanzaro & under 3.5	30.4%	30.9%	32.0%	0.96×	3.24
Catanzaro & over 3.5	24.6%	21.7%	10.8%	2.01×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	23.0%	0.78×	5.56
Carrarese & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	23.8%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.4%	18.0%	23.8%	0.76×	5.56
Catanzaro & under 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	18.5%	0.97×	5.56
Carrarese & over 2.5	14.5%	12.9%	15.0%	0.86×	7.77
Carrarese & under 3.5	13.5%	12.9%	19.9%	0.65×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
Carrarese & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	5.6%	1.40×	12.70
Catanzaro & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.70
Carrarese & under 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	9.1%	0.86×	12.70
Carrarese & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	6.8%	0.71×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (1UP)	70.3%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Carrarese (1UP)	41.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2UP)	55.0%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Carrarese (2UP)	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win 2nd half	45.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	32.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Carrarese to win 2nd half	22.5%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (+2.5)	83.6%	82.4%	93.2%	0.88×	1.21
Catanzaro (+0.5)	79.0%	78.4%	74.6%	1.05×	1.28
Carrarese (+1.5)	66.5%	68.7%	80.5%	0.85×	1.46
Catanzaro (-0.5)	55.0%	52.4%	42.7%	1.23×	1.91
Carrarese (+0.5)	45.0%	47.6%	57.3%	0.83×	2.10
Catanzaro (-1.5)	33.5%	31.3%	19.5%	1.60×	3.20
Carrarese (-0.5)	21.0%	21.6%	25.4%	0.85×	4.64
Catanzaro (-2.5)	16.4%	17.6%	6.8%	2.60×	5.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese to concede	86.6%	86.4%	77.7%	1.11×	1.16
Carrarese clean sheet	13.4%	13.6%	22.3%	0.61×	7.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese to concede in 1st half	57.8%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Carrarese clean sheet in 1st half	42.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese over 2.5 corners	81.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Carrarese under 6.5 corners	74.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Carrarese over 3.5 corners	67.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Carrarese under 5.5 corners	62.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Carrarese over 4.5 corners	51.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Carrarese under 4.5 corners	48.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Carrarese over 5.5 corners	37.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Carrarese under 3.5 corners	33.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Carrarese over 6.5 corners	25.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Carrarese under 2.5 corners	18.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese under 3.5 goals	96.7%	97.5%	98.2%	0.99×	1.03
Carrarese under 2.5 goals	88.1%	87.9%	90.9%	0.97×	1.14
Carrarese over 0.5 goals	69.7%	68.0%	67.0%	1.02×	1.47
Carrarese under 1.5 goals	66.5%	67.9%	69.3%	0.98×	1.47
Carrarese over 1.5 goals	33.5%	32.1%	30.7%	1.05×	3.12
Carrarese under 0.5 goals	30.3%	32.0%	33.0%	0.97×	3.12
Carrarese over 2.5 goals	11.9%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.26
Carrarese over 3.5 goals	3.3%	2.5%	1.8%	1.40×	40.70

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese under 1.5 in 1st half	91.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Carrarese under 0.5 in 1st half	62.0%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Carrarese over 0.5 in 1st half	38.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Carrarese over 1.5 in 1st half	8.3%	5.9%	—	—	17.08

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (away no bet)	69.6%	66.4%	57.1%	1.16×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.4%	33.6%	42.9%	0.78×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese even goals	54.6%	52.8%	55.6%	0.95×	1.89
Carrarese odd goals	45.4%	47.2%	44.4%	1.06×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.5%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.5%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.4%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Catanzaro to score 2+ in a row	50.5%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Carrarese to score 2+ in a row	23.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Catanzaro to score 3+ in a row	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Carrarese to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.82

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro corners (+3.5)	84.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Carrarese corners (+3.5)	80.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Catanzaro corners (+2.5)	77.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Carrarese corners (+2.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Catanzaro corners (+1.5)	68.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Carrarese corners (+1.5)	62.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Catanzaro corners (-1.5)	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Carrarese corners (-1.5)	31.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Catanzaro corners (-2.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Carrarese corners (-2.5)	23.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Catanzaro corners (-3.5)	19.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Carrarese corners (-3.5)	15.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	33.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.3%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	33.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	26.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	25.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.0%	11.5%	14.8%	0.78×	8.73
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
1-0	6.9%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.48
2-0	8.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
3-1	6.6%	7.4%	4.4%	1.69×	13.48
0-0	5.3%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.48
1-2	5.8%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
3-0	5.5%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.48
Any other score	6.0%	7.4%	2.1%	3.49×	13.48
0-1	3.6%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.47
0-2	2.9%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.47
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.28×	58.49
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	6.83×	58.49
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.14×	58.48
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.1%	13.66×	58.49
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.47
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.52×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.55×	58.49
4-0	2.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.52×	58.47
4-1	3.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.28×	58.47
4-2	2.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	58.48
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	6.83×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.66×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro leading at HT (DNB)	69.0%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Carrarese leading at HT (DNB)	31.0%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw (1X)	79.0%	75.6%	74.6%	1.01×	1.32
Catanzaro or Carrarese (12)	76.0%	75.5%	68.0%	1.11×	1.32
Carrarese or draw (X2)	45.0%	48.5%	57.3%	0.85×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw at HT	81.0%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Catanzaro or Carrarese at HT	61.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Carrarese or draw at HT	57.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw (1UP)	79.0%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Carrarese or draw (1UP)	45.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro or draw in 2nd half	77.5%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Catanzaro or Carrarese in 2nd half	68.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Carrarese or draw in 2nd half	54.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	43.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (DNB)	72.3%	71.4%	62.7%	1.14×	1.40
Carrarese (DNB)	27.7%	28.6%	37.3%	0.77×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score first	59.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Carrarese to score first	35.3%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	5.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.6%	56.5%	53.8%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.4%	43.5%	46.2%	0.94×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.6%	47.0%	39.2%	1.20×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	26.9%	33.6%	37.9%	0.89×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	11.5%	12.3%	8.4%	1.47×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	11.0%	12.3%	14.8%	0.83×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.0%	83.0%	86.0%	0.97×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	20.0%	17.0%	14.0%	1.21×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.7%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.3%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.2%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	7.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.72

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.8%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.41

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.0%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	37.0%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.4%	42.1%	48.8%	0.86×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.3%	35.0%	23.3%	1.51×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.8%	20.2%	26.8%	0.75×	4.96
7+ goals	4.5%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese to score exactly 1	36.2%	36.0%	36.4%	0.99×	2.78
Carrarese to score exactly 0	30.3%	33.8%	33.0%	1.02×	2.96
Carrarese to score exactly 2	21.6%	22.4%	21.7%	1.03×	4.46
Carrarese to score 3+	11.9%	12.8%	9.1%	1.40×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score 3+	32.6%	32.6%	16.0%	2.04×	3.06
Catanzaro to score exactly 1	27.0%	26.5%	35.9%	0.74×	3.77
Catanzaro to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Catanzaro to score exactly 0	13.4%	14.3%	22.3%	0.64×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro leading at HT	42.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Draw at HT	38.5%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Carrarese leading at HT	19.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro -1: 2	45.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Catanzaro -1: 1	33.5%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Catanzaro -1: X	21.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (0:1)	45.0%	45.9%	57.3%	0.80×	2.18
Catanzaro (0:1)	33.5%	30.1%	19.5%	1.54×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	21.5%	24.3%	23.3%	1.04×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (0:2)	66.5%	72.1%	80.5%	0.90×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.1%	15.3%	12.9%	1.19×	6.54
Catanzaro (0:2)	16.4%	15.3%	6.8%	2.26×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (0:3)	83.6%	85.2%	93.2%	0.91×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.7%	5.8%	4.6%	1.26×	17.12
Catanzaro (0:3)	6.7%	5.8%	2.3%	2.59×	17.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese (0:4)	93.3%	94.7%	97.7%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.4%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	83.17
Catanzaro (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.20×	83.41

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (1:0)	79.0%	78.4%	74.6%	1.05×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	12.3%	12.8%	15.6%	0.82×	7.81
Carrarese (1:0)	8.8%	6.9%	9.9%	0.70×	14.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro (2:0)	91.2%	93.9%	90.1%	1.04×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.0%	6.5%	6.5%	0.99×	15.50
Carrarese (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	3.5%	0.65×	44.20

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to concede	69.7%	66.6%	67.0%	0.99×	1.50
Catanzaro clean sheet	30.3%	33.4%	33.0%	1.01×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro clean sheet in 1st half	62.0%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Catanzaro to concede in 1st half	38.0%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro over 2.5 corners	83.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Catanzaro under 6.5 corners	70.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Catanzaro over 3.5 corners	70.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Catanzaro under 5.5 corners	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Catanzaro over 4.5 corners	55.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Catanzaro under 4.5 corners	44.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Catanzaro over 5.5 corners	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Catanzaro under 3.5 corners	29.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Catanzaro over 6.5 corners	29.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Catanzaro under 2.5 corners	16.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro over 0.5 goals	86.6%	87.3%	77.7%	1.12×	1.15
Catanzaro under 3.5 goals	85.6%	87.2%	95.9%	0.91×	1.15
Catanzaro under 2.5 goals	67.4%	67.9%	84.0%	0.81×	1.47
Catanzaro over 1.5 goals	59.6%	58.8%	41.9%	1.40×	1.70
Catanzaro under 1.5 goals	40.4%	41.2%	58.1%	0.71×	2.43
Catanzaro over 2.5 goals	32.6%	32.1%	16.0%	2.01×	3.11
Catanzaro over 3.5 goals	14.4%	12.8%	4.1%	3.09×	7.84
Catanzaro under 0.5 goals	13.4%	12.7%	22.3%	0.57×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro under 1.5 in 1st half	78.6%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Catanzaro over 0.5 in 1st half	57.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Catanzaro under 0.5 in 1st half	42.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Catanzaro over 1.5 in 1st half	21.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.3%	51.6%	55.8%	0.93×	1.94
Carrarese (home no bet)	46.7%	48.4%	44.2%	1.09×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro even goals	50.9%	50.6%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
Catanzaro odd goals	49.1%	49.4%	48.9%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 1-0	22.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	12.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	11.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	9.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro at HT / Catanzaro at FT	35.0%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Draw at HT / Catanzaro at FT	16.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Carrarese at HT / Carrarese at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Carrarese at FT	8.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Catanzaro at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Carrarese at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Carrarese at HT / Catanzaro at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Catanzaro at HT / Carrarese at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to score last	59.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Carrarese to score last	35.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	5.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Catanzaro to lead by 1 at any time	70.3%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Carrarese to lead by 1 at any time	41.6%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Catanzaro to lead by 2 at any time	41.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Catanzaro to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Carrarese to lead by 2 at any time	14.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Carrarese to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.7%	—	—	60.25

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro most corners	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Carrarese most corners	41.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.1%	83.5%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.7%	78.6%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.6%	72.4%	69.6%	1.04×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.7%	72.4%	82.1%	0.88×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.2%	63.4%	64.5%	0.98×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.6%	59.2%	46.2%	1.28×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.9%	53.2%	66.5%	0.80×	1.88
3-5 goals	51.5%	53.2%	43.8%	1.21×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.4%	43.6%	48.8%	0.89×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	38.7%	1.13×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.3%	39.1%	23.3%	1.68×	2.56
1-2 goals	32.6%	35.4%	43.6%	0.81×	2.83
4-5 goals	29.2%	30.3%	20.9%	1.45×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.5%	18.6%	7.6%	2.44×	5.37
7+ goals	4.5%	2.6%	1.4%	1.86×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro never behind	53.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Carrarese never behind	24.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.4%	50.8%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.6%	49.2%	53.3%	0.92×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	89.4%	87.7%	96.2%	0.91×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.2%	82.4%	73.2%	1.13×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	78.0%	77.3%	91.1%	0.85×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.1%	61.8%	47.4%	1.30×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.2%	61.7%	75.5%	0.82×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.8%	38.3%	24.5%	1.56×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	37.9%	38.2%	52.6%	0.73×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	22.0%	22.7%	8.9%	2.55×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	15.8%	17.6%	26.8%	0.66×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	10.6%	12.3%	3.8%	3.29×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.3%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.1%	86.7%	96.0%	0.90×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.7%	75.9%	63.9%	1.19×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.3%	72.6%	89.5%	0.81×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.2%	51.8%	31.8%	1.63×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.8%	48.2%	68.2%	0.71×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.7%	27.4%	10.5%	2.60×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.3%	24.1%	36.1%	0.67×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.9%	13.3%	4.0%	3.35×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.7%	2.8%	1.4%	1.97×	36.08

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.0%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.32

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.4%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.6%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese not to score in both halves	80.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Catanzaro not to score in both halves	60.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Catanzaro to score in both halves	39.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Carrarese to score in both halves	19.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.6%	60.2%	53.8%	1.12×	1.66
Only Catanzaro scores	25.0%	22.4%	24.0%	0.93×	4.47
Only Carrarese scores	8.1%	7.2%	13.3%	0.54×	13.90
Neither team scores	5.3%	7.2%	9.1%	0.79×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.1%	22.6%	25.9%	0.87×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.8%	17.4%	15.8%	1.11×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	11.4%	12.1%	5.3%	2.30×	8.28
Exactly 1 goals	10.5%	12.1%	17.8%	0.68×	8.28
6 or more goals	10.6%	12.1%	3.8%	3.22×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	5.3%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	28.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	16.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese not to win both halves	95.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Catanzaro not to win both halves	80.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Catanzaro to win both halves	19.6%	15.9%	—	—	6.28
Carrarese to win both halves	4.4%	2.8%	—	—	35.38

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Catanzaro to win either half	68.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Carrarese to win neither half	62.9%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Carrarese to win either half	37.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Catanzaro to win neither half	31.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Carrarese not to win to nil	91.9%	92.0%	86.7%	1.06×	1.09
Catanzaro not to win to nil	75.0%	78.0%	76.0%	1.03×	1.28
Catanzaro to win to nil	25.0%	22.0%	24.0%	0.91×	4.55
Carrarese to win to nil	8.1%	8.0%	13.3%	0.60×	12.55

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.0%	24.2%	32.0%	0.75×	4.14
Catanzaro by 1	21.5%	24.1%	23.3%	1.04×	4.14
Catanzaro by 2	17.1%	16.9%	12.9%	1.31×	5.91
Catanzaro by 3+	16.4%	16.9%	6.8%	2.50×	5.91
Carrarese by 1	12.3%	11.8%	15.6%	0.75×	8.48
Carrarese by 2	6.0%	7.3%	6.5%	1.11×	13.79
Carrarese by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	3.5%	0.77×	37.00