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Celta Vigo v Athletic Club — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 19 January 2025 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–2
0.40 – 2.50 xG
Shots
3 – 14
On target
1 – 6
Shots in box
1 – 8
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.18
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.02
Goals − xG
+0.60 – -0.50
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.42.12.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Alex Berenguer 61' — goalDani Vivian 70' — goalHugo Álvarez 73' — goal
Celta Vigo 0.40 xGAthletic Club 2.50 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Alex Berenguer 11' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Beñat Prados 12' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 24' — Missed Shot (0.64 xG, Open Play)Unai Gómez 25' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Pablo Durán 29' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Beñat Prados 35' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Hugo Álvarez 47' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 54' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 61' — Goal (0.42 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 63' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 67' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Dani Vivian 70' — Goal (0.60 xG, Open Play)Unai Gómez 70' — Saved Shot (0.40 xG, Open Play)Hugo Álvarez 73' — Goal (0.35 xG, Open Play)Iñaki Williams 81' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 83' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Gorka Guruzeta 91' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)
Celta Vigo attacking right Athletic Club attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
11' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Iñaki Williams
12' Athletic Club Beñat Prados 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
24' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.64 Open Play Missed Shot Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
25' Athletic Club Unai Gómez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Dani Vivian
29' Celta Vigo Pablo Durán 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Franco Cervi
35' Athletic Club Beñat Prados 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
47' Celta Vigo Hugo Álvarez 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Hugo Sotelo
54' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
61' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.42 Open Play Right Foot Goal Iñaki Williams
63' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
67' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Iñaki Williams
70' Athletic Club Dani Vivian 0.60 Open Play Right Foot Goal Unai Gómez
70' Athletic Club Unai Gómez 0.40 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Andoni Gorosabel
73' Celta Vigo Hugo Álvarez 0.35 Open Play Right Foot Goal
81' Athletic Club Iñaki Williams 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mikel Jauregizar
83' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Adama Boiro
91' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.02 Set Piece Missed Shot Mikel Vesga

Players

Athletic Club

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dani Vivian DC 90 1 0 1 1 0.60 0.02 0.68
Beñat Prados MC 90 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.73
Adama Boiro DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08
Yeray Álvarez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Andoni Gorosabel DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.40 0.51
Unai Simón GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Nico Williams ML 89 0 0 3 0 0.19 0.00 0.61
Iñaki Williams MR 89 0 1 1 3 0.07 0.51 1.62
Alex Berenguer FW 82 1 0 4 0 1.15 0.00 1.22
Unai Gómez FW 82 0 1 2 1 0.42 0.60 1.71
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta MC 67 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.72 0.76
Mikel Jauregizar Sub 23 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.61
Gorka Guruzeta Sub 8 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.08
Mikel Vesga Sub 8 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.08
Yuri Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
De Marcos Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Pablo Durán AMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.05
Yoel Lago DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Carlos Domínguez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Vicente Guaita GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sergio Carreira DMR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hugo Sotelo MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Javier Rodríguez DC 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Borja Iglesias FW 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fran Beltrán MC 63 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Franco Cervi DML 46 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Williot Swedberg AMC 46 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hugo Álvarez Sub 44 1 0 2 0 0.38 0.00 0.38
Óscar Mingueza Sub 44 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Ilaix Moriba Sub 27 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Javier Manquillo Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tasos Douvikas Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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