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Celta Vigo v Real Betis — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 8 February 2025 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

3–2
1.75 – 1.51 xG
Shots
14 – 12
On target
6 – 5
Shots in box
8 – 9
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.58 – 1.01
Goals − xG
+1.25 – +0.49
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.52.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Antony 9' — goalDiego Llorente 21' — goalFran Beltrán 62' — goalJavier Rodríguez 64' — goalWilliot Swedberg 86' — goal
Celta Vigo 1.75 xGReal Betis 1.51 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Marc Roca 3' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jesús Rodriguez 4' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Pablo Durán 6' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Antony 9' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Cédric Bakambu 19' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Diego Llorente 21' — Goal (0.89 xG, From Corner)Iker Losada 25' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Alfon 26' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Óscar Mingueza 26' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Cédric Bakambu 29' — Shot On Post (0.08 xG, From Corner)Jesús Rodriguez 30' — Shot On Post (0.11 xG, Open Play)Marcos Alonso 34' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Óscar Mingueza 36' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Óscar Mingueza 41' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Javier Rodríguez 42' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Pablo Durán 42' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, From Corner)Óscar Mingueza 49' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Pablo Durán 56' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Antony 58' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jesús Rodriguez 60' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Fran Beltrán 62' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Javier Rodríguez 64' — Goal (0.73 xG, Open Play)Vitor Roque 70' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 72' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Giovani Lo Celso 78' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Williot Swedberg 86' — Goal (0.10 xG, Open Play)
Celta Vigo attacking right Real Betis attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Real Betis Marc Roca 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ángel Ortiz
4' Real Betis Jesús Rodriguez 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Isco
6' Celta Vigo Pablo Durán 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Iker Losada
9' Real Betis Antony 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Goal
19' Real Betis Cédric Bakambu 0.06 Open Play Saved Shot Romain Perraud
21' Real Betis Diego Llorente 0.89 From Corner Goal Marc Roca
25' Celta Vigo Iker Losada 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
26' Celta Vigo Alfon 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Hugo Álvarez
26' Celta Vigo Óscar Mingueza 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Hugo Álvarez
29' Real Betis Cédric Bakambu 0.08 From Corner Shot On Post Isco
30' Real Betis Jesús Rodriguez 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Isco
34' Celta Vigo Marcos Alonso 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Hugo Sotelo
36' Celta Vigo Óscar Mingueza 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Iker Losada
41' Celta Vigo Óscar Mingueza 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Alfon
42' Celta Vigo Javier Rodríguez 0.06 From Corner Saved Shot Hugo Sotelo
42' Celta Vigo Pablo Durán 0.38 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Óscar Mingueza
49' Celta Vigo Óscar Mingueza 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
56' Celta Vigo Pablo Durán 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Javier Rodríguez
58' Real Betis Antony 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Vitor Roque
60' Real Betis Jesús Rodriguez 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Isco
62' Celta Vigo Fran Beltrán 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Goal Hugo Álvarez
64' Celta Vigo Javier Rodríguez 0.73 Open Play Right Foot Goal Pablo Durán
70' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jesús Rodriguez
72' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Vitor Roque
78' Real Betis Giovani Lo Celso 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
86' Celta Vigo Williot Swedberg 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Goal Sergio Carreira

Players

Real Betis

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Diego Llorente DC 90 1 0 1 0 0.89 0.00 0.00
Ángel Ortiz DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Adrián GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Isco AMC 90 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.29 0.30
Natan DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Johnny Cardoso DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Jesús Rodriguez AML 74 0 0 3 1 0.21 0.03 0.20
Antony AMR 74 1 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.21
Cédric Bakambu FW 60 0 0 2 0 0.14 0.00 0.06
Marc Roca DMC 60 0 1 1 1 0.02 0.89 0.25
Romain Perraud DL 48 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06
Ricardo Rodríguez Sub 42 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Vitor Roque Sub 30 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.06 0.10
Sergi Altimira Sub 30 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Giovani Lo Celso Sub 16 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli Sub 16 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.08 0.10

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Javier Rodríguez DC 90 1 0 2 1 0.78 0.03 0.87
Fran Beltrán MC 90 1 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.24
Marcos Alonso DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.27
Carlos Domínguez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Vicente Guaita GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hugo Sotelo MC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.24
Hugo Álvarez DML 90 0 1 0 3 0.00 0.18 0.97
Pablo Durán FW 84 0 1 3 1 0.49 0.73 0.84
Óscar Mingueza DMR 84 0 0 4 1 0.16 0.38 0.77
Alfon FWR 62 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.04 0.14
Iker Losada FWL 62 0 0 1 2 0.06 0.11 0.25
Williot Swedberg Sub 28 1 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Fernando López Sub 28 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.83
Sergio Carreira Sub 6 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.10
Borja Iglesias Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jaílson Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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