Celtic v Ferencvaros — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 17 September 2026 · EUR-Europa League · 2627
Europa League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.83–1.49 | 2-1 9% | 64% | 63% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to win | 47.9% | 47.5% | 44.8% | 1.06× | 2.11 |
| Ferencvaros to win | 33.4% | 30.4% | 29.3% | 1.04× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 18.7% | 19.3% | 26.0% | 0.74× | 5.17 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic & both teams score | 27.0% | 25.2% | 19.9% | 1.27× | 3.97 |
| Celtic & not both score | 20.9% | 21.9% | 24.9% | 0.88× | 4.57 |
| Ferencvaros & both teams score | 19.1% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 1.29× | 5.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.0% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 0.98× | 5.58 |
| Ferencvaros & not both score | 14.3% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 0.86× | 7.55 |
| Draw & not both score | 1.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 0.64× | 20.56 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic & over 1.5 | 39.3% | 34.9% | 33.7% | 1.04× | 2.86 |
| Celtic & over 2.5 | 33.2% | 30.9% | 26.4% | 1.17× | 3.24 |
| Celtic & under 3.5 | 27.4% | 26.0% | 31.3% | 0.83× | 3.84 |
| Ferencvaros & over 1.5 | 26.1% | 26.0% | 21.6% | 1.20× | 3.84 |
| Ferencvaros & over 2.5 | 22.1% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 1.26× | 4.62 |
| Celtic & over 3.5 | 20.5% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 1.60× | 4.62 |
| Ferencvaros & under 3.5 | 20.6% | 21.6% | 21.2% | 1.02× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 0.98× | 5.56 |
| Celtic & under 2.5 | 14.7% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 0.70× | 7.77 |
| Ferencvaros & over 3.5 | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 1.60× | 7.78 |
| Ferencvaros & under 2.5 | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 1.06× | 7.78 |
| Celtic & under 1.5 | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 0.71× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.25× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 9.5% | 7.9% | 19.7% | 0.40× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.25× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 9.5% | 7.9% | 19.7% | 0.40× | 12.69 |
| Ferencvaros & under 1.5 | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 1.03× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 1.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 0.63× | 20.95 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic (1UP) | 64.9% | 63.3% | 60.0% | 1.06× | 1.58 |
| Ferencvaros (1UP) | 52.8% | 52.8% | 50.3% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic (2UP) | 47.9% | 49.9% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
| Ferencvaros (2UP) | 33.4% | 31.1% | 34.1% | 0.91× | 3.21 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to win 2nd half | 39.1% | 36.1% | 37.7% | 0.96× | 2.77 |
| Ferencvaros to win 2nd half | 31.0% | 34.4% | 29.7% | 1.16× | 2.91 |
| 2nd half drawn | 30.0% | 26.3% | 32.6% | 0.81× | 3.80 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros (+2.5) | 88.8% | 88.5% | 90.7% | 0.98× | 1.13 |
| Ferencvaros (+1.5) | 74.9% | 73.7% | 78.3% | 0.94× | 1.36 |
| Celtic (+0.5) | 66.6% | 68.7% | 70.7% | 0.97× | 1.46 |
| Ferencvaros (+0.5) | 52.1% | 52.3% | 55.2% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Celtic (-0.5) | 47.9% | 47.7% | 44.8% | 1.06× | 2.10 |
| Ferencvaros (-0.5) | 33.4% | 31.3% | 29.3% | 1.07× | 3.20 |
| Celtic (-1.5) | 25.1% | 26.3% | 21.7% | 1.21× | 3.80 |
| Celtic (-2.5) | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 1.24× | 8.70 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros to concede | 84.0% | 81.3% | 77.0% | 1.06× | 1.23 |
| Ferencvaros clean sheet | 16.0% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 0.81× | 5.35 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros clean sheet in 1st half | 45.4% | 50.8% | 51.7% | 0.98× | 1.97 |
| Ferencvaros to concede in 1st half | 54.6% | 49.2% | 48.3% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros under 3.5 goals | 93.6% | 92.4% | 96.4% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Ferencvaros under 2.5 goals | 81.2% | 81.5% | 88.2% | 0.92× | 1.23 |
| Ferencvaros over 0.5 goals | 77.4% | 76.2% | 67.5% | 1.13× | 1.31 |
| Ferencvaros under 1.5 goals | 56.2% | 59.6% | 67.7% | 0.88× | 1.68 |
| Ferencvaros over 1.5 goals | 43.8% | 40.4% | 32.3% | 1.25× | 2.48 |
| Ferencvaros under 0.5 goals | 22.6% | 23.8% | 32.5% | 0.73× | 4.21 |
| Ferencvaros over 2.5 goals | 18.8% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 1.57× | 5.40 |
| Ferencvaros over 3.5 goals | 6.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.11× | 13.08 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros under 1.5 in 1st half | 88.0% | 89.6% | 89.5% | 1.00× | 1.12 |
| Ferencvaros under 0.5 in 1st half | 55.1% | 62.8% | 59.1% | 1.06× | 1.59 |
| Ferencvaros over 0.5 in 1st half | 44.9% | 37.2% | 40.9% | 0.91× | 2.69 |
| Ferencvaros over 1.5 in 1st half | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 0.99× | 9.60 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic (away no bet) | 72.0% | 68.5% | 63.3% | 1.08× | 1.46 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 28.0% | 31.5% | 36.7% | 0.86× | 3.18 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros even goals | 52.6% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Ferencvaros odd goals | 47.5% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 76.8% | 82.1% | 82.8% | 0.99× | 1.22 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 23.2% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 1.04× | 5.59 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 73.7% | 67.0% | 66.1% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 26.3% | 33.0% | 33.9% | 0.98× | 3.03 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 65.9% | 62.1% | 58.6% | 1.06× | 1.61 |
| Celtic to score 2+ in a row | 44.0% | 38.3% | 37.0% | 1.04× | 2.61 |
| Ferencvaros to score 2+ in a row | 32.3% | 28.5% | 28.6% | 1.00× | 3.51 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 26.7% | 25.1% | 22.9% | 1.10× | 3.98 |
| Celtic to score 3+ in a row | 17.3% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 1.15× | 6.10 |
| Ferencvaros to score 3+ in a row | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 1.31× | 8.39 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 0.67× | 13.46 |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 0.83× | 13.46 |
| 0-1 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 0.97× | 13.46 |
| 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 0.62× | 13.46 |
| 1-2 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.06× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.44× | 13.46 |
| 2-0 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1.01× | 13.46 |
| 3-1 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.80× | 13.46 |
| Any other score | 5.6% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 2.24× | 13.46 |
| 0-0 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 7.6% | 0.22× | 58.58 |
| 0-2 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 0.38× | 58.57 |
| 0-3 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.80× | 58.58 |
| 0-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.29× | 58.59 |
| 1-3 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.68× | 58.57 |
| 1-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.00× | 58.58 |
| 2-3 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.84× | 58.57 |
| 2-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.33× | 58.59 |
| 3-0 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 58.57 |
| 3-2 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.64× | 58.57 |
| 3-3 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.58 |
| 3-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 4.89× | 58.59 |
| 4-0 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.03× | 58.58 |
| 4-1 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.09× | 58.58 |
| 4-2 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.95× | 58.58 |
| 4-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.71× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 16.64× | 58.59 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic leading at HT (DNB) | 59.3% | 57.8% | 56.8% | 1.02× | 1.73 |
| Ferencvaros leading at HT (DNB) | 40.7% | 42.2% | 43.2% | 0.98× | 2.37 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic or Ferencvaros (12) | 81.3% | 80.7% | 74.0% | 1.09× | 1.24 |
| Celtic or draw (1X) | 66.6% | 69.6% | 70.7% | 0.98× | 1.44 |
| Ferencvaros or draw (X2) | 52.1% | 52.5% | 55.2% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic or draw at HT | 74.6% | 74.7% | 74.2% | 1.01× | 1.34 |
| Ferencvaros or draw at HT | 63.0% | 62.2% | 66.0% | 0.94× | 1.61 |
| Celtic or Ferencvaros at HT | 62.4% | 62.2% | 59.7% | 1.04× | 1.61 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic or draw (1UP) | 66.6% | 75.9% | 74.2% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| Ferencvaros or draw (1UP) | 52.8% | 58.8% | 63.8% | 0.92× | 1.70 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic or Ferencvaros in 2nd half | 70.0% | 73.7% | 67.4% | 1.09× | 1.36 |
| Celtic or draw in 2nd half | 69.0% | 65.6% | 70.3% | 0.93× | 1.53 |
| Ferencvaros or draw in 2nd half | 60.9% | 63.9% | 62.3% | 1.03× | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 58.6% | 58.4% | 58.8% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Neither half drawn | 41.4% | 41.6% | 41.2% | 1.01× | 2.40 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic (DNB) | 58.9% | 58.2% | 60.5% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| Ferencvaros (DNB) | 41.1% | 41.8% | 39.5% | 1.06× | 2.39 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to score first | 54.3% | 54.3% | 51.4% | 1.06× | 1.84 |
| Ferencvaros to score first | 44.1% | 41.7% | 42.8% | 0.98× | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 0.73× | 23.33 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 63.1% | 56.5% | 52.2% | 1.08× | 1.77 |
| Not both teams to score | 36.9% | 43.5% | 47.8% | 0.91× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 55.2% | 47.1% | 40.1% | 1.18× | 2.12 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 27.6% | 33.6% | 38.1% | 0.88× | 2.97 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 0.86× | 11.96 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 0.69× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 76.0% | 80.0% | 86.1% | 0.93× | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 24.0% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 1.44× | 5.00 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 62.4% | 66.1% | 70.3% | 0.94× | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 37.6% | 33.9% | 29.7% | 1.14× | 2.95 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 47.6% | 53.8% | 57.9% | 0.93× | 1.86 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 28.2% | 26.1% | 23.7% | 1.10× | 3.84 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 0.85× | 9.50 |
| Both score in both halves | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 1.13× | 14.81 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 75.9% | 81.6% | 81.6% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 24.1% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 1.00× | 5.44 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 63.2% | 59.0% | 59.0% | 1.00× | 1.70 |
| A half without a goal | 36.8% | 41.0% | 41.0% | 1.00× | 2.44 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 40.0% | 35.0% | 45.9% | 0.76× | 2.86 |
| 4-6 goals | 37.2% | 35.0% | 25.8% | 1.35× | 2.86 |
| 0-1 goals | 17.6% | 20.2% | 26.3% | 0.77× | 4.94 |
| 7+ goals | 5.2% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 3.76× | 13.20 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros to score exactly 1 | 33.6% | 33.9% | 35.2% | 0.96× | 2.95 |
| Ferencvaros to score exactly 2 | 25.0% | 27.4% | 20.5% | 1.34× | 3.65 |
| Ferencvaros to score exactly 0 | 22.6% | 22.4% | 32.5% | 0.69× | 4.47 |
| Ferencvaros to score 3+ | 18.8% | 19.6% | 11.8% | 1.66× | 5.12 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to score exactly 1 | 29.3% | 26.5% | 33.8% | 0.78× | 3.77 |
| Celtic to score 3+ | 27.8% | 26.5% | 19.0% | 1.39× | 3.77 |
| Celtic to score exactly 2 | 26.9% | 26.5% | 24.2% | 1.09× | 3.77 |
| Celtic to score exactly 0 | 16.0% | 18.9% | 23.0% | 0.82× | 5.30 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 37.6% | 37.8% | 40.3% | 0.94× | 2.65 |
| Celtic leading at HT | 37.0% | 37.8% | 34.0% | 1.11× | 2.65 |
| Ferencvaros leading at HT | 25.4% | 25.3% | 25.8% | 0.98× | 3.96 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic -1: 2 | 52.1% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Celtic -1: 1 | 25.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Celtic -1: X | 22.8% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros (0:1) | 52.1% | 51.2% | 55.2% | 0.93× | 1.96 |
| Celtic (0:1) | 25.1% | 27.0% | 21.7% | 1.24× | 3.71 |
| Draw (0:1) | 22.8% | 24.3% | 23.0% | 1.05× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros (0:2) | 74.9% | 75.6% | 78.3% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| Draw (0:2) | 13.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 0.89× | 9.08 |
| Celtic (0:2) | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 1.18× | 9.09 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros (0:3) | 88.8% | 90.8% | 90.7% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:3) | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.01× | 17.24 |
| Celtic (0:3) | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 0.67× | 41.95 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros (0:4) | 95.8% | 98.1% | 96.4% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 0.51× | 83.14 |
| Celtic (0:4) | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.01× | 83.32 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic (1:0) | 66.6% | 69.8% | 70.7% | 0.99× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.9% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 1.00× | 5.87 |
| Ferencvaros (1:0) | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.80 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic (2:0) | 85.4% | 88.3% | 87.8% | 1.01× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 0.85× | 15.47 |
| Ferencvaros (2:0) | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.39× | 15.51 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 52.1% | 50.3% | 48.5% | 1.04× | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.8% | 26.5% | 26.3% | 1.01× | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 19.1% | 19.0% | 25.2% | 0.75× | 5.27 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to concede | 77.4% | 75.9% | 67.5% | 1.12× | 1.32 |
| Celtic clean sheet | 22.6% | 24.1% | 32.5% | 0.74× | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic clean sheet in 1st half | 55.1% | 62.8% | 59.1% | 1.06× | 1.59 |
| Celtic to concede in 1st half | 44.9% | 37.2% | 40.9% | 0.91× | 2.69 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic under 3.5 goals | 88.6% | 87.2% | 93.1% | 0.94× | 1.15 |
| Celtic over 0.5 goals | 84.0% | 82.2% | 77.0% | 1.07× | 1.22 |
| Celtic under 2.5 goals | 72.2% | 74.2% | 81.0% | 0.92× | 1.35 |
| Celtic over 1.5 goals | 54.7% | 53.3% | 43.2% | 1.23× | 1.88 |
| Celtic under 1.5 goals | 45.3% | 46.7% | 56.8% | 0.82× | 2.14 |
| Celtic over 2.5 goals | 27.8% | 25.8% | 19.0% | 1.35× | 3.88 |
| Celtic under 0.5 goals | 16.0% | 17.8% | 23.0% | 0.78× | 5.60 |
| Celtic over 3.5 goals | 11.4% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 1.86× | 7.84 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic under 1.5 in 1st half | 81.3% | 84.6% | 85.8% | 0.99× | 1.18 |
| Celtic under 0.5 in 1st half | 45.4% | 50.9% | 51.7% | 0.98× | 1.97 |
| Celtic over 0.5 in 1st half | 54.6% | 49.1% | 48.3% | 1.02× | 2.04 |
| Celtic over 1.5 in 1st half | 18.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 1.09× | 6.48 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros (home no bet) | 64.2% | 60.2% | 53.0% | 1.14× | 1.66 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 35.8% | 39.8% | 47.0% | 0.85× | 2.51 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic even goals | 51.3% | 50.6% | 52.3% | 0.97× | 1.98 |
| Celtic odd goals | 48.7% | 49.4% | 47.7% | 1.03× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 24.7% | 24.3% | 29.2% | 0.83× | 4.12 |
| HT 1-0 | 20.1% | 24.2% | 20.8% | 1.16× | 4.14 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.3% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 1.15× | 5.31 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 1.08× | 9.06 |
| HT 2-0 | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.99× | 14.10 |
| Any other HT score | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.49× | 14.11 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 0.69× | 44.57 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.4% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 0.46× | 44.59 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.82× | 44.66 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.55× | 44.83 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic at HT / Celtic at FT | 29.0% | 26.7% | 25.9% | 1.03× | 3.74 |
| Ferencvaros at HT / Ferencvaros at FT | 17.8% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 0.97× | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Celtic at FT | 15.8% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 1.14× | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Ferencvaros at FT | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 1.10× | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 9.0% | 6.1% | 14.1% | 0.43× | 16.52 |
| Celtic at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.17× | 16.64 |
| Ferencvaros at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 0.61× | 29.10 |
| Ferencvaros at HT / Celtic at FT | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.17× | 29.16 |
| Celtic at HT / Ferencvaros at FT | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.14× | 29.17 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to score last | 54.2% | 52.0% | 51.3% | 1.01× | 1.92 |
| Ferencvaros to score last | 44.2% | 40.2% | 42.8% | 0.94× | 2.49 |
| No goal scored | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 0.73× | 23.33 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 98.4% | 95.6% | 94.1% | 1.02× | 1.05 |
| Celtic to lead by 1 at any time | 64.9% | 61.6% | 60.0% | 1.03× | 1.62 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 54.9% | 50.6% | 48.3% | 1.05× | 1.98 |
| Ferencvaros to lead by 1 at any time | 52.8% | 50.6% | 50.3% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Celtic to lead by 2 at any time | 33.4% | 29.5% | 28.4% | 1.04× | 3.39 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 22.1% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 1.01× | 5.10 |
| Ferencvaros to lead by 2 at any time | 22.0% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 0.97× | 5.10 |
| Celtic to lead by 3 at any time | 14.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 0.86× | 9.53 |
| Ferencvaros to lead by 3 at any time | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 0.89× | 15.31 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.4% | 87.4% | 86.8% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 77.2% | 78.6% | 71.7% | 1.10× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 74.2% | 72.4% | 78.8% | 0.92× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 70.5% | 72.4% | 68.1% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| 3-6 goals | 59.3% | 59.2% | 47.8% | 1.24× | 1.69 |
| 2-4 goals | 58.3% | 59.2% | 60.1% | 0.99× | 1.69 |
| 1-3 goals | 55.9% | 59.2% | 64.6% | 0.92× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 52.5% | 53.1% | 44.2% | 1.20× | 1.88 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.4% | 43.6% | 36.2% | 1.20× | 2.29 |
| 2-3 goals | 40.0% | 39.2% | 45.9% | 0.85× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 37.2% | 39.2% | 25.8% | 1.52× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 33.9% | 35.4% | 42.6% | 0.83× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 30.5% | 35.4% | 22.2% | 1.59× | 2.83 |
| 5-6 goals | 18.9% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 1.60× | 5.37 |
| 7+ goals | 5.2% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 4.33× | 11.46 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic never behind | 45.5% | 57.0% | 49.7% | 1.15× | 1.76 |
| Ferencvaros never behind | 33.5% | 35.5% | 40.0% | 0.89× | 2.82 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 46.1% | 50.8% | 49.8% | 1.02× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 53.9% | 49.2% | 50.2% | 0.98× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 52.5% | 51.5% | 53.6% | 0.96× | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 47.5% | 48.5% | 46.4% | 1.05× | 2.06 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.3% | 52.0% | 48.9% | 1.06× | 1.92 |
| Even goals in 2nd half | 49.7% | 48.0% | 51.1% | 0.94× | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 98.4% | 95.5% | 92.4% | 1.03× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 88.0% | 87.7% | 94.4% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% | 82.4% | 73.7% | 1.12× | 1.21 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75.9% | 77.4% | 86.4% | 0.90× | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.5% | 61.8% | 49.8% | 1.24× | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57.6% | 58.8% | 72.2% | 0.82× | 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.4% | 41.2% | 27.8% | 1.48× | 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.5% | 38.2% | 50.2% | 0.76× | 2.62 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24.1% | 22.6% | 13.6% | 1.66× | 4.42 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17.6% | 17.6% | 26.3% | 0.67× | 5.67 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 12.0% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 2.19× | 8.11 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 1.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 0.59× | 22.23 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 94.4% | 92.5% | 97.9% | 0.94× | 1.08 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 86.4% | 86.7% | 93.9% | 0.92× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 78.6% | 75.9% | 65.5% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 70.5% | 72.6% | 84.1% | 0.86× | 1.38 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 54.4% | 51.8% | 35.7% | 1.45× | 1.93 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 45.6% | 48.2% | 64.3% | 0.75× | 2.08 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 29.5% | 27.4% | 15.9% | 1.73× | 3.65 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 21.4% | 24.1% | 34.5% | 0.70× | 4.16 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 13.6% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 2.17× | 7.53 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 5.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 3.60× | 13.28 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 83.7% | 86.5% | 88.5% | 0.98× | 1.16 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 75.3% | 78.6% | 70.8% | 1.11× | 1.27 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 60.1% | 63.6% | 66.3% | 0.96× | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 39.9% | 36.4% | 33.7% | 1.08× | 2.75 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 24.7% | 21.4% | 29.2% | 0.73× | 4.67 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 16.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 1.17× | 7.40 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 86.3% | 85.3% | 82.3% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 69.4% | 67.3% | 77.6% | 0.87× | 1.49 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 57.0% | 54.9% | 49.7% | 1.10× | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 43.0% | 45.1% | 50.3% | 0.90× | 2.22 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 30.6% | 32.8% | 22.4% | 1.46× | 3.05 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 13.7% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 0.83× | 6.82 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros not to score in both halves | 73.5% | 74.3% | 77.6% | 0.96× | 1.35 |
| Celtic not to score in both halves | 64.6% | 63.6% | 70.4% | 0.90× | 1.57 |
| Celtic to score in both halves | 35.4% | 36.4% | 29.6% | 1.23× | 2.75 |
| Ferencvaros to score in both halves | 26.5% | 25.7% | 22.4% | 1.15× | 3.90 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 63.1% | 60.2% | 52.2% | 1.15× | 1.66 |
| Only Celtic scores | 20.9% | 22.3% | 24.9% | 0.90× | 4.47 |
| Only Ferencvaros scores | 14.3% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 0.71× | 9.13 |
| Neither team scores | 1.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 0.60× | 21.82 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.0% | 22.6% | 22.0% | 1.03× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 18.3% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 1.23× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 17.9% | 17.5% | 23.9% | 0.73× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 15.9% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 0.93× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 1.51× | 8.29 |
| 6 or more goals | 12.0% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 2.14× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 1.6% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 0.58× | 22.65 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 57.0% | 53.3% | 49.7% | 1.07× | 1.88 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 29.3% | 29.7% | 32.6% | 0.91× | 3.37 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 13.7% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 0.82× | 6.88 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros not to win both halves | 92.4% | 94.0% | 91.8% | 1.02× | 1.06 |
| Celtic not to win both halves | 85.9% | 88.0% | 86.7% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| Celtic to win both halves | 14.1% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 0.90× | 8.33 |
| Ferencvaros to win both halves | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 0.74× | 16.56 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to win either half | 62.0% | 65.3% | 58.4% | 1.12× | 1.53 |
| Ferencvaros to win neither half | 51.2% | 54.7% | 52.7% | 1.04× | 1.83 |
| Ferencvaros to win either half | 48.8% | 45.3% | 47.3% | 0.96× | 2.21 |
| Celtic to win neither half | 38.0% | 34.7% | 41.6% | 0.83× | 2.88 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvaros not to win to nil | 85.7% | 88.2% | 84.6% | 1.04× | 1.13 |
| Celtic not to win to nil | 79.1% | 78.0% | 75.1% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| Celtic to win to nil | 20.9% | 22.0% | 24.9% | 0.88× | 4.55 |
| Ferencvaros to win to nil | 14.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 0.77× | 8.47 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic by 1 | 22.8% | 24.1% | 23.0% | 1.05× | 4.14 |
| Ferencvaros by 1 | 18.9% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 0.99× | 5.90 |
| Draw | 18.7% | 16.9% | 26.0% | 0.65× | 5.90 |
| Celtic by 2 | 13.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 0.95× | 8.46 |
| Celtic by 3+ | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 1.27× | 8.47 |
| Ferencvaros by 2 | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 0.96× | 13.80 |
| Ferencvaros by 3+ | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.56× | 13.81 |