CF Montréal v Atlanta United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 14 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

CF Montréal

19:30

Atlanta United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 937h before kick-off

CF Montréal win

46.5%

model 48.3%

Draw

26.8%

model 25.6%

Atlanta United win

26.8%

model 26.2%

462727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
1-0 9.7%
2-1 9.5%
2-0 8.3%
0-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.4%	Under 2.5	47.6%
BTTS yes	55.2%	BTTS no	44.8%
CF Montréal 1+	80.4%	CF Montréal 2+	48.5%
Atlanta United 1+	68.1%	Atlanta United 2+	31.6%

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

CF Montréal carry the stronger rating, 1402 Elo against 1372.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

CF Montréal have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for Atlanta United and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.63 for CF Montréal and 1.14 for Atlanta United.

Why CF Montréal

CF Montréal carry the stronger rating, 1402 Elo against 1372.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Atlanta United can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for CF Montréal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlanta United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

CF Montréal: 50% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlanta United: 45% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. CF Montréal's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

CF Montréal are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	452629	1.57–1.22	1-1 12%	53%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to win	44.9%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32
Atlanta United to win	29.1%	27.9%	29.9%	0.93×	3.59
Draw	25.9%	27.9%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal & not both score	22.9%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
CF Montréal & both teams score	22.1%	21.9%	24.4%	0.90×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Atlanta United & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
Atlanta United & not both score	14.2%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.7%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal & over 1.5	35.8%	34.9%	37.1%	0.94×	2.87
CF Montréal & under 3.5	29.9%	26.0%	28.3%	0.92×	3.84
CF Montréal & over 2.5	28.2%	26.0%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
Atlanta United & over 1.5	22.1%	21.7%	23.5%	0.92×	4.62
Atlanta United & under 3.5	20.6%	21.7%	18.8%	1.15×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Atlanta United & over 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
CF Montréal & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	14.5%	1.24×	5.56
CF Montréal & over 3.5	15.0%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
Atlanta United & under 2.5	11.6%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.77
CF Montréal & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.69
Atlanta United & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Atlanta United & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (1UP)	61.0%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Atlanta United (1UP)	47.3%	43.2%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (2UP)	44.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Atlanta United (2UP)	29.1%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to win 2nd half	37.0%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	35.2%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Atlanta United to win 2nd half	27.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (+2.5)	90.6%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Atlanta United (+1.5)	76.9%	78.4%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
CF Montréal (+0.5)	70.9%	73.7%	70.1%	1.05×	1.36
Atlanta United (+0.5)	55.1%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
CF Montréal (-0.5)	44.9%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
Atlanta United (-0.5)	29.1%	26.3%	29.9%	0.88×	3.80
CF Montréal (-1.5)	23.1%	21.6%	23.3%	0.93×	4.64
CF Montréal (-2.5)	9.4%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to concede	79.2%	79.0%	82.0%	0.96×	1.27
Atlanta United clean sheet	20.8%	21.0%	18.0%	1.17×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to concede in 1st half	49.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Atlanta United clean sheet in 1st half	50.9%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 6.5 corners	85.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Atlanta United under 5.5 corners	76.7%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Atlanta United over 2.5 corners	70.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Atlanta United under 4.5 corners	63.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Atlanta United over 3.5 corners	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Atlanta United under 3.5 corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlanta United over 4.5 corners	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Atlanta United under 2.5 corners	29.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Atlanta United over 5.5 corners	23.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Atlanta United over 6.5 corners	14.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 3.5 goals	96.5%	97.5%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Atlanta United under 2.5 goals	87.5%	87.9%	83.3%	1.06×	1.14
Atlanta United over 0.5 goals	70.4%	71.9%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
Atlanta United under 1.5 goals	65.6%	67.9%	61.3%	1.11×	1.47
Atlanta United over 1.5 goals	34.4%	32.1%	38.7%	0.83×	3.12
Atlanta United under 0.5 goals	29.6%	28.1%	26.8%	1.05×	3.56
Atlanta United over 2.5 goals	12.5%	12.1%	16.7%	0.72×	8.25
Atlanta United over 3.5 goals	3.5%	2.5%	6.1%	0.40×	40.69

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Atlanta United under 0.5 in 1st half	61.4%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Atlanta United over 0.5 in 1st half	38.6%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Atlanta United over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	5.9%	—	—	17.05

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (away no bet)	63.4%	62.1%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.6%	37.9%	35.4%	1.07×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United even goals	54.4%	52.8%	53.6%	0.99×	1.89
Atlanta United odd goals	45.6%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
CF Montréal to score 2+ in a row	37.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Atlanta United to score 2+ in a row	25.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
CF Montréal to score 3+ in a row	13.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Atlanta United to score 3+ in a row	7.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.72

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal corners (+3.5)	93.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
CF Montréal corners (+2.5)	89.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
CF Montréal corners (+1.5)	83.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Atlanta United corners (+3.5)	63.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
CF Montréal corners (-1.5)	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Atlanta United corners (+2.5)	53.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
CF Montréal corners (-2.5)	46.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Atlanta United corners (+1.5)	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
CF Montréal corners (-3.5)	36.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Atlanta United corners (-1.5)	16.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Atlanta United corners (-2.5)	10.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Atlanta United corners (-3.5)	6.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	34.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	73.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	64.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	34.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	26.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	26.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.3%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
1-0	9.1%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.48
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
0-0	6.7%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.48
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.48
1-2	7.2%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
2-0	7.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.48
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.48
3-1	4.8%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.46
0-2	4.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.46
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.48
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.48
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
3-0	4.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.47
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.48
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49
Any other score	3.0%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal leading at HT (DNB)	60.4%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Atlanta United leading at HT (DNB)	39.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal or Atlanta United (12)	74.1%	72.1%	75.1%	0.96×	1.39
CF Montréal or draw (1X)	70.9%	72.1%	70.1%	1.03×	1.39
Atlanta United or draw (X2)	55.1%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal or draw at HT	77.3%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Atlanta United or draw at HT	65.3%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
CF Montréal or Atlanta United at HT	57.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal or draw (1UP)	70.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Atlanta United or draw (1UP)	55.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal or draw in 2nd half	72.2%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
CF Montréal or Atlanta United in 2nd half	64.8%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Atlanta United or draw in 2nd half	63.0%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.2%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (DNB)	60.7%	62.8%	60.3%	1.04×	1.59
Atlanta United (DNB)	39.3%	37.2%	39.7%	0.94×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to score first	52.5%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Atlanta United to score first	40.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.3%	54.9%	61.1%	0.90×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.7%	45.1%	38.9%	1.16×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.0%	41.6%	50.9%	0.82×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.0%	34.3%	29.9%	1.15×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.3%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.0%	83.1%	79.5%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.0%	16.9%	20.5%	0.83×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.9%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.0%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	19.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	44.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
4-6 goals	28.1%	26.5%	33.1%	0.80×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.8%	22.8%	20.5%	1.11×	4.38
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	54.56

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to score exactly 1	36.0%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Atlanta United to score exactly 0	29.6%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.65
Atlanta United to score exactly 2	22.0%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.46
Atlanta United to score 3+	12.5%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to score exactly 1	32.7%	32.7%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
CF Montréal to score exactly 2	25.6%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
CF Montréal to score exactly 0	20.8%	23.2%	18.0%	1.29×	4.30
CF Montréal to score 3+	20.9%	23.2%	25.2%	0.92×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
CF Montréal leading at HT	34.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Atlanta United leading at HT	22.7%	20.1%	—	—	4.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal -1: 2	55.1%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
CF Montréal -1: 1	23.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
CF Montréal -1: X	21.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:1)	55.1%	55.8%	54.6%	1.02×	1.79
CF Montréal (0:1)	23.1%	24.3%	23.3%	1.04×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	21.8%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:2)	76.9%	79.4%	76.7%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.7%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.11
CF Montréal (0:2)	9.4%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:3)	90.6%	92.6%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.3%	5.8%	6.6%	0.88×	17.18
CF Montréal (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:4)	96.9%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.42
CF Montréal (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.58

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (1:0)	70.9%	72.5%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.9%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
Atlanta United (1:0)	12.3%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (2:0)	87.7%	88.4%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.3%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.48
Atlanta United (2:0)	4.0%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.12

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to concede	70.4%	73.0%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
CF Montréal clean sheet	29.6%	27.0%	26.8%	1.01×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal clean sheet in 1st half	61.4%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
CF Montréal to concede in 1st half	38.6%	35.9%	—	—	2.79

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal over 2.5 corners	89.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
CF Montréal over 3.5 corners	79.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
CF Montréal over 4.5 corners	67.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
CF Montréal under 6.5 corners	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
CF Montréal over 5.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
CF Montréal under 5.5 corners	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
CF Montréal over 6.5 corners	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
CF Montréal under 4.5 corners	32.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
CF Montréal under 3.5 corners	20.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
CF Montréal under 2.5 corners	10.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 3.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
CF Montréal over 0.5 goals	79.2%	77.8%	82.0%	0.95×	1.29
CF Montréal under 2.5 goals	79.1%	77.8%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
CF Montréal under 1.5 goals	53.5%	53.3%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
CF Montréal over 1.5 goals	46.5%	46.7%	51.1%	0.92×	2.14
CF Montréal under 0.5 goals	20.8%	22.2%	18.0%	1.24×	4.50
CF Montréal over 2.5 goals	20.9%	22.2%	25.2%	0.88×	4.50
CF Montréal over 3.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 1.5 in 1st half	85.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
CF Montréal over 0.5 in 1st half	49.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
CF Montréal under 0.5 in 1st half	50.9%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
CF Montréal over 1.5 in 1st half	14.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.65

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (home no bet)	52.9%	51.6%	54.6%	0.95×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.1%	48.4%	45.4%	1.07×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal even goals	52.2%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
CF Montréal odd goals	47.8%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	21.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	15.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	10.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.29
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal at HT / CF Montréal at FT	26.9%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / CF Montréal at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Atlanta United at HT / Atlanta United at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Atlanta United at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
CF Montréal at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Atlanta United at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Atlanta United at HT / CF Montréal at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
CF Montréal at HT / Atlanta United at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to score last	52.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Atlanta United to score last	40.8%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
CF Montréal to lead by 1 at any time	61.0%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Atlanta United to lead by 1 at any time	47.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
CF Montréal to lead by 2 at any time	29.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Atlanta United to lead by 2 at any time	17.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
CF Montréal to lead by 3 at any time	11.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Atlanta United to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.16

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal most corners	67.3%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Atlanta United most corners	23.7%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Corners level	9.0%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.3%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.8%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.8%	63.4%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.2%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.4%	53.2%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.7%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.4%	48.7%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.6%	43.6%	34.4%	1.27×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.7%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.1%	30.3%	33.1%	0.91×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.1%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.7%	14.9%	17.2%	0.87×	6.72
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal never behind	46.0%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Atlanta United never behind	32.3%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.0%	82.4%	78.8%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	77.2%	77.3%	79.5%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.5%	66.2%	62.9%	1.05×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.8%	52.5%	59.9%	0.88×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	47.2%	47.5%	40.1%	1.19×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.5%	33.8%	37.1%	0.91×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.8%	22.7%	20.5%	1.10×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.0%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.0%	92.5%	87.6%	1.06×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.2%	81.1%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.8%	67.4%	74.5%	0.91×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.7%	62.1%	51.9%	1.20×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.3%	37.9%	48.1%	0.79×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.2%	32.6%	25.5%	1.28×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.8%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.0%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.5%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to score in both halves	80.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
CF Montréal not to score in both halves	71.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
CF Montréal to score in both halves	29.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Atlanta United to score in both halves	20.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.3%	58.4%	61.1%	0.96×	1.71
Only CF Montréal scores	22.9%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.48
Only Atlanta United scores	14.2%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.14
Neither team scores	6.7%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.4%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.1%	17.4%	14.8%	1.18×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.5%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.6%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	6.7%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.09
6 or more goals	6.4%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	31.6%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	19.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to win both halves	93.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
CF Montréal not to win both halves	87.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
CF Montréal to win both halves	12.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Atlanta United to win both halves	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.60

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to win either half	58.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Atlanta United to win neither half	55.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Atlanta United to win either half	44.1%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
CF Montréal to win neither half	41.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to win to nil	85.8%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
CF Montréal not to win to nil	77.1%	78.0%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
CF Montréal to win to nil	22.9%	22.0%	21.1%	1.04×	4.56
Atlanta United to win to nil	14.2%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.9%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
CF Montréal by 1	21.8%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Atlanta United by 1	16.9%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91
CF Montréal by 2	13.7%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.47
CF Montréal by 3+	9.4%	7.3%	10.5%	0.69×	13.77
Atlanta United by 2	8.3%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.78
Atlanta United by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	36.95