CF Montréal v Nashville SC — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 24 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627
USA-MLS
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.6%
- 0-1 10.4%
- 1-2 9.8%
- 0-2 9.6%
- 0-0 6.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 52.8% | Under 2.5 | 47.2% |
| BTTS yes | 53.6% | BTTS no | 46.4% |
| CF Montréal 1+ | 64.1% | CF Montréal 2+ | 27.3% |
| Nashville SC 1+ | 82.9% | Nashville SC 2+ | 52.7% |
Expected goals 1.02 – 1.77. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nashville SC carry the stronger rating, 1687 Elo against 1402.
- Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Nashville SC have an estimated 53.7% win probability, against 23.1% for the draw and 23.1% for CF Montréal. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.02 for CF Montréal and 1.77 for Nashville SC.
Why CF Montréal
Nothing in the data singles out CF Montréal.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why Nashville SC can win
Nashville SC carry the stronger rating, 1687 Elo against 1402. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for CF Montréal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Nashville SC, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
CF Montréal: 50% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Nashville SC: 52% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Nashville SC are the model's most likely outcome at 53.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 0.91–1.92 | 0-2 11% | 54% | 51% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to win | 60.7% | 58.1% | 29.9% | 1.94× | 1.72 |
| Draw | 22.6% | 24.4% | 24.9% | 0.98× | 4.09 |
| CF Montréal to win | 16.7% | 19.3% | 45.4% | 0.43× | 5.17 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC & not both score | 34.1% | 29.7% | 12.3% | 2.43× | 3.36 |
| Nashville SC & both teams score | 26.7% | 25.2% | 17.8% | 1.42× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 16.2% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 0.94× | 5.58 |
| CF Montréal & both teams score | 8.4% | 8.4% | 24.4% | 0.34× | 11.92 |
| CF Montréal & not both score | 8.3% | 8.4% | 21.1% | 0.40× | 11.92 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 1.43× | 11.93 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC & over 1.5 | 49.8% | 45.2% | 23.5% | 1.93× | 2.21 |
| Nashville SC & over 2.5 | 38.9% | 34.9% | 20.3% | 1.72× | 2.86 |
| Nashville SC & under 3.5 | 38.8% | 34.9% | 18.8% | 1.86× | 2.86 |
| Nashville SC & over 3.5 | 22.0% | 21.6% | 11.2% | 1.93× | 4.62 |
| Nashville SC & under 2.5 | 21.9% | 21.6% | 9.7% | 2.22× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 17.1% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 1.12× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 17.1% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 1.12× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 16.2% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 0.94× | 5.56 |
| CF Montréal & under 3.5 | 12.7% | 12.9% | 28.3% | 0.46× | 7.77 |
| CF Montréal & over 1.5 | 11.8% | 12.9% | 37.1% | 0.35× | 7.77 |
| Nashville SC & under 1.5 | 10.9% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 1.97× | 7.77 |
| CF Montréal & over 2.5 | 9.4% | 7.9% | 30.9% | 0.25× | 12.70 |
| CF Montréal & under 2.5 | 7.3% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 0.54× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.35× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 0.88× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 0.88× | 12.70 |
| CF Montréal & under 1.5 | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 0.57× | 20.92 |
| CF Montréal & over 3.5 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 17.2% | 0.28× | 20.93 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC (1UP) | 72.8% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| CF Montréal (1UP) | 34.2% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC (2UP) | 60.7% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| CF Montréal (2UP) | 16.7% | 17.4% | — | — | 5.74 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to win 2nd half | 51.5% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.1% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| CF Montréal to win 2nd half | 16.4% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC (+2.5) | 98.6% | 96.3% | 89.5% | 1.08× | 1.04 |
| Nashville SC (+1.5) | 94.4% | 92.1% | 76.7% | 1.20× | 1.09 |
| Nashville SC (+0.5) | 83.3% | 82.4% | 54.6% | 1.51× | 1.21 |
| Nashville SC (-0.5) | 60.7% | 62.9% | 29.9% | 2.10× | 1.59 |
| CF Montréal (+0.5) | 39.3% | 37.1% | 70.1% | 0.53× | 2.69 |
| CF Montréal (-0.5) | 16.7% | 17.6% | 45.4% | 0.39× | 5.68 |
| CF Montréal (-1.5) | 5.6% | 7.9% | 23.3% | 0.34× | 12.66 |
| CF Montréal (-2.5) | 1.4% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 0.35× | 26.96 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to concede | 59.5% | 62.8% | 82.0% | 0.77× | 1.59 |
| Nashville SC clean sheet | 40.5% | 37.2% | 18.0% | 2.07× | 2.69 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC clean sheet in 1st half | 67.8% | 70.5% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Nashville SC to concede in 1st half | 32.2% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC under 6.5 corners | 79.5% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Nashville SC over 2.5 corners | 76.7% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Nashville SC under 5.5 corners | 68.8% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Nashville SC over 3.5 corners | 60.9% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Nashville SC under 4.5 corners | 55.0% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Nashville SC over 4.5 corners | 45.0% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Nashville SC under 3.5 corners | 39.1% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Nashville SC over 5.5 corners | 31.2% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Nashville SC under 2.5 corners | 23.3% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
| Nashville SC over 6.5 corners | 20.5% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC under 3.5 goals | 87.1% | 87.9% | 93.9% | 0.94× | 1.14 |
| Nashville SC over 0.5 goals | 85.4% | 87.9% | 73.2% | 1.20× | 1.14 |
| Nashville SC under 2.5 goals | 69.8% | 68.0% | 83.3% | 0.82× | 1.47 |
| Nashville SC over 1.5 goals | 57.2% | 59.6% | 38.7% | 1.54× | 1.68 |
| Nashville SC under 1.5 goals | 42.8% | 40.4% | 61.3% | 0.66× | 2.47 |
| Nashville SC over 2.5 goals | 30.2% | 32.0% | 16.7% | 1.91× | 3.12 |
| Nashville SC under 0.5 goals | 14.6% | 12.1% | 26.8% | 0.45× | 8.25 |
| Nashville SC over 3.5 goals | 12.9% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 1.99× | 8.26 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC under 1.5 in 1st half | 82.0% | 83.2% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Nashville SC over 0.5 in 1st half | 53.6% | 55.9% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Nashville SC under 0.5 in 1st half | 46.4% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Nashville SC over 1.5 in 1st half | 18.0% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 57.5% | 57.5% | 35.4% | 1.63× | 1.74 |
| CF Montréal (away no bet) | 42.5% | 42.5% | 64.6% | 0.66× | 2.36 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC even goals | 51.1% | 52.8% | 53.6% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| Nashville SC odd goals | 48.9% | 47.2% | 46.4% | 1.02× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 84.0% | 83.1% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 16.0% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.92 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 66.1% | 68.4% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 33.9% | 31.6% | — | — | 3.16 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 60.2% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Nashville SC to score 2+ in a row | 50.1% | 51.3% | — | — | 1.95 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 25.3% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Nashville SC to score 3+ in a row | 22.5% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.13 |
| CF Montréal to score 2+ in a row | 15.4% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.11 |
| CF Montréal to score 3+ in a row | 3.0% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.55 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal corners (+3.5) | 85.6% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Nashville SC corners (+3.5) | 80.6% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| CF Montréal corners (+2.5) | 78.6% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Nashville SC corners (+2.5) | 72.4% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| CF Montréal corners (+1.5) | 69.7% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Nashville SC corners (+1.5) | 62.6% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| CF Montréal corners (-1.5) | 37.4% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Nashville SC corners (-1.5) | 30.3% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| CF Montréal corners (-2.5) | 27.6% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Nashville SC corners (-2.5) | 21.4% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| CF Montréal corners (-3.5) | 19.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Nashville SC corners (-3.5) | 14.4% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 44.0% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.2% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 26.8% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 80.4% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.2% | 72.7% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 66.8% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 64.6% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 56.0% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 54.7% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45.3% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 44.0% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 35.4% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 33.2% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 26.8% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 19.6% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.20 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 10.9% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 1.75× | 8.74 |
| 0-2 | 10.9% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 3.45× | 8.74 |
| 1-1 | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 1.11× | 8.74 |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 1.00× | 13.47 |
| 0-3 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 4.05× | 13.47 |
| 0-0 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.27× | 13.47 |
| 1-3 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.16× | 13.47 |
| 1-0 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 8.4% | 0.20× | 58.50 |
| 2-1 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 9.9% | 0.17× | 58.50 |
| Any other score | 4.8% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.36× | 58.50 |
| 0-4 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.13× | 58.50 |
| 1-4 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.24× | 58.51 |
| 2-0 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 0.27× | 58.51 |
| 2-2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 0.28× | 58.50 |
| 2-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.71× | 58.51 |
| 2-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.99× | 58.52 |
| 3-0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.41× | 58.52 |
| 3-1 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 0.35× | 58.52 |
| 3-2 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.52 |
| 3-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.65× | 58.52 |
| 3-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.49× | 58.52 |
| 4-0 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.36× | 58.52 |
| 4-1 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.71× | 58.52 |
| 4-2 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.07× | 58.52 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.13× | 58.52 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.73× | 58.52 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC leading at HT (DNB) | 70.7% | 71.3% | — | — | 1.40 |
| CF Montréal leading at HT (DNB) | 29.3% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.49 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC or draw (X2) | 83.3% | 80.7% | 54.6% | 1.48× | 1.24 |
| CF Montréal or Nashville SC (12) | 77.4% | 75.6% | 75.1% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| CF Montréal or draw (1X) | 39.3% | 41.9% | 70.1% | 0.60× | 2.39 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC or draw at HT | 82.9% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| CF Montréal or draw at HT | 58.8% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| CF Montréal or Nashville SC at HT | 58.3% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC or draw (1UP) | 83.3% | 88.5% | — | — | 1.13 |
| CF Montréal or draw (1UP) | 39.3% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC or draw in 2nd half | 83.6% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| CF Montréal or Nashville SC in 2nd half | 67.9% | 65.7% | — | — | 1.52 |
| CF Montréal or draw in 2nd half | 48.5% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 59.9% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 40.1% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC (DNB) | 78.4% | 74.6% | 39.7% | 1.88× | 1.34 |
| CF Montréal (DNB) | 21.6% | 25.4% | 60.3% | 0.42× | 3.94 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to score first | 63.7% | 64.7% | — | — | 1.55 |
| CF Montréal to score first | 30.0% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| No goal scored | 6.4% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.41 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 51.3% | 51.4% | 61.1% | 0.84× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 48.7% | 48.6% | 38.9% | 1.25× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 40.5% | 41.6% | 50.9% | 0.82× | 2.41 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 35.6% | 38.5% | 29.9% | 1.29× | 2.60 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 1.34× | 8.12 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 1.19× | 8.12 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 86.9% | 85.7% | 79.5% | 1.08× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 13.1% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 0.70× | 6.97 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 72.3% | 74.2% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 27.7% | 25.8% | — | — | 3.88 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 59.7% | 59.7% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 23.0% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.78 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.6% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.48 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.8% | 5.0% | — | — | 20.10 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 82.6% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 17.4% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.83 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 55.9% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A half without a goal | 44.1% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.4% | 47.4% | 42.5% | 1.12× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 28.9% | 26.5% | 33.1% | 0.80× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 22.2% | 22.8% | 20.5% | 1.11× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 0.44× | 54.99 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to score 3+ | 30.2% | 33.8% | 16.7% | 2.02× | 2.96 |
| Nashville SC to score exactly 1 | 28.1% | 27.4% | 34.6% | 0.79× | 3.65 |
| Nashville SC to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 27.4% | 22.1% | 1.24× | 3.65 |
| Nashville SC to score exactly 0 | 14.6% | 12.8% | 26.8% | 0.48× | 7.80 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal to score exactly 1 | 36.6% | 35.6% | 31.0% | 1.15× | 2.81 |
| CF Montréal to score exactly 0 | 40.5% | 34.9% | 18.0% | 1.94× | 2.87 |
| CF Montréal to score exactly 2 | 16.6% | 18.9% | 26.0% | 0.73× | 5.30 |
| CF Montréal to score 3+ | 6.4% | 10.3% | 25.2% | 0.41× | 9.73 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 41.7% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.31 |
| Nashville SC leading at HT | 41.2% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.31 |
| CF Montréal leading at HT | 17.1% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.40 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC -1: 1 | 39.3% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Nashville SC -1: 2 | 36.6% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Nashville SC -1: X | 24.2% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC (0:1) | 83.3% | 77.7% | 54.6% | 1.42× | 1.29 |
| Draw (0:1) | 11.1% | 13.8% | 22.2% | 0.62× | 7.23 |
| CF Montréal (0:1) | 5.6% | 9.2% | 23.3% | 0.39× | 10.91 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC (0:2) | 94.4% | 90.9% | 76.7% | 1.18× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:2) | 4.2% | 3.8% | 12.8% | 0.29× | 26.49 |
| CF Montréal (0:2) | 1.4% | 3.8% | 10.5% | 0.36× | 26.65 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC (0:3) | 98.6% | 96.6% | 89.5% | 1.08× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 1.1% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 0.36× | 42.16 |
| CF Montréal (0:3) | 0.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 0.59× | 42.20 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC (0:4) | 99.7% | 98.1% | 96.0% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| CF Montréal (0:4) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.58× | 83.61 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.58× | 83.59 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal (1:0) | 39.3% | 37.6% | 70.1% | 0.54× | 2.66 |
| Nashville SC (1:0) | 36.6% | 37.4% | 13.2% | 2.84× | 2.68 |
| Draw (1:0) | 24.2% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 1.29× | 4.59 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal (2:0) | 63.4% | 67.0% | 86.8% | 0.77× | 1.49 |
| Draw (2:0) | 18.8% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 1.81× | 6.35 |
| Nashville SC (2:0) | 17.8% | 15.7% | 4.6% | 3.43× | 6.36 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.9% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.2% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
| Halves equal | 24.9% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.11 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal to concede | 85.4% | 85.9% | 73.2% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| CF Montréal clean sheet | 14.6% | 14.1% | 26.8% | 0.52× | 7.11 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal to concede in 1st half | 53.6% | 55.9% | — | — | 1.79 |
| CF Montréal clean sheet in 1st half | 46.4% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal over 2.5 corners | 80.4% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| CF Montréal under 6.5 corners | 75.0% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| CF Montréal over 3.5 corners | 65.9% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| CF Montréal under 5.5 corners | 63.5% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| CF Montréal over 4.5 corners | 50.5% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| CF Montréal under 4.5 corners | 49.5% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| CF Montréal over 5.5 corners | 36.5% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| CF Montréal under 3.5 corners | 34.1% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| CF Montréal over 6.5 corners | 25.0% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| CF Montréal under 2.5 corners | 19.6% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal under 3.5 goals | 98.6% | 96.4% | 90.6% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| CF Montréal under 2.5 goals | 93.6% | 92.3% | 74.8% | 1.23× | 1.08 |
| CF Montréal under 1.5 goals | 77.1% | 77.7% | 48.9% | 1.59× | 1.29 |
| CF Montréal over 0.5 goals | 59.5% | 58.8% | 82.0% | 0.72× | 1.70 |
| CF Montréal under 0.5 goals | 40.5% | 41.2% | 18.0% | 2.29× | 2.43 |
| CF Montréal over 1.5 goals | 22.9% | 22.3% | 51.1% | 0.44× | 4.49 |
| CF Montréal over 2.5 goals | 6.4% | 7.7% | 25.2% | 0.31× | 12.93 |
| CF Montréal over 3.5 goals | 1.4% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 0.39× | 27.52 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal under 1.5 in 1st half | 94.1% | 95.5% | — | — | 1.05 |
| CF Montréal under 0.5 in 1st half | 67.8% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| CF Montréal over 0.5 in 1st half | 32.2% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| CF Montréal over 1.5 in 1st half | 5.9% | 4.5% | — | — | 22.11 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC (home no bet) | 72.9% | 66.6% | 54.6% | 1.22× | 1.50 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 27.1% | 33.4% | 45.4% | 0.74× | 2.99 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal even goals | 58.2% | 55.5% | 51.0% | 1.09× | 1.80 |
| CF Montréal odd goals | 41.8% | 44.5% | 49.0% | 0.91× | 2.25 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 31.5% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| HT 0-1 | 24.1% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| HT 1-0 | 12.1% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.11 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.14 |
| HT 0-2 | 9.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.14 |
| Any other HT score | 5.0% | 7.0% | — | — | 14.21 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.80 |
| HT 2-0 | 2.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.89 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.93 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 44.02 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC at HT / Nashville SC at FT | 36.1% | 40.8% | — | — | 2.45 |
| Draw at HT / Nashville SC at FT | 21.2% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 13.9% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| CF Montréal at HT / CF Montréal at FT | 9.0% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.53 |
| Draw at HT / CF Montréal at FT | 6.6% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.61 |
| CF Montréal at HT / Draw at FT | 4.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.81 |
| Nashville SC at HT / Draw at FT | 4.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.83 |
| CF Montréal at HT / Nashville SC at FT | 3.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.85 |
| Nashville SC at HT / CF Montréal at FT | 1.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.95 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to score last | 63.7% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| CF Montréal to score last | 29.9% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.67 |
| No goal scored | 6.4% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.41 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.6% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Nashville SC to lead by 1 at any time | 72.8% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 52.2% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Nashville SC to lead by 2 at any time | 42.9% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| CF Montréal to lead by 1 at any time | 34.2% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 22.6% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Nashville SC to lead by 3 at any time | 20.4% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.12 |
| CF Montréal to lead by 2 at any time | 9.5% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.13 |
| CF Montréal to lead by 3 at any time | 2.1% | 1.6% | — | — | 64.41 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal most corners | 48.3% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Nashville SC most corners | 40.6% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Corners level | 11.1% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.9% | 87.4% | 83.2% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 78.0% | 78.6% | 73.1% | 1.08× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 75.3% | 78.6% | 75.5% | 1.04× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.1% | 72.4% | 68.5% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 62.2% | 63.4% | 57.2% | 1.11× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.2% | 63.4% | 58.4% | 1.09× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 51.2% | 53.2% | 55.9% | 0.95× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 47.0% | 48.7% | 48.9% | 0.99× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.4% | 48.7% | 42.5% | 1.15× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 39.9% | 39.2% | 34.4% | 1.14× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.0% | 39.2% | 38.8% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 28.9% | 30.2% | 33.1% | 0.91× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 24.7% | 24.5% | 26.1% | 0.94× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 13.1% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 0.87× | 6.72 |
| 7+ goals | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 0.62× | 39.40 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC never behind | 59.5% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
| CF Montréal never behind | 20.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.9% | 50.8% | 50.2% | 1.01× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 51.1% | 49.2% | 49.8% | 0.99× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.1% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.9% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.1% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.9% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.6% | 92.3% | 94.2% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.3% | 92.3% | 88.9% | 1.04× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84.4% | 82.4% | 78.8% | 1.05× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.8% | 77.4% | 79.5% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68.6% | 66.2% | 62.9% | 1.05× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.7% | 52.5% | 59.9% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.3% | 47.5% | 40.1% | 1.19× | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.4% | 33.8% | 37.1% | 0.91× | 2.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22.2% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 1.10× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15.6% | 17.6% | 21.2% | 0.83× | 5.68 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 0.70× | 12.95 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.32× | 12.95 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.4% | 97.2% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 92.6% | 92.5% | 87.6% | 1.06× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 81.4% | 81.1% | 74.8% | 1.08× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 70.7% | 72.6% | 74.5% | 0.97× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 59.6% | 55.5% | 51.9% | 1.07× | 1.80 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 40.4% | 44.5% | 48.1% | 0.92× | 2.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 29.3% | 27.4% | 25.5% | 1.08× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 18.6% | 18.9% | 25.2% | 0.75× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 7.4% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 0.61× | 13.27 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 0.62× | 36.34 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 88.8% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 68.5% | 69.2% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 67.7% | 69.1% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 32.3% | 30.9% | — | — | 3.24 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 31.5% | 30.8% | — | — | 3.24 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 11.2% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 81.0% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 76.6% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 50.1% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 49.9% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 23.4% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.97 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 19.0% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.84 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal not to score in both halves | 87.0% | 86.0% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Nashville SC not to score in both halves | 63.3% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Nashville SC to score in both halves | 36.7% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| CF Montréal to score in both halves | 13.0% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.14 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 51.3% | 53.9% | 61.1% | 0.88× | 1.86 |
| Only Nashville SC scores | 34.1% | 33.4% | 12.3% | 2.72× | 3.00 |
| Only CF Montréal scores | 8.3% | 7.2% | 21.1% | 0.34× | 13.90 |
| Neither team scores | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.23× | 13.92 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 24.1% | 22.6% | 19.7% | 1.15× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 22.9% | 0.99× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 15.8% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 1.18× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.8% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 1.09× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 0.75× | 13.09 |
| 6 or more goals | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 0.69× | 13.10 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.31× | 13.10 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 49.9% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 31.2% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.98 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 19.0% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.84 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal not to win both halves | 97.2% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Nashville SC not to win both halves | 78.7% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Nashville SC to win both halves | 21.3% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| CF Montréal to win both halves | 2.8% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.86 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to win either half | 71.4% | 72.9% | — | — | 1.37 |
| CF Montréal to win neither half | 69.4% | 68.0% | — | — | 1.47 |
| CF Montréal to win either half | 30.6% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Nashville SC to win neither half | 28.6% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.70 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal not to win to nil | 91.7% | 92.0% | 78.9% | 1.17× | 1.09 |
| Nashville SC not to win to nil | 65.9% | 69.6% | 87.7% | 0.79× | 1.44 |
| Nashville SC to win to nil | 34.1% | 30.4% | 12.3% | 2.48× | 3.29 |
| CF Montréal to win to nil | 8.3% | 8.0% | 21.1% | 0.38× | 12.54 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC by 1 | 24.2% | 24.2% | 16.8% | 1.43× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 22.6% | 24.2% | 24.9% | 0.97× | 4.14 |
| Nashville SC by 2 | 18.8% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 1.95× | 5.90 |
| Nashville SC by 3+ | 17.8% | 17.0% | 4.6% | 3.70× | 5.90 |
| CF Montréal by 1 | 11.1% | 11.8% | 22.2% | 0.53× | 8.47 |
| CF Montréal by 2 | 4.2% | 2.7% | 12.8% | 0.21× | 37.00 |
| CF Montréal by 3+ | 1.4% | 2.7% | 10.5% | 0.26× | 37.09 |