Chelsea v Brighton and Hove Albion — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 3 December 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
8 – 18
On target
4 – 9
Shots in box
5 – 9
xG per shot
0.21 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
1.40 – 0.42
Goals − xG
+1.34 – +1.14
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Chelsea 1.66 xGBrighton and Hove Albion 0.86 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Chelsea attacking right
Brighton and Hove Albion attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16' |
 Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.50 | From Corner | — | Goal | Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi |
| 18' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.07 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | — |
| 20' |
Chelsea |
Levi Colwill | 0.13 | From Corner | — | Goal | Nicolas Jackson |
| 37' |
 Brighton and Hove Albion |
Simon Adingra | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Billy Gilmour |
| 38' |
Chelsea |
Mykhailo Mudryk | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi |
| 42' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Facundo Buonanotte | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Adam Lallana |
| 44' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.15 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 46' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Carlos Baleba | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Simon Adingra |
| 48' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Carlos Baleba | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Facundo Buonanotte |
| 49' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Evan Ferguson | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Simon Adingra |
| 55' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Adam Lallana | 0.09 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Simon Adingra |
| 59' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
James Milner | 0.01 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 64' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.76 | Right Foot | Goal | — | |
| 70' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Billy Gilmour | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Kaoru Mitoma |
| 77' |
Chelsea |
Moisés Caicedo | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 79' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Simon Adingra | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | James Milner |
| 81' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Kaoru Mitoma | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Saved Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 84' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Pascal Groß | 0.06 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 85' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Pascal Groß | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 90' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
João Pedro | 0.06 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Simon Adingra |
| 90' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Pascal Groß | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Jan Paul van Hecke |
| 90' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Pascal Groß | 0.04 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Simon Adingra |
| 91' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
João Pedro | 0.14 | From Corner | — | Goal | James Milner |
| 94' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 97' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
Evan Ferguson | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Pascal Groß |
| 98' |
Brighton and Hove Albion |
João Pedro | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | James Milner |
Players
Brighton and Hove Albion
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Ferguson FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Simon Adingra AML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| Billy Gilmour DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.20 |
| Joël Veltman DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Jason Steele GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Igor Julio DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Jan Paul van Hecke DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Adam Lallana AMC | 63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Facundo Buonanotte AMR | 63 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| Carlos Baleba DMC | 63 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Jack Hinshelwood DL | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| João Pedro Sub | 27 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Pascal Groß Sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| Kaoru Mitoma Sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.16 |
| James Milner Sub | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Benicio Baker-Boaitey Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Fernández DMC | 90 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Levi Colwill DL | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Moisés Caicedo DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Robert Sánchez GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Thiago Silva DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi DC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.53 | 0.02 |
| Axel Disasi DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Mykhailo Mudryk AML | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Nicolas Jackson FW | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Raheem Sterling AMR | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Conor Gallagher AMC | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Cole Palmer Sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Ian Maatsen Sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Armando Broja Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |