Chelsea v Burnley — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 30 March 2024 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
33 – 18
On target
13 – 6
Shots in box
22 – 14
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.88 – 0.94
Goals − xG
-2.47 – -0.38
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Chelsea 4.47 xGBurnley 2.38 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Chelsea attacking right
Burnley attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1' |
 Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Marc Cucurella |
| 3' |
 Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Lyle Foster |
| 4' |
Burnley |
Jacob Bruun Larsen | 0.04 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 8' |
Burnley |
Jacob Bruun Larsen | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Sander Berge |
| 8' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Conor Gallagher |
| 8' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Mykhailo Mudryk |
| 10' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.04 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Mykhailo Mudryk |
| 11' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Malo Gusto |
| 12' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.12 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Conor Gallagher |
| 13' |
Burnley |
Wilson Odobert | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Arijanet Muric |
| 14' |
Burnley |
Maxime Estève | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Jacob Bruun Larsen |
| 16' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Malo Gusto |
| 16' |
Chelsea |
Mykhailo Mudryk | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 18' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.51 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 23' |
Chelsea |
Conor Gallagher | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Mykhailo Mudryk |
| 24' |
Burnley |
Sander Berge | 0.11 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 24' |
Burnley |
Zeki Amdouni | 0.05 | Set Piece | — | Blocked Shot | Dara O'Shea |
| 25' |
Burnley |
Josh Cullen | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Dara O'Shea |
| 28' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Malo Gusto |
| 33' |
Chelsea |
Mykhailo Mudryk | 0.12 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Nicolas Jackson |
| 35' |
Burnley |
Jacob Bruun Larsen | 0.05 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 37' |
Burnley |
Jacob Bruun Larsen | 0.08 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Wilson Odobert |
| 38' |
Chelsea |
Marc Cucurella | 0.33 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Malo Gusto |
| 43' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.76 | Left Foot | Goal | — | |
| 46' |
Burnley |
Josh Cullen | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Josh Brownhill |
| 46' |
Burnley |
Maxime Estève | 0.03 | Set Piece | — | Missed Shot | Jacob Bruun Larsen |
| 50' |
Chelsea |
Malo Gusto | 0.34 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Nicolas Jackson |
| 51' |
Chelsea |
Malo Gusto | 0.04 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Marc Cucurella |
| 56' |
Burnley |
Lyle Foster | 0.41 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Josh Cullen |
| 56' |
Burnley |
Lyle Foster | 0.62 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 56' |
Chelsea |
Malo Gusto | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Enzo Fernández |
| 57' |
Chelsea |
Conor Gallagher | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Marc Cucurella |
| 59' |
Chelsea |
Mykhailo Mudryk | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Conor Gallagher |
| 62' |
Chelsea |
Enzo Fernández | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Nicolas Jackson |
| 62' |
Chelsea |
Nicolas Jackson | 0.39 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Mykhailo Mudryk |
| 64' |
Chelsea |
Mykhailo Mudryk | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Marc Cucurella |
| 68' |
Chelsea |
Noni Madueke | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Nicolas Jackson |
| 73' |
Chelsea |
Noni Madueke | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 74' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Marc Cucurella |
| 75' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Malo Gusto |
| 77' |
Chelsea |
Cole Palmer | 0.36 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Raheem Sterling |
| 80' |
Burnley |
Dara O'Shea | 0.07 | From Corner | — | Goal | Josh Cullen |
| 82' |
Chelsea |
Noni Madueke | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 83' |
Burnley |
Jay Rodriguez | 0.10 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Josh Brownhill |
| 84' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.30 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 87' |
Burnley |
Jay Rodriguez | 0.03 | From Corner | — | Shot On Post | Josh Cullen |
| 87' |
Burnley |
Jay Rodriguez | 0.51 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 88' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Enzo Fernández |
| 90' |
Chelsea |
Alfie Gilchrist | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Noni Madueke |
| 90' |
Chelsea |
Raheem Sterling | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Cole Palmer |
| 94' |
Chelsea |
Noni Madueke | 0.04 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Cole Palmer |
Players
Burnley
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sander Berge MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| Maxime Estève DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Dara O'Shea DC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| Josh Cullen MC | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| Vitinho DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Arijanet Muric GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.54 |
| Lyle Foster FW | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1.03 | 0.09 | 1.20 |
| Wilson Odobert ML | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.60 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen MR | 53 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| Charlie Taylor Sub | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| Zeki Amdouni FW | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Lorenz Assignon DR | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Josh Brownhill Sub | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.55 |
| Jay Rodriguez Sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Johann Berg Gudmundsson Sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Palmer AMR | 90 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 1.59 | 0.90 | 2.29 |
| Nicolas Jackson FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0.96 | 0.56 | 1.56 |
| Malo Gusto DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0.48 | 0.57 | 1.75 |
| Marc Cucurella DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 2.30 |
| Mykhailo Mudryk AML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.24 | 0.55 | 1.50 |
| Enzo Fernández DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 3.14 |
| Djordje Petrovic GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.49 |
| Axel Disasi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.17 |
| Moisés Caicedo DMC | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.62 |
| Conor Gallagher AMC | 69 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.09 | 0.30 | 0.49 |
| Noni Madueke Sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| Raheem Sterling Sub | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.78 |
| Alfie Gilchrist Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 |