Chengdu Rongcheng v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Chengdu Rongcheng

07:35

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 829h before kick-off

Chengdu Rongcheng win

56.0%

model 55.0%

Draw

22.0%

model 23.5%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win

22.0%

model 21.5%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.1%
2-1 9.9%
1-0 9.6%
2-0 9.2%
3-1 6.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.8%	Under 2.5	44.2%
BTTS yes	55.8%	BTTS no	44.2%
Chengdu Rongcheng 1+	84.2%	Chengdu Rongcheng 2+	55.0%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1+	65.8%	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2+	29.1%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Chengdu Rongcheng carry the stronger rating, 1653 Elo against 1516.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0120 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Chengdu Rongcheng have an estimated 56.0% win probability, against 22.0% for the draw and 22.0% for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for Chengdu Rongcheng and 1.07 for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Why Chengdu Rongcheng

Chengdu Rongcheng carry the stronger rating, 1653 Elo against 1516.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Tianjin Jinmen Tiger can win

Nothing in the data singles out Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Chengdu Rongcheng, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Chengdu Rongcheng: 53% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 46% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Chengdu Rongcheng are the model's most likely outcome at 56.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	552420	1.74–0.96	1-1 12%	51%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng to win	55.3%	54.0%	46.0%	1.17×	1.85
Draw	24.4%	24.5%	26.2%	0.93×	4.09
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win	20.3%	24.4%	28.0%	0.87×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng & not both score	31.1%	29.7%	23.2%	1.28×	3.37
Chengdu Rongcheng & both teams score	24.2%	21.9%	23.0%	0.95×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.58
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & not both score	10.4%	13.3%	9.8%	1.35×	7.55
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & both teams score	9.9%	8.4%	18.5%	0.45×	11.92
Draw & not both score	7.1%	8.4%	4.3%	1.94×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng & over 1.5	44.0%	40.3%	36.4%	1.11×	2.48
Chengdu Rongcheng & under 3.5	37.1%	34.9%	27.3%	1.28×	2.86
Chengdu Rongcheng & over 2.5	33.8%	30.9%	29.4%	1.05×	3.24
Chengdu Rongcheng & under 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	16.9%	1.28×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.7%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Chengdu Rongcheng & over 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & over 1.5	14.3%	12.9%	23.7%	0.54×	7.77
Chengdu Rongcheng & under 1.5	11.3%	12.9%	9.8%	1.31×	7.77
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & over 2.5	11.2%	12.9%	21.0%	0.61×	7.77
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & under 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	4.3%	1.82×	12.70
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	4.6%	1.73×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	12.3%	0.39×	20.92

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng (1UP)	68.4%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (1UP)	37.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.94

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng (2UP)	55.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (2UP)	20.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng to win 2nd half	44.4%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
2nd half drawn	34.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win 2nd half	20.7%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+2.5)	86.1%	88.5%	89.3%	0.99×	1.13
Chengdu Rongcheng (+0.5)	79.7%	78.5%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+1.5)	68.9%	68.7%	74.7%	0.92×	1.46
Chengdu Rongcheng (-0.5)	55.3%	57.0%	46.0%	1.24×	1.76
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+0.5)	44.7%	43.0%	54.0%	0.80×	2.33
Chengdu Rongcheng (-1.5)	31.1%	31.3%	25.3%	1.24×	3.20
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-0.5)	20.3%	21.5%	28.0%	0.77×	4.65
Chengdu Rongcheng (-2.5)	13.9%	11.5%	10.7%	1.08×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to concede	82.4%	81.3%	86.1%	0.94×	1.23
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger clean sheet	17.6%	18.7%	13.9%	1.34×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger clean sheet in 1st half	47.3%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to concede in 1st half	52.7%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 6.5 corners	94.1%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 5.5 corners	88.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 4.5 corners	78.0%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 3.5 corners	62.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 2.5 corners	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 2.5 corners	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 3.5 corners	37.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 4.5 corners	22.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 5.5 corners	11.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 6.5 corners	5.9%	9.9%	—	—	10.09

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.6%	92.9%	1.05×	1.03
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 2.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	83.1%	1.11×	1.08
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 1.5 goals	75.0%	72.0%	60.8%	1.18×	1.39
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 0.5 goals	61.8%	62.9%	72.7%	0.87×	1.59
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 0.5 goals	38.2%	37.1%	27.3%	1.36×	2.70
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 1.5 goals	25.0%	28.0%	39.2%	0.72×	3.57
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 2.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	16.9%	0.45×	13.07
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.4%	7.1%	0.35×	40.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 1.5 in 1st half	94.2%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger under 0.5 in 1st half	68.1%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 0.5 in 1st half	31.9%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.23

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng (away no bet)	69.4%	66.5%	63.7%	1.04×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	30.6%	33.5%	36.3%	0.92×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger even goals	57.3%	56.9%	54.7%	1.04×	1.76
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger odd goals	42.7%	43.1%	45.3%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.4%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Chengdu Rongcheng to score 2+ in a row	44.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Chengdu Rongcheng to score 3+ in a row	18.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score 2+ in a row	17.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score 3+ in a row	3.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.11

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng corners (+3.5)	98.3%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Chengdu Rongcheng corners (+2.5)	96.7%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Chengdu Rongcheng corners (+1.5)	94.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Chengdu Rongcheng corners (-1.5)	76.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Chengdu Rongcheng corners (-2.5)	66.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Chengdu Rongcheng corners (-3.5)	56.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (+3.5)	43.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (+2.5)	33.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (+1.5)	23.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (-1.5)	6.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (-2.5)	3.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.56
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger corners (-3.5)	1.7%	4.2%	—	—	23.61

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.9%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	70.6%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	62.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	57.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	47.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	29.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.3%	11.4%	9.8%	1.17×	8.74
1-1	11.6%	11.4%	12.3%	0.93×	8.74
2-0	10.2%	11.4%	7.3%	1.57×	8.74
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.47
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	4.3%	1.72×	13.47
0-1	6.0%	7.4%	4.6%	1.63×	13.47
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.47
3-0	5.9%	7.4%	3.4%	2.17×	13.47
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	6.2%	1.21×	13.47
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.50
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.51
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.52
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.52
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.51
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.52
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.52
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.52
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.51
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.52
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.52
4-0	2.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.51
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.51
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.52
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.50×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
Any other score	3.5%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng leading at HT (DNB)	70.2%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger leading at HT (DNB)	29.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.48

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng or draw (1X)	79.7%	75.6%	72.0%	1.05×	1.32
Chengdu Rongcheng or Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (12)	75.6%	75.5%	73.8%	1.02×	1.32
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or draw (X2)	44.7%	46.0%	54.0%	0.85×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng or draw at HT	82.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or draw at HT	59.5%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Chengdu Rongcheng or Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at HT	57.7%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng or draw (1UP)	79.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or draw (1UP)	44.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng or draw in 2nd half	79.3%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Chengdu Rongcheng or Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in 2nd half	65.2%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or draw in 2nd half	55.6%	58.7%	—	—	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	38.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng (DNB)	73.1%	71.5%	62.2%	1.15×	1.40
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (DNB)	26.9%	28.5%	37.8%	0.75×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng to score first	59.8%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score first	33.1%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
No goal scored	7.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.3%	51.4%	63.1%	0.82×	1.94
Not both teams to score	48.7%	48.6%	36.9%	1.32×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.7%	38.5%	51.0%	0.76×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	37.7%	38.5%	28.0%	1.37×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	11.0%	12.3%	9.1%	1.35×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.0%	85.7%	78.4%	1.09×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.0%	14.3%	21.6%	0.66×	6.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.3%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.7%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.0%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.77
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.48
Both score in both halves	4.6%	5.0%	—	—	20.13

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	46.1%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
4-6 goals	26.6%	26.4%	36.9%	0.72×	3.78
0-1 goals	24.4%	22.8%	18.2%	1.25×	4.38
7+ goals	2.1%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.04

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score exactly 0	38.2%	36.0%	27.3%	1.32×	2.78
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	33.7%	1.07×	2.78
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score exactly 2	17.7%	19.5%	22.6%	0.87×	5.12
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score 3+	7.3%	8.5%	16.9%	0.50×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng to score exactly 1	30.5%	32.6%	34.2%	0.96×	3.06
Chengdu Rongcheng to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	26.2%	1.01×	3.77
Chengdu Rongcheng to score 3+	25.3%	26.5%	26.2%	1.01×	3.77
Chengdu Rongcheng to score exactly 0	17.6%	18.9%	13.9%	1.36×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.3%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Chengdu Rongcheng leading at HT	40.5%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger leading at HT	17.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng -1: 2	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Chengdu Rongcheng -1: 1	31.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Chengdu Rongcheng -1: X	24.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (0:1)	44.7%	42.7%	54.0%	0.79×	2.34
Chengdu Rongcheng (0:1)	31.1%	30.0%	25.3%	1.19×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	24.2%	24.3%	21.0%	1.16×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (0:2)	68.9%	72.2%	74.7%	0.97×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.1%	15.3%	14.8%	1.03×	6.54
Chengdu Rongcheng (0:2)	13.9%	11.0%	10.7%	1.03×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (0:3)	86.1%	90.7%	89.3%	1.02×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.8%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.16
Chengdu Rongcheng (0:3)	5.1%	5.8%	5.0%	1.16×	17.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (0:4)	94.9%	94.7%	95.0%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.5%	1.2%	3.9%	0.31×	83.19
Chengdu Rongcheng (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	83.43

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng (1:0)	79.7%	78.5%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.2%	12.8%	16.4%	0.78×	7.80
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (1:0)	7.1%	6.9%	11.8%	0.58×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng (2:0)	92.9%	94.0%	88.2%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.2%	6.4%	7.1%	0.91×	15.55
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (2:0)	1.9%	2.3%	5.0%	0.45×	44.39

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng to concede	61.8%	63.4%	72.7%	0.87×	1.58
Chengdu Rongcheng clean sheet	38.2%	36.6%	27.3%	1.34×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng clean sheet in 1st half	68.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Chengdu Rongcheng to concede in 1st half	31.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng over 2.5 corners	94.8%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Chengdu Rongcheng over 3.5 corners	88.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Chengdu Rongcheng over 4.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Chengdu Rongcheng over 5.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Chengdu Rongcheng over 6.5 corners	57.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Chengdu Rongcheng under 6.5 corners	42.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Chengdu Rongcheng under 5.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Chengdu Rongcheng under 4.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Chengdu Rongcheng under 3.5 corners	11.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.28
Chengdu Rongcheng under 2.5 corners	5.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng under 3.5 goals	90.1%	92.2%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Chengdu Rongcheng over 0.5 goals	82.4%	82.1%	86.1%	0.95×	1.22
Chengdu Rongcheng under 2.5 goals	74.7%	74.2%	73.8%	1.01×	1.35
Chengdu Rongcheng over 1.5 goals	51.9%	53.2%	52.2%	1.02×	1.88
Chengdu Rongcheng under 1.5 goals	48.1%	46.8%	47.8%	0.98×	2.14
Chengdu Rongcheng over 2.5 goals	25.3%	25.8%	26.2%	0.98×	3.88
Chengdu Rongcheng under 0.5 goals	17.6%	17.9%	13.9%	1.29×	5.59
Chengdu Rongcheng over 3.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	10.5%	0.74×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng under 1.5 in 1st half	82.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Chengdu Rongcheng under 0.5 in 1st half	47.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Chengdu Rongcheng over 0.5 in 1st half	52.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
Chengdu Rongcheng over 1.5 in 1st half	17.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.6%	51.6%	48.3%	1.07×	1.94
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (home no bet)	45.4%	48.4%	51.7%	0.94×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng even goals	51.5%	50.6%	48.3%	1.05×	1.98
Chengdu Rongcheng odd goals	48.5%	49.4%	51.7%	0.95×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
HT 1-0	24.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-0	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
Any other HT score	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.72
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.81
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.89
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.94
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	44.02

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng at HT / Chengdu Rongcheng at FT	34.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.07
Draw at HT / Chengdu Rongcheng at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at HT / Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at FT	8.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Chengdu Rongcheng at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at HT / Chengdu Rongcheng at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Chengdu Rongcheng at HT / Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng to score last	59.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score last	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
No goal scored	7.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Chengdu Rongcheng to lead by 1 at any time	68.4%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to lead by 1 at any time	37.7%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Chengdu Rongcheng to lead by 2 at any time	37.3%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.1%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Chengdu Rongcheng to lead by 3 at any time	16.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to lead by 2 at any time	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.63
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to lead by 3 at any time	2.8%	1.6%	—	—	63.74

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng most corners	83.9%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger most corners	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Corners level	6.0%	8.5%	—	—	11.82

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	84.7%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.2%	78.6%	74.7%	1.05×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.5%	72.4%	77.9%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.9%	69.0%	70.8%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.3%	63.4%	55.1%	1.15×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.8%	63.4%	60.8%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.6%	48.7%	56.0%	0.87×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.0%	48.7%	49.0%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	42.2%	43.6%	36.0%	1.21×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.0%	39.2%	39.0%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.6%	30.2%	36.9%	0.82×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.9%	24.5%	29.8%	0.82×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.7%	14.9%	17.3%	0.86×	6.73
7+ goals	2.1%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.42

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng never behind	55.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger never behind	24.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	46.2%	1.10×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	53.8%	0.91×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	95.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.3%	87.6%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.6%	77.4%	81.8%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	71.4%	72.5%	59.2%	1.22×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.7%	52.4%	59.9%	0.88×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	49.3%	47.6%	40.1%	1.19×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	28.6%	27.5%	40.8%	0.67×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	24.4%	22.6%	18.2%	1.24×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	21.2%	0.58×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	4.3%	1.79×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	11.2%	0.69×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.8%	92.5%	87.6%	1.06×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.9%	81.1%	73.7%	1.10×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.5%	67.4%	76.7%	0.88×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.3%	62.1%	49.6%	1.25×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.7%	37.9%	50.4%	0.75×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.5%	32.6%	23.3%	1.40×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.1%	18.9%	26.3%	0.72×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.2%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.36

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.6%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.7%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.3%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.4%	30.8%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.4%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.6%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger not to score in both halves	86.0%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Chengdu Rongcheng not to score in both halves	66.9%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Chengdu Rongcheng to score in both halves	33.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to score in both halves	14.0%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.3%	53.9%	63.1%	0.85×	1.86
Only Chengdu Rongcheng scores	31.1%	33.3%	23.2%	1.44×	3.00
Only Tianjin Jinmen Tiger scores	10.4%	10.9%	9.8%	1.12×	9.15
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.2%	4.3%	1.66×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.9%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.3%	17.4%	14.1%	1.24×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.9%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	8.1%	7.6%	10.3%	0.75×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.6%	4.3%	1.76×	13.09
6 or more goals	5.7%	7.6%	11.2%	0.68×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.6%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	21.0%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger not to win both halves	96.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Chengdu Rongcheng not to win both halves	81.9%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Chengdu Rongcheng to win both halves	18.1%	15.9%	—	—	6.28
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win both halves	3.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.53

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Chengdu Rongcheng to win either half	66.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win neither half	65.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win either half	34.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Chengdu Rongcheng to win neither half	33.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger not to win to nil	89.6%	88.2%	90.2%	0.98×	1.13
Chengdu Rongcheng not to win to nil	68.9%	69.7%	76.8%	0.91×	1.44
Chengdu Rongcheng to win to nil	31.1%	30.3%	23.2%	1.31×	3.30
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win to nil	10.4%	11.8%	9.8%	1.20×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.4%	24.2%	26.2%	0.92×	4.14
Chengdu Rongcheng by 1	24.2%	24.2%	21.0%	1.15×	4.14
Chengdu Rongcheng by 2	17.1%	17.0%	14.8%	1.14×	5.90
Chengdu Rongcheng by 3+	13.9%	11.8%	10.7%	1.10×	8.47
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger by 1	13.2%	11.8%	16.4%	0.72×	8.47
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger by 2	5.2%	7.2%	7.1%	1.03×	13.81
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	37.08