Cobresal v Everton — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Cobresal

15:00

Everton

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,366h before kick-off

Cobresal win

33.0%

model 34.8%

Draw

23.9%

model 20.8%

Everton win

43.1%

model 44.4%

332443

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 10.6%
1-1 9.6%
1-0 9.4%
1-2 9.0%
2-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.2%	Under 2.5	44.8%
BTTS yes	56.2%	BTTS no	43.8%
Cobresal 1+	73.8%	Cobresal 2+	38.7%
Everton 1+	78.8%	Everton 2+	45.9%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.55. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Everton carry the stronger rating, 1591 Elo against 1443.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Everton have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 33.0% for Cobresal and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Cobresal and 1.55 for Everton.

Why Cobresal

Nothing in the data singles out Cobresal.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.34 to 1.55. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Everton can win

Everton carry the stronger rating, 1591 Elo against 1443. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Everton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (0.32), Thierno Barry (0.31), Iliman Ndiaye (0.29).

Availability

No lineup on record for Cobresal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Cobresal: 46% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Everton: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.34 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Everton are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Everton have scored 15 from 13.7 expected and conceded 18 from 18.2 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DLLDDLLWDD last 10 scored 15 from 13.7 xG conceded 18 from 18.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	372142	1.42–1.54	0-1 10%	57%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to win	42.4%	43.0%	30.1%	1.43×	2.32
Cobresal to win	37.0%	36.4%	48.9%	0.74×	2.75
Draw	20.6%	24.4%	21.3%	1.15×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton & both teams score	21.4%	21.9%	13.4%	1.63×	4.57
Everton & not both score	21.0%	21.9%	16.9%	1.30×	4.57
Cobresal & both teams score	18.8%	17.9%	22.5%	0.80×	5.58
Cobresal & not both score	18.2%	17.9%	26.7%	0.67×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	16.6%	1.08×	5.58
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	4.9%	0.99×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton & over 1.5	32.4%	30.9%	20.0%	1.54×	3.24
Everton & under 3.5	28.0%	26.0%	23.5%	1.11×	3.84
Cobresal & over 1.5	27.7%	26.0%	35.9%	0.72×	3.84
Everton & over 2.5	26.3%	26.0%	16.6%	1.57×	3.84
Cobresal & under 3.5	25.0%	26.0%	34.0%	0.77×	3.84
Cobresal & over 2.5	22.5%	21.7%	29.1%	0.74×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.56
Everton & under 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	13.7%	1.31×	5.56
Cobresal & under 2.5	14.5%	12.9%	20.0%	0.64×	7.77
Everton & over 3.5	14.4%	12.9%	6.8%	1.88×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	12.7%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	12.7%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.77
Cobresal & over 3.5	12.0%	12.9%	15.2%	0.85×	7.77
Everton & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.69
Cobresal & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.9%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (1UP)	59.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Cobresal (1UP)	54.4%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (2UP)	42.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Cobresal (2UP)	37.0%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to win 2nd half	37.1%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	32.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Cobresal to win 2nd half	30.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (+2.5)	94.1%	92.1%	89.7%	1.03×	1.09
Everton (+1.5)	83.9%	82.4%	77.0%	1.07×	1.21
Everton (+0.5)	63.0%	62.9%	51.1%	1.23×	1.59
Cobresal (+0.5)	57.6%	57.0%	69.9%	0.82×	1.75
Everton (-0.5)	42.4%	43.0%	30.1%	1.43×	2.33
Cobresal (-0.5)	37.0%	37.1%	48.9%	0.76×	2.70
Cobresal (-1.5)	16.1%	17.6%	23.0%	0.76×	5.69
Cobresal (-2.5)	5.9%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to concede	75.7%	79.0%	78.5%	1.01×	1.27
Everton clean sheet	24.3%	21.0%	21.5%	0.98×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to concede in 1st half	45.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Everton clean sheet in 1st half	54.4%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton over 2.5 corners	81.7%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Everton under 6.5 corners	73.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Everton over 3.5 corners	67.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Everton under 5.5 corners	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Everton over 4.5 corners	52.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Everton under 4.5 corners	47.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Everton over 5.5 corners	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Everton under 3.5 corners	32.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Everton over 6.5 corners	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Everton under 2.5 corners	18.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 3.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Everton under 2.5 goals	79.9%	76.3%	88.3%	0.86×	1.31
Everton over 0.5 goals	78.5%	76.2%	68.7%	1.11×	1.31
Everton under 1.5 goals	54.5%	53.7%	68.5%	0.78×	1.86
Everton over 1.5 goals	45.5%	46.3%	31.5%	1.47×	2.16
Everton under 0.5 goals	21.5%	23.8%	31.3%	0.76×	4.21
Everton over 2.5 goals	20.1%	23.7%	11.7%	2.02×	4.21
Everton over 3.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	2.9%	2.61×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Everton under 0.5 in 1st half	54.1%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Everton over 0.5 in 1st half	45.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Everton over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal (away no bet)	64.2%	62.1%	69.7%	0.89×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.8%	37.9%	30.3%	1.25×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton even goals	52.3%	52.8%	53.5%	0.99×	1.89
Everton odd goals	47.7%	47.2%	46.5%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Everton to score 2+ in a row	35.9%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Cobresal to score 2+ in a row	31.6%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Everton to score 3+ in a row	12.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Cobresal to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	5.7%	—	—	17.49

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal corners (+3.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Cobresal corners (+2.5)	78.8%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Everton corners (+3.5)	77.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Cobresal corners (+1.5)	70.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Everton corners (+2.5)	68.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Everton corners (+1.5)	59.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cobresal corners (-1.5)	40.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Cobresal corners (-2.5)	31.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Everton corners (-1.5)	29.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Cobresal corners (-3.5)	23.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Everton corners (-2.5)	21.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Everton corners (-3.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
0-8 corners	32.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	70.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	57.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	47.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	32.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	29.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	9.9%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
1-0	9.3%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.48
1-1	9.4%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.48
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.48
2-1	8.0%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.48
0-2	6.2%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.48
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.48
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.48
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.47
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.47
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.48
1-3	4.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.46
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.48
2-3	3.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.47
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.48
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.48
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.47
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.47
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.48
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	6.99×	58.49
Any other score	3.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton leading at HT (DNB)	50.3%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Cobresal leading at HT (DNB)	49.7%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal or Everton (12)	79.4%	75.6%	78.7%	0.96×	1.32
Everton or draw (X2)	63.0%	63.6%	51.1%	1.24×	1.57
Cobresal or draw (1X)	57.6%	57.0%	69.9%	0.81×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton or draw at HT	70.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Cobresal or draw at HT	70.2%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Cobresal or Everton at HT	59.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton or draw (1UP)	63.0%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Cobresal or draw (1UP)	57.6%	62.7%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton or draw in 2nd half	69.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Cobresal or Everton in 2nd half	67.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Cobresal or draw in 2nd half	62.9%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.1%	61.6%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (DNB)	53.4%	51.0%	38.1%	1.34×	1.96
Cobresal (DNB)	46.6%	49.0%	61.9%	0.79×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score first	50.3%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Cobresal to score first	46.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.5%	54.9%	52.1%	1.05×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.5%	45.1%	47.9%	0.94×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.1%	44.3%	43.0%	1.03×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	33.9%	34.3%	38.1%	0.90×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	9.4%	8.4%	9.3%	0.90×	11.95
Not both score & over 2.5	8.5%	8.4%	10.0%	0.83×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.2%	83.0%	84.6%	0.98×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	18.8%	17.0%	15.4%	1.10×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.7%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	7.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.4%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.6%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.2%	42.1%	43.3%	0.97×	2.38
4-6 goals	31.1%	30.7%	26.9%	1.14×	3.25
0-1 goals	22.5%	22.8%	27.9%	0.82×	4.38
7+ goals	3.1%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score exactly 1	33.0%	33.8%	37.4%	0.90×	2.96
Everton to score exactly 2	25.4%	27.4%	20.0%	1.37×	3.65
Everton to score exactly 0	21.5%	22.4%	31.3%	0.72×	4.47
Everton to score 3+	20.1%	22.4%	11.7%	1.91×	4.47

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal to score exactly 1	34.4%	32.7%	31.8%	1.03×	3.06
Cobresal to score exactly 0	24.3%	23.3%	21.5%	1.08×	4.30
Cobresal to score exactly 2	24.3%	23.3%	26.4%	0.88×	4.30
Cobresal to score 3+	17.0%	18.9%	20.8%	0.91×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Everton leading at HT	29.8%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Cobresal leading at HT	29.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton -1: 1	57.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Everton -1: X	22.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Everton -1: 2	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:1)	63.0%	61.5%	51.1%	1.20×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.3%	26.2%	0.93×	4.12
Cobresal (0:1)	16.1%	17.8%	23.0%	0.77×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:2)	83.9%	82.8%	77.0%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.2%	11.0%	13.0%	0.85×	9.13
Cobresal (0:2)	5.9%	7.7%	10.3%	0.75×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:3)	94.1%	92.6%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	5.1%	0.46×	42.08
Cobresal (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	4.2%	0.29×	83.53
Cobresal (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.5%	0.82×	83.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal (1:0)	57.6%	58.1%	69.9%	0.83×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	22.5%	21.8%	20.0%	1.09×	4.59
Everton (1:0)	19.9%	17.0%	10.3%	1.66×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal (2:0)	80.1%	84.5%	89.7%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.1%	10.4%	6.4%	1.63×	9.64
Everton (2:0)	7.8%	6.5%	4.2%	1.55×	15.48

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	20.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal to concede	78.5%	76.0%	68.7%	1.11×	1.32
Cobresal clean sheet	21.5%	24.0%	31.3%	0.77×	4.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal clean sheet in 1st half	54.1%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Cobresal to concede in 1st half	45.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal over 2.5 corners	86.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Cobresal over 3.5 corners	74.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Cobresal under 6.5 corners	65.5%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Cobresal over 4.5 corners	60.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Cobresal under 5.5 corners	53.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Cobresal over 5.5 corners	46.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Cobresal under 4.5 corners	39.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Cobresal over 6.5 corners	34.5%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Cobresal under 3.5 corners	25.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Cobresal under 2.5 corners	13.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Cobresal under 2.5 goals	83.0%	82.1%	79.2%	1.04×	1.22
Cobresal over 0.5 goals	75.7%	77.7%	78.5%	0.99×	1.29
Cobresal under 1.5 goals	58.6%	58.8%	53.1%	1.11×	1.70
Cobresal over 1.5 goals	41.4%	41.2%	46.9%	0.88×	2.43
Cobresal under 0.5 goals	24.3%	22.3%	21.5%	1.03×	4.49
Cobresal over 2.5 goals	17.0%	17.9%	20.8%	0.86×	5.59
Cobresal over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal under 1.5 in 1st half	87.5%	89.7%	—	—	1.11
Cobresal over 0.5 in 1st half	45.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Cobresal under 0.5 in 1st half	54.4%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Cobresal over 1.5 in 1st half	12.5%	10.3%	—	—	9.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (home no bet)	67.3%	63.9%	58.6%	1.09×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	32.7%	36.1%	41.4%	0.87×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal even goals	52.9%	50.6%	54.5%	0.93×	1.98
Cobresal odd goals	47.1%	49.4%	45.5%	1.09×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.1%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 0-1	18.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	18.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	10.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	5.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-0	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.26
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton at HT / Everton at FT	23.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Cobresal at HT / Cobresal at FT	21.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Everton at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Cobresal at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Cobresal at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Everton at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Cobresal at HT / Everton at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Everton at HT / Cobresal at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score last	50.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Cobresal to score last	46.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Everton to lead by 1 at any time	59.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Cobresal to lead by 1 at any time	54.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Everton to lead by 2 at any time	26.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Cobresal to lead by 2 at any time	22.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Everton to lead by 3 at any time	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Cobresal to lead by 3 at any time	7.9%	6.7%	—	—	15.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal most corners	51.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Everton most corners	38.8%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.8%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.0%	78.6%	81.2%	0.97×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.4%	72.4%	69.9%	1.04×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.5%	69.0%	64.3%	1.07×	1.45
1-3 goals	62.5%	63.4%	66.3%	0.96×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.8%	59.2%	58.2%	1.02×	1.69
3-6 goals	53.5%	53.2%	50.6%	1.05×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.7%	48.7%	45.0%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	43.2%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.30
1-2 goals	40.1%	43.6%	42.5%	1.02×	2.30
3-4 goals	38.9%	39.2%	38.9%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.1%	35.4%	26.9%	1.31×	2.83
4-5 goals	26.3%	30.2%	21.3%	1.42×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.6%	14.9%	12.0%	1.24×	6.72
7+ goals	3.1%	2.6%	2.4%	1.04×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton never behind	42.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Cobresal never behind	37.8%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.3%	50.8%	45.0%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.7%	49.2%	55.0%	0.89×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.5%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.3%	82.4%	85.8%	0.96×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	77.5%	77.3%	72.1%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	65.8%	66.2%	70.9%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	56.6%	58.8%	52.8%	1.11×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	43.4%	41.2%	47.2%	0.87×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	34.2%	33.8%	29.1%	1.16×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.5%	22.7%	27.9%	0.81×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	17.7%	17.6%	14.2%	1.24×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	8.1%	0.96×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.7%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.2%	92.5%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.8%	75.9%	83.3%	0.91×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.5%	72.6%	65.5%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.9%	55.4%	61.9%	0.90×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.1%	44.6%	38.1%	1.17×	2.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.5%	27.4%	34.5%	0.79×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.2%	24.1%	16.7%	1.44×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.8%	7.5%	8.6%	0.88×	13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.3%	2.8%	2.6%	1.07×	36.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.4%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.7%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.3%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.9%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal not to score in both halves	74.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Everton not to score in both halves	72.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Everton to score in both halves	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Cobresal to score in both halves	25.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.5%	58.4%	52.1%	1.12×	1.71
Only Everton scores	21.0%	22.3%	16.9%	1.32×	4.48
Only Cobresal scores	18.2%	16.1%	26.7%	0.60×	6.22
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.85

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.0%	0.94×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.8%	22.6%	19.6%	1.16×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.2%	17.4%	23.2%	0.75×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	16.5%	17.4%	15.2%	1.15×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	9.8%	7.6%	6.4%	1.20×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.9%	7.6%	8.1%	0.95×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.4%	4.9%	0.90×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.9%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	32.0%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	17.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal not to win both halves	91.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Everton not to win both halves	89.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Everton to win both halves	10.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Cobresal to win both halves	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.43

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to win either half	56.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Cobresal to win either half	51.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Cobresal to win neither half	48.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Everton to win neither half	43.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cobresal not to win to nil	81.8%	83.0%	73.4%	1.13×	1.21
Everton not to win to nil	79.0%	78.1%	83.1%	0.94×	1.28
Everton to win to nil	21.0%	21.9%	16.9%	1.30×	4.56
Cobresal to win to nil	18.2%	17.0%	26.7%	0.64×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton by 1	22.5%	24.1%	20.0%	1.20×	4.14
Cobresal by 1	20.8%	24.1%	26.2%	0.92×	4.14
Draw	20.6%	24.1%	21.3%	1.14×	4.14
Everton by 2	12.1%	11.8%	6.4%	1.86×	8.48
Cobresal by 2	10.2%	11.8%	13.0%	0.91×	8.48
Everton by 3+	7.8%	7.3%	4.2%	1.75×	13.78
Cobresal by 3+	5.9%	7.3%	10.3%	0.71×	13.79